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Hornets at Cavaliers

NBA · Sunday, Dec 14 · 2:30 PM CT · Rocket Arena · Final CHA 119 – CLE 111
← NBA / Dec 14, 2025

Final Box Score

from the game summary
Team1234OTT
CHA332431238119
CLE291832320111
Team box
CHA·CLE
43-98
field goals
38-95
17-44
3-pointers
12-38
16-21
free throws
23-29
53
rebounds
46
28
assists
27
18
turnovers
14
50
points in paint
50
Top performers
PlayerTeamMINPTSREBAST
Kon KnueppelCHA442943
Darius GarlandCLE392629
Brandon MillerCHA3925136
Miles BridgesCHA3920106
Donovan MitchellCLE381727
Jaylon TysonCLE3516131

For context, not in our forecast.

Game Flow

score margin
CLE +17
CHA +17
Q1Q2Q3Q4OT
largest lead: CLE 5 · CHA 17lead changes: 5

For context, not in our forecast.

Final · our forecast was CHA 15%, CLE 85% · Updated Dec 14, 2025

Expected margin
CLE by 14.5
Expected score
CLE 121.0 – 106.5 CHA
Expected total
227.6
HornetsThe matchupCavaliers
+583Our fair odds−583
106.5Expected points121.0
−0.98Power rating+0.59
114.7Points / game119.0
118.7Allowed / game115.8
45.8FG%46.0
34.83P%34.1
44.1Rebounds / game44.9
7−18Season record15−11
3−7Last 105−5
Antonio Reeves · Collin Sexton
Grant Williams · LaMelo Ball
Liam McNeeleyOut (5 each)Chris Livingston · Evan Mobley
Larry Nance Jr. · Luke Travers
Max Strus

Prediction markets

Kalshi · Polymarket US · ProphetX · Novig
CHA chance · CLE chance
Our model fair14.6%85.4%
Kalshino two-sided price
Polymarket USno two-sided price
ProphetXno two-sided price
Novigno two-sided price
Full price table
TeamOur modelfairKalshi Polymarket US ProphetX Novig 
Moneyline
CHACharlotte Hornets+58315%————
CLECleveland Cavaliers−58385%————
SpreadCLE by 14.5
CHACharlotte Hornets+14.5our margin————
CLECleveland Cavaliers−14.5our margin————
Totalwe expect 227.6
Over227.6our total————
Under227.6our total————

These are each venue’s last prices before the start (Kalshi’s moneyline: its pre-game close). Odds are the price to buy that side now, taker fee included; the small percent is the implied chance of that same price. Highlighted is the best price in the row among venues on the same line. — means not listed (hover or tap for why). A market price is not the true chance of winning.

Margin range

Cleveland Cavaliers by 14.5 expected
Charlotte Hornets by 53 points: <1%Charlotte Hornets by 52 points: <1%Charlotte Hornets by 51 points: <1%Charlotte Hornets by 50 points: <1%Charlotte Hornets by 49 points: <1%Charlotte Hornets by 48 points: <1%Charlotte Hornets by 47 points: <1%Charlotte Hornets by 46 points: <1%Charlotte Hornets by 45 points: <1%Charlotte Hornets by 44 points: <1%Charlotte Hornets by 43 points: <1%Charlotte Hornets by 42 points: <1%Charlotte Hornets by 41 points: <1%Charlotte Hornets by 40 points: <1%Charlotte Hornets by 39 points: <1%Charlotte Hornets by 38 points: <1%Charlotte Hornets by 37 points: <1%Charlotte Hornets by 36 points: <1%Charlotte Hornets by 35 points: <1%Charlotte Hornets by 34 points: <1%Charlotte Hornets by 33 points: <1%Charlotte Hornets by 32 points: <1%Charlotte Hornets by 31 points: <1%Charlotte Hornets by 30 points: <1%Charlotte Hornets by 29 points: <1%Charlotte Hornets by 28 points: <1%Charlotte Hornets by 27 points: <1%Charlotte Hornets by 26 points: <1%Charlotte Hornets by 25 points: <1%Charlotte Hornets by 24 points: <1%Charlotte Hornets by 23 points: <1%Charlotte Hornets by 22 points: <1%Charlotte Hornets by 21 points: <1%Charlotte Hornets by 20 points: <1%Charlotte Hornets by 19 points: <1%Charlotte Hornets by 18 points: <1%Charlotte Hornets by 17 points: <1%Charlotte Hornets by 16 points: <1%Charlotte Hornets by 15 points: <1%Charlotte Hornets by 14 points: <1%Charlotte Hornets by 13 points: <1%Charlotte Hornets by 12 points: 1%Charlotte Hornets by 11 points: 1%Charlotte Hornets by 10 points: 1%Charlotte Hornets by 9 points: 1%Charlotte Hornets by 8 points: 1%Charlotte Hornets by 7 points: 1%Charlotte Hornets by 6 points: 1%Charlotte Hornets by 5 points: 1%Charlotte Hornets by 4 points: 1%Charlotte Hornets by 3 points: 1%Charlotte Hornets by 2 points: 1%Charlotte Hornets by 1 point: 1%Cleveland Cavaliers by 1 point: 2%Cleveland Cavaliers by 2 points: 2%Cleveland Cavaliers by 3 points: 2%Cleveland Cavaliers by 4 points: 2%Cleveland Cavaliers by 5 points: 2%Cleveland Cavaliers by 6 points: 2%Cleveland Cavaliers by 7 points: 3%Cleveland Cavaliers by 8 points: 3%Cleveland Cavaliers by 9 points: 3%Cleveland Cavaliers by 10 points: 3%Cleveland Cavaliers by 11 points: 3%Cleveland Cavaliers by 12 points: 3%Cleveland Cavaliers by 13 points: 3%Cleveland Cavaliers by 14 points: 3%Cleveland Cavaliers by 15 points: 3%Cleveland Cavaliers by 16 points: 3%Cleveland Cavaliers by 17 points: 3%Cleveland Cavaliers by 18 points: 3%Cleveland Cavaliers by 19 points: 2%Cleveland Cavaliers by 20 points: 2%Cleveland Cavaliers by 21 points: 2%Cleveland Cavaliers by 22 points: 2%Cleveland Cavaliers by 23 points: 2%Cleveland Cavaliers by 24 points: 2%Cleveland Cavaliers by 25 points: 2%Cleveland Cavaliers by 26 points: 2%Cleveland Cavaliers by 27 points: 2%Cleveland Cavaliers by 28 points: 2%Cleveland Cavaliers by 29 points: 2%Cleveland Cavaliers by 30 points: 2%Cleveland Cavaliers by 31 points: 2%Cleveland Cavaliers by 32 points: 2%Cleveland Cavaliers by 33 points: 1%Cleveland Cavaliers by 34 points: 1%Cleveland Cavaliers by 35 points: 1%Cleveland Cavaliers by 36 points: 1%Cleveland Cavaliers by 37 points: 1%Cleveland Cavaliers by 38 points: 1%Cleveland Cavaliers by 39 points: 1%Cleveland Cavaliers by 40 points: 1%Cleveland Cavaliers by 41 points: <1%Cleveland Cavaliers by 42 points: <1%Cleveland Cavaliers by 43 points: <1%Cleveland Cavaliers by 44 points: <1%Cleveland Cavaliers by 45 points: <1%Cleveland Cavaliers by 46 points: <1%Cleveland Cavaliers by 47 points: <1%Cleveland Cavaliers by 48 points: <1%Cleveland Cavaliers by 49 points: <1%Cleveland Cavaliers by 50 points: <1%Cleveland Cavaliers by 51 points: <1%Cleveland Cavaliers by 52 points: <1%Cleveland Cavaliers by 53 points: <1%
← CHA wins byCLE wins by →
Cleveland Cavaliers wins by 5 or more77%
Cleveland Cavaliers wins by 10 or more64%
Cleveland Cavaliers wins by 15 or more48%
Within 5 points either way17%

Centered on the expected margin above; shape from the real results of 6,530 past NBA games.

Total range

227.6 expected
178 points: <1%179 points: <1%180 points: <1%181 points: <1%182 points: <1%183 points: <1%184 points: <1%185 points: <1%186 points: <1%187 points: <1%188 points: <1%189 points: <1%190 points: <1%191 points: <1%192 points: <1%193 points: <1%194 points: <1%195 points: 1%196 points: 1%197 points: 1%198 points: 1%199 points: 1%200 points: 1%201 points: 1%202 points: 1%203 points: 1%204 points: 1%205 points: 1%206 points: 1%207 points: 1%208 points: 1%209 points: 1%210 points: 1%211 points: 1%212 points: 2%213 points: 2%214 points: 2%215 points: 2%216 points: 2%217 points: 2%218 points: 2%219 points: 2%220 points: 2%221 points: 2%222 points: 2%223 points: 2%224 points: 2%225 points: 2%226 points: 2%227 points: 2%228 points: 2%229 points: 2%230 points: 2%231 points: 2%232 points: 2%233 points: 2%234 points: 2%235 points: 2%236 points: 2%237 points: 2%238 points: 2%239 points: 2%240 points: 2%241 points: 2%242 points: 1%243 points: 1%244 points: 1%245 points: 1%246 points: 1%247 points: 1%248 points: 1%249 points: 1%250 points: 1%251 points: 1%252 points: 1%253 points: 1%254 points: 1%255 points: 1%256 points: 1%257 points: 1%258 points: 1%259 points: 1%260 points: 1%261 points: <1%262 points: <1%263 points: <1%264 points: <1%265 points: <1%266 points: <1%267 points: <1%268 points: <1%269 points: <1%270 points: <1%271 points: <1%272 points: <1%273 points: <1%274 points: <1%275 points: <1%276 points: <1%277 points: <1%278 points: <1%279 points: <1%280 points: <1%281 points: <1%
Total points, both teams
Total over 217.569%
Total over 227.550%
Total over 237.530%
Total from 218 to 23739%

Centered on the expected total above; shape from the real results of 6,530 past NBA games.

Starting Lineups

from the box score
Charlotte Hornets
GSion Jamesstarted
GKon Knueppelstarted
FMiles Bridgesstarted
FBrandon Millerstarted
CRyan Kalkbrennerstarted
Cleveland Cavaliers
GDonovan Mitchellstarted
GDarius Garlandstarted
FDean Wadestarted
FDe'Andre Hunterstarted
CJarrett Allenstarted

For context, not in our forecast.

Rest and Schedule

before this game
CHA·CLE
Dec 12, 2025 vs CHI
last game
Dec 12, 2025 at WSH
1 day
days of rest
1 day
no
back-to-back
no
2
games in last 7 days
1
road after a home game
home / road
home after a road game

For context, not in our forecast.

Who's Out

NBA official injury report · Dec 14, 5:00 PM ET
Charlotte Hornets
CHAAntonio Reeves · g league - two-wayOut
CHACollin Sexton · left quadriceps; strainOut
CHAGrant Williams · right knee; surgeryOut
CHALaMelo Ball · left ankle; boneOut
CHALiam McNeeley · g league - on assignmentOut
CHAPat Connaughton · bruise right calf; strainOut
CHATre Mann · right knee; bone bruiseOut
Cleveland Cavaliers
CLEChris Livingston · g league - two-wayOut
CLEEvan Mobley · left calf; strainOut
CLELarry Nance Jr. · right calf; strainOut
CLELuke Travers · g league - two-wayOut
CLEMax Strus · left foot; surgery - jones fractureOut
CLESam Merrill · right hand; sprainOut

For context, not in our forecast.

Team Comparison

2025–26 season · box-score averages from 25+ games
CHA·CLE
−0.98
rating (0 = average)
+0.59
114.7
points / game
119.0
118.7
points allowed / game
115.8
7−18
season record
15−11
5−8
home record
9−6
2−10
away record
6−5
L2
streak
W1
3−7
last 10
5−5
45.8
FG%
46.0
34.8
3P%
34.1
44.1
rebounds / game
44.9
25.5
assists / game
26.8
15.7
turnovers / game
13.7
49.8
points in paint / game
48.0

Rating Trend

CHA · CLE · 47 days
Charlotte HornetsCleveland Cavaliers
Rating (0 = average team)

Head to Head

last 10 meetings · CLE 7−3
Mar 7, 2025at CHACLE 118 − 117
Jan 5, 2025at CLECLE 115 − 105
Dec 7, 2024at CHACLE 116 − 102
Nov 17, 2024at CLECLE 128 − 114
Apr 14, 2024at CLECHA 120 − 110
Mar 27, 2024at CHACHA 118 − 111
Mar 25, 2024at CLECLE 115 − 92
Apr 9, 2023at CLECHA 106 − 95
Mar 14, 2023at CHACLE 120 − 104
Mar 12, 2023at CHACLE 114 − 108

CHA · Last 10

3−7 · streak L2
Dec 12, 2025vs CHI126 − 129L
Dec 7, 2025vs DEN106 − 115L
Dec 5, 2025at TOR111 − 86W
Dec 3, 2025at NY104 − 119L
Dec 1, 2025at BKN103 − 116L
Nov 29, 2025vs TOR118 − 111W
Nov 28, 2025vs CHI123 − 116W
Nov 26, 2025vs NY101 − 129L
Nov 23, 2025at ATL110 − 113L
Nov 22, 2025vs LAC116 − 131L

CLE · Last 10

5−5 · streak W1
Dec 12, 2025at WSH130 − 126W
Dec 6, 2025vs GS94 − 99L
Dec 5, 2025vs SA130 − 117W
Dec 3, 2025vs POR110 − 122L
Dec 1, 2025at IND135 − 119W
Nov 30, 2025vs BOS115 − 117L
Nov 28, 2025at ATL123 − 130L
Nov 24, 2025at TOR99 − 110L
Nov 23, 2025vs LAC120 − 105W
Nov 21, 2025vs IND120 − 109W