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Cavaliers at Knicks

NBA · Thursday, Dec 25 · 11:00 AM CT · Madison Square Garden · Final CLE 124 – NY 126
← NBA / Dec 25, 2025

Final Box Score

from the game summary
Team1234T
CLE38203828124
NY23372442126
Team box
CLE·NY
45-86
field goals
44-94
15-34
3-pointers
21-44
19-23
free throws
17-22
45
rebounds
43
30
assists
28
14
turnovers
13
56
points in paint
40
Top performers
PlayerTeamMINPTSREBAST
Donovan MitchellCLE333476
Jalen BrunsonNY393414
Jordan ClarksonNY292512
Darius GarlandCLE3620110
Tyler KolekNY251639
Jaylon TysonCLE201661

For context, not in our forecast.

Game Flow

score margin
NY +17
CLE +17
Q1Q2Q3Q4
largest lead: NY 6 · CLE 17lead changes: 9

For context, not in our forecast.

Final · our forecast was CLE 42%, NY 58% · Updated Dec 25, 2025

Expected margin
NY by 3.4
Expected score
NY 117.7 – 114.3 CLE
Expected total
232.0
CavaliersThe matchupKnicks
+140Our fair odds−140
114.3Expected points117.7
+0.41Power rating+0.52
120.0Points / game120.2
117.5Allowed / game112.9
46.5FG%47.9
34.93P%38.1
44.5Rebounds / game46.7
17−14Season record21−9
5−5Last 108−2
Chris Livingston · Larry Nance Jr.
Luke Travers · Max StrusOutLandry Shamet · Miles McBride

Prediction markets

Kalshi · Polymarket US · ProphetX · Novig
CLE chance · NY chance
Our model fair41.6%58.4%
Kalshino two-sided price
Polymarket USno two-sided price
ProphetXno two-sided price
Novigno two-sided price
Full price table
TeamOur modelfairKalshi Polymarket US ProphetX Novig 
Moneyline
CLECleveland Cavaliers+14042%————
NYNew York Knicks−14058%————
SpreadNY by 3.4
CLECleveland Cavaliers+3.4our margin————
NYNew York Knicks−3.4our margin————
Totalwe expect 232.0
Over232.0our total————
Under232.0our total————

These are each venue’s last prices before the start (Kalshi’s moneyline: its pre-game close). Odds are the price to buy that side now, taker fee included; the small percent is the implied chance of that same price. Highlighted is the best price in the row among venues on the same line. — means not listed (hover or tap for why). A market price is not the true chance of winning.

Margin range

New York Knicks by 3.4 expected
Cleveland Cavaliers by 45 points: <1%Cleveland Cavaliers by 44 points: <1%Cleveland Cavaliers by 43 points: <1%Cleveland Cavaliers by 42 points: <1%Cleveland Cavaliers by 41 points: <1%Cleveland Cavaliers by 40 points: <1%Cleveland Cavaliers by 39 points: <1%Cleveland Cavaliers by 38 points: <1%Cleveland Cavaliers by 37 points: <1%Cleveland Cavaliers by 36 points: <1%Cleveland Cavaliers by 35 points: <1%Cleveland Cavaliers by 34 points: <1%Cleveland Cavaliers by 33 points: <1%Cleveland Cavaliers by 32 points: <1%Cleveland Cavaliers by 31 points: <1%Cleveland Cavaliers by 30 points: <1%Cleveland Cavaliers by 29 points: <1%Cleveland Cavaliers by 28 points: <1%Cleveland Cavaliers by 27 points: <1%Cleveland Cavaliers by 26 points: <1%Cleveland Cavaliers by 25 points: <1%Cleveland Cavaliers by 24 points: <1%Cleveland Cavaliers by 23 points: 1%Cleveland Cavaliers by 22 points: 1%Cleveland Cavaliers by 21 points: 1%Cleveland Cavaliers by 20 points: 1%Cleveland Cavaliers by 19 points: 1%Cleveland Cavaliers by 18 points: 1%Cleveland Cavaliers by 17 points: 1%Cleveland Cavaliers by 16 points: 1%Cleveland Cavaliers by 15 points: 1%Cleveland Cavaliers by 14 points: 1%Cleveland Cavaliers by 13 points: 1%Cleveland Cavaliers by 12 points: 2%Cleveland Cavaliers by 11 points: 2%Cleveland Cavaliers by 10 points: 2%Cleveland Cavaliers by 9 points: 2%Cleveland Cavaliers by 8 points: 2%Cleveland Cavaliers by 7 points: 2%Cleveland Cavaliers by 6 points: 2%Cleveland Cavaliers by 5 points: 2%Cleveland Cavaliers by 4 points: 2%Cleveland Cavaliers by 3 points: 2%Cleveland Cavaliers by 2 points: 2%Cleveland Cavaliers by 1 point: 2%New York Knicks by 1 point: 2%New York Knicks by 2 points: 2%New York Knicks by 3 points: 3%New York Knicks by 4 points: 3%New York Knicks by 5 points: 3%New York Knicks by 6 points: 3%New York Knicks by 7 points: 3%New York Knicks by 8 points: 3%New York Knicks by 9 points: 3%New York Knicks by 10 points: 3%New York Knicks by 11 points: 3%New York Knicks by 12 points: 3%New York Knicks by 13 points: 2%New York Knicks by 14 points: 2%New York Knicks by 15 points: 2%New York Knicks by 16 points: 2%New York Knicks by 17 points: 2%New York Knicks by 18 points: 2%New York Knicks by 19 points: 1%New York Knicks by 20 points: 1%New York Knicks by 21 points: 1%New York Knicks by 22 points: 1%New York Knicks by 23 points: 1%New York Knicks by 24 points: 1%New York Knicks by 25 points: 1%New York Knicks by 26 points: 1%New York Knicks by 27 points: 1%New York Knicks by 28 points: 1%New York Knicks by 29 points: 1%New York Knicks by 30 points: <1%New York Knicks by 31 points: <1%New York Knicks by 32 points: <1%New York Knicks by 33 points: <1%New York Knicks by 34 points: <1%New York Knicks by 35 points: <1%New York Knicks by 36 points: <1%New York Knicks by 37 points: <1%New York Knicks by 38 points: <1%New York Knicks by 39 points: <1%New York Knicks by 40 points: <1%New York Knicks by 41 points: <1%New York Knicks by 42 points: <1%New York Knicks by 43 points: <1%New York Knicks by 44 points: <1%New York Knicks by 45 points: <1%
← CLE wins byNY wins by →
New York Knicks wins by 5 or more50%
New York Knicks wins by 10 or more35%
New York Knicks wins by 15 or more22%
Within 5 points either way25%

Centered on the expected margin above; shape from the real results of 6,530 past NBA games.

Total range

232.0 expected
182 points: <1%183 points: <1%184 points: <1%185 points: <1%186 points: <1%187 points: <1%188 points: <1%189 points: <1%190 points: <1%191 points: <1%192 points: <1%193 points: <1%194 points: <1%195 points: <1%196 points: <1%197 points: <1%198 points: <1%199 points: <1%200 points: 1%201 points: 1%202 points: 1%203 points: 1%204 points: 1%205 points: 1%206 points: 1%207 points: 1%208 points: 1%209 points: 1%210 points: 1%211 points: 1%212 points: 1%213 points: 1%214 points: 1%215 points: 1%216 points: 2%217 points: 2%218 points: 2%219 points: 2%220 points: 2%221 points: 2%222 points: 2%223 points: 2%224 points: 2%225 points: 2%226 points: 2%227 points: 2%228 points: 2%229 points: 2%230 points: 2%231 points: 2%232 points: 2%233 points: 2%234 points: 2%235 points: 2%236 points: 2%237 points: 2%238 points: 2%239 points: 2%240 points: 2%241 points: 2%242 points: 2%243 points: 2%244 points: 2%245 points: 1%246 points: 1%247 points: 1%248 points: 1%249 points: 1%250 points: 1%251 points: 1%252 points: 1%253 points: 1%254 points: 1%255 points: 1%256 points: 1%257 points: 1%258 points: 1%259 points: 1%260 points: 1%261 points: 1%262 points: 1%263 points: 1%264 points: 1%265 points: <1%266 points: <1%267 points: <1%268 points: <1%269 points: <1%270 points: <1%271 points: <1%272 points: <1%273 points: <1%274 points: <1%275 points: <1%276 points: <1%277 points: <1%278 points: <1%279 points: <1%280 points: <1%281 points: <1%282 points: <1%283 points: <1%284 points: <1%285 points: <1%286 points: <1%287 points: <1%288 points: <1%
Total points, both teams
Total over 222.568%
Total over 232.548%
Total over 242.529%
Total from 223 to 24239%

Centered on the expected total above; shape from the real results of 6,530 past NBA games.

Starting Lineups

from the box score
Cleveland Cavaliers
GDonovan Mitchellstarted
GSam Merrillstarted
GDarius Garlandstarted
FDean Wadestarted
CJarrett Allenstarted
New York Knicks
GJosh Hartstarted
GMikal Bridgesstarted
GJalen Brunsonstarted
FOG Anunobystarted
CKarl-Anthony Townsstarted

For context, not in our forecast.

Rest and Schedule

before this game
CLE·NY
Dec 23, 2025 vs NO
last game
Dec 23, 2025 at MIN
1 day
days of rest
1 day
no
back-to-back
no
3
games in last 7 days
4
road after a home game
home / road
home after a road game

For context, not in our forecast.

Who's Out

NBA official injury report · Dec 25, 5:00 PM ET
Cleveland Cavaliers
CLEChris Livingston · g league - two-wayOut
CLELarry Nance Jr. · right calf; strainOut
CLELuke Travers · g league - two-wayOut
CLEMax Strus · left foot; surgery - jones fractureOut
New York Knicks
NYLandry Shamet · right shoulder; sprainOut
NYMiles McBride · left ankle; sprainOut

For context, not in our forecast.

Team Comparison

2025–26 season · box-score averages from 30+ games
CLE·NY
+0.41
rating (0 = average)
+0.52
120.0
points / game
120.2
117.5
points allowed / game
112.9
17−14
season record
21−9
11−8
home record
15−2
6−6
away record
6−7
W2
streak
L1
5−5
last 10
8−2
46.5
FG%
47.9
34.9
3P%
38.1
44.5
rebounds / game
46.7
27.6
assists / game
26.9
13.9
turnovers / game
13.6
49.2
points in paint / game
49.3

Rating Trend

CLE · NY · 57 days
Cleveland CavaliersNew York Knicks
Rating (0 = average team)

Head to Head

last 10 meetings · NY 5−5
Oct 22, 2025at NYNY 119 − 111
Apr 11, 2025at NYCLE 108 − 102
Apr 2, 2025at CLECLE 124 − 105
Feb 21, 2025at CLECLE 142 − 105
Oct 28, 2024at NYCLE 110 − 104
Mar 3, 2024at CLENY 107 − 98
Nov 1, 2023at NYCLE 95 − 89
Oct 31, 2023at CLENY 109 − 91
Apr 26, 2023at CLENY 106 − 95post
Apr 23, 2023at NYNY 102 − 93post

CLE · Last 10

5−5 · streak W2
Dec 23, 2025vs NO141 − 118W
Dec 22, 2025vs CHA139 − 132W
Dec 19, 2025vs CHI125 − 136L
Dec 17, 2025at CHI111 − 127L
Dec 14, 2025vs CHA111 − 119L
Dec 12, 2025at WSH130 − 126W
Dec 6, 2025vs GS94 − 99L
Dec 5, 2025vs SA130 − 117W
Dec 3, 2025vs POR110 − 122L
Dec 1, 2025at IND135 − 119W

NY · Last 10

8−2 · streak L1
Dec 23, 2025at MIN104 − 115L
Dec 21, 2025vs MIA132 − 125W
Dec 19, 2025vs PHI107 − 116L
Dec 18, 2025at IND114 − 113W
Dec 16, 2025vs SA124 − 113W
Dec 13, 2025at ORL132 − 120W
Dec 9, 2025at TOR117 − 101W
Dec 7, 2025vs ORL106 − 100W
Dec 5, 2025vs UTAH146 − 112W
Dec 3, 2025vs CHA119 − 104W