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Lakers at Suns

NBA · Tuesday, Dec 23 · 8:00 PM CT · Mortgage Matchup Center · Final LAL 108 – PHX 132
← NBA / Dec 23, 2025

Final Box Score

from the game summary
Team1234T
LAL26312922108
PHX29384520132
Team box
LAL·PHX
39-81
field goals
50-85
12-32
3-pointers
14-34
18-29
free throws
18-20
38
rebounds
38
22
assists
35
17
turnovers
14
46
points in paint
62
Top performers
PlayerTeamMINPTSREBAST
Dillon BrooksPHX242500
LeBron JamesLAL262326
Devin BookerPHX2721211
Mark WilliamsPHX211892
Austin ReavesLAL221722
Collin GillespiePHX281648

For context, not in our forecast.

Game Flow

score margin
PHX +32
LAL +32
Q1Q2Q3Q4
largest lead: PHX 32 · LAL 5lead changes: 7

For context, not in our forecast.

Final · our forecast was LAL 51%, PHX 49% · Updated Dec 23, 2025

Expected margin
LAL by 0.4
Expected score
LAL 115.0 – 114.6 PHX
Expected total
229.7
LakersThe matchupSuns
−104Our fair odds+104
115.0Expected points114.6
+0.27Power rating+0.00
118.0Points / game114.2
116.9Allowed / game114.1
50.0FG%46.5
34.63P%36.2
41.9Rebounds / game42.1
19−8Season record15−13
6−4Last 104−6
Gabe Vincent · Luka Doncic
Rui HachimuraOutGrayson Allen · Jalen Green

Prediction markets

Kalshi · Polymarket US · ProphetX · Novig
LAL chance · PHX chance
Our model fair51.0%49.0%
Kalshino two-sided price
Polymarket USno two-sided price
ProphetXno two-sided price
Novigno two-sided price
Full price table
TeamOur modelfairKalshi Polymarket US ProphetX Novig 
Moneyline
LALLos Angeles Lakers−10451%————
PHXPhoenix Suns+10449%————
SpreadLAL by 0.4
LALLos Angeles Lakers−0.4our margin————
PHXPhoenix Suns+0.4our margin————
Totalwe expect 229.7
Over229.7our total————
Under229.7our total————

These are each venue’s last prices before the start (Kalshi’s moneyline: its pre-game close). Odds are the price to buy that side now, taker fee included; the small percent is the implied chance of that same price. Highlighted is the best price in the row among venues on the same line. — means not listed (hover or tap for why). A market price is not the true chance of winning.

Margin range

Los Angeles Lakers by 0.4 expected
Los Angeles Lakers by 41 points: <1%Los Angeles Lakers by 40 points: <1%Los Angeles Lakers by 39 points: <1%Los Angeles Lakers by 38 points: <1%Los Angeles Lakers by 37 points: <1%Los Angeles Lakers by 36 points: <1%Los Angeles Lakers by 35 points: <1%Los Angeles Lakers by 34 points: <1%Los Angeles Lakers by 33 points: <1%Los Angeles Lakers by 32 points: <1%Los Angeles Lakers by 31 points: <1%Los Angeles Lakers by 30 points: <1%Los Angeles Lakers by 29 points: <1%Los Angeles Lakers by 28 points: <1%Los Angeles Lakers by 27 points: 1%Los Angeles Lakers by 26 points: 1%Los Angeles Lakers by 25 points: 1%Los Angeles Lakers by 24 points: 1%Los Angeles Lakers by 23 points: 1%Los Angeles Lakers by 22 points: 1%Los Angeles Lakers by 21 points: 1%Los Angeles Lakers by 20 points: 1%Los Angeles Lakers by 19 points: 1%Los Angeles Lakers by 18 points: 1%Los Angeles Lakers by 17 points: 1%Los Angeles Lakers by 16 points: 2%Los Angeles Lakers by 15 points: 2%Los Angeles Lakers by 14 points: 2%Los Angeles Lakers by 13 points: 2%Los Angeles Lakers by 12 points: 2%Los Angeles Lakers by 11 points: 2%Los Angeles Lakers by 10 points: 2%Los Angeles Lakers by 9 points: 3%Los Angeles Lakers by 8 points: 3%Los Angeles Lakers by 7 points: 3%Los Angeles Lakers by 6 points: 3%Los Angeles Lakers by 5 points: 3%Los Angeles Lakers by 4 points: 3%Los Angeles Lakers by 3 points: 3%Los Angeles Lakers by 2 points: 2%Los Angeles Lakers by 1 point: 2%Phoenix Suns by 1 point: 2%Phoenix Suns by 2 points: 2%Phoenix Suns by 3 points: 2%Phoenix Suns by 4 points: 3%Phoenix Suns by 5 points: 3%Phoenix Suns by 6 points: 3%Phoenix Suns by 7 points: 3%Phoenix Suns by 8 points: 3%Phoenix Suns by 9 points: 3%Phoenix Suns by 10 points: 2%Phoenix Suns by 11 points: 2%Phoenix Suns by 12 points: 2%Phoenix Suns by 13 points: 2%Phoenix Suns by 14 points: 2%Phoenix Suns by 15 points: 2%Phoenix Suns by 16 points: 1%Phoenix Suns by 17 points: 1%Phoenix Suns by 18 points: 1%Phoenix Suns by 19 points: 1%Phoenix Suns by 20 points: 1%Phoenix Suns by 21 points: 1%Phoenix Suns by 22 points: 1%Phoenix Suns by 23 points: 1%Phoenix Suns by 24 points: 1%Phoenix Suns by 25 points: 1%Phoenix Suns by 26 points: 1%Phoenix Suns by 27 points: <1%Phoenix Suns by 28 points: <1%Phoenix Suns by 29 points: <1%Phoenix Suns by 30 points: <1%Phoenix Suns by 31 points: <1%Phoenix Suns by 32 points: <1%Phoenix Suns by 33 points: <1%Phoenix Suns by 34 points: <1%Phoenix Suns by 35 points: <1%Phoenix Suns by 36 points: <1%Phoenix Suns by 37 points: <1%Phoenix Suns by 38 points: <1%Phoenix Suns by 39 points: <1%Phoenix Suns by 40 points: <1%Phoenix Suns by 41 points: <1%
← LAL wins byPHX wins by →
Los Angeles Lakers wins by 5 or more41%
Los Angeles Lakers wins by 10 or more27%
Los Angeles Lakers wins by 15 or more17%
Within 5 points either way25%

Centered on the expected margin above; shape from the real results of 6,530 past NBA games.

Total range

229.7 expected
180 points: <1%181 points: <1%182 points: <1%183 points: <1%184 points: <1%185 points: <1%186 points: <1%187 points: <1%188 points: <1%189 points: <1%190 points: <1%191 points: <1%192 points: <1%193 points: <1%194 points: <1%195 points: <1%196 points: <1%197 points: 1%198 points: 1%199 points: 1%200 points: 1%201 points: 1%202 points: 1%203 points: 1%204 points: 1%205 points: 1%206 points: 1%207 points: 1%208 points: 1%209 points: 1%210 points: 1%211 points: 1%212 points: 1%213 points: 1%214 points: 2%215 points: 2%216 points: 2%217 points: 2%218 points: 2%219 points: 2%220 points: 2%221 points: 2%222 points: 2%223 points: 2%224 points: 2%225 points: 2%226 points: 2%227 points: 2%228 points: 2%229 points: 2%230 points: 2%231 points: 2%232 points: 2%233 points: 2%234 points: 2%235 points: 2%236 points: 2%237 points: 2%238 points: 2%239 points: 2%240 points: 2%241 points: 2%242 points: 2%243 points: 1%244 points: 1%245 points: 1%246 points: 1%247 points: 1%248 points: 1%249 points: 1%250 points: 1%251 points: 1%252 points: 1%253 points: 1%254 points: 1%255 points: 1%256 points: 1%257 points: 1%258 points: 1%259 points: 1%260 points: 1%261 points: 1%262 points: 1%263 points: <1%264 points: <1%265 points: <1%266 points: <1%267 points: <1%268 points: <1%269 points: <1%270 points: <1%271 points: <1%272 points: <1%273 points: <1%274 points: <1%275 points: <1%276 points: <1%277 points: <1%278 points: <1%279 points: <1%280 points: <1%281 points: <1%282 points: <1%283 points: <1%284 points: <1%
Total points, both teams
Total over 219.569%
Total over 229.550%
Total over 239.530%
Total from 220 to 23939%

Centered on the expected total above; shape from the real results of 6,530 past NBA games.

Starting Lineups

from the box score
Los Angeles Lakers
GMarcus Smartstarted
GNick Smith Jr.started
FLeBron Jamesstarted
FJake LaRaviastarted
CDeandre Aytonstarted
Phoenix Suns
GDevin Bookerstarted
GCollin Gillespiestarted
FRoyce O'Nealestarted
FDillon Brooksstarted
CMark Williamsstarted

For context, not in our forecast.

Rest and Schedule

before this game
LAL·PHX
Dec 20, 2025 at LAC
last game
Dec 20, 2025 at GS
2 days
days of rest
2 days
no
back-to-back
no
2
games in last 7 days
2
4th straight road game
home / road
home after a road game

For context, not in our forecast.

Who's Out

NBA official injury report · Dec 23, 5:00 PM ET
Los Angeles Lakers
LALGabe Vincent · lumbar back; strainOut
LALLuka Doncic · lower left leg;Out
LALRui Hachimura · contusion right groin; sorenessOut
Phoenix Suns
PHXGrayson Allen · right knee; injury managementOut
PHXJalen Green · right hamstring; strainOut

For context, not in our forecast.

Team Comparison

2025–26 season · box-score averages from 27+ games
LAL·PHX
+0.27
rating (0 = average)
+0.00
118.0
points / game
114.2
116.9
points allowed / game
114.1
19−8
season record
15−13
7−4
home record
9−5
12−4
away record
6−8
L1
streak
L1
6−4
last 10
4−6
50.0
FG%
46.5
34.6
3P%
36.2
41.9
rebounds / game
42.1
25.0
assists / game
25.2
15.2
turnovers / game
15.9
51.4
points in paint / game
45.6

Rating Trend

LAL · PHX · 56 days
Los Angeles LakersPhoenix Suns
Rating (0 = average team)

Head to Head

last 10 meetings · PHX 5−5
Dec 14, 2025at PHXLAL 116 − 114
Dec 1, 2025at LALPHX 125 − 108
Mar 16, 2025at LALLAL 107 − 96
Nov 26, 2024at PHXPHX 127 − 100
Oct 28, 2024at PHXPHX 109 − 105
Oct 25, 2024at LALLAL 123 − 116
Feb 25, 2024at PHXPHX 123 − 113
Jan 11, 2024at LALPHX 127 − 109
Dec 5, 2023at LALLAL 106 − 103
Nov 10, 2023at PHXLAL 122 − 119

LAL · Last 10

6−4 · streak L1
Dec 20, 2025at LAC88 − 103L
Dec 18, 2025at UTAH143 − 135W
Dec 14, 2025at PHX116 − 114W
Dec 10, 2025vs SA119 − 132L
Dec 7, 2025at PHI112 − 108W
Dec 5, 2025at BOS105 − 126L
Dec 4, 2025at TOR123 − 120W
Dec 1, 2025vs PHX108 − 125L
Nov 30, 2025vs NO133 − 121W
Nov 28, 2025vs DAL129 − 119W

PHX · Last 10

4−6 · streak L1
Dec 20, 2025at GS116 − 119L
Dec 18, 2025vs GS99 − 98W
Dec 14, 2025vs LAL114 − 116L
Dec 10, 2025at OKC89 − 138L
Dec 8, 2025at MIN108 − 105W
Dec 5, 2025at HOU98 − 117L
Dec 1, 2025at LAL125 − 108W
Nov 29, 2025vs DEN112 − 130L
Nov 28, 2025at OKC119 − 123L
Nov 26, 2025at SAC112 − 100W