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Raptors at Wizards

NBA · Friday, Dec 26 · 6:00 PM CT · Capital One Arena · Final TOR 117 – WSH 138
← NBA / Dec 26, 2025

Final Box Score

from the game summary
Team1234T
TOR32303817117
WSH35382936138
Team box
TOR·WSH
40-91
field goals
54-91
12-36
3-pointers
15-33
25-27
free throws
15-18
33
rebounds
46
26
assists
26
11
turnovers
14
44
points in paint
62
Top performers
PlayerTeamMINPTSREBAST
Brandon IngramTOR332962
Immanuel QuickleyTOR332545
Kyshawn GeorgeWSH282363
Bilal CoulibalyWSH262181
CJ McCollumWSH312134
Bub CarringtonWSH221544

For context, not in our forecast.

Game Flow

score margin
WSH +21
TOR +21
Q1Q2Q3Q4
largest lead: WSH 21 · TOR 3lead changes: 6

For context, not in our forecast.

Final · our forecast was TOR 70%, WSH 30% · Updated Dec 26, 2025

Expected margin
TOR by 9.1
Expected score
TOR 119.8 – 110.8 WSH
Expected total
230.6
RaptorsThe matchupWizards
−235Our fair odds+235
119.8Expected points110.8
−0.25Power rating−1.35
113.4Points / game112.6
111.6Allowed / game126.1
47.9FG%45.9
36.03P%35.5
42.5Rebounds / game43.9
18−13Season record5−23
4−6Last 103−7
Alijah Martin · Chucky Hepburn
Jakob Poeltl · RJ BarrettOutCam Whitmore · Corey Kispert

Prediction markets

Kalshi · Polymarket US · ProphetX · Novig
TOR chance · WSH chance
Our model fair70.2%29.8%
Kalshino two-sided price
Polymarket USno two-sided price
ProphetXno two-sided price
Novigno two-sided price
Full price table
TeamOur modelfairKalshi Polymarket US ProphetX Novig 
Moneyline
TORToronto Raptors−23570%————
WSHWashington Wizards+23530%————
SpreadTOR by 9.1
TORToronto Raptors−9.1our margin————
WSHWashington Wizards+9.1our margin————
Totalwe expect 230.6
Over230.6our total————
Under230.6our total————

These are each venue’s last prices before the start (Kalshi’s moneyline: its pre-game close). Odds are the price to buy that side now, taker fee included; the small percent is the implied chance of that same price. Highlighted is the best price in the row among venues on the same line. — means not listed (hover or tap for why). A market price is not the true chance of winning.

Margin range

Toronto Raptors by 9.1 expected
Toronto Raptors by 49 points: <1%Toronto Raptors by 48 points: <1%Toronto Raptors by 47 points: <1%Toronto Raptors by 46 points: <1%Toronto Raptors by 45 points: <1%Toronto Raptors by 44 points: <1%Toronto Raptors by 43 points: <1%Toronto Raptors by 42 points: <1%Toronto Raptors by 41 points: <1%Toronto Raptors by 40 points: <1%Toronto Raptors by 39 points: <1%Toronto Raptors by 38 points: <1%Toronto Raptors by 37 points: 1%Toronto Raptors by 36 points: 1%Toronto Raptors by 35 points: 1%Toronto Raptors by 34 points: 1%Toronto Raptors by 33 points: 1%Toronto Raptors by 32 points: 1%Toronto Raptors by 31 points: 1%Toronto Raptors by 30 points: 1%Toronto Raptors by 29 points: 1%Toronto Raptors by 28 points: 1%Toronto Raptors by 27 points: 1%Toronto Raptors by 26 points: 1%Toronto Raptors by 25 points: 1%Toronto Raptors by 24 points: 1%Toronto Raptors by 23 points: 1%Toronto Raptors by 22 points: 1%Toronto Raptors by 21 points: 2%Toronto Raptors by 20 points: 2%Toronto Raptors by 19 points: 2%Toronto Raptors by 18 points: 2%Toronto Raptors by 17 points: 2%Toronto Raptors by 16 points: 3%Toronto Raptors by 15 points: 3%Toronto Raptors by 14 points: 3%Toronto Raptors by 13 points: 3%Toronto Raptors by 12 points: 3%Toronto Raptors by 11 points: 3%Toronto Raptors by 10 points: 3%Toronto Raptors by 9 points: 3%Toronto Raptors by 8 points: 3%Toronto Raptors by 7 points: 3%Toronto Raptors by 6 points: 3%Toronto Raptors by 5 points: 3%Toronto Raptors by 4 points: 3%Toronto Raptors by 3 points: 2%Toronto Raptors by 2 points: 2%Toronto Raptors by 1 point: 2%Washington Wizards by 1 point: 2%Washington Wizards by 2 points: 2%Washington Wizards by 3 points: 2%Washington Wizards by 4 points: 2%Washington Wizards by 5 points: 2%Washington Wizards by 6 points: 1%Washington Wizards by 7 points: 1%Washington Wizards by 8 points: 1%Washington Wizards by 9 points: 1%Washington Wizards by 10 points: 1%Washington Wizards by 11 points: 1%Washington Wizards by 12 points: 1%Washington Wizards by 13 points: 1%Washington Wizards by 14 points: 1%Washington Wizards by 15 points: 1%Washington Wizards by 16 points: 1%Washington Wizards by 17 points: 1%Washington Wizards by 18 points: 1%Washington Wizards by 19 points: 1%Washington Wizards by 20 points: <1%Washington Wizards by 21 points: <1%Washington Wizards by 22 points: <1%Washington Wizards by 23 points: <1%Washington Wizards by 24 points: <1%Washington Wizards by 25 points: <1%Washington Wizards by 26 points: <1%Washington Wizards by 27 points: <1%Washington Wizards by 28 points: <1%Washington Wizards by 29 points: <1%Washington Wizards by 30 points: <1%Washington Wizards by 31 points: <1%Washington Wizards by 32 points: <1%Washington Wizards by 33 points: <1%Washington Wizards by 34 points: <1%Washington Wizards by 35 points: <1%Washington Wizards by 36 points: <1%Washington Wizards by 37 points: <1%Washington Wizards by 38 points: <1%Washington Wizards by 39 points: <1%Washington Wizards by 40 points: <1%Washington Wizards by 41 points: <1%Washington Wizards by 42 points: <1%Washington Wizards by 43 points: <1%Washington Wizards by 44 points: <1%Washington Wizards by 45 points: <1%Washington Wizards by 46 points: <1%Washington Wizards by 47 points: <1%Washington Wizards by 48 points: <1%Washington Wizards by 49 points: <1%
← TOR wins byWSH wins by →
Toronto Raptors wins by 5 or more66%
Toronto Raptors wins by 10 or more49%
Toronto Raptors wins by 15 or more33%
Within 5 points either way20%

Centered on the expected margin above; shape from the real results of 6,530 past NBA games.

Total range

230.6 expected
181 points: <1%182 points: <1%183 points: <1%184 points: <1%185 points: <1%186 points: <1%187 points: <1%188 points: <1%189 points: <1%190 points: <1%191 points: <1%192 points: <1%193 points: <1%194 points: <1%195 points: <1%196 points: <1%197 points: <1%198 points: 1%199 points: 1%200 points: 1%201 points: 1%202 points: 1%203 points: 1%204 points: 1%205 points: 1%206 points: 1%207 points: 1%208 points: 1%209 points: 1%210 points: 1%211 points: 1%212 points: 1%213 points: 1%214 points: 1%215 points: 2%216 points: 2%217 points: 2%218 points: 2%219 points: 2%220 points: 2%221 points: 2%222 points: 2%223 points: 2%224 points: 2%225 points: 2%226 points: 2%227 points: 2%228 points: 2%229 points: 2%230 points: 2%231 points: 2%232 points: 2%233 points: 2%234 points: 2%235 points: 2%236 points: 2%237 points: 2%238 points: 2%239 points: 2%240 points: 2%241 points: 2%242 points: 2%243 points: 2%244 points: 1%245 points: 1%246 points: 1%247 points: 1%248 points: 1%249 points: 1%250 points: 1%251 points: 1%252 points: 1%253 points: 1%254 points: 1%255 points: 1%256 points: 1%257 points: 1%258 points: 1%259 points: 1%260 points: 1%261 points: 1%262 points: 1%263 points: 1%264 points: <1%265 points: <1%266 points: <1%267 points: <1%268 points: <1%269 points: <1%270 points: <1%271 points: <1%272 points: <1%273 points: <1%274 points: <1%275 points: <1%276 points: <1%277 points: <1%278 points: <1%279 points: <1%280 points: <1%281 points: <1%282 points: <1%283 points: <1%284 points: <1%285 points: <1%
Total points, both teams
Total over 220.569%
Total over 230.549%
Total over 240.530%
Total from 221 to 24039%

Centered on the expected total above; shape from the real results of 6,530 past NBA games.

Starting Lineups

from the box score
Toronto Raptors
GImmanuel Quickleystarted
GOchai Agbajistarted
FBrandon Ingramstarted
FSandro Mamukelashvilistarted
FScottie Barnesstarted
Washington Wizards
GCJ McCollumstarted
GBilal Coulibalystarted
FKhris Middletonstarted
FKyshawn Georgestarted
CAlex Sarrstarted

For context, not in our forecast.

Rest and Schedule

before this game
TOR·WSH
Dec 23, 2025 at MIA
last game
Dec 23, 2025 at CHA
2 days
days of rest
2 days
no
back-to-back
no
3
games in last 7 days
3
3rd straight road game
home / road
home after a road game

For context, not in our forecast.

Who's Out

NBA official injury report · Dec 26, 5:00 PM ET
Toronto Raptors
TORAlijah Martin · g league - two-wayOut
TORChucky Hepburn · g league - two-wayOut
TORJakob Poeltl · back; lower back - strainOut
TORRJ Barrett · right knee; sprainOut
TORA.J. Lawson · g league - two-wayQuestionable
TORCollin Murray-Boyles · illness; illnessQuestionable
TORScottie Barnes · n/a; illnessQuestionable
Washington Wizards
WSHCam Whitmore · right shoulder; deep vein thrombosisOut
WSHCorey Kispert · left hamstring; tightnessOut
WSHJustin Champagnie · n/a; illnessQuestionable

For context, not in our forecast.

Team Comparison

2025–26 season · box-score averages from 28+ games
TOR·WSH
−0.25
rating (0 = average)
−1.35
113.4
points / game
112.6
111.6
points allowed / game
126.1
18−13
season record
5−23
8−7
home record
2−10
10−6
away record
3−13
W1
streak
L2
4−6
last 10
3−7
47.9
FG%
45.9
36.0
3P%
35.5
42.5
rebounds / game
43.9
29.4
assists / game
25.5
14.9
turnovers / game
15.4
51.5
points in paint / game
46.4

Rating Trend

TOR · WSH · 58 days
Toronto RaptorsWashington Wizards
Rating (0 = average team)

Head to Head

last 10 meetings · WSH 2−8
Nov 21, 2025at TORTOR 140 − 110
Mar 24, 2025at WSHTOR 112 − 104
Mar 10, 2025at TORTOR 119 − 104
Mar 8, 2025at TORWSH 118 − 117
Jan 29, 2025at WSHTOR 106 − 82
Apr 7, 2024at TORTOR 130 − 122
Mar 23, 2024at WSHWSH 112 − 109
Dec 27, 2023at WSHTOR 132 − 102
Nov 13, 2023at TORTOR 111 − 107
Mar 26, 2023at TORTOR 114 − 104

TOR · Last 10

4−6 · streak W1
Dec 23, 2025at MIA112 − 91W
Dec 21, 2025at BKN81 − 96L
Dec 20, 2025vs BOS96 − 112L
Dec 18, 2025at MIL111 − 105W
Dec 15, 2025at MIA106 − 96W
Dec 9, 2025vs NY101 − 117L
Dec 7, 2025vs BOS113 − 121L
Dec 5, 2025vs CHA86 − 111L
Dec 4, 2025vs LAL120 − 123L
Dec 2, 2025vs POR121 − 118W

WSH · Last 10

3−7 · streak L2
Dec 23, 2025at CHA109 − 126L
Dec 21, 2025vs SA113 − 124L
Dec 20, 2025at MEM130 − 122W
Dec 18, 2025at SA94 − 119L
Dec 14, 2025at IND108 − 89W
Dec 12, 2025vs CLE126 − 130L
Dec 6, 2025vs ATL116 − 131L
Dec 4, 2025vs BOS101 − 146L
Dec 2, 2025at PHI102 − 121L
Dec 1, 2025vs MIL129 − 126W