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Lakers at Jazz

NBA · Thursday, Dec 18 · 8:00 PM CT · Delta Center · Final LAL 143 – UTAH 135
← NBA / Dec 18, 2025

Final Box Score

from the game summary
Team1234T
LAL32412941143
UTAH41372829135
Team box
LAL·UTAH
49-93
field goals
43-83
13-39
3-pointers
18-37
32-39
free throws
31-47
48
rebounds
39
32
assists
31
7
turnovers
13
58
points in paint
42
Top performers
PlayerTeamMINPTSREBAST
Luka DoncicLAL40451114
Keyonte GeorgeUTAH393448
LeBron JamesLAL3328710
Ace BaileyUTAH261940
Isaiah CollierUTAH2818013
Marcus SmartLAL281741

For context, not in our forecast.

Game Flow

score margin
UTAH +12
LAL +12
Q1Q2Q3Q4
largest lead: UTAH 10 · LAL 12lead changes: 3

For context, not in our forecast.

Final · our forecast was LAL 69%, UTAH 31% · Updated Dec 18, 2025

Expected margin
LAL by 8.5
Expected score
LAL 124.3 – 115.8 UTAH
Expected total
240.2
LakersThe matchupJazz
−227Our fair odds+227
124.3Expected points115.8
+0.30Power rating−0.76
118.2Points / game119.0
116.7Allowed / game126.1
50.4FG%45.8
35.43P%34.4
41.6Rebounds / game45.7
18−7Season record10−15
7−3Last 105−5
Austin Reaves · Bronny James
Deandre Ayton · Gabe VincentOutElijah Harkless · Georges Niang
John Tonje · Lauri Markkanen
Oscar Tshiebwe

Prediction markets

Kalshi · Polymarket US · ProphetX · Novig
LAL chance · UTAH chance
Our model fair69.4%30.6%
Kalshino two-sided price
Polymarket USno two-sided price
ProphetXno two-sided price
Novigno two-sided price
Full price table
TeamOur modelfairKalshi Polymarket US ProphetX Novig 
Moneyline
LALLos Angeles Lakers−22769%————
UTAHUtah Jazz+22731%————
SpreadLAL by 8.5
LALLos Angeles Lakers−8.5our margin————
UTAHUtah Jazz+8.5our margin————
Totalwe expect 240.2
Over240.2our total————
Under240.2our total————

These are each venue’s last prices before the start (Kalshi’s moneyline: its pre-game close). Odds are the price to buy that side now, taker fee included; the small percent is the implied chance of that same price. Highlighted is the best price in the row among venues on the same line. — means not listed (hover or tap for why). A market price is not the true chance of winning.

Margin range

Los Angeles Lakers by 8.5 expected
Los Angeles Lakers by 49 points: <1%Los Angeles Lakers by 48 points: <1%Los Angeles Lakers by 47 points: <1%Los Angeles Lakers by 46 points: <1%Los Angeles Lakers by 45 points: <1%Los Angeles Lakers by 44 points: <1%Los Angeles Lakers by 43 points: <1%Los Angeles Lakers by 42 points: <1%Los Angeles Lakers by 41 points: <1%Los Angeles Lakers by 40 points: <1%Los Angeles Lakers by 39 points: <1%Los Angeles Lakers by 38 points: <1%Los Angeles Lakers by 37 points: <1%Los Angeles Lakers by 36 points: 1%Los Angeles Lakers by 35 points: 1%Los Angeles Lakers by 34 points: 1%Los Angeles Lakers by 33 points: 1%Los Angeles Lakers by 32 points: 1%Los Angeles Lakers by 31 points: 1%Los Angeles Lakers by 30 points: 1%Los Angeles Lakers by 29 points: 1%Los Angeles Lakers by 28 points: 1%Los Angeles Lakers by 27 points: 1%Los Angeles Lakers by 26 points: 1%Los Angeles Lakers by 25 points: 1%Los Angeles Lakers by 24 points: 1%Los Angeles Lakers by 23 points: 1%Los Angeles Lakers by 22 points: 1%Los Angeles Lakers by 21 points: 1%Los Angeles Lakers by 20 points: 2%Los Angeles Lakers by 19 points: 2%Los Angeles Lakers by 18 points: 2%Los Angeles Lakers by 17 points: 2%Los Angeles Lakers by 16 points: 3%Los Angeles Lakers by 15 points: 3%Los Angeles Lakers by 14 points: 3%Los Angeles Lakers by 13 points: 3%Los Angeles Lakers by 12 points: 3%Los Angeles Lakers by 11 points: 3%Los Angeles Lakers by 10 points: 3%Los Angeles Lakers by 9 points: 3%Los Angeles Lakers by 8 points: 3%Los Angeles Lakers by 7 points: 3%Los Angeles Lakers by 6 points: 3%Los Angeles Lakers by 5 points: 3%Los Angeles Lakers by 4 points: 3%Los Angeles Lakers by 3 points: 3%Los Angeles Lakers by 2 points: 2%Los Angeles Lakers by 1 point: 2%Utah Jazz by 1 point: 2%Utah Jazz by 2 points: 2%Utah Jazz by 3 points: 2%Utah Jazz by 4 points: 2%Utah Jazz by 5 points: 2%Utah Jazz by 6 points: 2%Utah Jazz by 7 points: 2%Utah Jazz by 8 points: 1%Utah Jazz by 9 points: 1%Utah Jazz by 10 points: 1%Utah Jazz by 11 points: 1%Utah Jazz by 12 points: 1%Utah Jazz by 13 points: 1%Utah Jazz by 14 points: 1%Utah Jazz by 15 points: 1%Utah Jazz by 16 points: 1%Utah Jazz by 17 points: 1%Utah Jazz by 18 points: 1%Utah Jazz by 19 points: 1%Utah Jazz by 20 points: 1%Utah Jazz by 21 points: <1%Utah Jazz by 22 points: <1%Utah Jazz by 23 points: <1%Utah Jazz by 24 points: <1%Utah Jazz by 25 points: <1%Utah Jazz by 26 points: <1%Utah Jazz by 27 points: <1%Utah Jazz by 28 points: <1%Utah Jazz by 29 points: <1%Utah Jazz by 30 points: <1%Utah Jazz by 31 points: <1%Utah Jazz by 32 points: <1%Utah Jazz by 33 points: <1%Utah Jazz by 34 points: <1%Utah Jazz by 35 points: <1%Utah Jazz by 36 points: <1%Utah Jazz by 37 points: <1%Utah Jazz by 38 points: <1%Utah Jazz by 39 points: <1%Utah Jazz by 40 points: <1%Utah Jazz by 41 points: <1%Utah Jazz by 42 points: <1%Utah Jazz by 43 points: <1%Utah Jazz by 44 points: <1%Utah Jazz by 45 points: <1%Utah Jazz by 46 points: <1%Utah Jazz by 47 points: <1%Utah Jazz by 48 points: <1%Utah Jazz by 49 points: <1%
← LAL wins byUTAH wins by →
Los Angeles Lakers wins by 5 or more64%
Los Angeles Lakers wins by 10 or more48%
Los Angeles Lakers wins by 15 or more32%
Within 5 points either way21%

Centered on the expected margin above; shape from the real results of 6,530 past NBA games.

Total range

240.2 expected
190 points: <1%191 points: <1%192 points: <1%193 points: <1%194 points: <1%195 points: <1%196 points: <1%197 points: <1%198 points: <1%199 points: <1%200 points: <1%201 points: <1%202 points: <1%203 points: <1%204 points: <1%205 points: <1%206 points: <1%207 points: 1%208 points: 1%209 points: 1%210 points: 1%211 points: 1%212 points: 1%213 points: 1%214 points: 1%215 points: 1%216 points: 1%217 points: 1%218 points: 1%219 points: 1%220 points: 1%221 points: 1%222 points: 1%223 points: 1%224 points: 1%225 points: 2%226 points: 2%227 points: 2%228 points: 2%229 points: 2%230 points: 2%231 points: 2%232 points: 2%233 points: 2%234 points: 2%235 points: 2%236 points: 2%237 points: 2%238 points: 2%239 points: 2%240 points: 2%241 points: 2%242 points: 2%243 points: 2%244 points: 2%245 points: 2%246 points: 2%247 points: 2%248 points: 2%249 points: 2%250 points: 2%251 points: 2%252 points: 2%253 points: 2%254 points: 2%255 points: 1%256 points: 1%257 points: 1%258 points: 1%259 points: 1%260 points: 1%261 points: 1%262 points: 1%263 points: 1%264 points: 1%265 points: 1%266 points: 1%267 points: 1%268 points: 1%269 points: 1%270 points: 1%271 points: 1%272 points: 1%273 points: 1%274 points: <1%275 points: <1%276 points: <1%277 points: <1%278 points: <1%279 points: <1%280 points: <1%281 points: <1%282 points: <1%283 points: <1%284 points: <1%285 points: <1%286 points: <1%287 points: <1%288 points: <1%289 points: <1%290 points: <1%291 points: <1%292 points: <1%293 points: <1%294 points: <1%295 points: <1%296 points: <1%297 points: <1%298 points: <1%299 points: <1%300 points: <1%301 points: <1%
Total points, both teams
Total over 230.567%
Total over 240.548%
Total over 250.530%
Total from 231 to 25037%

Centered on the expected total above; shape from the real results of 6,530 past NBA games.

Starting Lineups

from the box score
Los Angeles Lakers
GMarcus Smartstarted
GLuka Doncicstarted
FLeBron Jamesstarted
FRui Hachimurastarted
CJaxson Hayesstarted
Utah Jazz
GSvi Mykhailiukstarted
GKeyonte Georgestarted
GAce Baileystarted
FKyle Filipowskistarted
CJusuf Nurkicstarted

For context, not in our forecast.

Rest and Schedule

before this game
LAL·UTAH
Dec 14, 2025 at PHX
last game
Dec 15, 2025 vs DAL
3 days
days of rest
2 days
no
back-to-back
no
1
games in last 7 days
2
2nd straight road game
home / road
2nd straight home game

For context, not in our forecast.

Who's Out

NBA official injury report · Dec 18, 5:00 PM ET
Los Angeles Lakers
LALAustin Reaves · left calf; strainOut
LALBronny James · g league - on assignmentOut
LALDeandre Ayton · left elbow; sorenessOut
LALGabe Vincent · low back; tightnessOut
Utah Jazz
UTAHElijah Harkless · g league - two-wayOut
UTAHGeorges Niang · management left foot; fourth metatarsal stress reactionOut
UTAHJohn Tonje · g league - two-wayOut
UTAHLauri Markkanen · right groin; injuryOut
UTAHOscar Tshiebwe · g league - two-wayOut
UTAHWalker Kessler · left shoulder; injury recoveryOut

For context, not in our forecast.

Team Comparison

2025–26 season · box-score averages from 25+ games
LAL·UTAH
+0.30
rating (0 = average)
−0.76
118.2
points / game
119.0
116.7
points allowed / game
126.1
18−7
season record
10−15
7−4
home record
7−7
11−3
away record
3−8
W1
streak
W2
7−3
last 10
5−5
50.4
FG%
45.8
35.4
3P%
34.4
41.6
rebounds / game
45.7
25.0
assists / game
29.8
15.7
turnovers / game
16.2
51.3
points in paint / game
49.5

Rating Trend

LAL · UTAH · 51 days
Los Angeles LakersUtah Jazz
Rating (0 = average team)

Head to Head

last 10 meetings · UTAH 2−8
Nov 23, 2025at UTAHLAL 108 − 106
Nov 18, 2025at LALLAL 140 − 126
Feb 12, 2025at UTAHUTAH 131 − 119
Feb 10, 2025at LALLAL 132 − 113
Dec 1, 2024at UTAHLAL 105 − 104
Nov 19, 2024at LALLAL 124 − 118
Feb 14, 2024at UTAHLAL 138 − 122
Jan 13, 2024at UTAHUTAH 132 − 125
Nov 21, 2023at LALLAL 131 − 99
Apr 9, 2023at LALLAL 128 − 117

LAL · Last 10

7−3 · streak W1
Dec 14, 2025at PHX116 − 114W
Dec 10, 2025vs SA119 − 132L
Dec 7, 2025at PHI112 − 108W
Dec 5, 2025at BOS105 − 126L
Dec 4, 2025at TOR123 − 120W
Dec 1, 2025vs PHX108 − 125L
Nov 30, 2025vs NO133 − 121W
Nov 28, 2025vs DAL129 − 119W
Nov 25, 2025vs LAC135 − 118W
Nov 23, 2025at UTAH108 − 106W

UTAH · Last 10

5−5 · streak W2
Dec 15, 2025vs DAL140 − 133W
Dec 12, 2025at MEM130 − 126W
Dec 7, 2025vs OKC101 − 131L
Dec 5, 2025at NY112 − 146L
Dec 4, 2025at BKN123 − 110W
Dec 1, 2025vs HOU133 − 125W
Nov 30, 2025vs HOU101 − 129L
Nov 28, 2025vs SAC128 − 119W
Nov 24, 2025at GS117 − 134L
Nov 23, 2025vs LAL106 − 108L