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Knicks at Warriors

NBA · Thursday, Jan 15 · 9:00 PM CT · Chase Center · Final NY 113 – GS 126
← NBA / Jan 15

Final Box Score

from the game summary
Team1234T
NY35242826113
GS30323727126
Team box
NY·GS
42-91
field goals
48-89
14-38
3-pointers
20-45
15-19
free throws
10-13
41
rebounds
38
28
assists
26
12
turnovers
12
44
points in paint
48
Top performers
PlayerTeamMINPTSREBAST
Jimmy Butler IIIGS323284
Stephen CurryGS342737
Miles McBrideNY372536
OG AnunobyNY372541
Mikal BridgesNY352113
Moses MoodyGS282110

For context, not in our forecast.

Game Flow

score margin
GS +17
NY +17
Q1Q2Q3Q4
largest lead: GS 17 · NY 17lead changes: 7

For context, not in our forecast.

Final · our forecast was NY 48%, GS 52% · Updated Jan 15

Expected margin
GS by 1.0
Expected score
GS 113.6 – 112.6 NY
Expected total
226.2
KnicksThe matchupWarriors
+107Our fair odds−107
112.6Expected points113.6
+0.41Power rating+0.25
119.1Points / game115.5
114.8Allowed / game113.2
47.1FG%45.7
37.93P%35.9
46.2Rebounds / game43.3
26−15Season record22−19
4−6Last 106−4
Jalen Brunson · Mitchell Robinson
Trey Jemison IIIOut (3 each)LJ Cryer · Malevy Leons
Seth Curry

Prediction markets

Kalshi · Polymarket US · ProphetX · Novig
NY chance · GS chance
Our model fair48.3%51.7%
Kalshino two-sided price
Polymarket USno two-sided price
ProphetXno two-sided price
Novigno two-sided price
Full price table
TeamOur modelfairKalshi Polymarket US ProphetX Novig 
Moneyline
NYNew York Knicks+10748%————
GSGolden State Warriors−10752%————
SpreadGS by 1.0
NYNew York Knicks+1our margin————
GSGolden State Warriors−1our margin————
Totalwe expect 226.2
Over226.2our total————
Under226.2our total————

These are each venue’s last prices before the start (Kalshi’s moneyline: its pre-game close). Odds are the price to buy that side now, taker fee included; the small percent is the implied chance of that same price. Highlighted is the best price in the row among venues on the same line. — means not listed (hover or tap for why). A market price is not the true chance of winning.

Margin range

Golden State Warriors by 1.0 expected
New York Knicks by 42 points: <1%New York Knicks by 41 points: <1%New York Knicks by 40 points: <1%New York Knicks by 39 points: <1%New York Knicks by 38 points: <1%New York Knicks by 37 points: <1%New York Knicks by 36 points: <1%New York Knicks by 35 points: <1%New York Knicks by 34 points: <1%New York Knicks by 33 points: <1%New York Knicks by 32 points: <1%New York Knicks by 31 points: <1%New York Knicks by 30 points: <1%New York Knicks by 29 points: <1%New York Knicks by 28 points: <1%New York Knicks by 27 points: <1%New York Knicks by 26 points: 1%New York Knicks by 25 points: 1%New York Knicks by 24 points: 1%New York Knicks by 23 points: 1%New York Knicks by 22 points: 1%New York Knicks by 21 points: 1%New York Knicks by 20 points: 1%New York Knicks by 19 points: 1%New York Knicks by 18 points: 1%New York Knicks by 17 points: 1%New York Knicks by 16 points: 1%New York Knicks by 15 points: 1%New York Knicks by 14 points: 2%New York Knicks by 13 points: 2%New York Knicks by 12 points: 2%New York Knicks by 11 points: 2%New York Knicks by 10 points: 2%New York Knicks by 9 points: 2%New York Knicks by 8 points: 2%New York Knicks by 7 points: 3%New York Knicks by 6 points: 3%New York Knicks by 5 points: 3%New York Knicks by 4 points: 3%New York Knicks by 3 points: 3%New York Knicks by 2 points: 2%New York Knicks by 1 point: 2%Golden State Warriors by 1 point: 2%Golden State Warriors by 2 points: 2%Golden State Warriors by 3 points: 3%Golden State Warriors by 4 points: 3%Golden State Warriors by 5 points: 3%Golden State Warriors by 6 points: 3%Golden State Warriors by 7 points: 3%Golden State Warriors by 8 points: 3%Golden State Warriors by 9 points: 3%Golden State Warriors by 10 points: 3%Golden State Warriors by 11 points: 2%Golden State Warriors by 12 points: 2%Golden State Warriors by 13 points: 2%Golden State Warriors by 14 points: 2%Golden State Warriors by 15 points: 2%Golden State Warriors by 16 points: 2%Golden State Warriors by 17 points: 1%Golden State Warriors by 18 points: 1%Golden State Warriors by 19 points: 1%Golden State Warriors by 20 points: 1%Golden State Warriors by 21 points: 1%Golden State Warriors by 22 points: 1%Golden State Warriors by 23 points: 1%Golden State Warriors by 24 points: 1%Golden State Warriors by 25 points: 1%Golden State Warriors by 26 points: 1%Golden State Warriors by 27 points: 1%Golden State Warriors by 28 points: <1%Golden State Warriors by 29 points: <1%Golden State Warriors by 30 points: <1%Golden State Warriors by 31 points: <1%Golden State Warriors by 32 points: <1%Golden State Warriors by 33 points: <1%Golden State Warriors by 34 points: <1%Golden State Warriors by 35 points: <1%Golden State Warriors by 36 points: <1%Golden State Warriors by 37 points: <1%Golden State Warriors by 38 points: <1%Golden State Warriors by 39 points: <1%Golden State Warriors by 40 points: <1%Golden State Warriors by 41 points: <1%Golden State Warriors by 42 points: <1%
← NY wins byGS wins by →
Golden State Warriors wins by 5 or more43%
Golden State Warriors wins by 10 or more29%
Golden State Warriors wins by 15 or more18%
Within 5 points either way25%

Centered on the expected margin above; shape from the real results of 6,530 past NBA games.

Total range

226.2 expected
177 points: <1%178 points: <1%179 points: <1%180 points: <1%181 points: <1%182 points: <1%183 points: <1%184 points: <1%185 points: <1%186 points: <1%187 points: <1%188 points: <1%189 points: <1%190 points: <1%191 points: <1%192 points: <1%193 points: <1%194 points: 1%195 points: 1%196 points: 1%197 points: 1%198 points: 1%199 points: 1%200 points: 1%201 points: 1%202 points: 1%203 points: 1%204 points: 1%205 points: 1%206 points: 1%207 points: 1%208 points: 1%209 points: 1%210 points: 1%211 points: 2%212 points: 2%213 points: 2%214 points: 2%215 points: 2%216 points: 2%217 points: 2%218 points: 2%219 points: 2%220 points: 2%221 points: 2%222 points: 2%223 points: 2%224 points: 2%225 points: 2%226 points: 2%227 points: 2%228 points: 2%229 points: 2%230 points: 2%231 points: 2%232 points: 2%233 points: 2%234 points: 2%235 points: 2%236 points: 2%237 points: 2%238 points: 2%239 points: 2%240 points: 2%241 points: 1%242 points: 1%243 points: 1%244 points: 1%245 points: 1%246 points: 1%247 points: 1%248 points: 1%249 points: 1%250 points: 1%251 points: 1%252 points: 1%253 points: 1%254 points: 1%255 points: 1%256 points: 1%257 points: 1%258 points: 1%259 points: 1%260 points: <1%261 points: <1%262 points: <1%263 points: <1%264 points: <1%265 points: <1%266 points: <1%267 points: <1%268 points: <1%269 points: <1%270 points: <1%271 points: <1%272 points: <1%273 points: <1%274 points: <1%275 points: <1%276 points: <1%277 points: <1%278 points: <1%279 points: <1%
Total points, both teams
Total over 216.569%
Total over 226.549%
Total over 236.529%
Total from 217 to 23639%

Centered on the expected total above; shape from the real results of 6,530 past NBA games.

Starting Lineups

from the box score
New York Knicks
GJosh Hartstarted
GMikal Bridgesstarted
GMiles McBridestarted
FOG Anunobystarted
CKarl-Anthony Townsstarted
Golden State Warriors
GStephen Currystarted
GMoses Moodystarted
FJimmy Butler IIIstarted
FDraymond Greenstarted
CQuinten Poststarted

For context, not in our forecast.

Rest and Schedule

before this game
NY·GS
Jan 14 at SAC
last game
Jan 13 vs POR
0 days
days of rest
1 day
yes
back-to-back
no
3
games in last 7 days
3
4th straight road game
home / road
5th straight home game

For context, not in our forecast.

Who's Out

NBA official injury report · Jan 15, 5:00 PM ET
New York Knicks
NYJalen Brunson · right ankle; sprainOut
NYMitchell Robinson · left ankle; left ankle injury managementOut
NYTrey Jemison III · g league - two-wayOut
NYLandry Shamet · right shoulder; sprainQuestionable
Golden State Warriors
GSLJ Cryer · g league - two-wayOut
GSMalevy Leons · g league - two-wayOut
GSSeth Curry · left sciatic nerve; irritationOut

For context, not in our forecast.

Team Comparison

2025–26 season · box-score averages from 41+ games
NY·GS
+0.41
rating (0 = average)
+0.25
119.1
points / game
115.5
114.8
points allowed / game
113.2
26−15
season record
22−19
17−4
home record
14−6
9−11
away record
8−13
L1
streak
W1
4−6
last 10
6−4
47.1
FG%
45.7
37.9
3P%
35.9
46.2
rebounds / game
43.3
26.9
assists / game
28.5
13.6
turnovers / game
15.6
47.8
points in paint / game
42.7

Rating Trend

NY · GS · 78 days
New York KnicksGolden State Warriors
Rating (0 = average team)

Head to Head

last 8 meetings · GS 5−3
Mar 15, 2025at GSGS 97 − 94
Mar 4, 2025at NYGS 114 − 102
Mar 18, 2024at GSNY 119 − 112
Feb 29, 2024at NYGS 110 − 99
Dec 20, 2022at NYNY 132 − 94
Nov 18, 2022at GSGS 111 − 101
Feb 10, 2022at GSNY 116 − 114
Dec 14, 2021at NYGS 105 − 96

NY · Last 10

4−6 · streak L1
Jan 14at SAC101 − 112L
Jan 11at POR123 − 114W
Jan 9at PHX107 − 112L
Jan 7vs LAC123 − 111W
Jan 5at DET90 − 121L
Jan 3vs PHI119 − 130L
Jan 2vs ATL99 − 111L
Dec 31, 2025at SA132 − 134L
Dec 29, 2025at NO130 − 125W
Dec 27, 2025at ATL128 − 125W

GS · Last 10

6−4 · streak W1
Jan 13vs POR119 − 97W
Jan 11vs ATL111 − 124L
Jan 9vs SAC137 − 103W
Jan 7vs MIL120 − 113W
Jan 5at LAC102 − 103L
Jan 3vs UTAH123 − 114W
Jan 2vs OKC94 − 131L
Dec 31, 2025at CHA132 − 125W
Dec 29, 2025at BKN120 − 107W
Dec 28, 2025at TOR127 − 141L