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Knicks at Hawks

NBA · Saturday, Dec 27 · 7:00 PM CT · State Farm Arena · Final NY 128 – ATL 125
← NBA / Dec 27, 2025

Final Box Score

from the game summary
Team1234T
NY33353030128
ATL27283436125
Team box
NY·ATL
43-95
field goals
43-89
15-43
3-pointers
17-43
27-32
free throws
22-27
55
rebounds
37
27
assists
33
14
turnovers
12
52
points in paint
50
Top performers
PlayerTeamMINPTSREBAST
Karl-Anthony TownsNY3036151
Jalen BrunsonNY383435
Onyeka OkongwuATL3631141
Nickeil Alexander-WalkerATL302501
Jalen JohnsonATL3720912
OG AnunobyNY3815105

For context, not in our forecast.

Game Flow

score margin
ATL +18
NY +18
Q1Q2Q3Q4
largest lead: ATL 3 · NY 18lead changes: 14

For context, not in our forecast.

Final · our forecast was NY 61%, ATL 39% · Updated Dec 27, 2025

Expected margin
NY by 4.3
Expected score
NY 120.9 – 116.6 ATL
Expected total
237.5
KnicksThe matchupHawks
−153Our fair odds+153
120.9Expected points116.6
+0.52Power rating−0.14
120.4Points / game118.6
113.3Allowed / game119.8
47.9FG%48.3
38.43P%36.4
46.5Rebounds / game41.6
22−9Season record15−17
8−2Last 102−8
Josh Hart · Landry ShametOutEli John Ndiaye · Kristaps Porzingis
N'Faly Dante · Nikola Djurisic

Prediction markets

Kalshi · Polymarket US · ProphetX · Novig
NY chance · ATL chance
Our model fair60.5%39.5%
Kalshino two-sided price
Polymarket USno two-sided price
ProphetXno two-sided price
Novigno two-sided price
Full price table
TeamOur modelfairKalshi Polymarket US ProphetX Novig 
Moneyline
NYNew York Knicks−15361%————
ATLAtlanta Hawks+15339%————
SpreadNY by 4.3
NYNew York Knicks−4.3our margin————
ATLAtlanta Hawks+4.3our margin————
Totalwe expect 237.5
Over237.5our total————
Under237.5our total————

These are each venue’s last prices before the start (Kalshi’s moneyline: its pre-game close). Odds are the price to buy that side now, taker fee included; the small percent is the implied chance of that same price. Highlighted is the best price in the row among venues on the same line. — means not listed (hover or tap for why). A market price is not the true chance of winning.

Margin range

New York Knicks by 4.3 expected
New York Knicks by 45 points: <1%New York Knicks by 44 points: <1%New York Knicks by 43 points: <1%New York Knicks by 42 points: <1%New York Knicks by 41 points: <1%New York Knicks by 40 points: <1%New York Knicks by 39 points: <1%New York Knicks by 38 points: <1%New York Knicks by 37 points: <1%New York Knicks by 36 points: <1%New York Knicks by 35 points: <1%New York Knicks by 34 points: <1%New York Knicks by 33 points: <1%New York Knicks by 32 points: 1%New York Knicks by 31 points: 1%New York Knicks by 30 points: 1%New York Knicks by 29 points: 1%New York Knicks by 28 points: 1%New York Knicks by 27 points: 1%New York Knicks by 26 points: 1%New York Knicks by 25 points: 1%New York Knicks by 24 points: 1%New York Knicks by 23 points: 1%New York Knicks by 22 points: 1%New York Knicks by 21 points: 1%New York Knicks by 20 points: 1%New York Knicks by 19 points: 2%New York Knicks by 18 points: 2%New York Knicks by 17 points: 2%New York Knicks by 16 points: 2%New York Knicks by 15 points: 2%New York Knicks by 14 points: 2%New York Knicks by 13 points: 2%New York Knicks by 12 points: 3%New York Knicks by 11 points: 3%New York Knicks by 10 points: 3%New York Knicks by 9 points: 3%New York Knicks by 8 points: 3%New York Knicks by 7 points: 3%New York Knicks by 6 points: 3%New York Knicks by 5 points: 3%New York Knicks by 4 points: 3%New York Knicks by 3 points: 3%New York Knicks by 2 points: 2%New York Knicks by 1 point: 2%Atlanta Hawks by 1 point: 2%Atlanta Hawks by 2 points: 2%Atlanta Hawks by 3 points: 2%Atlanta Hawks by 4 points: 2%Atlanta Hawks by 5 points: 2%Atlanta Hawks by 6 points: 2%Atlanta Hawks by 7 points: 2%Atlanta Hawks by 8 points: 2%Atlanta Hawks by 9 points: 2%Atlanta Hawks by 10 points: 2%Atlanta Hawks by 11 points: 2%Atlanta Hawks by 12 points: 2%Atlanta Hawks by 13 points: 1%Atlanta Hawks by 14 points: 1%Atlanta Hawks by 15 points: 1%Atlanta Hawks by 16 points: 1%Atlanta Hawks by 17 points: 1%Atlanta Hawks by 18 points: 1%Atlanta Hawks by 19 points: 1%Atlanta Hawks by 20 points: 1%Atlanta Hawks by 21 points: 1%Atlanta Hawks by 22 points: 1%Atlanta Hawks by 23 points: <1%Atlanta Hawks by 24 points: <1%Atlanta Hawks by 25 points: <1%Atlanta Hawks by 26 points: <1%Atlanta Hawks by 27 points: <1%Atlanta Hawks by 28 points: <1%Atlanta Hawks by 29 points: <1%Atlanta Hawks by 30 points: <1%Atlanta Hawks by 31 points: <1%Atlanta Hawks by 32 points: <1%Atlanta Hawks by 33 points: <1%Atlanta Hawks by 34 points: <1%Atlanta Hawks by 35 points: <1%Atlanta Hawks by 36 points: <1%Atlanta Hawks by 37 points: <1%Atlanta Hawks by 38 points: <1%Atlanta Hawks by 39 points: <1%Atlanta Hawks by 40 points: <1%Atlanta Hawks by 41 points: <1%Atlanta Hawks by 42 points: <1%Atlanta Hawks by 43 points: <1%Atlanta Hawks by 44 points: <1%Atlanta Hawks by 45 points: <1%
← NY wins byATL wins by →
New York Knicks wins by 5 or more52%
New York Knicks wins by 10 or more37%
New York Knicks wins by 15 or more23%
Within 5 points either way24%

Centered on the expected margin above; shape from the real results of 6,530 past NBA games.

Total range

237.5 expected
187 points: <1%188 points: <1%189 points: <1%190 points: <1%191 points: <1%192 points: <1%193 points: <1%194 points: <1%195 points: <1%196 points: <1%197 points: <1%198 points: <1%199 points: <1%200 points: <1%201 points: <1%202 points: <1%203 points: <1%204 points: <1%205 points: 1%206 points: 1%207 points: 1%208 points: 1%209 points: 1%210 points: 1%211 points: 1%212 points: 1%213 points: 1%214 points: 1%215 points: 1%216 points: 1%217 points: 1%218 points: 1%219 points: 1%220 points: 1%221 points: 2%222 points: 2%223 points: 2%224 points: 2%225 points: 2%226 points: 2%227 points: 2%228 points: 2%229 points: 2%230 points: 2%231 points: 2%232 points: 2%233 points: 2%234 points: 2%235 points: 2%236 points: 2%237 points: 2%238 points: 2%239 points: 2%240 points: 2%241 points: 2%242 points: 2%243 points: 2%244 points: 2%245 points: 2%246 points: 2%247 points: 2%248 points: 2%249 points: 2%250 points: 2%251 points: 1%252 points: 1%253 points: 1%254 points: 1%255 points: 1%256 points: 1%257 points: 1%258 points: 1%259 points: 1%260 points: 1%261 points: 1%262 points: 1%263 points: 1%264 points: 1%265 points: 1%266 points: 1%267 points: 1%268 points: 1%269 points: 1%270 points: 1%271 points: <1%272 points: <1%273 points: <1%274 points: <1%275 points: <1%276 points: <1%277 points: <1%278 points: <1%279 points: <1%280 points: <1%281 points: <1%282 points: <1%283 points: <1%284 points: <1%285 points: <1%286 points: <1%287 points: <1%288 points: <1%289 points: <1%290 points: <1%291 points: <1%292 points: <1%293 points: <1%294 points: <1%295 points: <1%296 points: <1%297 points: <1%
Total points, both teams
Total over 227.568%
Total over 237.549%
Total over 247.530%
Total from 228 to 24738%

Centered on the expected total above; shape from the real results of 6,530 past NBA games.

Starting Lineups

from the box score
New York Knicks
GMikal Bridgesstarted
GJalen Brunsonstarted
FOG Anunobystarted
FMohamed Diawarastarted
CKarl-Anthony Townsstarted
Atlanta Hawks
GTrae Youngstarted
GDyson Danielsstarted
FOnyeka Okongwustarted
FJalen Johnsonstarted
FZaccharie Risacherstarted

For context, not in our forecast.

Rest and Schedule

before this game
NY·ATL
Dec 25, 2025 vs CLE
last game
Dec 26, 2025 vs MIA
1 day
days of rest
0 days
no
back-to-back
yes
3
games in last 7 days
3
road after a home game
home / road
5th straight home game

For context, not in our forecast.

Who's Out

NBA official injury report · Dec 27, 5:00 PM ET
New York Knicks
NYJosh Hart · right ankle; sprainOut
NYLandry Shamet · right shoulder; sprainOut
NYMiles McBride · left ankle; sprainQuestionable
Atlanta Hawks
ATLEli John Ndiaye · g league - two-wayOut
ATLKristaps Porzingis · n/a; illnessOut
ATLN'Faly Dante · right knee; torn aclOut
ATLNikola Djurisic · g league - on assignmentOut
ATLCaleb Houstan · g league - two-wayDoubtful
ATLMalik Williams · g league - two-wayDoubtful
ATLTrae Young · right quad; contusionProbable

For context, not in our forecast.

Team Comparison

2025–26 season · box-score averages from 31+ games
NY·ATL
+0.52
rating (0 = average)
−0.14
120.4
points / game
118.6
113.3
points allowed / game
119.8
22−9
season record
15−17
16−2
home record
5−10
6−7
away record
10−7
W1
streak
L5
8−2
last 10
2−8
47.9
FG%
48.3
38.4
3P%
36.4
46.5
rebounds / game
41.6
26.9
assists / game
31.0
13.6
turnovers / game
15.4
49.0
points in paint / game
52.9

Rating Trend

NY · ATL · 59 days
New York KnicksAtlanta Hawks
Rating (0 = average team)

Head to Head

last 10 meetings · ATL 4−6
Apr 5, 2025at ATLNY 121 − 105
Feb 12, 2025at NYNY 149 − 148
Jan 20, 2025at NYNY 119 − 110
Dec 11, 2024at NYATL 108 − 100
Nov 6, 2024at ATLATL 121 − 116
Mar 5, 2024at NYATL 116 − 100
Nov 15, 2023at ATLNY 116 − 114
Oct 27, 2023at ATLNY 126 − 120
Feb 15, 2023at ATLNY 122 − 101
Jan 20, 2023at ATLATL 139 − 124

NY · Last 10

8−2 · streak W1
Dec 25, 2025vs CLE126 − 124W
Dec 23, 2025at MIN104 − 115L
Dec 21, 2025vs MIA132 − 125W
Dec 19, 2025vs PHI107 − 116L
Dec 18, 2025at IND114 − 113W
Dec 16, 2025vs SA124 − 113W
Dec 13, 2025at ORL132 − 120W
Dec 9, 2025at TOR117 − 101W
Dec 7, 2025vs ORL106 − 100W
Dec 5, 2025vs UTAH146 − 112W

ATL · Last 10

2−8 · streak L5
Dec 26, 2025vs MIA111 − 126L
Dec 23, 2025vs CHI123 − 126L
Dec 21, 2025vs CHI150 − 152L
Dec 19, 2025vs SA98 − 126L
Dec 18, 2025at CHA126 − 133L
Dec 14, 2025vs PHI120 − 117W
Dec 12, 2025at DET115 − 142L
Dec 6, 2025at WSH131 − 116W
Dec 5, 2025vs DEN133 − 134L
Dec 3, 2025vs LAC92 − 115L