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Pelicans at Lakers

NBA · Sunday, Nov 30 · 8:30 PM CT · crypto.com Arena · Final NO 121 – LAL 133
← NBA / Nov 30, 2025

Final Box Score

from the game summary
Team1234T
NO27303529121
LAL46313125133
Team box
NO·LAL
46-91
field goals
42-87
13-26
3-pointers
15-41
16-20
free throws
34-39
40
rebounds
46
23
assists
26
8
turnovers
9
62
points in paint
46
Top performers
PlayerTeamMINPTSREBAST
Luka DoncicLAL3534127
Austin ReavesLAL403358
Bryce McGowensNO332375
Saddiq BeyNO3322113
Deandre AytonLAL2722121
Jeremiah FearsNO272123

For context, not in our forecast.

Game Flow

score margin
LAL +26
NO +26
Q1Q2Q3Q4
largest lead: LAL 26 · NO 0lead changes: 0

For context, not in our forecast.

Final · our forecast was NO 19%, LAL 81% · Updated Nov 30, 2025

Expected margin
LAL by 11.3
Expected score
LAL 120.0 – 108.6 NO
Expected total
228.6
PelicansThe matchupLakers
+415Our fair odds−415
108.6Expected points120.0
−0.87Power rating+0.33
110.7Points / game118.9
121.5Allowed / game115.1
44.5FG%51.5
33.43P%34.9
42.8Rebounds / game40.8
3−17Season record14−4
1−9Last 108−2
Dejounte Murray · Herbert Jones
Jordan Hawkins · Jordan Poole
Karlo MatkovicOutBronny James · LeBron James
Marcus Smart

Prediction markets

Kalshi · Polymarket US · ProphetX · Novig
NO chance · LAL chance
Our model fair19.4%80.6%
Kalshino two-sided price
Polymarket USno two-sided price
ProphetXno two-sided price
Novigno two-sided price
Full price table
TeamOur modelfairKalshi Polymarket US ProphetX Novig 
Moneyline
NONew Orleans Pelicans+41519%————
LALLos Angeles Lakers−41581%————
SpreadLAL by 11.3
NONew Orleans Pelicans+11.3our margin————
LALLos Angeles Lakers−11.3our margin————
Totalwe expect 228.6
Over228.6our total————
Under228.6our total————

These are each venue’s last prices before the start (Kalshi’s moneyline: its pre-game close). Odds are the price to buy that side now, taker fee included; the small percent is the implied chance of that same price. Highlighted is the best price in the row among venues on the same line. — means not listed (hover or tap for why). A market price is not the true chance of winning.

Margin range

Los Angeles Lakers by 11.3 expected
New Orleans Pelicans by 53 points: <1%New Orleans Pelicans by 52 points: <1%New Orleans Pelicans by 51 points: <1%New Orleans Pelicans by 50 points: <1%New Orleans Pelicans by 49 points: <1%New Orleans Pelicans by 48 points: <1%New Orleans Pelicans by 47 points: <1%New Orleans Pelicans by 46 points: <1%New Orleans Pelicans by 45 points: <1%New Orleans Pelicans by 44 points: <1%New Orleans Pelicans by 43 points: <1%New Orleans Pelicans by 42 points: <1%New Orleans Pelicans by 41 points: <1%New Orleans Pelicans by 40 points: <1%New Orleans Pelicans by 39 points: <1%New Orleans Pelicans by 38 points: <1%New Orleans Pelicans by 37 points: <1%New Orleans Pelicans by 36 points: <1%New Orleans Pelicans by 35 points: <1%New Orleans Pelicans by 34 points: <1%New Orleans Pelicans by 33 points: <1%New Orleans Pelicans by 32 points: <1%New Orleans Pelicans by 31 points: <1%New Orleans Pelicans by 30 points: <1%New Orleans Pelicans by 29 points: <1%New Orleans Pelicans by 28 points: <1%New Orleans Pelicans by 27 points: <1%New Orleans Pelicans by 26 points: <1%New Orleans Pelicans by 25 points: <1%New Orleans Pelicans by 24 points: <1%New Orleans Pelicans by 23 points: <1%New Orleans Pelicans by 22 points: <1%New Orleans Pelicans by 21 points: <1%New Orleans Pelicans by 20 points: <1%New Orleans Pelicans by 19 points: <1%New Orleans Pelicans by 18 points: <1%New Orleans Pelicans by 17 points: <1%New Orleans Pelicans by 16 points: <1%New Orleans Pelicans by 15 points: <1%New Orleans Pelicans by 14 points: 1%New Orleans Pelicans by 13 points: 1%New Orleans Pelicans by 12 points: 1%New Orleans Pelicans by 11 points: 1%New Orleans Pelicans by 10 points: 1%New Orleans Pelicans by 9 points: 1%New Orleans Pelicans by 8 points: 1%New Orleans Pelicans by 7 points: 1%New Orleans Pelicans by 6 points: 2%New Orleans Pelicans by 5 points: 2%New Orleans Pelicans by 4 points: 2%New Orleans Pelicans by 3 points: 2%New Orleans Pelicans by 2 points: 2%New Orleans Pelicans by 1 point: 2%Los Angeles Lakers by 1 point: 2%Los Angeles Lakers by 2 points: 2%Los Angeles Lakers by 3 points: 2%Los Angeles Lakers by 4 points: 3%Los Angeles Lakers by 5 points: 3%Los Angeles Lakers by 6 points: 3%Los Angeles Lakers by 7 points: 3%Los Angeles Lakers by 8 points: 3%Los Angeles Lakers by 9 points: 3%Los Angeles Lakers by 10 points: 3%Los Angeles Lakers by 11 points: 3%Los Angeles Lakers by 12 points: 3%Los Angeles Lakers by 13 points: 3%Los Angeles Lakers by 14 points: 3%Los Angeles Lakers by 15 points: 3%Los Angeles Lakers by 16 points: 3%Los Angeles Lakers by 17 points: 2%Los Angeles Lakers by 18 points: 2%Los Angeles Lakers by 19 points: 2%Los Angeles Lakers by 20 points: 2%Los Angeles Lakers by 21 points: 2%Los Angeles Lakers by 22 points: 2%Los Angeles Lakers by 23 points: 2%Los Angeles Lakers by 24 points: 2%Los Angeles Lakers by 25 points: 2%Los Angeles Lakers by 26 points: 1%Los Angeles Lakers by 27 points: 1%Los Angeles Lakers by 28 points: 1%Los Angeles Lakers by 29 points: 1%Los Angeles Lakers by 30 points: 1%Los Angeles Lakers by 31 points: 1%Los Angeles Lakers by 32 points: 1%Los Angeles Lakers by 33 points: 1%Los Angeles Lakers by 34 points: 1%Los Angeles Lakers by 35 points: 1%Los Angeles Lakers by 36 points: 1%Los Angeles Lakers by 37 points: 1%Los Angeles Lakers by 38 points: 1%Los Angeles Lakers by 39 points: <1%Los Angeles Lakers by 40 points: <1%Los Angeles Lakers by 41 points: <1%Los Angeles Lakers by 42 points: <1%Los Angeles Lakers by 43 points: <1%Los Angeles Lakers by 44 points: <1%Los Angeles Lakers by 45 points: <1%Los Angeles Lakers by 46 points: <1%Los Angeles Lakers by 47 points: <1%Los Angeles Lakers by 48 points: <1%Los Angeles Lakers by 49 points: <1%Los Angeles Lakers by 50 points: <1%Los Angeles Lakers by 51 points: <1%Los Angeles Lakers by 52 points: <1%Los Angeles Lakers by 53 points: <1%
← NO wins byLAL wins by →
Los Angeles Lakers wins by 5 or more69%
Los Angeles Lakers wins by 10 or more55%
Los Angeles Lakers wins by 15 or more40%
Within 5 points either way20%

Centered on the expected margin above; shape from the real results of 6,530 past NBA games.

Total range

228.6 expected
179 points: <1%180 points: <1%181 points: <1%182 points: <1%183 points: <1%184 points: <1%185 points: <1%186 points: <1%187 points: <1%188 points: <1%189 points: <1%190 points: <1%191 points: <1%192 points: <1%193 points: <1%194 points: <1%195 points: <1%196 points: 1%197 points: 1%198 points: 1%199 points: 1%200 points: 1%201 points: 1%202 points: 1%203 points: 1%204 points: 1%205 points: 1%206 points: 1%207 points: 1%208 points: 1%209 points: 1%210 points: 1%211 points: 1%212 points: 1%213 points: 2%214 points: 2%215 points: 2%216 points: 2%217 points: 2%218 points: 2%219 points: 2%220 points: 2%221 points: 2%222 points: 2%223 points: 2%224 points: 2%225 points: 2%226 points: 2%227 points: 2%228 points: 2%229 points: 2%230 points: 2%231 points: 2%232 points: 2%233 points: 2%234 points: 2%235 points: 2%236 points: 2%237 points: 2%238 points: 2%239 points: 2%240 points: 2%241 points: 2%242 points: 2%243 points: 1%244 points: 1%245 points: 1%246 points: 1%247 points: 1%248 points: 1%249 points: 1%250 points: 1%251 points: 1%252 points: 1%253 points: 1%254 points: 1%255 points: 1%256 points: 1%257 points: 1%258 points: 1%259 points: 1%260 points: 1%261 points: 1%262 points: <1%263 points: <1%264 points: <1%265 points: <1%266 points: <1%267 points: <1%268 points: <1%269 points: <1%270 points: <1%271 points: <1%272 points: <1%273 points: <1%274 points: <1%275 points: <1%276 points: <1%277 points: <1%278 points: <1%279 points: <1%280 points: <1%281 points: <1%282 points: <1%
Total points, both teams
Total over 218.569%
Total over 228.550%
Total over 238.530%
Total from 219 to 23839%

Centered on the expected total above; shape from the real results of 6,530 past NBA games.

Starting Lineups

from the box score
New Orleans Pelicans
GSaddiq Beystarted
GBryce McGowensstarted
GJeremiah Fearsstarted
CDerik Queenstarted
CYves Missistarted
Los Angeles Lakers
GGabe Vincentstarted
GLuka Doncicstarted
GAustin Reavesstarted
FRui Hachimurastarted
CDeandre Aytonstarted

For context, not in our forecast.

Rest and Schedule

before this game
NO·LAL
Nov 29, 2025 at GS
last game
Nov 28, 2025 vs DAL
0 days
days of rest
1 day
yes
back-to-back
no
3
games in last 7 days
3
2nd straight road game
home / road
3rd straight home game

For context, not in our forecast.

Who's Out

NBA official injury report · Nov 30, 5:00 PM ET
New Orleans Pelicans
NODejounte Murray · right achilles; ruptureOut
NOHerbert Jones · right calf; strainOut
NOJordan Hawkins · n/a; illnessOut
NOJordan Poole · left quad; strainOut
NOKarlo Matkovic · right calf; strainOut
NOTrey Murphy III · right elbow; sorenessOut
NOZion Williamson · left hamstring; injury managementOut
Los Angeles Lakers
LALBronny James · g league - on assignmentOut
LALLeBron James · left foot; injury managementOut
LALMarcus Smart · back; spasmsOut

For context, not in our forecast.

Team Comparison

2025–26 season · box-score averages from 18+ games
NO·LAL
−0.87
rating (0 = average)
+0.33
110.7
points / game
118.9
121.5
points allowed / game
115.1
3−17
season record
14−4
2−9
home record
6−2
1−8
away record
8−2
L2
streak
W6
1−9
last 10
8−2
44.5
FG%
51.5
33.4
3P%
34.9
42.8
rebounds / game
40.8
23.3
assists / game
26.1
15.4
turnovers / game
16.3
52.7
points in paint / game
53.3

Rating Trend

NO · LAL · 33 days
New Orleans PelicansLos Angeles Lakers
Rating (0 = average team)

Head to Head

last 10 meetings · LAL 9−1
Nov 14, 2025at NOLAL 118 − 104
Apr 4, 2025at LALLAL 124 − 108
Mar 4, 2025at LALLAL 136 − 115
Nov 16, 2024at NOLAL 104 − 99
Apr 14, 2024at NOLAL 124 − 108
Feb 9, 2024at LALLAL 139 − 122
Dec 31, 2023at NONO 129 − 109
Dec 7, 2023at LALLAL 133 − 89
Mar 14, 2023at NOLAL 123 − 108
Feb 15, 2023at LALLAL 120 − 102

NO · Last 10

1−9 · streak L2
Nov 29, 2025at GS96 − 104L
Nov 26, 2025vs MEM128 − 133L
Nov 24, 2025vs CHI143 − 130W
Nov 22, 2025vs ATL98 − 115L
Nov 21, 2025at DAL115 − 118L
Nov 19, 2025vs DEN118 − 125L
Nov 17, 2025vs OKC109 − 126L
Nov 16, 2025vs GS106 − 124L
Nov 14, 2025vs LAL104 − 118L
Nov 12, 2025vs POR117 − 125L

LAL · Last 10

8−2 · streak W6
Nov 28, 2025vs DAL129 − 119W
Nov 25, 2025vs LAC135 − 118W
Nov 23, 2025at UTAH108 − 106W
Nov 18, 2025vs UTAH140 − 126W
Nov 15, 2025at MIL119 − 95W
Nov 14, 2025at NO118 − 104W
Nov 12, 2025at OKC92 − 121L
Nov 10, 2025at CHA121 − 111W
Nov 8, 2025at ATL102 − 122L
Nov 5, 2025vs SA118 − 116W