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Celtics at Raptors

NBA · Saturday, Dec 20 · 6:00 PM CT · Scotiabank Arena · Final BOS 112 – TOR 96
← NBA / Dec 20, 2025

Final Box Score

from the game summary
Team1234T
BOS32173429112
TOR2031291696
Team box
BOS·TOR
44-95
field goals
36-87
12-39
3-pointers
16-47
12-15
free throws
8-11
55
rebounds
37
22
assists
30
11
turnovers
12
54
points in paint
32
Top performers
PlayerTeamMINPTSREBAST
Payton PritchardBOS3733710
Brandon IngramTOR352447
Sandro MamukelashviliTOR302451
Derrick WhiteBOS361557
Anfernee SimonsBOS261531
Neemias QuetaBOS221450

For context, not in our forecast.

Game Flow

score margin
TOR +16
BOS +16
Q1Q2Q3Q4
largest lead: TOR 7 · BOS 16lead changes: 14

For context, not in our forecast.

Final · our forecast was BOS 68%, TOR 32% · Updated Dec 20, 2025

Expected margin
BOS by 6.0
Expected score
BOS 113.8 – 107.8 TOR
Expected total
221.7
CelticsThe matchupRaptors
−208Our fair odds+208
113.8Expected points107.8
+0.76Power rating−0.20
116.6Points / game115.2
111.0Allowed / game112.9
47.4FG%48.5
36.73P%36.3
43.5Rebounds / game42.5
16−11Season record17−11
7−3Last 104−6
Amari Williams · Jaylen Brown
Jayson Tatum · Max Shulga
Ron Harper Jr.Out (5 each)A.J. Lawson · Alijah Martin
Chucky Hepburn · Jakob Poeltl
Jonathan Mogbo

Prediction markets

Kalshi · Polymarket US · ProphetX · Novig
BOS chance · TOR chance
Our model fair67.5%32.5%
Kalshino two-sided price
Polymarket USno two-sided price
ProphetXno two-sided price
Novigno two-sided price
Full price table
TeamOur modelfairKalshi Polymarket US ProphetX Novig 
Moneyline
BOSBoston Celtics−20868%————
TORToronto Raptors+20832%————
SpreadBOS by 6.0
BOSBoston Celtics−6our margin————
TORToronto Raptors+6our margin————
Totalwe expect 221.7
Over221.7our total————
Under221.7our total————

These are each venue’s last prices before the start (Kalshi’s moneyline: its pre-game close). Odds are the price to buy that side now, taker fee included; the small percent is the implied chance of that same price. Highlighted is the best price in the row among venues on the same line. — means not listed (hover or tap for why). A market price is not the true chance of winning.

Margin range

Boston Celtics by 6.0 expected
Boston Celtics by 47 points: <1%Boston Celtics by 46 points: <1%Boston Celtics by 45 points: <1%Boston Celtics by 44 points: <1%Boston Celtics by 43 points: <1%Boston Celtics by 42 points: <1%Boston Celtics by 41 points: <1%Boston Celtics by 40 points: <1%Boston Celtics by 39 points: <1%Boston Celtics by 38 points: <1%Boston Celtics by 37 points: <1%Boston Celtics by 36 points: <1%Boston Celtics by 35 points: <1%Boston Celtics by 34 points: <1%Boston Celtics by 33 points: 1%Boston Celtics by 32 points: 1%Boston Celtics by 31 points: 1%Boston Celtics by 30 points: 1%Boston Celtics by 29 points: 1%Boston Celtics by 28 points: 1%Boston Celtics by 27 points: 1%Boston Celtics by 26 points: 1%Boston Celtics by 25 points: 1%Boston Celtics by 24 points: 1%Boston Celtics by 23 points: 1%Boston Celtics by 22 points: 1%Boston Celtics by 21 points: 1%Boston Celtics by 20 points: 1%Boston Celtics by 19 points: 2%Boston Celtics by 18 points: 2%Boston Celtics by 17 points: 2%Boston Celtics by 16 points: 2%Boston Celtics by 15 points: 2%Boston Celtics by 14 points: 3%Boston Celtics by 13 points: 3%Boston Celtics by 12 points: 3%Boston Celtics by 11 points: 3%Boston Celtics by 10 points: 3%Boston Celtics by 9 points: 3%Boston Celtics by 8 points: 3%Boston Celtics by 7 points: 3%Boston Celtics by 6 points: 3%Boston Celtics by 5 points: 3%Boston Celtics by 4 points: 3%Boston Celtics by 3 points: 3%Boston Celtics by 2 points: 2%Boston Celtics by 1 point: 2%Toronto Raptors by 1 point: 2%Toronto Raptors by 2 points: 2%Toronto Raptors by 3 points: 2%Toronto Raptors by 4 points: 2%Toronto Raptors by 5 points: 2%Toronto Raptors by 6 points: 2%Toronto Raptors by 7 points: 2%Toronto Raptors by 8 points: 2%Toronto Raptors by 9 points: 2%Toronto Raptors by 10 points: 2%Toronto Raptors by 11 points: 2%Toronto Raptors by 12 points: 1%Toronto Raptors by 13 points: 1%Toronto Raptors by 14 points: 1%Toronto Raptors by 15 points: 1%Toronto Raptors by 16 points: 1%Toronto Raptors by 17 points: 1%Toronto Raptors by 18 points: 1%Toronto Raptors by 19 points: 1%Toronto Raptors by 20 points: 1%Toronto Raptors by 21 points: 1%Toronto Raptors by 22 points: <1%Toronto Raptors by 23 points: <1%Toronto Raptors by 24 points: <1%Toronto Raptors by 25 points: <1%Toronto Raptors by 26 points: <1%Toronto Raptors by 27 points: <1%Toronto Raptors by 28 points: <1%Toronto Raptors by 29 points: <1%Toronto Raptors by 30 points: <1%Toronto Raptors by 31 points: <1%Toronto Raptors by 32 points: <1%Toronto Raptors by 33 points: <1%Toronto Raptors by 34 points: <1%Toronto Raptors by 35 points: <1%Toronto Raptors by 36 points: <1%Toronto Raptors by 37 points: <1%Toronto Raptors by 38 points: <1%Toronto Raptors by 39 points: <1%Toronto Raptors by 40 points: <1%Toronto Raptors by 41 points: <1%Toronto Raptors by 42 points: <1%Toronto Raptors by 43 points: <1%Toronto Raptors by 44 points: <1%Toronto Raptors by 45 points: <1%Toronto Raptors by 46 points: <1%Toronto Raptors by 47 points: <1%
← BOS wins byTOR wins by →
Boston Celtics wins by 5 or more57%
Boston Celtics wins by 10 or more41%
Boston Celtics wins by 15 or more27%
Within 5 points either way23%

Centered on the expected margin above; shape from the real results of 6,530 past NBA games.

Total range

221.7 expected
174 points: <1%175 points: <1%176 points: <1%177 points: <1%178 points: <1%179 points: <1%180 points: <1%181 points: <1%182 points: <1%183 points: <1%184 points: <1%185 points: <1%186 points: <1%187 points: <1%188 points: <1%189 points: 1%190 points: 1%191 points: 1%192 points: 1%193 points: 1%194 points: 1%195 points: 1%196 points: 1%197 points: 1%198 points: 1%199 points: 1%200 points: 1%201 points: 1%202 points: 1%203 points: 1%204 points: 1%205 points: 1%206 points: 2%207 points: 2%208 points: 2%209 points: 2%210 points: 2%211 points: 2%212 points: 2%213 points: 2%214 points: 2%215 points: 2%216 points: 2%217 points: 2%218 points: 2%219 points: 2%220 points: 2%221 points: 2%222 points: 2%223 points: 2%224 points: 2%225 points: 2%226 points: 2%227 points: 2%228 points: 2%229 points: 2%230 points: 2%231 points: 2%232 points: 2%233 points: 2%234 points: 2%235 points: 2%236 points: 2%237 points: 1%238 points: 1%239 points: 1%240 points: 1%241 points: 1%242 points: 1%243 points: 1%244 points: 1%245 points: 1%246 points: 1%247 points: 1%248 points: 1%249 points: 1%250 points: 1%251 points: 1%252 points: 1%253 points: 1%254 points: 1%255 points: <1%256 points: <1%257 points: <1%258 points: <1%259 points: <1%260 points: <1%261 points: <1%262 points: <1%263 points: <1%264 points: <1%265 points: <1%266 points: <1%267 points: <1%268 points: <1%269 points: <1%270 points: <1%271 points: <1%272 points: <1%273 points: <1%274 points: <1%
Total points, both teams
Total over 211.570%
Total over 221.550%
Total over 231.530%
Total from 212 to 23139%

Centered on the expected total above; shape from the real results of 6,530 past NBA games.

Starting Lineups

from the box score
Boston Celtics
GDerrick Whitestarted
GPayton Pritchardstarted
GJordan Walshstarted
FSam Hauserstarted
CNeemias Quetastarted
Toronto Raptors
GImmanuel Quickleystarted
GOchai Agbajistarted
FBrandon Ingramstarted
FSandro Mamukelashvilistarted
FScottie Barnesstarted

For context, not in our forecast.

Rest and Schedule

before this game
BOS·TOR
Dec 19, 2025 vs MIA
last game
Dec 18, 2025 at MIL
0 days
days of rest
1 day
yes
back-to-back
no
2
games in last 7 days
2
road after a home game
home / road
home after a road game

For context, not in our forecast.

Who's Out

NBA official injury report · Dec 20, 5:00 PM ET
Boston Celtics
BOSAmari Williams · g league - two-wayOut
BOSJaylen Brown · illness; non-covidOut
BOSJayson Tatum · right achilles; repairOut
BOSMax Shulga · g league - two-wayOut
BOSRon Harper Jr. · g league - two-wayOut
Toronto Raptors
TORA.J. Lawson · g league - two-wayOut
TORAlijah Martin · g league - two-wayOut
TORChucky Hepburn · g league - two-wayOut
TORJakob Poeltl · lower back; injury managementOut
TORJonathan Mogbo · g league - on assignmentOut
TORRJ Barrett · right knee; sprainOut

For context, not in our forecast.

Team Comparison

2025–26 season · box-score averages from 27+ games
BOS·TOR
+0.76
rating (0 = average)
−0.20
116.6
points / game
115.2
111.0
points allowed / game
112.9
16−11
season record
17−11
9−5
home record
8−6
7−6
away record
9−5
W1
streak
W2
7−3
last 10
4−6
47.4
FG%
48.5
36.7
3P%
36.3
43.5
rebounds / game
42.5
24.1
assists / game
29.6
12.0
turnovers / game
14.9
42.5
points in paint / game
52.7

Rating Trend

BOS · TOR · 53 days
Boston CelticsToronto Raptors
Rating (0 = average team)

Head to Head

last 10 meetings · TOR 1−9
Dec 7, 2025at TORBOS 121 − 113
Feb 25, 2025at TORBOS 111 − 101
Jan 15, 2025at TORTOR 110 − 97
Dec 31, 2024at BOSBOS 125 − 71
Nov 16, 2024at BOSBOS 126 − 123
Jan 15, 2024at TORBOS 105 − 96
Dec 29, 2023at BOSBOS 120 − 118
Nov 17, 2023at TORBOS 108 − 105
Nov 11, 2023at BOSBOS 117 − 94
Apr 7, 2023at BOSBOS 121 − 102

BOS · Last 10

7−3 · streak W1
Dec 19, 2025vs MIA129 − 116W
Dec 15, 2025vs DET105 − 112L
Dec 11, 2025at MIL101 − 116L
Dec 7, 2025at TOR121 − 113W
Dec 5, 2025vs LAL126 − 105W
Dec 4, 2025at WSH146 − 101W
Dec 2, 2025vs NY123 − 117W
Nov 30, 2025at CLE117 − 115W
Nov 29, 2025at MIN115 − 119L
Nov 26, 2025vs DET117 − 114W

TOR · Last 10

4−6 · streak W2
Dec 18, 2025at MIL111 − 105W
Dec 15, 2025at MIA106 − 96W
Dec 9, 2025vs NY101 − 117L
Dec 7, 2025vs BOS113 − 121L
Dec 5, 2025vs CHA86 − 111L
Dec 4, 2025vs LAL120 − 123L
Dec 2, 2025vs POR121 − 118W
Nov 30, 2025at NY94 − 116L
Nov 29, 2025at CHA111 − 118L
Nov 26, 2025vs IND97 − 95W