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Lakers at Clippers

NBA · Saturday, Dec 20 · 9:30 PM CT · Intuit Dome · Final LAL 88 – LAC 103
← NBA / Dec 20, 2025

Final Box Score

from the game summary
Team1234T
LAL1524222788
LAC28262623103
Team box
LAL·LAC
34-88
field goals
34-80
6-38
3-pointers
16-43
14-23
free throws
19-20
43
rebounds
48
16
assists
22
11
turnovers
19
48
points in paint
34
Top performers
PlayerTeamMINPTSREBAST
LeBron JamesLAL383643
Kawhi LeonardLAC4232123
James HardenLAC4121410
John CollinsLAC3217121
Jake LaRaviaLAL3712116
Luka DoncicLAL201252

For context, not in our forecast.

Game Flow

score margin
LAC +22
LAL +22
Q1Q2Q3Q4
largest lead: LAC 22 · LAL 0lead changes: 0

For context, not in our forecast.

Final · our forecast was LAL 52%, LAC 48% · Updated Dec 20, 2025

Expected margin
LAC by 0.3
Expected score
LAC 112.4 – 112.1 LAL
Expected total
224.5
LakersThe matchupClippers
−107Our fair odds+107
112.1Expected points112.4
+0.30Power rating+0.01
119.2Points / game110.9
117.4Allowed / game117.0
50.5FG%47.0
35.33P%34.9
41.9Rebounds / game40.9
19−7Season record6−21
7−3Last 101−9
Austin Reaves · Bronny James
Deandre Ayton · Gabe Vincent
Rui HachimuraOutBradley Beal · Chris Paul
Derrick Jones Jr. · Yanic Konan Niederhauser

Prediction markets

Kalshi · Polymarket US · ProphetX · Novig
LAL chance · LAC chance
Our model fair51.7%48.3%
Kalshino two-sided price
Polymarket USno two-sided price
ProphetXno two-sided price
Novigno two-sided price
Full price table
TeamOur modelfairKalshi Polymarket US ProphetX Novig 
Moneyline
LALLos Angeles Lakers−10752%————
LACLA Clippers+10748%————
SpreadLAC by 0.3
LALLos Angeles Lakers+0.3our margin————
LACLA Clippers−0.3our margin————
Totalwe expect 224.5
Over224.5our total————
Under224.5our total————

These are each venue’s last prices before the start (Kalshi’s moneyline: its pre-game close). Odds are the price to buy that side now, taker fee included; the small percent is the implied chance of that same price. Highlighted is the best price in the row among venues on the same line. — means not listed (hover or tap for why). A market price is not the true chance of winning.

Margin range

LA Clippers by 0.3 expected
Los Angeles Lakers by 41 points: <1%Los Angeles Lakers by 40 points: <1%Los Angeles Lakers by 39 points: <1%Los Angeles Lakers by 38 points: <1%Los Angeles Lakers by 37 points: <1%Los Angeles Lakers by 36 points: <1%Los Angeles Lakers by 35 points: <1%Los Angeles Lakers by 34 points: <1%Los Angeles Lakers by 33 points: <1%Los Angeles Lakers by 32 points: <1%Los Angeles Lakers by 31 points: <1%Los Angeles Lakers by 30 points: <1%Los Angeles Lakers by 29 points: <1%Los Angeles Lakers by 28 points: <1%Los Angeles Lakers by 27 points: <1%Los Angeles Lakers by 26 points: 1%Los Angeles Lakers by 25 points: 1%Los Angeles Lakers by 24 points: 1%Los Angeles Lakers by 23 points: 1%Los Angeles Lakers by 22 points: 1%Los Angeles Lakers by 21 points: 1%Los Angeles Lakers by 20 points: 1%Los Angeles Lakers by 19 points: 1%Los Angeles Lakers by 18 points: 1%Los Angeles Lakers by 17 points: 1%Los Angeles Lakers by 16 points: 1%Los Angeles Lakers by 15 points: 2%Los Angeles Lakers by 14 points: 2%Los Angeles Lakers by 13 points: 2%Los Angeles Lakers by 12 points: 2%Los Angeles Lakers by 11 points: 2%Los Angeles Lakers by 10 points: 2%Los Angeles Lakers by 9 points: 2%Los Angeles Lakers by 8 points: 3%Los Angeles Lakers by 7 points: 3%Los Angeles Lakers by 6 points: 3%Los Angeles Lakers by 5 points: 3%Los Angeles Lakers by 4 points: 3%Los Angeles Lakers by 3 points: 3%Los Angeles Lakers by 2 points: 2%Los Angeles Lakers by 1 point: 2%LA Clippers by 1 point: 2%LA Clippers by 2 points: 2%LA Clippers by 3 points: 3%LA Clippers by 4 points: 3%LA Clippers by 5 points: 3%LA Clippers by 6 points: 3%LA Clippers by 7 points: 3%LA Clippers by 8 points: 3%LA Clippers by 9 points: 3%LA Clippers by 10 points: 3%LA Clippers by 11 points: 2%LA Clippers by 12 points: 2%LA Clippers by 13 points: 2%LA Clippers by 14 points: 2%LA Clippers by 15 points: 2%LA Clippers by 16 points: 2%LA Clippers by 17 points: 1%LA Clippers by 18 points: 1%LA Clippers by 19 points: 1%LA Clippers by 20 points: 1%LA Clippers by 21 points: 1%LA Clippers by 22 points: 1%LA Clippers by 23 points: 1%LA Clippers by 24 points: 1%LA Clippers by 25 points: 1%LA Clippers by 26 points: 1%LA Clippers by 27 points: <1%LA Clippers by 28 points: <1%LA Clippers by 29 points: <1%LA Clippers by 30 points: <1%LA Clippers by 31 points: <1%LA Clippers by 32 points: <1%LA Clippers by 33 points: <1%LA Clippers by 34 points: <1%LA Clippers by 35 points: <1%LA Clippers by 36 points: <1%LA Clippers by 37 points: <1%LA Clippers by 38 points: <1%LA Clippers by 39 points: <1%LA Clippers by 40 points: <1%LA Clippers by 41 points: <1%
← LAL wins byLAC wins by →
LA Clippers wins by 5 or more41%
LA Clippers wins by 10 or more28%
LA Clippers wins by 15 or more17%
Within 5 points either way25%

Centered on the expected margin above; shape from the real results of 6,530 past NBA games.

Total range

224.5 expected
176 points: <1%177 points: <1%178 points: <1%179 points: <1%180 points: <1%181 points: <1%182 points: <1%183 points: <1%184 points: <1%185 points: <1%186 points: <1%187 points: <1%188 points: <1%189 points: <1%190 points: <1%191 points: <1%192 points: 1%193 points: 1%194 points: 1%195 points: 1%196 points: 1%197 points: 1%198 points: 1%199 points: 1%200 points: 1%201 points: 1%202 points: 1%203 points: 1%204 points: 1%205 points: 1%206 points: 1%207 points: 1%208 points: 1%209 points: 2%210 points: 2%211 points: 2%212 points: 2%213 points: 2%214 points: 2%215 points: 2%216 points: 2%217 points: 2%218 points: 2%219 points: 2%220 points: 2%221 points: 2%222 points: 2%223 points: 2%224 points: 2%225 points: 2%226 points: 2%227 points: 2%228 points: 2%229 points: 2%230 points: 2%231 points: 2%232 points: 2%233 points: 2%234 points: 2%235 points: 2%236 points: 2%237 points: 2%238 points: 2%239 points: 1%240 points: 1%241 points: 1%242 points: 1%243 points: 1%244 points: 1%245 points: 1%246 points: 1%247 points: 1%248 points: 1%249 points: 1%250 points: 1%251 points: 1%252 points: 1%253 points: 1%254 points: 1%255 points: 1%256 points: 1%257 points: 1%258 points: <1%259 points: <1%260 points: <1%261 points: <1%262 points: <1%263 points: <1%264 points: <1%265 points: <1%266 points: <1%267 points: <1%268 points: <1%269 points: <1%270 points: <1%271 points: <1%272 points: <1%273 points: <1%274 points: <1%275 points: <1%276 points: <1%277 points: <1%
Total points, both teams
Total over 214.569%
Total over 224.550%
Total over 234.530%
Total from 215 to 23439%

Centered on the expected total above; shape from the real results of 6,530 past NBA games.

Starting Lineups

from the box score
Los Angeles Lakers
GMarcus Smartstarted
GLuka Doncicstarted
FLeBron Jamesstarted
FJake LaRaviastarted
CJaxson Hayesstarted
LA Clippers
GJames Hardenstarted
GKris Dunnstarted
FKawhi Leonardstarted
FJohn Collinsstarted
CIvica Zubacstarted

For context, not in our forecast.

Rest and Schedule

before this game
LAL·LAC
Dec 18, 2025 at UTAH
last game
Dec 18, 2025 at OKC
1 day
days of rest
1 day
no
back-to-back
no
2
games in last 7 days
2
3rd straight road game
home / road
home after a road game

For context, not in our forecast.

Who's Out

NBA official injury report · Dec 20, 5:00 PM ET
Los Angeles Lakers
LALAustin Reaves · left calf; strainOut
LALBronny James · g league - on assignmentOut
LALDeandre Ayton · left elbow; sorenessOut
LALGabe Vincent · low back; sorenessOut
LALRui Hachimura · right groin; sorenessOut
LA Clippers
LACBradley Beal · left hip; fractureOut
LACChris Paul · not with teamOut
LACDerrick Jones Jr. · right knee; sprainOut
LACYanic Konan Niederhauser · left knee; sorenessOut
LACCam Christie · right foot; sorenessQuestionable

For context, not in our forecast.

Team Comparison

2025–26 season · box-score averages from 26+ games
LAL·LAC
+0.30
rating (0 = average)
+0.01
119.2
points / game
110.9
117.4
points allowed / game
117.0
19−7
season record
6−21
7−4
home record
3−8
12−3
away record
3−13
W2
streak
L5
7−3
last 10
1−9
50.5
FG%
47.0
35.3
3P%
34.9
41.9
rebounds / game
40.9
25.3
assists / game
23.8
15.4
turnovers / game
16.1
51.5
points in paint / game
47.3

Rating Trend

LAL · LAC · 53 days
Los Angeles LakersLA Clippers
Rating (0 = average team)

Head to Head

last 10 meetings · LAC 3−7
Nov 25, 2025at LALLAL 135 − 118
Mar 2, 2025at LALLAL 108 − 102
Feb 28, 2025at LALLAL 106 − 102
Feb 4, 2025at LACLAL 122 − 97
Jan 19, 2025at LACLAC 116 − 102
Feb 28, 2024at LACLAL 116 − 112
Jan 23, 2024at LACLAC 127 − 116
Jan 7, 2024at LALLAL 106 − 103
Nov 1, 2023at LALLAL 130 − 125
Apr 5, 2023at LACLAC 125 − 118

LAL · Last 10

7−3 · streak W2
Dec 18, 2025at UTAH143 − 135W
Dec 14, 2025at PHX116 − 114W
Dec 10, 2025vs SA119 − 132L
Dec 7, 2025at PHI112 − 108W
Dec 5, 2025at BOS105 − 126L
Dec 4, 2025at TOR123 − 120W
Dec 1, 2025vs PHX108 − 125L
Nov 30, 2025vs NO133 − 121W
Nov 28, 2025vs DAL129 − 119W
Nov 25, 2025vs LAC135 − 118W

LAC · Last 10

1−9 · streak L5
Dec 18, 2025at OKC101 − 122L
Dec 15, 2025vs MEM103 − 121L
Dec 11, 2025at HOU113 − 115L
Dec 6, 2025at MIN106 − 109L
Dec 5, 2025at MEM98 − 107L
Dec 3, 2025at ATL115 − 92W
Dec 1, 2025at MIA123 − 140L
Nov 29, 2025vs DAL110 − 114L
Nov 28, 2025vs MEM107 − 112L
Nov 25, 2025at LAL118 − 135L