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Warriors at 76ers

NBA · Thursday, Dec 4 · 6:00 PM CT · Xfinity Mobile Arena · Final GS 98 – PHI 99
← NBA / Dec 4, 2025

Final Box Score

from the game summary
Team1234T
GS1024323298
PHI3026241999
Team box
GS·PHI
37-89
field goals
39-85
12-42
3-pointers
10-37
12-16
free throws
11-14
43
rebounds
47
27
assists
23
13
turnovers
19
44
points in paint
44
Top performers
PlayerTeamMINPTSREBAST
Tyrese MaxeyPHI403532
Pat SpencerGS241644
Buddy HieldGS261482
De'Anthony MeltonGS211413
Moses MoodyGS231422
Quentin GrimesPHI381256

For context, not in our forecast.

Game Flow

score margin
PHI +24
GS +24
Q1Q2Q3Q4
largest lead: PHI 24 · GS 4lead changes: 6

For context, not in our forecast.

Final · our forecast was GS 61%, PHI 39% · Updated Dec 4, 2025

Expected margin
GS by 3.8
Expected score
GS 115.0 – 111.1 PHI
Expected total
226.1
WarriorsThe matchup76ers
−155Our fair odds+155
115.0Expected points111.1
+0.29Power rating−0.40
114.4Points / game118.3
114.0Allowed / game118.0
45.1FG%46.1
36.33P%36.6
43.0Rebounds / game44.5
11−11Season record11−9
5−5Last 105−5
Alex Toohey · Jimmy Butler III
Stephen CurryOut (3 each)Kelly Oubre Jr. · Paul George
Trendon Watford

Prediction markets

Kalshi · Polymarket US · ProphetX · Novig
GS chance · PHI chance
Our model fair60.7%39.3%
Kalshino two-sided price
Polymarket USno two-sided price
ProphetXno two-sided price
Novigno two-sided price
Full price table
TeamOur modelfairKalshi Polymarket US ProphetX Novig 
Moneyline
GSGolden State Warriors−15561%————
PHIPhiladelphia 76ers+15539%————
SpreadGS by 3.8
GSGolden State Warriors−3.8our margin————
PHIPhiladelphia 76ers+3.8our margin————
Totalwe expect 226.1
Over226.1our total————
Under226.1our total————

These are each venue’s last prices before the start (Kalshi’s moneyline: its pre-game close). Odds are the price to buy that side now, taker fee included; the small percent is the implied chance of that same price. Highlighted is the best price in the row among venues on the same line. — means not listed (hover or tap for why). A market price is not the true chance of winning.

Margin range

Golden State Warriors by 3.8 expected
Golden State Warriors by 44 points: <1%Golden State Warriors by 43 points: <1%Golden State Warriors by 42 points: <1%Golden State Warriors by 41 points: <1%Golden State Warriors by 40 points: <1%Golden State Warriors by 39 points: <1%Golden State Warriors by 38 points: <1%Golden State Warriors by 37 points: <1%Golden State Warriors by 36 points: <1%Golden State Warriors by 35 points: <1%Golden State Warriors by 34 points: <1%Golden State Warriors by 33 points: <1%Golden State Warriors by 32 points: <1%Golden State Warriors by 31 points: 1%Golden State Warriors by 30 points: 1%Golden State Warriors by 29 points: 1%Golden State Warriors by 28 points: 1%Golden State Warriors by 27 points: 1%Golden State Warriors by 26 points: 1%Golden State Warriors by 25 points: 1%Golden State Warriors by 24 points: 1%Golden State Warriors by 23 points: 1%Golden State Warriors by 22 points: 1%Golden State Warriors by 21 points: 1%Golden State Warriors by 20 points: 1%Golden State Warriors by 19 points: 1%Golden State Warriors by 18 points: 2%Golden State Warriors by 17 points: 2%Golden State Warriors by 16 points: 2%Golden State Warriors by 15 points: 2%Golden State Warriors by 14 points: 2%Golden State Warriors by 13 points: 2%Golden State Warriors by 12 points: 3%Golden State Warriors by 11 points: 3%Golden State Warriors by 10 points: 3%Golden State Warriors by 9 points: 3%Golden State Warriors by 8 points: 3%Golden State Warriors by 7 points: 3%Golden State Warriors by 6 points: 3%Golden State Warriors by 5 points: 3%Golden State Warriors by 4 points: 3%Golden State Warriors by 3 points: 3%Golden State Warriors by 2 points: 2%Golden State Warriors by 1 point: 2%Philadelphia 76ers by 1 point: 2%Philadelphia 76ers by 2 points: 2%Philadelphia 76ers by 3 points: 2%Philadelphia 76ers by 4 points: 2%Philadelphia 76ers by 5 points: 2%Philadelphia 76ers by 6 points: 2%Philadelphia 76ers by 7 points: 2%Philadelphia 76ers by 8 points: 2%Philadelphia 76ers by 9 points: 2%Philadelphia 76ers by 10 points: 2%Philadelphia 76ers by 11 points: 2%Philadelphia 76ers by 12 points: 2%Philadelphia 76ers by 13 points: 2%Philadelphia 76ers by 14 points: 1%Philadelphia 76ers by 15 points: 1%Philadelphia 76ers by 16 points: 1%Philadelphia 76ers by 17 points: 1%Philadelphia 76ers by 18 points: 1%Philadelphia 76ers by 19 points: 1%Philadelphia 76ers by 20 points: 1%Philadelphia 76ers by 21 points: 1%Philadelphia 76ers by 22 points: 1%Philadelphia 76ers by 23 points: 1%Philadelphia 76ers by 24 points: <1%Philadelphia 76ers by 25 points: <1%Philadelphia 76ers by 26 points: <1%Philadelphia 76ers by 27 points: <1%Philadelphia 76ers by 28 points: <1%Philadelphia 76ers by 29 points: <1%Philadelphia 76ers by 30 points: <1%Philadelphia 76ers by 31 points: <1%Philadelphia 76ers by 32 points: <1%Philadelphia 76ers by 33 points: <1%Philadelphia 76ers by 34 points: <1%Philadelphia 76ers by 35 points: <1%Philadelphia 76ers by 36 points: <1%Philadelphia 76ers by 37 points: <1%Philadelphia 76ers by 38 points: <1%Philadelphia 76ers by 39 points: <1%Philadelphia 76ers by 40 points: <1%Philadelphia 76ers by 41 points: <1%Philadelphia 76ers by 42 points: <1%Philadelphia 76ers by 43 points: <1%Philadelphia 76ers by 44 points: <1%
← GS wins byPHI wins by →
Golden State Warriors wins by 5 or more50%
Golden State Warriors wins by 10 or more35%
Golden State Warriors wins by 15 or more23%
Within 5 points either way24%

Centered on the expected margin above; shape from the real results of 6,530 past NBA games.

Total range

226.1 expected
177 points: <1%178 points: <1%179 points: <1%180 points: <1%181 points: <1%182 points: <1%183 points: <1%184 points: <1%185 points: <1%186 points: <1%187 points: <1%188 points: <1%189 points: <1%190 points: <1%191 points: <1%192 points: <1%193 points: <1%194 points: 1%195 points: 1%196 points: 1%197 points: 1%198 points: 1%199 points: 1%200 points: 1%201 points: 1%202 points: 1%203 points: 1%204 points: 1%205 points: 1%206 points: 1%207 points: 1%208 points: 1%209 points: 1%210 points: 2%211 points: 2%212 points: 2%213 points: 2%214 points: 2%215 points: 2%216 points: 2%217 points: 2%218 points: 2%219 points: 2%220 points: 2%221 points: 2%222 points: 2%223 points: 2%224 points: 2%225 points: 2%226 points: 2%227 points: 2%228 points: 2%229 points: 2%230 points: 2%231 points: 2%232 points: 2%233 points: 2%234 points: 2%235 points: 2%236 points: 2%237 points: 2%238 points: 2%239 points: 2%240 points: 2%241 points: 1%242 points: 1%243 points: 1%244 points: 1%245 points: 1%246 points: 1%247 points: 1%248 points: 1%249 points: 1%250 points: 1%251 points: 1%252 points: 1%253 points: 1%254 points: 1%255 points: 1%256 points: 1%257 points: 1%258 points: 1%259 points: 1%260 points: <1%261 points: <1%262 points: <1%263 points: <1%264 points: <1%265 points: <1%266 points: <1%267 points: <1%268 points: <1%269 points: <1%270 points: <1%271 points: <1%272 points: <1%273 points: <1%274 points: <1%275 points: <1%276 points: <1%277 points: <1%278 points: <1%279 points: <1%
Total points, both teams
Total over 216.568%
Total over 226.549%
Total over 236.529%
Total from 217 to 23639%

Centered on the expected total above; shape from the real results of 6,530 past NBA games.

Starting Lineups

from the box score
Golden State Warriors
GMoses Moodystarted
GBrandin Podziemskistarted
GWill Richardstarted
FDraymond Greenstarted
CAl Horfordstarted
Philadelphia 76ers
GQuentin Grimesstarted
GTyrese Maxeystarted
GVJ Edgecombestarted
FDominick Barlowstarted
CJoel Embiidstarted

For context, not in our forecast.

Rest and Schedule

before this game
GS·PHI
Dec 2, 2025 vs OKC
last game
Dec 2, 2025 vs WSH
1 day
days of rest
1 day
no
back-to-back
no
2
games in last 7 days
3
road after a home game
home / road
3rd straight home game

For context, not in our forecast.

Who's Out

NBA official injury report · Dec 4, 5:00 PM ET
Golden State Warriors
GSAlex Toohey · left knee; injury managementOut
GSJimmy Butler III · left knee; sorenessOut
GSStephen Curry · left quadriceps; contusionOut
GSAl Horford · right sciatic nerve; irritationQuestionable
GSJonathan Kuminga · right ankle; sorenessQuestionable
Philadelphia 76ers
PHIKelly Oubre Jr. · left knee; sprainOut
PHIPaul George · left knee; injury recoveryOut
PHITrendon Watford · left adductor; strainOut
PHIJoel Embiid · left knee; injury recovery; right knee injury recoveryQuestionable

For context, not in our forecast.

Team Comparison

2025–26 season · box-score averages from 20+ games
GS·PHI
+0.29
rating (0 = average)
−0.40
114.4
points / game
118.3
114.0
points allowed / game
118.0
11−11
season record
11−9
7−3
home record
6−6
4−8
away record
5−3
L1
streak
W1
5−5
last 10
5−5
45.1
FG%
46.1
36.3
3P%
36.6
43.0
rebounds / game
44.5
27.5
assists / game
25.9
16.2
turnovers / game
14.8
41.6
points in paint / game
50.7

Rating Trend

GS · PHI · 37 days
Golden State WarriorsPhiladelphia 76ers
Rating (0 = average team)

Head to Head

last 8 meetings · PHI 3−5
Mar 1, 2025at PHIPHI 126 − 119
Jan 2, 2025at GSGS 139 − 105
Feb 7, 2024at PHIGS 127 − 104
Jan 30, 2024at GSGS 119 − 107
Mar 24, 2023at GSGS 120 − 112
Dec 16, 2022at PHIPHI 118 − 106
Dec 11, 2021at PHIPHI 102 − 93
Nov 24, 2021at GSGS 116 − 96

GS · Last 10

5−5 · streak L1
Dec 2, 2025vs OKC112 − 124L
Nov 29, 2025vs NO104 − 96W
Nov 26, 2025vs HOU100 − 104L
Nov 24, 2025vs UTAH134 − 117W
Nov 21, 2025vs POR123 − 127L
Nov 19, 2025at MIA96 − 110L
Nov 18, 2025at ORL113 − 121L
Nov 16, 2025at NO124 − 106W
Nov 14, 2025at SA109 − 108W
Nov 12, 2025at SA125 − 120W

PHI · Last 10

5−5 · streak W1
Dec 2, 2025vs WSH121 − 102W
Nov 30, 2025vs ATL134 − 142L
Nov 28, 2025at BKN115 − 103W
Nov 25, 2025vs ORL103 − 144L
Nov 23, 2025vs MIA117 − 127L
Nov 20, 2025at MIL123 − 114W
Nov 19, 2025vs TOR112 − 121L
Nov 17, 2025vs LAC110 − 108W
Nov 14, 2025at DET105 − 114L
Nov 11, 2025vs BOS102 − 100W