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Knicks at Pacers

NBA · Thursday, Dec 18 · 6:00 PM CT · Gainbridge Fieldhouse · Final NY 114 – IND 113
← NBA / Dec 18, 2025

Final Box Score

from the game summary
Team1234T
NY25342728114
IND36263021113
Team box
NY·IND
43-92
field goals
43-93
17-43
3-pointers
11-34
11-19
free throws
16-18
46
rebounds
52
31
assists
22
16
turnovers
14
40
points in paint
40
Top performers
PlayerTeamMINPTSREBAST
Andrew NembhardIND373114
Pascal SiakamIND382665
Jalen BrunsonNY342577
Mikal BridgesNY372285
Jordan ClarksonNY291831
Tyler KolekNY2616611

For context, not in our forecast.

Game Flow

score margin
IND +16
NY +16
Q1Q2Q3Q4
largest lead: IND 16 · NY 3lead changes: 8

For context, not in our forecast.

Final · our forecast was NY 59%, IND 41% · Updated Dec 18, 2025

Expected margin
NY by 3.2
Expected score
NY 116.2 – 113.1 IND
Expected total
229.3
KnicksThe matchupPacers
−142Our fair odds+142
116.2Expected points113.1
+0.53Power rating−0.04
121.1Points / game110.2
112.3Allowed / game118.3
48.1FG%43.2
38.03P%33.0
46.4Rebounds / game43.9
19−7Season record6−20
9−1Last 104−6
Josh Hart · Karl-Anthony Towns
Landry Shamet · Miles McBride
Mitchell RobinsonOutAaron Nesmith · Ben Sheppard
Obi Toppin · Tyrese Haliburton

Prediction markets

Kalshi · Polymarket US · ProphetX · Novig
NY chance · IND chance
Our model fair58.7%41.3%
Kalshino two-sided price
Polymarket USno two-sided price
ProphetXno two-sided price
Novigno two-sided price
Full price table
TeamOur modelfairKalshi Polymarket US ProphetX Novig 
Moneyline
NYNew York Knicks−14259%————
INDIndiana Pacers+14241%————
SpreadNY by 3.2
NYNew York Knicks−3.2our margin————
INDIndiana Pacers+3.2our margin————
Totalwe expect 229.3
Over229.3our total————
Under229.3our total————

These are each venue’s last prices before the start (Kalshi’s moneyline: its pre-game close). Odds are the price to buy that side now, taker fee included; the small percent is the implied chance of that same price. Highlighted is the best price in the row among venues on the same line. — means not listed (hover or tap for why). A market price is not the true chance of winning.

Margin range

New York Knicks by 3.2 expected
New York Knicks by 44 points: <1%New York Knicks by 43 points: <1%New York Knicks by 42 points: <1%New York Knicks by 41 points: <1%New York Knicks by 40 points: <1%New York Knicks by 39 points: <1%New York Knicks by 38 points: <1%New York Knicks by 37 points: <1%New York Knicks by 36 points: <1%New York Knicks by 35 points: <1%New York Knicks by 34 points: <1%New York Knicks by 33 points: <1%New York Knicks by 32 points: <1%New York Knicks by 31 points: 1%New York Knicks by 30 points: 1%New York Knicks by 29 points: 1%New York Knicks by 28 points: 1%New York Knicks by 27 points: 1%New York Knicks by 26 points: 1%New York Knicks by 25 points: 1%New York Knicks by 24 points: 1%New York Knicks by 23 points: 1%New York Knicks by 22 points: 1%New York Knicks by 21 points: 1%New York Knicks by 20 points: 1%New York Knicks by 19 points: 1%New York Knicks by 18 points: 2%New York Knicks by 17 points: 2%New York Knicks by 16 points: 2%New York Knicks by 15 points: 2%New York Knicks by 14 points: 2%New York Knicks by 13 points: 2%New York Knicks by 12 points: 2%New York Knicks by 11 points: 3%New York Knicks by 10 points: 3%New York Knicks by 9 points: 3%New York Knicks by 8 points: 3%New York Knicks by 7 points: 3%New York Knicks by 6 points: 3%New York Knicks by 5 points: 3%New York Knicks by 4 points: 3%New York Knicks by 3 points: 3%New York Knicks by 2 points: 2%New York Knicks by 1 point: 2%Indiana Pacers by 1 point: 2%Indiana Pacers by 2 points: 2%Indiana Pacers by 3 points: 2%Indiana Pacers by 4 points: 2%Indiana Pacers by 5 points: 2%Indiana Pacers by 6 points: 2%Indiana Pacers by 7 points: 2%Indiana Pacers by 8 points: 2%Indiana Pacers by 9 points: 2%Indiana Pacers by 10 points: 2%Indiana Pacers by 11 points: 2%Indiana Pacers by 12 points: 2%Indiana Pacers by 13 points: 2%Indiana Pacers by 14 points: 1%Indiana Pacers by 15 points: 1%Indiana Pacers by 16 points: 1%Indiana Pacers by 17 points: 1%Indiana Pacers by 18 points: 1%Indiana Pacers by 19 points: 1%Indiana Pacers by 20 points: 1%Indiana Pacers by 21 points: 1%Indiana Pacers by 22 points: 1%Indiana Pacers by 23 points: 1%Indiana Pacers by 24 points: <1%Indiana Pacers by 25 points: <1%Indiana Pacers by 26 points: <1%Indiana Pacers by 27 points: <1%Indiana Pacers by 28 points: <1%Indiana Pacers by 29 points: <1%Indiana Pacers by 30 points: <1%Indiana Pacers by 31 points: <1%Indiana Pacers by 32 points: <1%Indiana Pacers by 33 points: <1%Indiana Pacers by 34 points: <1%Indiana Pacers by 35 points: <1%Indiana Pacers by 36 points: <1%Indiana Pacers by 37 points: <1%Indiana Pacers by 38 points: <1%Indiana Pacers by 39 points: <1%Indiana Pacers by 40 points: <1%Indiana Pacers by 41 points: <1%Indiana Pacers by 42 points: <1%Indiana Pacers by 43 points: <1%Indiana Pacers by 44 points: <1%
← NY wins byIND wins by →
New York Knicks wins by 5 or more49%
New York Knicks wins by 10 or more34%
New York Knicks wins by 15 or more22%
Within 5 points either way24%

Centered on the expected margin above; shape from the real results of 6,530 past NBA games.

Total range

229.3 expected
180 points: <1%181 points: <1%182 points: <1%183 points: <1%184 points: <1%185 points: <1%186 points: <1%187 points: <1%188 points: <1%189 points: <1%190 points: <1%191 points: <1%192 points: <1%193 points: <1%194 points: <1%195 points: <1%196 points: <1%197 points: 1%198 points: 1%199 points: 1%200 points: 1%201 points: 1%202 points: 1%203 points: 1%204 points: 1%205 points: 1%206 points: 1%207 points: 1%208 points: 1%209 points: 1%210 points: 1%211 points: 1%212 points: 1%213 points: 2%214 points: 2%215 points: 2%216 points: 2%217 points: 2%218 points: 2%219 points: 2%220 points: 2%221 points: 2%222 points: 2%223 points: 2%224 points: 2%225 points: 2%226 points: 2%227 points: 2%228 points: 2%229 points: 2%230 points: 2%231 points: 2%232 points: 2%233 points: 2%234 points: 2%235 points: 2%236 points: 2%237 points: 2%238 points: 2%239 points: 2%240 points: 2%241 points: 2%242 points: 2%243 points: 1%244 points: 1%245 points: 1%246 points: 1%247 points: 1%248 points: 1%249 points: 1%250 points: 1%251 points: 1%252 points: 1%253 points: 1%254 points: 1%255 points: 1%256 points: 1%257 points: 1%258 points: 1%259 points: 1%260 points: 1%261 points: 1%262 points: 1%263 points: <1%264 points: <1%265 points: <1%266 points: <1%267 points: <1%268 points: <1%269 points: <1%270 points: <1%271 points: <1%272 points: <1%273 points: <1%274 points: <1%275 points: <1%276 points: <1%277 points: <1%278 points: <1%279 points: <1%280 points: <1%281 points: <1%282 points: <1%283 points: <1%
Total points, both teams
Total over 219.569%
Total over 229.549%
Total over 239.529%
Total from 220 to 23939%

Centered on the expected total above; shape from the real results of 6,530 past NBA games.

Starting Lineups

from the box score
New York Knicks
GMikal Bridgesstarted
GJalen Brunsonstarted
FOG Anunobystarted
FMohamed Diawarastarted
CAriel Hukportistarted
Indiana Pacers
GAndrew Nembhardstarted
GQuenton Jacksonstarted
GBennedict Mathurinstarted
FPascal Siakamstarted
CJay Huffstarted

For context, not in our forecast.

Rest and Schedule

before this game
NY·IND
Dec 16, 2025 vs SA
last game
Dec 14, 2025 vs WSH
1 day
days of rest
3 days
no
back-to-back
no
2
games in last 7 days
2
road after a home game
home / road
2nd straight home game

For context, not in our forecast.

Who's Out

NBA official injury report · Dec 18, 5:00 PM ET
New York Knicks
NYJosh Hart · abdominal; rectus abdominus strainOut
NYKarl-Anthony Towns · left knee; sorenessOut
NYLandry Shamet · right shoulder; sprainOut
NYMiles McBride · left ankle; sprainOut
NYMitchell Robinson · left ankle; left ankle injury managementOut
Indiana Pacers
INDAaron Nesmith · left knee mcl; sprainOut
INDBen Sheppard · left calf; strainOut
INDObi Toppin · right foot; stress fractureOut
INDTyrese Haliburton · right achilles tendon; tearOut
INDKam Jones · g league - on assignmentDoubtful
INDTaelon Peter · g league - two-wayDoubtful

For context, not in our forecast.

Team Comparison

2025–26 season · box-score averages from 26+ games
NY·IND
+0.53
rating (0 = average)
−0.04
121.1
points / game
110.2
112.3
points allowed / game
118.3
19−7
season record
6−20
14−1
home record
5−9
5−6
away record
1−11
W6
streak
L2
9−1
last 10
4−6
48.1
FG%
43.2
38.0
3P%
33.0
46.4
rebounds / game
43.9
27.0
assists / game
23.4
13.2
turnovers / game
13.8
49.2
points in paint / game
44.8

Rating Trend

NY · IND · 51 days
New York KnicksIndiana Pacers
Rating (0 = average team)

Head to Head

last 10 meetings · IND 6−4
May 31, 2025at INDIND 125 − 108post
May 29, 2025at NYNY 111 − 94post
May 27, 2025at INDIND 130 − 121post
May 25, 2025at INDNY 106 − 100post
May 23, 2025at NYIND 114 − 109post
May 21, 2025at NYIND 138 − 135post
Feb 11, 2025at INDNY 128 − 115
Nov 10, 2024at INDIND 132 − 121
Oct 25, 2024at NYNY 123 − 98
May 19, 2024at NYIND 130 − 109post

NY · Last 10

9−1 · streak W6
Dec 16, 2025vs SA124 − 113W
Dec 13, 2025at ORL132 − 120W
Dec 9, 2025at TOR117 − 101W
Dec 7, 2025vs ORL106 − 100W
Dec 5, 2025vs UTAH146 − 112W
Dec 3, 2025vs CHA119 − 104W
Dec 2, 2025at BOS117 − 123L
Nov 30, 2025vs TOR116 − 94W
Nov 28, 2025vs MIL118 − 109W
Nov 26, 2025at CHA129 − 101W

IND · Last 10

4−6 · streak L2
Dec 14, 2025vs WSH89 − 108L
Dec 12, 2025at PHI105 − 115L
Dec 8, 2025vs SAC116 − 105W
Dec 5, 2025at CHI120 − 105W
Dec 3, 2025vs DEN120 − 135L
Dec 1, 2025vs CLE119 − 135L
Nov 29, 2025vs CHI103 − 101W
Nov 28, 2025vs WSH119 − 86W
Nov 26, 2025at TOR95 − 97L
Nov 24, 2025vs DET117 − 122L