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Trail Blazers at Raptors

NBA · Tuesday, Dec 2 · 6:30 PM CT · Scotiabank Arena · Final POR 118 – TOR 121
← NBA / Dec 2, 2025

Final Box Score

from the game summary
Team1234T
POR39202336118
TOR37283224121
Team box
POR·TOR
41-83
field goals
48-90
15-40
3-pointers
11-30
21-32
free throws
14-21
39
rebounds
43
23
assists
33
15
turnovers
18
50
points in paint
64
Top performers
PlayerTeamMINPTSREBAST
Scottie BarnesTOR392877
Deni AvdijaPOR3725814
Immanuel QuickleyTOR352358
Shaedon SharpePOR302333
Brandon IngramTOR352163
Toumani CamaraPOR362162

For context, not in our forecast.

Game Flow

score margin
TOR +16
POR +16
Q1Q2Q3Q4
largest lead: TOR 16 · POR 9lead changes: 4

For context, not in our forecast.

Final · our forecast was POR 42%, TOR 58% · Updated Dec 2, 2025

Expected margin
TOR by 3.0
Expected score
TOR 115.8 – 112.8 POR
Expected total
228.5
Trail BlazersThe matchupRaptors
+139Our fair odds−139
112.8Expected points115.8
−0.24Power rating−0.14
118.2Points / game117.6
121.2Allowed / game112.9
44.5FG%49.0
32.53P%36.2
45.9Rebounds / game42.7
8−12Season record14−7
3−7Last 108−2
Blake Wesley · Damian Lillard
Javonte Cooke · Jrue Holiday
Matisse ThybulleOut (5 each)A.J. Lawson · Alijah Martin
Chucky Hepburn · Jonathan Mogbo
RJ Barrett

Prediction markets

Kalshi · Polymarket US · ProphetX · Novig
POR chance · TOR chance
Our model fair41.8%58.2%
Kalshino two-sided price
Polymarket USno two-sided price
ProphetXno two-sided price
Novigno two-sided price
Full price table
TeamOur modelfairKalshi Polymarket US ProphetX Novig 
Moneyline
PORPortland Trail Blazers+13942%————
TORToronto Raptors−13958%————
SpreadTOR by 3.0
PORPortland Trail Blazers+3our margin————
TORToronto Raptors−3our margin————
Totalwe expect 228.5
Over228.5our total————
Under228.5our total————

These are each venue’s last prices before the start (Kalshi’s moneyline: its pre-game close). Odds are the price to buy that side now, taker fee included; the small percent is the implied chance of that same price. Highlighted is the best price in the row among venues on the same line. — means not listed (hover or tap for why). A market price is not the true chance of winning.

Margin range

Toronto Raptors by 3.0 expected
Portland Trail Blazers by 44 points: <1%Portland Trail Blazers by 43 points: <1%Portland Trail Blazers by 42 points: <1%Portland Trail Blazers by 41 points: <1%Portland Trail Blazers by 40 points: <1%Portland Trail Blazers by 39 points: <1%Portland Trail Blazers by 38 points: <1%Portland Trail Blazers by 37 points: <1%Portland Trail Blazers by 36 points: <1%Portland Trail Blazers by 35 points: <1%Portland Trail Blazers by 34 points: <1%Portland Trail Blazers by 33 points: <1%Portland Trail Blazers by 32 points: <1%Portland Trail Blazers by 31 points: <1%Portland Trail Blazers by 30 points: <1%Portland Trail Blazers by 29 points: <1%Portland Trail Blazers by 28 points: <1%Portland Trail Blazers by 27 points: <1%Portland Trail Blazers by 26 points: <1%Portland Trail Blazers by 25 points: <1%Portland Trail Blazers by 24 points: 1%Portland Trail Blazers by 23 points: 1%Portland Trail Blazers by 22 points: 1%Portland Trail Blazers by 21 points: 1%Portland Trail Blazers by 20 points: 1%Portland Trail Blazers by 19 points: 1%Portland Trail Blazers by 18 points: 1%Portland Trail Blazers by 17 points: 1%Portland Trail Blazers by 16 points: 1%Portland Trail Blazers by 15 points: 1%Portland Trail Blazers by 14 points: 1%Portland Trail Blazers by 13 points: 2%Portland Trail Blazers by 12 points: 2%Portland Trail Blazers by 11 points: 2%Portland Trail Blazers by 10 points: 2%Portland Trail Blazers by 9 points: 2%Portland Trail Blazers by 8 points: 2%Portland Trail Blazers by 7 points: 2%Portland Trail Blazers by 6 points: 2%Portland Trail Blazers by 5 points: 2%Portland Trail Blazers by 4 points: 2%Portland Trail Blazers by 3 points: 2%Portland Trail Blazers by 2 points: 2%Portland Trail Blazers by 1 point: 2%Toronto Raptors by 1 point: 2%Toronto Raptors by 2 points: 2%Toronto Raptors by 3 points: 3%Toronto Raptors by 4 points: 3%Toronto Raptors by 5 points: 3%Toronto Raptors by 6 points: 3%Toronto Raptors by 7 points: 3%Toronto Raptors by 8 points: 3%Toronto Raptors by 9 points: 3%Toronto Raptors by 10 points: 3%Toronto Raptors by 11 points: 3%Toronto Raptors by 12 points: 3%Toronto Raptors by 13 points: 2%Toronto Raptors by 14 points: 2%Toronto Raptors by 15 points: 2%Toronto Raptors by 16 points: 2%Toronto Raptors by 17 points: 2%Toronto Raptors by 18 points: 2%Toronto Raptors by 19 points: 1%Toronto Raptors by 20 points: 1%Toronto Raptors by 21 points: 1%Toronto Raptors by 22 points: 1%Toronto Raptors by 23 points: 1%Toronto Raptors by 24 points: 1%Toronto Raptors by 25 points: 1%Toronto Raptors by 26 points: 1%Toronto Raptors by 27 points: 1%Toronto Raptors by 28 points: 1%Toronto Raptors by 29 points: 1%Toronto Raptors by 30 points: <1%Toronto Raptors by 31 points: <1%Toronto Raptors by 32 points: <1%Toronto Raptors by 33 points: <1%Toronto Raptors by 34 points: <1%Toronto Raptors by 35 points: <1%Toronto Raptors by 36 points: <1%Toronto Raptors by 37 points: <1%Toronto Raptors by 38 points: <1%Toronto Raptors by 39 points: <1%Toronto Raptors by 40 points: <1%Toronto Raptors by 41 points: <1%Toronto Raptors by 42 points: <1%Toronto Raptors by 43 points: <1%Toronto Raptors by 44 points: <1%
← POR wins byTOR wins by →
Toronto Raptors wins by 5 or more48%
Toronto Raptors wins by 10 or more34%
Toronto Raptors wins by 15 or more21%
Within 5 points either way25%

Centered on the expected margin above; shape from the real results of 6,530 past NBA games.

Total range

228.5 expected
179 points: <1%180 points: <1%181 points: <1%182 points: <1%183 points: <1%184 points: <1%185 points: <1%186 points: <1%187 points: <1%188 points: <1%189 points: <1%190 points: <1%191 points: <1%192 points: <1%193 points: <1%194 points: <1%195 points: <1%196 points: 1%197 points: 1%198 points: 1%199 points: 1%200 points: 1%201 points: 1%202 points: 1%203 points: 1%204 points: 1%205 points: 1%206 points: 1%207 points: 1%208 points: 1%209 points: 1%210 points: 1%211 points: 1%212 points: 1%213 points: 2%214 points: 2%215 points: 2%216 points: 2%217 points: 2%218 points: 2%219 points: 2%220 points: 2%221 points: 2%222 points: 2%223 points: 2%224 points: 2%225 points: 2%226 points: 2%227 points: 2%228 points: 2%229 points: 2%230 points: 2%231 points: 2%232 points: 2%233 points: 2%234 points: 2%235 points: 2%236 points: 2%237 points: 2%238 points: 2%239 points: 2%240 points: 2%241 points: 2%242 points: 2%243 points: 1%244 points: 1%245 points: 1%246 points: 1%247 points: 1%248 points: 1%249 points: 1%250 points: 1%251 points: 1%252 points: 1%253 points: 1%254 points: 1%255 points: 1%256 points: 1%257 points: 1%258 points: 1%259 points: 1%260 points: 1%261 points: 1%262 points: <1%263 points: <1%264 points: <1%265 points: <1%266 points: <1%267 points: <1%268 points: <1%269 points: <1%270 points: <1%271 points: <1%272 points: <1%273 points: <1%274 points: <1%275 points: <1%276 points: <1%277 points: <1%278 points: <1%279 points: <1%280 points: <1%281 points: <1%282 points: <1%
Total points, both teams
Total over 218.569%
Total over 228.549%
Total over 238.530%
Total from 219 to 23839%

Centered on the expected total above; shape from the real results of 6,530 past NBA games.

Starting Lineups

from the box score
Portland Trail Blazers
GSidy Cissokostarted
FJerami Grantstarted
FToumani Camarastarted
FDeni Avdijastarted
CDonovan Clinganstarted
Toronto Raptors
GImmanuel Quickleystarted
GJa'Kobe Walterstarted
FBrandon Ingramstarted
FScottie Barnesstarted
CJakob Poeltlstarted

For context, not in our forecast.

Rest and Schedule

before this game
POR·TOR
Nov 30, 2025 vs OKC
last game
Nov 30, 2025 at NY
1 day
days of rest
1 day
no
back-to-back
no
2
games in last 7 days
3
road after a home game
home / road
home after a road game

For context, not in our forecast.

Who's Out

NBA official injury report · Dec 1, 5:00 PM ET
Portland Trail Blazers
PORBlake Wesley · right foot; fractureOut
PORDamian Lillard · left achilles tendon; injury managementOut
PORJavonte Cooke · g league - two-wayOut
PORJrue Holiday · right calf; strainOut
PORMatisse Thybulle · left thumb; ligament tearOut
PORScoot Henderson · left hamstring; tearOut
PORDonovan Clingan · illness; .Questionable
Toronto Raptors
TORA.J. Lawson · g league - two-wayOut
TORAlijah Martin · g league - two-wayOut
TORChucky Hepburn · g league - two-wayOut
TORJonathan Mogbo · g league - on assignmentOut
TORRJ Barrett · right knee; sprainOut

For context, not in our forecast.

Team Comparison

2025–26 season · box-score averages from 20+ games
POR·TOR
−0.24
rating (0 = average)
−0.14
118.2
points / game
117.6
121.2
points allowed / game
112.9
8−12
season record
14−7
3−6
home record
7−2
5−6
away record
7−5
L2
streak
L2
3−7
last 10
8−2
44.5
FG%
49.0
32.5
3P%
36.2
45.9
rebounds / game
42.7
24.9
assists / game
29.7
16.7
turnovers / game
14.3
50.9
points in paint / game
53.7

Rating Trend

POR · TOR · 35 days
Portland Trail BlazersToronto Raptors
Rating (0 = average team)

Head to Head

last 8 meetings · TOR 2−6
Apr 3, 2025at TORPOR 112 − 103
Mar 16, 2025at PORPOR 105 − 102
Mar 9, 2024at PORPOR 128 − 118
Oct 30, 2023at TORPOR 99 − 91
Jan 28, 2023at PORTOR 123 − 105
Jan 8, 2023at TORTOR 117 − 105
Jan 23, 2022at TORPOR 114 − 105
Nov 15, 2021at PORPOR 118 − 113

POR · Last 10

3−7 · streak L2
Nov 30, 2025vs OKC115 − 123L
Nov 26, 2025vs SA102 − 115L
Nov 24, 2025at MIL115 − 103W
Nov 23, 2025at OKC95 − 122L
Nov 21, 2025at GS127 − 123W
Nov 19, 2025vs CHI121 − 122L
Nov 18, 2025vs PHX110 − 127L
Nov 16, 2025at DAL133 − 138L
Nov 14, 2025at HOU116 − 140L
Nov 12, 2025at NO125 − 117W

TOR · Last 10

8−2 · streak L2
Nov 30, 2025at NY94 − 116L
Nov 29, 2025at CHA111 − 118L
Nov 26, 2025vs IND97 − 95W
Nov 24, 2025vs CLE110 − 99W
Nov 23, 2025vs BKN119 − 109W
Nov 21, 2025vs WSH140 − 110W
Nov 19, 2025at PHI121 − 112W
Nov 17, 2025vs CHA110 − 108W
Nov 15, 2025at IND129 − 111W
Nov 13, 2025at CLE126 − 113W