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Clippers at Thunder

NBA · Thursday, Dec 18 · 7:00 PM CT · Paycom Center · Final LAC 101 – OKC 122
← NBA / Dec 18, 2025

Final Box Score

from the game summary
Team1234T
LAC33222818101
OKC27373919122
Team box
LAC·OKC
37-76
field goals
48-101
10-32
3-pointers
13-36
17-22
free throws
13-16
49
rebounds
38
25
assists
28
29
turnovers
9
38
points in paint
66
Top performers
PlayerTeamMINPTSREBAST
Shai Gilgeous-AlexanderOKC293276
Kawhi LeonardLAC322286
Chet HolmgrenOKC312272
John CollinsLAC282042
Jalen WilliamsOKC292015
Ajay MitchellOKC291675

For context, not in our forecast.

Game Flow

score margin
OKC +25
LAC +25
Q1Q2Q3Q4
largest lead: OKC 25 · LAC 11lead changes: 3

For context, not in our forecast.

Final · our forecast was LAC 16%, OKC 84% · Updated Dec 18, 2025

Expected margin
OKC by 15.7
Expected score
OKC 119.1 – 103.5 LAC
Expected total
222.6
ClippersThe matchupThunder
+543Our fair odds−543
103.5Expected points119.1
+0.01Power rating+1.50
111.3Points / game123.1
116.8Allowed / game106.3
47.0FG%50.0
35.13P%37.8
40.6Rebounds / game44.8
6−20Season record24−2
1−9Last 109−1
Bradley Beal · Chris Paul
Derrick Jones Jr. · James Harden
Yanic Konan NiederhauserOutIsaiah Hartenstein · Jaylin Williams
Nikola Topic · Thomas Sorber

Prediction markets

Kalshi · Polymarket US · ProphetX · Novig
LAC chance · OKC chance
Our model fair15.5%84.5%
Kalshino two-sided price
Polymarket USno two-sided price
ProphetXno two-sided price
Novigno two-sided price
Full price table
TeamOur modelfairKalshi Polymarket US ProphetX Novig 
Moneyline
LACLA Clippers+54316%————
OKCOklahoma City Thunder−54384%————
SpreadOKC by 15.7
LACLA Clippers+15.7our margin————
OKCOklahoma City Thunder−15.7our margin————
Totalwe expect 222.6
Over222.6our total————
Under222.6our total————

These are each venue’s last prices before the start (Kalshi’s moneyline: its pre-game close). Odds are the price to buy that side now, taker fee included; the small percent is the implied chance of that same price. Highlighted is the best price in the row among venues on the same line. — means not listed (hover or tap for why). A market price is not the true chance of winning.

Margin range

Oklahoma City Thunder by 15.7 expected
LA Clippers by 53 points: <1%LA Clippers by 52 points: <1%LA Clippers by 51 points: <1%LA Clippers by 50 points: <1%LA Clippers by 49 points: <1%LA Clippers by 48 points: <1%LA Clippers by 47 points: <1%LA Clippers by 46 points: <1%LA Clippers by 45 points: <1%LA Clippers by 44 points: <1%LA Clippers by 43 points: <1%LA Clippers by 42 points: <1%LA Clippers by 41 points: <1%LA Clippers by 40 points: <1%LA Clippers by 39 points: <1%LA Clippers by 38 points: <1%LA Clippers by 37 points: <1%LA Clippers by 36 points: <1%LA Clippers by 35 points: <1%LA Clippers by 34 points: <1%LA Clippers by 33 points: <1%LA Clippers by 32 points: <1%LA Clippers by 31 points: <1%LA Clippers by 30 points: <1%LA Clippers by 29 points: <1%LA Clippers by 28 points: <1%LA Clippers by 27 points: <1%LA Clippers by 26 points: <1%LA Clippers by 25 points: <1%LA Clippers by 24 points: <1%LA Clippers by 23 points: <1%LA Clippers by 22 points: <1%LA Clippers by 21 points: <1%LA Clippers by 20 points: <1%LA Clippers by 19 points: <1%LA Clippers by 18 points: <1%LA Clippers by 17 points: <1%LA Clippers by 16 points: <1%LA Clippers by 15 points: <1%LA Clippers by 14 points: <1%LA Clippers by 13 points: <1%LA Clippers by 12 points: <1%LA Clippers by 11 points: <1%LA Clippers by 10 points: 1%LA Clippers by 9 points: 1%LA Clippers by 8 points: 1%LA Clippers by 7 points: 1%LA Clippers by 6 points: 1%LA Clippers by 5 points: 1%LA Clippers by 4 points: 1%LA Clippers by 3 points: 1%LA Clippers by 2 points: 1%LA Clippers by 1 point: 1%Oklahoma City Thunder by 1 point: 2%Oklahoma City Thunder by 2 points: 2%Oklahoma City Thunder by 3 points: 2%Oklahoma City Thunder by 4 points: 2%Oklahoma City Thunder by 5 points: 2%Oklahoma City Thunder by 6 points: 2%Oklahoma City Thunder by 7 points: 2%Oklahoma City Thunder by 8 points: 3%Oklahoma City Thunder by 9 points: 3%Oklahoma City Thunder by 10 points: 3%Oklahoma City Thunder by 11 points: 3%Oklahoma City Thunder by 12 points: 3%Oklahoma City Thunder by 13 points: 3%Oklahoma City Thunder by 14 points: 3%Oklahoma City Thunder by 15 points: 3%Oklahoma City Thunder by 16 points: 3%Oklahoma City Thunder by 17 points: 3%Oklahoma City Thunder by 18 points: 3%Oklahoma City Thunder by 19 points: 3%Oklahoma City Thunder by 20 points: 2%Oklahoma City Thunder by 21 points: 2%Oklahoma City Thunder by 22 points: 2%Oklahoma City Thunder by 23 points: 2%Oklahoma City Thunder by 24 points: 2%Oklahoma City Thunder by 25 points: 2%Oklahoma City Thunder by 26 points: 2%Oklahoma City Thunder by 27 points: 2%Oklahoma City Thunder by 28 points: 2%Oklahoma City Thunder by 29 points: 2%Oklahoma City Thunder by 30 points: 2%Oklahoma City Thunder by 31 points: 2%Oklahoma City Thunder by 32 points: 2%Oklahoma City Thunder by 33 points: 2%Oklahoma City Thunder by 34 points: 2%Oklahoma City Thunder by 35 points: 1%Oklahoma City Thunder by 36 points: 1%Oklahoma City Thunder by 37 points: 1%Oklahoma City Thunder by 38 points: 1%Oklahoma City Thunder by 39 points: 1%Oklahoma City Thunder by 40 points: 1%Oklahoma City Thunder by 41 points: <1%Oklahoma City Thunder by 42 points: <1%Oklahoma City Thunder by 43 points: <1%Oklahoma City Thunder by 44 points: <1%Oklahoma City Thunder by 45 points: <1%Oklahoma City Thunder by 46 points: <1%Oklahoma City Thunder by 47 points: <1%Oklahoma City Thunder by 48 points: <1%Oklahoma City Thunder by 49 points: <1%Oklahoma City Thunder by 50 points: <1%Oklahoma City Thunder by 51 points: <1%Oklahoma City Thunder by 52 points: <1%Oklahoma City Thunder by 53 points: <1%
← LAC wins byOKC wins by →
Oklahoma City Thunder wins by 5 or more80%
Oklahoma City Thunder wins by 10 or more67%
Oklahoma City Thunder wins by 15 or more52%
Within 5 points either way15%

Centered on the expected margin above; shape from the real results of 6,530 past NBA games.

Total range

222.6 expected
175 points: <1%176 points: <1%177 points: <1%178 points: <1%179 points: <1%180 points: <1%181 points: <1%182 points: <1%183 points: <1%184 points: <1%185 points: <1%186 points: <1%187 points: <1%188 points: <1%189 points: <1%190 points: 1%191 points: 1%192 points: 1%193 points: 1%194 points: 1%195 points: 1%196 points: 1%197 points: 1%198 points: 1%199 points: 1%200 points: 1%201 points: 1%202 points: 1%203 points: 1%204 points: 1%205 points: 1%206 points: 1%207 points: 2%208 points: 2%209 points: 2%210 points: 2%211 points: 2%212 points: 2%213 points: 2%214 points: 2%215 points: 2%216 points: 2%217 points: 2%218 points: 2%219 points: 2%220 points: 2%221 points: 2%222 points: 2%223 points: 2%224 points: 2%225 points: 2%226 points: 2%227 points: 2%228 points: 2%229 points: 2%230 points: 2%231 points: 2%232 points: 2%233 points: 2%234 points: 2%235 points: 2%236 points: 2%237 points: 2%238 points: 1%239 points: 1%240 points: 1%241 points: 1%242 points: 1%243 points: 1%244 points: 1%245 points: 1%246 points: 1%247 points: 1%248 points: 1%249 points: 1%250 points: 1%251 points: 1%252 points: 1%253 points: 1%254 points: 1%255 points: 1%256 points: <1%257 points: <1%258 points: <1%259 points: <1%260 points: <1%261 points: <1%262 points: <1%263 points: <1%264 points: <1%265 points: <1%266 points: <1%267 points: <1%268 points: <1%269 points: <1%270 points: <1%271 points: <1%272 points: <1%273 points: <1%274 points: <1%275 points: <1%
Total points, both teams
Total over 212.569%
Total over 222.550%
Total over 232.530%
Total from 213 to 23239%

Centered on the expected total above; shape from the real results of 6,530 past NBA games.

Starting Lineups

from the box score
LA Clippers
GKris Dunnstarted
GBogdan Bogdanovicstarted
FKawhi Leonardstarted
FJohn Collinsstarted
CIvica Zubacstarted
Oklahoma City Thunder
GShai Gilgeous-Alexanderstarted
GLuguentz Dortstarted
GJalen Williamsstarted
GCason Wallacestarted
CChet Holmgrenstarted

For context, not in our forecast.

Rest and Schedule

before this game
LAC·OKC
Dec 15, 2025 vs MEM
last game
Dec 13, 2025 vs SA
2 days
days of rest
4 days
no
back-to-back
no
2
games in last 7 days
1
road after a home game
home / road
3rd straight home game

For context, not in our forecast.

Who's Out

NBA official injury report · Dec 18, 5:00 PM ET
LA Clippers
LACBradley Beal · left hip; fractureOut
LACChris Paul · not with teamOut
LACDerrick Jones Jr. · right knee; sprainOut
LACJames Harden · left calf; contusionOut
LACYanic Konan Niederhauser · left knee; sorenessOut
LACCam Christie · right foot; sorenessQuestionable
Oklahoma City Thunder
OKCIsaiah Hartenstein · right soleus; injury managementOut
OKCJaylin Williams · right heel; bursitisOut
OKCNikola Topic · n/a; surgical recoveryOut
OKCThomas Sorber · right acl; surgical recoveryOut

For context, not in our forecast.

Team Comparison

2025–26 season · box-score averages from 26+ games
LAC·OKC
+0.01
rating (0 = average)
+1.50
111.3
points / game
123.1
116.8
points allowed / game
106.3
6−20
season record
24−2
3−8
home record
12−1
3−12
away record
12−1
L4
streak
L1
1−9
last 10
9−1
47.0
FG%
50.0
35.1
3P%
37.8
40.6
rebounds / game
44.8
23.7
assists / game
26.5
15.7
turnovers / game
12.8
47.6
points in paint / game
52.1

Rating Trend

LAC · OKC · 51 days
LA ClippersOklahoma City Thunder
Rating (0 = average team)

Head to Head

last 10 meetings · OKC 8−2
Nov 4, 2025at LACOKC 126 − 107
Mar 23, 2025at LACOKC 103 − 101
Jan 2, 2025at OKCOKC 116 − 98
Nov 11, 2024at OKCOKC 134 − 128
Nov 2, 2024at LACOKC 105 − 92
Feb 22, 2024at OKCOKC 129 − 107
Jan 16, 2024at LACLAC 128 − 117
Dec 21, 2023at OKCOKC 134 − 115
Mar 23, 2023at LACLAC 127 − 105
Mar 21, 2023at LACOKC 101 − 100

LAC · Last 10

1−9 · streak L4
Dec 15, 2025vs MEM103 − 121L
Dec 11, 2025at HOU113 − 115L
Dec 6, 2025at MIN106 − 109L
Dec 5, 2025at MEM98 − 107L
Dec 3, 2025at ATL115 − 92W
Dec 1, 2025at MIA123 − 140L
Nov 29, 2025vs DAL110 − 114L
Nov 28, 2025vs MEM107 − 112L
Nov 25, 2025at LAL118 − 135L
Nov 23, 2025at CLE105 − 120L

OKC · Last 10

9−1 · streak L1
Dec 13, 2025vs SA109 − 111L
Dec 10, 2025vs PHX138 − 89W
Dec 7, 2025at UTAH131 − 101W
Dec 5, 2025vs DAL132 − 111W
Dec 2, 2025at GS124 − 112W
Nov 30, 2025at POR123 − 115W
Nov 28, 2025vs PHX123 − 119W
Nov 26, 2025vs MIN113 − 105W
Nov 23, 2025vs POR122 − 95W
Nov 21, 2025at UTAH144 − 112W