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Celtics at Raptors

NBA · Sunday, Dec 7 · 2:30 PM CT · Scotiabank Arena · Final BOS 121 – TOR 113
← NBA / Dec 7, 2025

Final Box Score

from the game summary
Team1234T
BOS34432024121
TOR26333222113
Team box
BOS·TOR
44-92
field goals
43-88
20-47
3-pointers
9-22
13-14
free throws
18-21
41
rebounds
42
24
assists
22
11
turnovers
13
42
points in paint
56
Top performers
PlayerTeamMINPTSREBAST
Jaylen BrownBOS393085
Brandon IngramTOR353043
Derrick WhiteBOS372745
Scottie BarnesTOR3718118
Payton PritchardBOS381546
Sandro MamukelashviliTOR231460

For context, not in our forecast.

Game Flow

score margin
TOR +23
BOS +23
Q1Q2Q3Q4
largest lead: TOR 3 · BOS 23lead changes: 4

For context, not in our forecast.

Final · our forecast was BOS 66%, TOR 34% · Updated Dec 7, 2025

Expected margin
BOS by 5.2
Expected score
BOS 113.4 – 108.2 TOR
Expected total
221.6
CelticsThe matchupRaptors
−191Our fair odds+191
113.4Expected points108.2
+0.76Power rating−0.14
117.1Points / game116.5
110.5Allowed / game113.5
47.5FG%48.7
36.73P%36.2
44.0Rebounds / game42.6
14−9Season record15−9
8−2Last 106−4
Amari Williams · Jayson Tatum
Max Shulga · Ron Harper Jr.OutJamison Battle · RJ Barrett

Prediction markets

Kalshi · Polymarket US · ProphetX · Novig
BOS chance · TOR chance
Our model fair65.7%34.3%
Kalshino two-sided price
Polymarket USno two-sided price
ProphetXno two-sided price
Novigno two-sided price
Full price table
TeamOur modelfairKalshi Polymarket US ProphetX Novig 
Moneyline
BOSBoston Celtics−19166%————
TORToronto Raptors+19134%————
SpreadBOS by 5.2
BOSBoston Celtics−5.2our margin————
TORToronto Raptors+5.2our margin————
Totalwe expect 221.6
Over221.6our total————
Under221.6our total————

These are each venue’s last prices before the start (Kalshi’s moneyline: its pre-game close). Odds are the price to buy that side now, taker fee included; the small percent is the implied chance of that same price. Highlighted is the best price in the row among venues on the same line. — means not listed (hover or tap for why). A market price is not the true chance of winning.

Margin range

Boston Celtics by 5.2 expected
Boston Celtics by 46 points: <1%Boston Celtics by 45 points: <1%Boston Celtics by 44 points: <1%Boston Celtics by 43 points: <1%Boston Celtics by 42 points: <1%Boston Celtics by 41 points: <1%Boston Celtics by 40 points: <1%Boston Celtics by 39 points: <1%Boston Celtics by 38 points: <1%Boston Celtics by 37 points: <1%Boston Celtics by 36 points: <1%Boston Celtics by 35 points: <1%Boston Celtics by 34 points: <1%Boston Celtics by 33 points: 1%Boston Celtics by 32 points: 1%Boston Celtics by 31 points: 1%Boston Celtics by 30 points: 1%Boston Celtics by 29 points: 1%Boston Celtics by 28 points: 1%Boston Celtics by 27 points: 1%Boston Celtics by 26 points: 1%Boston Celtics by 25 points: 1%Boston Celtics by 24 points: 1%Boston Celtics by 23 points: 1%Boston Celtics by 22 points: 1%Boston Celtics by 21 points: 1%Boston Celtics by 20 points: 1%Boston Celtics by 19 points: 2%Boston Celtics by 18 points: 2%Boston Celtics by 17 points: 2%Boston Celtics by 16 points: 2%Boston Celtics by 15 points: 2%Boston Celtics by 14 points: 2%Boston Celtics by 13 points: 3%Boston Celtics by 12 points: 3%Boston Celtics by 11 points: 3%Boston Celtics by 10 points: 3%Boston Celtics by 9 points: 3%Boston Celtics by 8 points: 3%Boston Celtics by 7 points: 3%Boston Celtics by 6 points: 3%Boston Celtics by 5 points: 3%Boston Celtics by 4 points: 3%Boston Celtics by 3 points: 3%Boston Celtics by 2 points: 2%Boston Celtics by 1 point: 2%Toronto Raptors by 1 point: 2%Toronto Raptors by 2 points: 2%Toronto Raptors by 3 points: 2%Toronto Raptors by 4 points: 2%Toronto Raptors by 5 points: 2%Toronto Raptors by 6 points: 2%Toronto Raptors by 7 points: 2%Toronto Raptors by 8 points: 2%Toronto Raptors by 9 points: 2%Toronto Raptors by 10 points: 2%Toronto Raptors by 11 points: 2%Toronto Raptors by 12 points: 1%Toronto Raptors by 13 points: 1%Toronto Raptors by 14 points: 1%Toronto Raptors by 15 points: 1%Toronto Raptors by 16 points: 1%Toronto Raptors by 17 points: 1%Toronto Raptors by 18 points: 1%Toronto Raptors by 19 points: 1%Toronto Raptors by 20 points: 1%Toronto Raptors by 21 points: 1%Toronto Raptors by 22 points: 1%Toronto Raptors by 23 points: <1%Toronto Raptors by 24 points: <1%Toronto Raptors by 25 points: <1%Toronto Raptors by 26 points: <1%Toronto Raptors by 27 points: <1%Toronto Raptors by 28 points: <1%Toronto Raptors by 29 points: <1%Toronto Raptors by 30 points: <1%Toronto Raptors by 31 points: <1%Toronto Raptors by 32 points: <1%Toronto Raptors by 33 points: <1%Toronto Raptors by 34 points: <1%Toronto Raptors by 35 points: <1%Toronto Raptors by 36 points: <1%Toronto Raptors by 37 points: <1%Toronto Raptors by 38 points: <1%Toronto Raptors by 39 points: <1%Toronto Raptors by 40 points: <1%Toronto Raptors by 41 points: <1%Toronto Raptors by 42 points: <1%Toronto Raptors by 43 points: <1%Toronto Raptors by 44 points: <1%Toronto Raptors by 45 points: <1%Toronto Raptors by 46 points: <1%
← BOS wins byTOR wins by →
Boston Celtics wins by 5 or more55%
Boston Celtics wins by 10 or more39%
Boston Celtics wins by 15 or more25%
Within 5 points either way24%

Centered on the expected margin above; shape from the real results of 6,530 past NBA games.

Total range

221.6 expected
174 points: <1%175 points: <1%176 points: <1%177 points: <1%178 points: <1%179 points: <1%180 points: <1%181 points: <1%182 points: <1%183 points: <1%184 points: <1%185 points: <1%186 points: <1%187 points: <1%188 points: <1%189 points: 1%190 points: 1%191 points: 1%192 points: 1%193 points: 1%194 points: 1%195 points: 1%196 points: 1%197 points: 1%198 points: 1%199 points: 1%200 points: 1%201 points: 1%202 points: 1%203 points: 1%204 points: 1%205 points: 1%206 points: 2%207 points: 2%208 points: 2%209 points: 2%210 points: 2%211 points: 2%212 points: 2%213 points: 2%214 points: 2%215 points: 2%216 points: 2%217 points: 2%218 points: 2%219 points: 2%220 points: 2%221 points: 2%222 points: 2%223 points: 2%224 points: 2%225 points: 2%226 points: 2%227 points: 2%228 points: 2%229 points: 2%230 points: 2%231 points: 2%232 points: 2%233 points: 2%234 points: 2%235 points: 2%236 points: 2%237 points: 1%238 points: 1%239 points: 1%240 points: 1%241 points: 1%242 points: 1%243 points: 1%244 points: 1%245 points: 1%246 points: 1%247 points: 1%248 points: 1%249 points: 1%250 points: 1%251 points: 1%252 points: 1%253 points: 1%254 points: 1%255 points: <1%256 points: <1%257 points: <1%258 points: <1%259 points: <1%260 points: <1%261 points: <1%262 points: <1%263 points: <1%264 points: <1%265 points: <1%266 points: <1%267 points: <1%268 points: <1%269 points: <1%270 points: <1%271 points: <1%272 points: <1%273 points: <1%274 points: <1%
Total points, both teams
Total over 211.569%
Total over 221.550%
Total over 231.530%
Total from 212 to 23139%

Centered on the expected total above; shape from the real results of 6,530 past NBA games.

Starting Lineups

from the box score
Boston Celtics
GDerrick Whitestarted
GJaylen Brownstarted
GPayton Pritchardstarted
GJordan Walshstarted
CNeemias Quetastarted
Toronto Raptors
GImmanuel Quickleystarted
GJa'Kobe Walterstarted
FBrandon Ingramstarted
FScottie Barnesstarted
CJakob Poeltlstarted

For context, not in our forecast.

Rest and Schedule

before this game
BOS·TOR
Dec 5, 2025 vs LAL
last game
Dec 5, 2025 vs CHA
1 day
days of rest
1 day
no
back-to-back
no
4
games in last 7 days
4
road after a home game
home / road
4th straight home game

For context, not in our forecast.

Who's Out

NBA official injury report · Dec 7, 5:00 PM ET
Boston Celtics
BOSAmari Williams · g league - two-wayOut
BOSJayson Tatum · right achilles; repairOut
BOSMax Shulga · g league - two-wayOut
BOSRon Harper Jr. · g league - two-wayOut
Toronto Raptors
TORJamison Battle · left ankle; sprainOut
TORRJ Barrett · right knee; sprainOut

For context, not in our forecast.

Team Comparison

2025–26 season · box-score averages from 23+ games
BOS·TOR
+0.76
rating (0 = average)
−0.14
117.1
points / game
116.5
110.5
points allowed / game
113.5
14−9
season record
15−9
8−4
home record
8−4
6−5
away record
7−5
W4
streak
L2
8−2
last 10
6−4
47.5
FG%
48.7
36.7
3P%
36.2
44.0
rebounds / game
42.6
24.7
assists / game
29.8
11.7
turnovers / game
14.7
43.4
points in paint / game
53.7

Rating Trend

BOS · TOR · 40 days
Boston CelticsToronto Raptors
Rating (0 = average team)

Head to Head

last 10 meetings · TOR 1−9
Feb 25, 2025at TORBOS 111 − 101
Jan 15, 2025at TORTOR 110 − 97
Dec 31, 2024at BOSBOS 125 − 71
Nov 16, 2024at BOSBOS 126 − 123
Jan 15, 2024at TORBOS 105 − 96
Dec 29, 2023at BOSBOS 120 − 118
Nov 17, 2023at TORBOS 108 − 105
Nov 11, 2023at BOSBOS 117 − 94
Apr 7, 2023at BOSBOS 121 − 102
Apr 5, 2023at BOSBOS 97 − 93

BOS · Last 10

8−2 · streak W4
Dec 5, 2025vs LAL126 − 105W
Dec 4, 2025at WSH146 − 101W
Dec 2, 2025vs NY123 − 117W
Nov 30, 2025at CLE117 − 115W
Nov 29, 2025at MIN115 − 119L
Nov 26, 2025vs DET117 − 114W
Nov 23, 2025vs ORL138 − 129W
Nov 21, 2025vs BKN105 − 113L
Nov 18, 2025at BKN113 − 99W
Nov 16, 2025vs LAC121 − 118W

TOR · Last 10

6−4 · streak L2
Dec 5, 2025vs CHA86 − 111L
Dec 4, 2025vs LAL120 − 123L
Dec 2, 2025vs POR121 − 118W
Nov 30, 2025at NY94 − 116L
Nov 29, 2025at CHA111 − 118L
Nov 26, 2025vs IND97 − 95W
Nov 24, 2025vs CLE110 − 99W
Nov 23, 2025vs BKN119 − 109W
Nov 21, 2025vs WSH140 − 110W
Nov 19, 2025at PHI121 − 112W