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Cavaliers at Bulls

NBA · Wednesday, Dec 17 · 7:00 PM CT · United Center · Final CLE 111 – CHI 127

Final Box Score

from the game summary
Team1234T
CLE34243023111
CHI33293332127
Team box
CLE·CHI
42-87
field goals
50-89
12-39
3-pointers
14-36
15-18
free throws
13-18
40
rebounds
43
26
assists
35
20
turnovers
16
52
points in paint
68
Top performers
PlayerTeamMINPTSREBAST
Donovan MitchellCLE333215
Coby WhiteCHI302553
Josh GiddeyCHI34231111
Jaylon TysonCLE322123
Nikola VucevicCHI292094
Darius GarlandCLE301556

For context, not in our forecast.

Game Flow

score margin
CHI +19
CLE +19
Q1Q2Q3Q4
largest lead: CHI 19 · CLE 12lead changes: 9

For context, not in our forecast.

Final · our forecast was CLE 65%, CHI 35% · Updated Dec 17, 2025

Expected margin
CLE by 6.0
Expected score
CLE 123.2 – 117.2 CHI
Expected total
240.5
CavaliersThe matchupBulls
−184Our fair odds+184
123.2Expected points117.2
+0.51Power rating−0.34
118.7Points / game117.2
115.9Allowed / game122.4
45.8FG%46.7
34.03P%36.2
45.0Rebounds / game45.3
15−12Season record10−15
4−6Last 102−8
Chris Livingston · Evan Mobley
Larry Nance Jr. · Luke Travers
Max Strus
OutEmanuel Miller · Lachlan Olbrich
Noa Essengue · Trentyn Flowers

Prediction markets

Kalshi · Polymarket US · ProphetX · Novig
CLE chance · CHI chance
Our model fair64.8%35.2%
Kalshino two-sided price
Polymarket USno two-sided price
ProphetXno two-sided price
Novigno two-sided price
Full price table
TeamOur modelfairKalshi Polymarket US ProphetX Novig 
Moneyline
CLECleveland Cavaliers−18465%————
CHIChicago Bulls+18435%————
SpreadCLE by 6.0
CLECleveland Cavaliers−6our margin————
CHIChicago Bulls+6our margin————
Totalwe expect 240.5
Over240.5our total————
Under240.5our total————

These are each venue’s last prices before the start (Kalshi’s moneyline: its pre-game close). Odds are the price to buy that side now, taker fee included; the small percent is the implied chance of that same price. Highlighted is the best price in the row among venues on the same line. — means not listed (hover or tap for why). A market price is not the true chance of winning.

Margin range

Cleveland Cavaliers by 6.0 expected
Cleveland Cavaliers by 47 points: <1%Cleveland Cavaliers by 46 points: <1%Cleveland Cavaliers by 45 points: <1%Cleveland Cavaliers by 44 points: <1%Cleveland Cavaliers by 43 points: <1%Cleveland Cavaliers by 42 points: <1%Cleveland Cavaliers by 41 points: <1%Cleveland Cavaliers by 40 points: <1%Cleveland Cavaliers by 39 points: <1%Cleveland Cavaliers by 38 points: <1%Cleveland Cavaliers by 37 points: <1%Cleveland Cavaliers by 36 points: <1%Cleveland Cavaliers by 35 points: <1%Cleveland Cavaliers by 34 points: <1%Cleveland Cavaliers by 33 points: 1%Cleveland Cavaliers by 32 points: 1%Cleveland Cavaliers by 31 points: 1%Cleveland Cavaliers by 30 points: 1%Cleveland Cavaliers by 29 points: 1%Cleveland Cavaliers by 28 points: 1%Cleveland Cavaliers by 27 points: 1%Cleveland Cavaliers by 26 points: 1%Cleveland Cavaliers by 25 points: 1%Cleveland Cavaliers by 24 points: 1%Cleveland Cavaliers by 23 points: 1%Cleveland Cavaliers by 22 points: 1%Cleveland Cavaliers by 21 points: 1%Cleveland Cavaliers by 20 points: 1%Cleveland Cavaliers by 19 points: 2%Cleveland Cavaliers by 18 points: 2%Cleveland Cavaliers by 17 points: 2%Cleveland Cavaliers by 16 points: 2%Cleveland Cavaliers by 15 points: 2%Cleveland Cavaliers by 14 points: 3%Cleveland Cavaliers by 13 points: 3%Cleveland Cavaliers by 12 points: 3%Cleveland Cavaliers by 11 points: 3%Cleveland Cavaliers by 10 points: 3%Cleveland Cavaliers by 9 points: 3%Cleveland Cavaliers by 8 points: 3%Cleveland Cavaliers by 7 points: 3%Cleveland Cavaliers by 6 points: 3%Cleveland Cavaliers by 5 points: 3%Cleveland Cavaliers by 4 points: 3%Cleveland Cavaliers by 3 points: 3%Cleveland Cavaliers by 2 points: 2%Cleveland Cavaliers by 1 point: 2%Chicago Bulls by 1 point: 2%Chicago Bulls by 2 points: 2%Chicago Bulls by 3 points: 2%Chicago Bulls by 4 points: 2%Chicago Bulls by 5 points: 2%Chicago Bulls by 6 points: 2%Chicago Bulls by 7 points: 2%Chicago Bulls by 8 points: 2%Chicago Bulls by 9 points: 2%Chicago Bulls by 10 points: 2%Chicago Bulls by 11 points: 2%Chicago Bulls by 12 points: 1%Chicago Bulls by 13 points: 1%Chicago Bulls by 14 points: 1%Chicago Bulls by 15 points: 1%Chicago Bulls by 16 points: 1%Chicago Bulls by 17 points: 1%Chicago Bulls by 18 points: 1%Chicago Bulls by 19 points: 1%Chicago Bulls by 20 points: 1%Chicago Bulls by 21 points: 1%Chicago Bulls by 22 points: <1%Chicago Bulls by 23 points: <1%Chicago Bulls by 24 points: <1%Chicago Bulls by 25 points: <1%Chicago Bulls by 26 points: <1%Chicago Bulls by 27 points: <1%Chicago Bulls by 28 points: <1%Chicago Bulls by 29 points: <1%Chicago Bulls by 30 points: <1%Chicago Bulls by 31 points: <1%Chicago Bulls by 32 points: <1%Chicago Bulls by 33 points: <1%Chicago Bulls by 34 points: <1%Chicago Bulls by 35 points: <1%Chicago Bulls by 36 points: <1%Chicago Bulls by 37 points: <1%Chicago Bulls by 38 points: <1%Chicago Bulls by 39 points: <1%Chicago Bulls by 40 points: <1%Chicago Bulls by 41 points: <1%Chicago Bulls by 42 points: <1%Chicago Bulls by 43 points: <1%Chicago Bulls by 44 points: <1%Chicago Bulls by 45 points: <1%Chicago Bulls by 46 points: <1%Chicago Bulls by 47 points: <1%
← CLE wins byCHI wins by →
Cleveland Cavaliers wins by 5 or more57%
Cleveland Cavaliers wins by 10 or more41%
Cleveland Cavaliers wins by 15 or more27%
Within 5 points either way23%

Centered on the expected margin above; shape from the real results of 6,530 past NBA games.

Total range

240.5 expected
190 points: <1%191 points: <1%192 points: <1%193 points: <1%194 points: <1%195 points: <1%196 points: <1%197 points: <1%198 points: <1%199 points: <1%200 points: <1%201 points: <1%202 points: <1%203 points: <1%204 points: <1%205 points: <1%206 points: <1%207 points: 1%208 points: 1%209 points: 1%210 points: 1%211 points: 1%212 points: 1%213 points: 1%214 points: 1%215 points: 1%216 points: 1%217 points: 1%218 points: 1%219 points: 1%220 points: 1%221 points: 1%222 points: 1%223 points: 1%224 points: 1%225 points: 2%226 points: 2%227 points: 2%228 points: 2%229 points: 2%230 points: 2%231 points: 2%232 points: 2%233 points: 2%234 points: 2%235 points: 2%236 points: 2%237 points: 2%238 points: 2%239 points: 2%240 points: 2%241 points: 2%242 points: 2%243 points: 2%244 points: 2%245 points: 2%246 points: 2%247 points: 2%248 points: 2%249 points: 2%250 points: 2%251 points: 2%252 points: 2%253 points: 2%254 points: 2%255 points: 1%256 points: 1%257 points: 1%258 points: 1%259 points: 1%260 points: 1%261 points: 1%262 points: 1%263 points: 1%264 points: 1%265 points: 1%266 points: 1%267 points: 1%268 points: 1%269 points: 1%270 points: 1%271 points: 1%272 points: 1%273 points: 1%274 points: <1%275 points: <1%276 points: <1%277 points: <1%278 points: <1%279 points: <1%280 points: <1%281 points: <1%282 points: <1%283 points: <1%284 points: <1%285 points: <1%286 points: <1%287 points: <1%288 points: <1%289 points: <1%290 points: <1%291 points: <1%292 points: <1%293 points: <1%294 points: <1%295 points: <1%296 points: <1%297 points: <1%298 points: <1%299 points: <1%300 points: <1%301 points: <1%302 points: <1%
Total points, both teams
Total over 230.568%
Total over 240.548%
Total over 250.531%
Total from 231 to 25037%

Centered on the expected total above; shape from the real results of 6,530 past NBA games.

Starting Lineups

from the box score
Cleveland Cavaliers
GJaylon Tysonstarted
FDean Wadestarted
Chicago Bulls
GCoby Whitestarted
GJosh Giddeystarted
FIsaac Okorostarted

For context, not in our forecast.

Rest and Schedule

before this game
CLE·CHI
Dec 14, 2025 vs CHA
last game
Dec 14, 2025 vs NO
2 days
days of rest
2 days
no
back-to-back
no
2
games in last 7 days
2
road after a home game
home / road
2nd straight home game

For context, not in our forecast.

Who's Out

NBA official injury report · Dec 17, 5:00 PM ET
Cleveland Cavaliers
CLEChris Livingston · g league - two-wayOut
CLEEvan Mobley · left calf; strainOut
CLELarry Nance Jr. · right calf; strainOut
CLELuke Travers · g league - two-wayOut
CLEMax Strus · left foot; surgery - jones fractureOut
CLESam Merrill · right hand; sprainOut
Chicago Bulls
CHIEmanuel Miller · g league - two-wayOut
CHILachlan Olbrich · g league - two-wayOut
CHINoa Essengue · left shoulder; surgeryOut
CHITrentyn Flowers · g league - two-wayOut
CHIAyo Dosunmu · right thumb; sprainQuestionable

For context, not in our forecast.

Team Comparison

2025–26 season · box-score averages from 25+ games
CLE·CHI
+0.51
rating (0 = average)
−0.34
118.7
points / game
117.2
115.9
points allowed / game
122.4
15−12
season record
10−15
9−7
home record
6−6
6−5
away record
4−9
L1
streak
L1
4−6
last 10
2−8
45.8
FG%
46.7
34.0
3P%
36.2
45.0
rebounds / game
45.3
26.8
assists / game
28.4
13.7
turnovers / game
15.3
48.1
points in paint / game
54.0

Rating Trend

CLE · CHI · 50 days
Cleveland CavaliersChicago Bulls
Rating (0 = average team)

Head to Head

last 10 meetings · CHI 1−9
Nov 8, 2025at CLECLE 128 − 122
Apr 8, 2025at CLECLE 135 − 113
Mar 4, 2025at CHICLE 139 − 117
Nov 15, 2024at CLECLE 144 − 126
Nov 11, 2024at CHICLE 119 − 113
Feb 28, 2024at CHICHI 132 − 123
Feb 14, 2024at CLECLE 108 − 105
Jan 15, 2024at CLECLE 109 − 91
Dec 23, 2023at CHICLE 109 − 95
Feb 11, 2023at CLECLE 97 − 89

CLE · Last 10

4−6 · streak L1
Dec 14, 2025vs CHA111 − 119L
Dec 12, 2025at WSH130 − 126W
Dec 6, 2025vs GS94 − 99L
Dec 5, 2025vs SA130 − 117W
Dec 3, 2025vs POR110 − 122L
Dec 1, 2025at IND135 − 119W
Nov 30, 2025vs BOS115 − 117L
Nov 28, 2025at ATL123 − 130L
Nov 24, 2025at TOR99 − 110L
Nov 23, 2025vs LAC120 − 105W

CHI · Last 10

2−8 · streak L1
Dec 14, 2025vs NO104 − 114L
Dec 12, 2025at CHA129 − 126W
Dec 7, 2025vs GS91 − 123L
Dec 5, 2025vs IND105 − 120L
Dec 3, 2025vs BKN103 − 113L
Dec 1, 2025at ORL120 − 125L
Nov 29, 2025at IND101 − 103L
Nov 28, 2025at CHA116 − 123L
Nov 24, 2025at NO130 − 143L
Nov 22, 2025vs WSH121 − 120W