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Hornets at Raptors

NBA · Friday, Dec 5 · 6:30 PM CT · Scotiabank Arena · Final CHA 111 – TOR 86
← NBA / Dec 5, 2025

Final Box Score

from the game summary
Team1234T
CHA18352533111
TOR2418281686
Team box
CHA·TOR
37-74
field goals
34-92
13-36
3-pointers
9-29
24-33
free throws
9-13
47
rebounds
41
26
assists
19
24
turnovers
20
46
points in paint
50
Top performers
PlayerTeamMINPTSREBAST
Immanuel QuickleyTOR313134
Kon KnueppelCHA322137
Tidjane SalaunCHA222131
Miles BridgesCHA321595
Scottie BarnesTOR311335
Ryan KalkbrennerCHA261261

For context, not in our forecast.

Game Flow

score margin
TOR +29
CHA +29
Q1Q2Q3Q4
largest lead: TOR 11 · CHA 29lead changes: 5

For context, not in our forecast.

Final · our forecast was CHA 25%, TOR 75% · Updated Dec 5, 2025

Expected margin
TOR by 8.7
Expected score
TOR 116.6 – 107.9 CHA
Expected total
224.5
HornetsThe matchupRaptors
+303Our fair odds−303
107.9Expected points116.6
−1.03Power rating−0.14
114.7Points / game117.8
119.9Allowed / game113.6
45.3FG%49.2
34.53P%36.4
44.4Rebounds / game42.7
6−16Season record15−8
2−8Last 107−3
Collin Sexton · Drew Peterson
Grant Williams · Josh Green
Pat ConnaughtonOut (5 each)A.J. Lawson · Alijah Martin
Chucky Hepburn · Ochai Agbaji
RJ Barrett

Prediction markets

Kalshi · Polymarket US · ProphetX · Novig
CHA chance · TOR chance
Our model fair24.8%75.2%
Kalshino two-sided price
Polymarket USno two-sided price
ProphetXno two-sided price
Novigno two-sided price
Full price table
TeamOur modelfairKalshi Polymarket US ProphetX Novig 
Moneyline
CHACharlotte Hornets+30325%————
TORToronto Raptors−30375%————
SpreadTOR by 8.7
CHACharlotte Hornets+8.7our margin————
TORToronto Raptors−8.7our margin————
Totalwe expect 224.5
Over224.5our total————
Under224.5our total————

These are each venue’s last prices before the start (Kalshi’s moneyline: its pre-game close). Odds are the price to buy that side now, taker fee included; the small percent is the implied chance of that same price. Highlighted is the best price in the row among venues on the same line. — means not listed (hover or tap for why). A market price is not the true chance of winning.

Margin range

Toronto Raptors by 8.7 expected
Charlotte Hornets by 51 points: <1%Charlotte Hornets by 50 points: <1%Charlotte Hornets by 49 points: <1%Charlotte Hornets by 48 points: <1%Charlotte Hornets by 47 points: <1%Charlotte Hornets by 46 points: <1%Charlotte Hornets by 45 points: <1%Charlotte Hornets by 44 points: <1%Charlotte Hornets by 43 points: <1%Charlotte Hornets by 42 points: <1%Charlotte Hornets by 41 points: <1%Charlotte Hornets by 40 points: <1%Charlotte Hornets by 39 points: <1%Charlotte Hornets by 38 points: <1%Charlotte Hornets by 37 points: <1%Charlotte Hornets by 36 points: <1%Charlotte Hornets by 35 points: <1%Charlotte Hornets by 34 points: <1%Charlotte Hornets by 33 points: <1%Charlotte Hornets by 32 points: <1%Charlotte Hornets by 31 points: <1%Charlotte Hornets by 30 points: <1%Charlotte Hornets by 29 points: <1%Charlotte Hornets by 28 points: <1%Charlotte Hornets by 27 points: <1%Charlotte Hornets by 26 points: <1%Charlotte Hornets by 25 points: <1%Charlotte Hornets by 24 points: <1%Charlotte Hornets by 23 points: <1%Charlotte Hornets by 22 points: <1%Charlotte Hornets by 21 points: <1%Charlotte Hornets by 20 points: <1%Charlotte Hornets by 19 points: <1%Charlotte Hornets by 18 points: <1%Charlotte Hornets by 17 points: 1%Charlotte Hornets by 16 points: 1%Charlotte Hornets by 15 points: 1%Charlotte Hornets by 14 points: 1%Charlotte Hornets by 13 points: 1%Charlotte Hornets by 12 points: 1%Charlotte Hornets by 11 points: 1%Charlotte Hornets by 10 points: 1%Charlotte Hornets by 9 points: 2%Charlotte Hornets by 8 points: 2%Charlotte Hornets by 7 points: 2%Charlotte Hornets by 6 points: 2%Charlotte Hornets by 5 points: 2%Charlotte Hornets by 4 points: 2%Charlotte Hornets by 3 points: 2%Charlotte Hornets by 2 points: 2%Charlotte Hornets by 1 point: 2%Toronto Raptors by 1 point: 2%Toronto Raptors by 2 points: 2%Toronto Raptors by 3 points: 3%Toronto Raptors by 4 points: 3%Toronto Raptors by 5 points: 3%Toronto Raptors by 6 points: 3%Toronto Raptors by 7 points: 3%Toronto Raptors by 8 points: 3%Toronto Raptors by 9 points: 3%Toronto Raptors by 10 points: 3%Toronto Raptors by 11 points: 3%Toronto Raptors by 12 points: 3%Toronto Raptors by 13 points: 3%Toronto Raptors by 14 points: 3%Toronto Raptors by 15 points: 3%Toronto Raptors by 16 points: 2%Toronto Raptors by 17 points: 2%Toronto Raptors by 18 points: 2%Toronto Raptors by 19 points: 2%Toronto Raptors by 20 points: 2%Toronto Raptors by 21 points: 2%Toronto Raptors by 22 points: 2%Toronto Raptors by 23 points: 2%Toronto Raptors by 24 points: 1%Toronto Raptors by 25 points: 1%Toronto Raptors by 26 points: 1%Toronto Raptors by 27 points: 1%Toronto Raptors by 28 points: 1%Toronto Raptors by 29 points: 1%Toronto Raptors by 30 points: 1%Toronto Raptors by 31 points: 1%Toronto Raptors by 32 points: 1%Toronto Raptors by 33 points: 1%Toronto Raptors by 34 points: 1%Toronto Raptors by 35 points: 1%Toronto Raptors by 36 points: 1%Toronto Raptors by 37 points: <1%Toronto Raptors by 38 points: <1%Toronto Raptors by 39 points: <1%Toronto Raptors by 40 points: <1%Toronto Raptors by 41 points: <1%Toronto Raptors by 42 points: <1%Toronto Raptors by 43 points: <1%Toronto Raptors by 44 points: <1%Toronto Raptors by 45 points: <1%Toronto Raptors by 46 points: <1%Toronto Raptors by 47 points: <1%Toronto Raptors by 48 points: <1%Toronto Raptors by 49 points: <1%Toronto Raptors by 50 points: <1%Toronto Raptors by 51 points: <1%
← CHA wins byTOR wins by →
Toronto Raptors wins by 5 or more63%
Toronto Raptors wins by 10 or more48%
Toronto Raptors wins by 15 or more33%
Within 5 points either way22%

Centered on the expected margin above; shape from the real results of 6,531 past NBA games.

Total range

224.5 expected
176 points: <1%177 points: <1%178 points: <1%179 points: <1%180 points: <1%181 points: <1%182 points: <1%183 points: <1%184 points: <1%185 points: <1%186 points: <1%187 points: <1%188 points: <1%189 points: <1%190 points: <1%191 points: <1%192 points: 1%193 points: 1%194 points: 1%195 points: 1%196 points: 1%197 points: 1%198 points: 1%199 points: 1%200 points: 1%201 points: 1%202 points: 1%203 points: 1%204 points: 1%205 points: 1%206 points: 1%207 points: 1%208 points: 1%209 points: 2%210 points: 2%211 points: 2%212 points: 2%213 points: 2%214 points: 2%215 points: 2%216 points: 2%217 points: 2%218 points: 2%219 points: 2%220 points: 2%221 points: 2%222 points: 2%223 points: 2%224 points: 2%225 points: 2%226 points: 2%227 points: 2%228 points: 2%229 points: 2%230 points: 2%231 points: 2%232 points: 2%233 points: 2%234 points: 2%235 points: 2%236 points: 2%237 points: 2%238 points: 2%239 points: 1%240 points: 1%241 points: 1%242 points: 1%243 points: 1%244 points: 1%245 points: 1%246 points: 1%247 points: 1%248 points: 1%249 points: 1%250 points: 1%251 points: 1%252 points: 1%253 points: 1%254 points: 1%255 points: 1%256 points: 1%257 points: 1%258 points: <1%259 points: <1%260 points: <1%261 points: <1%262 points: <1%263 points: <1%264 points: <1%265 points: <1%266 points: <1%267 points: <1%268 points: <1%269 points: <1%270 points: <1%271 points: <1%272 points: <1%273 points: <1%274 points: <1%275 points: <1%276 points: <1%277 points: <1%
Total points, both teams
Total over 214.569%
Total over 224.550%
Total over 234.530%
Total from 215 to 23439%

Centered on the expected total above; shape from the real results of 6,531 past NBA games.

Starting Lineups

from the box score
Charlotte Hornets
GLaMelo Ballstarted
GKon Knueppelstarted
FMiles Bridgesstarted
FBrandon Millerstarted
CRyan Kalkbrennerstarted
Toronto Raptors
GImmanuel Quickleystarted
GJa'Kobe Walterstarted
FBrandon Ingramstarted
FScottie Barnesstarted
CJakob Poeltlstarted

For context, not in our forecast.

Rest and Schedule

before this game
CHA·TOR
Dec 3, 2025 at NY
last game
Dec 4, 2025 vs LAL
1 day
days of rest
0 days
no
back-to-back
yes
4
games in last 7 days
4
3rd straight road game
home / road
3rd straight home game

For context, not in our forecast.

Who's Out

NBA official injury report · Dec 5, 5:00 PM ET
Charlotte Hornets
CHACollin Sexton · left quad; strainOut
CHADrew Peterson · g league - two-wayOut
CHAGrant Williams · right knee; surgeryOut
CHAJosh Green · left shoulder; surgeryOut
CHAPat Connaughton · right calf; strainOut
CHATre Mann · right knee; sorenessDoubtful
CHARyan Kalkbrenner · left ankle; contusionQuestionable
CHABrandon Miller · left shoulder; subluxationProbable
CHALaMelo Ball · left wrist; sprainProbable
Toronto Raptors
TORA.J. Lawson · g league - two-wayOut
TORAlijah Martin · g league - two-wayOut
TORChucky Hepburn · g league - two-wayOut
TOROchai Agbaji · personal reasonsOut
TORRJ Barrett · right knee; sprainOut

For context, not in our forecast.

Team Comparison

2025–26 season · box-score averages from 22+ games
CHA·TOR
−1.03
rating (0 = average)
−0.14
114.7
points / game
117.8
119.9
points allowed / game
113.6
6−16
season record
15−8
5−6
home record
8−3
1−10
away record
7−5
L2
streak
L1
2−8
last 10
7−3
45.3
FG%
49.2
34.5
3P%
36.4
44.4
rebounds / game
42.7
25.3
assists / game
30.3
15.7
turnovers / game
14.5
49.5
points in paint / game
53.8

Rating Trend

CHA · TOR · 38 days
Charlotte HornetsToronto Raptors
Rating (0 = average team)

Head to Head

last 10 meetings · TOR 7−3
Nov 29, 2025at CHACHA 118 − 111
Nov 17, 2025at TORTOR 110 − 108
Apr 9, 2025at TORTOR 126 − 96
Mar 28, 2025at TORTOR 108 − 97
Oct 30, 2024at CHACHA 138 − 133
Mar 3, 2024at TORTOR 111 − 106
Feb 7, 2024at CHATOR 123 − 117
Dec 18, 2023at TORTOR 114 − 99
Dec 8, 2023at CHACHA 119 − 116
Apr 4, 2023at CHATOR 120 − 100

CHA · Last 10

2−8 · streak L2
Dec 3, 2025at NY104 − 119L
Dec 1, 2025at BKN103 − 116L
Nov 29, 2025vs TOR118 − 111W
Nov 28, 2025vs CHI123 − 116W
Nov 26, 2025vs NY101 − 129L
Nov 23, 2025at ATL110 − 113L
Nov 22, 2025vs LAC116 − 131L
Nov 19, 2025at IND118 − 127L
Nov 17, 2025at TOR108 − 110L
Nov 15, 2025vs OKC96 − 109L

TOR · Last 10

7−3 · streak L1
Dec 4, 2025vs LAL120 − 123L
Dec 2, 2025vs POR121 − 118W
Nov 30, 2025at NY94 − 116L
Nov 29, 2025at CHA111 − 118L
Nov 26, 2025vs IND97 − 95W
Nov 24, 2025vs CLE110 − 99W
Nov 23, 2025vs BKN119 − 109W
Nov 21, 2025vs WSH140 − 110W
Nov 19, 2025at PHI121 − 112W
Nov 17, 2025vs CHA110 − 108W