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Jazz at Grizzlies

NBA · Friday, Dec 12 · 7:00 PM CT · FedExForum · Final UTAH 130 – MEM 126
← NBA / Dec 12, 2025

Final Box Score

from the game summary
Team1234T
UTAH36254227130
MEM31333329126
Team box
UTAH·MEM
48-104
field goals
46-99
17-47
3-pointers
19-41
17-25
free throws
15-21
58
rebounds
49
33
assists
32
13
turnovers
10
48
points in paint
44
Top performers
PlayerTeamMINPTSREBAST
Keyonte GeorgeUTAH343968
Lauri MarkkanenUTAH362692
Santi AldamaMEM362272
Ja MorantMEM2521410
Kevin LoveUTAH202081
Cam SpencerMEM252024

For context, not in our forecast.

Game Flow

score margin
MEM +12
UTAH +12
Q1Q2Q3Q4
largest lead: MEM 12 · UTAH 10lead changes: 5

For context, not in our forecast.

Final · our forecast was UTAH 24%, MEM 76% · Updated Dec 12, 2025

Expected margin
MEM by 9.0
Expected score
MEM 124.5 – 115.5 UTAH
Expected total
240.1
JazzThe matchupGrizzlies
+312Our fair odds−312
115.5Expected points124.5
−0.85Power rating+0.07
117.6Points / game113.6
125.8Allowed / game115.3
45.5FG%44.9
34.33P%33.7
45.1Rebounds / game46.5
8−15Season record11−13
3−7Last 107−3
Cody Williams · Elijah Harkless
Georges Niang · John Tonje
Oscar TshiebweOut (5 each)Brandon Clarke · GG Jackson
Javon Small · John Konchar
Scotty Pippen Jr.

Prediction markets

Kalshi · Polymarket US · ProphetX · Novig
UTAH chance · MEM chance
Our model fair24.3%75.7%
Kalshino two-sided price
Polymarket USno two-sided price
ProphetXno two-sided price
Novigno two-sided price
Full price table
TeamOur modelfairKalshi Polymarket US ProphetX Novig 
Moneyline
UTAHUtah Jazz+31224%————
MEMMemphis Grizzlies−31276%————
SpreadMEM by 9.0
UTAHUtah Jazz+9our margin————
MEMMemphis Grizzlies−9our margin————
Totalwe expect 240.1
Over240.1our total————
Under240.1our total————

These are each venue’s last prices before the start (Kalshi’s moneyline: its pre-game close). Odds are the price to buy that side now, taker fee included; the small percent is the implied chance of that same price. Highlighted is the best price in the row among venues on the same line. — means not listed (hover or tap for why). A market price is not the true chance of winning.

Margin range

Memphis Grizzlies by 9.0 expected
Utah Jazz by 51 points: <1%Utah Jazz by 50 points: <1%Utah Jazz by 49 points: <1%Utah Jazz by 48 points: <1%Utah Jazz by 47 points: <1%Utah Jazz by 46 points: <1%Utah Jazz by 45 points: <1%Utah Jazz by 44 points: <1%Utah Jazz by 43 points: <1%Utah Jazz by 42 points: <1%Utah Jazz by 41 points: <1%Utah Jazz by 40 points: <1%Utah Jazz by 39 points: <1%Utah Jazz by 38 points: <1%Utah Jazz by 37 points: <1%Utah Jazz by 36 points: <1%Utah Jazz by 35 points: <1%Utah Jazz by 34 points: <1%Utah Jazz by 33 points: <1%Utah Jazz by 32 points: <1%Utah Jazz by 31 points: <1%Utah Jazz by 30 points: <1%Utah Jazz by 29 points: <1%Utah Jazz by 28 points: <1%Utah Jazz by 27 points: <1%Utah Jazz by 26 points: <1%Utah Jazz by 25 points: <1%Utah Jazz by 24 points: <1%Utah Jazz by 23 points: <1%Utah Jazz by 22 points: <1%Utah Jazz by 21 points: <1%Utah Jazz by 20 points: <1%Utah Jazz by 19 points: <1%Utah Jazz by 18 points: <1%Utah Jazz by 17 points: 1%Utah Jazz by 16 points: 1%Utah Jazz by 15 points: 1%Utah Jazz by 14 points: 1%Utah Jazz by 13 points: 1%Utah Jazz by 12 points: 1%Utah Jazz by 11 points: 1%Utah Jazz by 10 points: 1%Utah Jazz by 9 points: 1%Utah Jazz by 8 points: 2%Utah Jazz by 7 points: 2%Utah Jazz by 6 points: 2%Utah Jazz by 5 points: 2%Utah Jazz by 4 points: 2%Utah Jazz by 3 points: 2%Utah Jazz by 2 points: 2%Utah Jazz by 1 point: 2%Memphis Grizzlies by 1 point: 2%Memphis Grizzlies by 2 points: 2%Memphis Grizzlies by 3 points: 2%Memphis Grizzlies by 4 points: 3%Memphis Grizzlies by 5 points: 3%Memphis Grizzlies by 6 points: 3%Memphis Grizzlies by 7 points: 3%Memphis Grizzlies by 8 points: 3%Memphis Grizzlies by 9 points: 3%Memphis Grizzlies by 10 points: 3%Memphis Grizzlies by 11 points: 3%Memphis Grizzlies by 12 points: 3%Memphis Grizzlies by 13 points: 3%Memphis Grizzlies by 14 points: 3%Memphis Grizzlies by 15 points: 3%Memphis Grizzlies by 16 points: 2%Memphis Grizzlies by 17 points: 2%Memphis Grizzlies by 18 points: 2%Memphis Grizzlies by 19 points: 2%Memphis Grizzlies by 20 points: 2%Memphis Grizzlies by 21 points: 2%Memphis Grizzlies by 22 points: 2%Memphis Grizzlies by 23 points: 2%Memphis Grizzlies by 24 points: 1%Memphis Grizzlies by 25 points: 1%Memphis Grizzlies by 26 points: 1%Memphis Grizzlies by 27 points: 1%Memphis Grizzlies by 28 points: 1%Memphis Grizzlies by 29 points: 1%Memphis Grizzlies by 30 points: 1%Memphis Grizzlies by 31 points: 1%Memphis Grizzlies by 32 points: 1%Memphis Grizzlies by 33 points: 1%Memphis Grizzlies by 34 points: 1%Memphis Grizzlies by 35 points: 1%Memphis Grizzlies by 36 points: 1%Memphis Grizzlies by 37 points: <1%Memphis Grizzlies by 38 points: <1%Memphis Grizzlies by 39 points: <1%Memphis Grizzlies by 40 points: <1%Memphis Grizzlies by 41 points: <1%Memphis Grizzlies by 42 points: <1%Memphis Grizzlies by 43 points: <1%Memphis Grizzlies by 44 points: <1%Memphis Grizzlies by 45 points: <1%Memphis Grizzlies by 46 points: <1%Memphis Grizzlies by 47 points: <1%Memphis Grizzlies by 48 points: <1%Memphis Grizzlies by 49 points: <1%Memphis Grizzlies by 50 points: <1%Memphis Grizzlies by 51 points: <1%
← UTAH wins byMEM wins by →
Memphis Grizzlies wins by 5 or more64%
Memphis Grizzlies wins by 10 or more49%
Memphis Grizzlies wins by 15 or more34%
Within 5 points either way22%

Centered on the expected margin above; shape from the real results of 6,530 past NBA games.

Total range

240.1 expected
190 points: <1%191 points: <1%192 points: <1%193 points: <1%194 points: <1%195 points: <1%196 points: <1%197 points: <1%198 points: <1%199 points: <1%200 points: <1%201 points: <1%202 points: <1%203 points: <1%204 points: <1%205 points: <1%206 points: <1%207 points: 1%208 points: 1%209 points: 1%210 points: 1%211 points: 1%212 points: 1%213 points: 1%214 points: 1%215 points: 1%216 points: 1%217 points: 1%218 points: 1%219 points: 1%220 points: 1%221 points: 1%222 points: 1%223 points: 1%224 points: 1%225 points: 2%226 points: 2%227 points: 2%228 points: 2%229 points: 2%230 points: 2%231 points: 2%232 points: 2%233 points: 2%234 points: 2%235 points: 2%236 points: 2%237 points: 2%238 points: 2%239 points: 2%240 points: 2%241 points: 2%242 points: 2%243 points: 2%244 points: 2%245 points: 2%246 points: 2%247 points: 2%248 points: 2%249 points: 2%250 points: 2%251 points: 2%252 points: 2%253 points: 2%254 points: 2%255 points: 1%256 points: 1%257 points: 1%258 points: 1%259 points: 1%260 points: 1%261 points: 1%262 points: 1%263 points: 1%264 points: 1%265 points: 1%266 points: 1%267 points: 1%268 points: 1%269 points: 1%270 points: 1%271 points: 1%272 points: 1%273 points: 1%274 points: <1%275 points: <1%276 points: <1%277 points: <1%278 points: <1%279 points: <1%280 points: <1%281 points: <1%282 points: <1%283 points: <1%284 points: <1%285 points: <1%286 points: <1%287 points: <1%288 points: <1%289 points: <1%290 points: <1%291 points: <1%292 points: <1%293 points: <1%294 points: <1%295 points: <1%296 points: <1%297 points: <1%298 points: <1%299 points: <1%300 points: <1%301 points: <1%
Total points, both teams
Total over 230.567%
Total over 240.548%
Total over 250.530%
Total from 231 to 25037%

Centered on the expected total above; shape from the real results of 6,530 past NBA games.

Starting Lineups

from the box score
Utah Jazz
GSvi Mykhailiukstarted
GKeyonte Georgestarted
GAce Baileystarted
FLauri Markkanenstarted
CJusuf Nurkicstarted
Memphis Grizzlies
GJa Morantstarted
FJaren Jackson Jr.started
FSanti Aldamastarted
FCedric Cowardstarted
FJaylen Wellsstarted

For context, not in our forecast.

Rest and Schedule

before this game
UTAH·MEM
Dec 7, 2025 vs OKC
last game
Dec 7, 2025 vs POR
4 days
days of rest
4 days
no
back-to-back
no
2
games in last 7 days
2
road after a home game
home / road
3rd straight home game

For context, not in our forecast.

Who's Out

NBA official injury report · Dec 12, 5:00 PM ET
Utah Jazz
UTAHCody Williams · g league - on assignmentOut
UTAHElijah Harkless · g league - two-wayOut
UTAHGeorges Niang · left foot; fourth metatarsal stress reactionOut
UTAHJohn Tonje · g league - two-wayOut
UTAHOscar Tshiebwe · g league - two-wayOut
UTAHTaylor Hendricks · g league - on assignmentOut
UTAHWalker Kessler · left shoulder; injury recoveryOut
Memphis Grizzlies
MEMBrandon Clarke · right knee; surgery recoveryOut
MEMGG Jackson · g league - on assignmentOut
MEMJavon Small · left toe; turf toeOut
MEMJohn Konchar · left thumb; ucl tearOut
MEMScotty Pippen Jr. · left great toe; surgery recoveryOut
MEMTy Jerome · right calf; strainOut
MEMZach Edey · left ankle; stress reactionOut
MEMJahmai Mashack · g league - two-wayQuestionable
MEMOlivier-Maxence Prosper · g league - two-wayQuestionable
MEMJa Morant · right calf; strainProbable

For context, not in our forecast.

Team Comparison

2025–26 season · box-score averages from 23+ games
UTAH·MEM
−0.85
rating (0 = average)
+0.07
117.6
points / game
113.6
125.8
points allowed / game
115.3
8−15
season record
11−13
6−7
home record
6−6
2−8
away record
5−7
L2
streak
W2
3−7
last 10
7−3
45.5
FG%
44.9
34.3
3P%
33.7
45.1
rebounds / game
46.5
29.5
assists / game
28.7
16.5
turnovers / game
15.1
48.9
points in paint / game
49.0

Rating Trend

UTAH · MEM · 45 days
Utah JazzMemphis Grizzlies
Rating (0 = average team)

Head to Head

last 10 meetings · MEM 7−3
Mar 25, 2025at UTAHMEM 140 − 103
Mar 12, 2025at MEMMEM 122 − 115
Jan 25, 2025at MEMMEM 125 − 103
Oct 23, 2024at UTAHMEM 126 − 124
Nov 29, 2023at MEMMEM 105 − 91
Nov 10, 2023at MEMUTAH 127 − 121
Nov 1, 2023at UTAHUTAH 133 − 109
Feb 15, 2023at MEMMEM 117 − 111
Jan 8, 2023at MEMMEM 123 − 118
Oct 31, 2022at UTAHUTAH 121 − 105

UTAH · Last 10

3−7 · streak L2
Dec 7, 2025vs OKC101 − 131L
Dec 5, 2025at NY112 − 146L
Dec 4, 2025at BKN123 − 110W
Dec 1, 2025vs HOU133 − 125W
Nov 30, 2025vs HOU101 − 129L
Nov 28, 2025vs SAC128 − 119W
Nov 24, 2025at GS117 − 134L
Nov 23, 2025vs LAL106 − 108L
Nov 21, 2025vs OKC112 − 144L
Nov 18, 2025at LAL126 − 140L

MEM · Last 10

7−3 · streak W2
Dec 7, 2025vs POR119 − 96W
Dec 5, 2025vs LAC107 − 98W
Dec 2, 2025at SA119 − 126L
Nov 30, 2025at SAC115 − 107W
Nov 28, 2025at LAC112 − 107W
Nov 26, 2025at NO133 − 128W
Nov 24, 2025vs DEN115 − 125L
Nov 22, 2025at DAL102 − 96W
Nov 20, 2025vs SAC137 − 96W
Nov 18, 2025at SA101 − 111L