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Lakers at 76ers

NBA · Sunday, Dec 7 · 6:30 PM CT · Xfinity Mobile Arena · Final LAL 112 – PHI 108
← NBA / Dec 7, 2025

Final Box Score

from the game summary
Team1234T
LAL30233425112
PHI30302424108
Team box
LAL·PHI
41-85
field goals
36-102
13-36
3-pointers
13-36
17-27
free throws
23-26
52
rebounds
54
25
assists
21
10
turnovers
6
36
points in paint
38
Top performers
PlayerTeamMINPTSREBAST
Luka DoncicLAL39311511
LeBron JamesLAL342976
Tyrese MaxeyPHI392879
Rui HachimuraLAL361761
Joel EmbiidPHI301672
VJ EdgecombePHI381553

For context, not in our forecast.

Game Flow

score margin
PHI +10
LAL +10
Q1Q2Q3Q4
largest lead: PHI 10 · LAL 10lead changes: 6

For context, not in our forecast.

Final · our forecast was LAL 62%, PHI 38% · Updated Dec 7, 2025

Expected margin
LAL by 3.9
Expected score
LAL 117.0 – 113.1 PHI
Expected total
230.1
LakersThe matchup76ers
−160Our fair odds+160
117.0Expected points113.1
+0.33Power rating−0.40
118.6Points / game117.3
116.5Allowed / game116.3
50.9FG%46.0
35.73P%36.3
40.5Rebounds / game44.5
16−6Season record13−9
8−2Last 106−4
Marcus SmartOutKelly Oubre Jr. · Trendon Watford

Prediction markets

Kalshi · Polymarket US · ProphetX · Novig
LAL chance · PHI chance
Our model fair61.6%38.4%
Kalshino two-sided price
Polymarket USno two-sided price
ProphetXno two-sided price
Novigno two-sided price
Full price table
TeamOur modelfairKalshi Polymarket US ProphetX Novig 
Moneyline
LALLos Angeles Lakers−16062%————
PHIPhiladelphia 76ers+16038%————
SpreadLAL by 3.9
LALLos Angeles Lakers−3.9our margin————
PHIPhiladelphia 76ers+3.9our margin————
Totalwe expect 230.1
Over230.1our total————
Under230.1our total————

These are each venue’s last prices before the start (Kalshi’s moneyline: its pre-game close). Odds are the price to buy that side now, taker fee included; the small percent is the implied chance of that same price. Highlighted is the best price in the row among venues on the same line. — means not listed (hover or tap for why). A market price is not the true chance of winning.

Margin range

Los Angeles Lakers by 3.9 expected
Los Angeles Lakers by 45 points: <1%Los Angeles Lakers by 44 points: <1%Los Angeles Lakers by 43 points: <1%Los Angeles Lakers by 42 points: <1%Los Angeles Lakers by 41 points: <1%Los Angeles Lakers by 40 points: <1%Los Angeles Lakers by 39 points: <1%Los Angeles Lakers by 38 points: <1%Los Angeles Lakers by 37 points: <1%Los Angeles Lakers by 36 points: <1%Los Angeles Lakers by 35 points: <1%Los Angeles Lakers by 34 points: <1%Los Angeles Lakers by 33 points: <1%Los Angeles Lakers by 32 points: <1%Los Angeles Lakers by 31 points: 1%Los Angeles Lakers by 30 points: 1%Los Angeles Lakers by 29 points: 1%Los Angeles Lakers by 28 points: 1%Los Angeles Lakers by 27 points: 1%Los Angeles Lakers by 26 points: 1%Los Angeles Lakers by 25 points: 1%Los Angeles Lakers by 24 points: 1%Los Angeles Lakers by 23 points: 1%Los Angeles Lakers by 22 points: 1%Los Angeles Lakers by 21 points: 1%Los Angeles Lakers by 20 points: 1%Los Angeles Lakers by 19 points: 1%Los Angeles Lakers by 18 points: 2%Los Angeles Lakers by 17 points: 2%Los Angeles Lakers by 16 points: 2%Los Angeles Lakers by 15 points: 2%Los Angeles Lakers by 14 points: 2%Los Angeles Lakers by 13 points: 2%Los Angeles Lakers by 12 points: 3%Los Angeles Lakers by 11 points: 3%Los Angeles Lakers by 10 points: 3%Los Angeles Lakers by 9 points: 3%Los Angeles Lakers by 8 points: 3%Los Angeles Lakers by 7 points: 3%Los Angeles Lakers by 6 points: 3%Los Angeles Lakers by 5 points: 3%Los Angeles Lakers by 4 points: 3%Los Angeles Lakers by 3 points: 3%Los Angeles Lakers by 2 points: 2%Los Angeles Lakers by 1 point: 2%Philadelphia 76ers by 1 point: 2%Philadelphia 76ers by 2 points: 2%Philadelphia 76ers by 3 points: 2%Philadelphia 76ers by 4 points: 2%Philadelphia 76ers by 5 points: 2%Philadelphia 76ers by 6 points: 2%Philadelphia 76ers by 7 points: 2%Philadelphia 76ers by 8 points: 2%Philadelphia 76ers by 9 points: 2%Philadelphia 76ers by 10 points: 2%Philadelphia 76ers by 11 points: 2%Philadelphia 76ers by 12 points: 2%Philadelphia 76ers by 13 points: 2%Philadelphia 76ers by 14 points: 1%Philadelphia 76ers by 15 points: 1%Philadelphia 76ers by 16 points: 1%Philadelphia 76ers by 17 points: 1%Philadelphia 76ers by 18 points: 1%Philadelphia 76ers by 19 points: 1%Philadelphia 76ers by 20 points: 1%Philadelphia 76ers by 21 points: 1%Philadelphia 76ers by 22 points: 1%Philadelphia 76ers by 23 points: 1%Philadelphia 76ers by 24 points: <1%Philadelphia 76ers by 25 points: <1%Philadelphia 76ers by 26 points: <1%Philadelphia 76ers by 27 points: <1%Philadelphia 76ers by 28 points: <1%Philadelphia 76ers by 29 points: <1%Philadelphia 76ers by 30 points: <1%Philadelphia 76ers by 31 points: <1%Philadelphia 76ers by 32 points: <1%Philadelphia 76ers by 33 points: <1%Philadelphia 76ers by 34 points: <1%Philadelphia 76ers by 35 points: <1%Philadelphia 76ers by 36 points: <1%Philadelphia 76ers by 37 points: <1%Philadelphia 76ers by 38 points: <1%Philadelphia 76ers by 39 points: <1%Philadelphia 76ers by 40 points: <1%Philadelphia 76ers by 41 points: <1%Philadelphia 76ers by 42 points: <1%Philadelphia 76ers by 43 points: <1%Philadelphia 76ers by 44 points: <1%Philadelphia 76ers by 45 points: <1%
← LAL wins byPHI wins by →
Los Angeles Lakers wins by 5 or more51%
Los Angeles Lakers wins by 10 or more36%
Los Angeles Lakers wins by 15 or more23%
Within 5 points either way24%

Centered on the expected margin above; shape from the real results of 6,530 past NBA games.

Total range

230.1 expected
180 points: <1%181 points: <1%182 points: <1%183 points: <1%184 points: <1%185 points: <1%186 points: <1%187 points: <1%188 points: <1%189 points: <1%190 points: <1%191 points: <1%192 points: <1%193 points: <1%194 points: <1%195 points: <1%196 points: <1%197 points: <1%198 points: 1%199 points: 1%200 points: 1%201 points: 1%202 points: 1%203 points: 1%204 points: 1%205 points: 1%206 points: 1%207 points: 1%208 points: 1%209 points: 1%210 points: 1%211 points: 1%212 points: 1%213 points: 1%214 points: 2%215 points: 2%216 points: 2%217 points: 2%218 points: 2%219 points: 2%220 points: 2%221 points: 2%222 points: 2%223 points: 2%224 points: 2%225 points: 2%226 points: 2%227 points: 2%228 points: 2%229 points: 2%230 points: 2%231 points: 2%232 points: 2%233 points: 2%234 points: 2%235 points: 2%236 points: 2%237 points: 2%238 points: 2%239 points: 2%240 points: 2%241 points: 2%242 points: 2%243 points: 2%244 points: 1%245 points: 1%246 points: 1%247 points: 1%248 points: 1%249 points: 1%250 points: 1%251 points: 1%252 points: 1%253 points: 1%254 points: 1%255 points: 1%256 points: 1%257 points: 1%258 points: 1%259 points: 1%260 points: 1%261 points: 1%262 points: 1%263 points: 1%264 points: <1%265 points: <1%266 points: <1%267 points: <1%268 points: <1%269 points: <1%270 points: <1%271 points: <1%272 points: <1%273 points: <1%274 points: <1%275 points: <1%276 points: <1%277 points: <1%278 points: <1%279 points: <1%280 points: <1%281 points: <1%282 points: <1%283 points: <1%284 points: <1%
Total points, both teams
Total over 220.568%
Total over 230.548%
Total over 240.529%
Total from 221 to 24039%

Centered on the expected total above; shape from the real results of 6,530 past NBA games.

Starting Lineups

from the box score
Los Angeles Lakers
GLuka Doncicstarted
GAustin Reavesstarted
FLeBron Jamesstarted
FRui Hachimurastarted
CDeandre Aytonstarted
Philadelphia 76ers
GTyrese Maxeystarted
GVJ Edgecombestarted
FPaul Georgestarted
FDominick Barlowstarted
CJoel Embiidstarted

For context, not in our forecast.

Rest and Schedule

before this game
LAL·PHI
Dec 5, 2025 at BOS
last game
Dec 5, 2025 at MIL
1 day
days of rest
1 day
no
back-to-back
no
4
games in last 7 days
4
3rd straight road game
home / road
home after a road game

For context, not in our forecast.

Who's Out

NBA official injury report · Dec 7, 5:00 PM ET
Los Angeles Lakers
LALMarcus Smart · left lumbar; muscle strainOut
LALLeBron James · right sciatica; & left foot joint arthritisProbable
Philadelphia 76ers
PHIKelly Oubre Jr. · left knee; sprainOut
PHITrendon Watford · left adductor; strainOut
PHIJoel Embiid · left knee; injury recoveryProbable
PHIPaul George · left knee; injury recoveryProbable

For context, not in our forecast.

Team Comparison

2025–26 season · box-score averages from 22+ games
LAL·PHI
+0.33
rating (0 = average)
−0.40
118.6
points / game
117.3
116.5
points allowed / game
116.3
16−6
season record
13−9
7−3
home record
7−6
9−3
away record
6−3
L1
streak
W3
8−2
last 10
6−4
50.9
FG%
46.0
35.7
3P%
36.3
40.5
rebounds / game
44.5
25.2
assists / game
25.7
15.9
turnovers / game
15.0
52.0
points in paint / game
49.7

Rating Trend

LAL · PHI · 40 days
Los Angeles LakersPhiladelphia 76ers
Rating (0 = average team)

Head to Head

last 8 meetings · PHI 6−2
Jan 28, 2025at PHIPHI 118 − 104
Nov 8, 2024at LALLAL 116 − 106
Mar 22, 2024at LALLAL 101 − 94
Nov 27, 2023at PHIPHI 138 − 94
Jan 15, 2023at LALPHI 113 − 112
Dec 9, 2022at PHIPHI 133 − 122
Mar 23, 2022at LALPHI 126 − 121
Jan 27, 2022at PHIPHI 105 − 87

LAL · Last 10

8−2 · streak L1
Dec 5, 2025at BOS105 − 126L
Dec 4, 2025at TOR123 − 120W
Dec 1, 2025vs PHX108 − 125L
Nov 30, 2025vs NO133 − 121W
Nov 28, 2025vs DAL129 − 119W
Nov 25, 2025vs LAC135 − 118W
Nov 23, 2025at UTAH108 − 106W
Nov 18, 2025vs UTAH140 − 126W
Nov 15, 2025at MIL119 − 95W
Nov 14, 2025at NO118 − 104W

PHI · Last 10

6−4 · streak W3
Dec 5, 2025at MIL116 − 101W
Dec 4, 2025vs GS99 − 98W
Dec 2, 2025vs WSH121 − 102W
Nov 30, 2025vs ATL134 − 142L
Nov 28, 2025at BKN115 − 103W
Nov 25, 2025vs ORL103 − 144L
Nov 23, 2025vs MIA117 − 127L
Nov 20, 2025at MIL123 − 114W
Nov 19, 2025vs TOR112 − 121L
Nov 17, 2025vs LAC110 − 108W