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Warriors at Bulls

NBA · Sunday, Dec 7 · 6:00 PM CT · United Center · Final GS 123 – CHI 91
← NBA / Dec 7, 2025

Final Box Score

from the game summary
Team1234T
GS38222736123
CHI2521301591
Team box
GS·CHI
44-88
field goals
32-89
22-47
3-pointers
11-40
13-19
free throws
16-19
51
rebounds
38
27
assists
24
17
turnovers
15
40
points in paint
42
Top performers
PlayerTeamMINPTSREBAST
Brandin PodziemskiGS292187
Jimmy Butler IIIGS291986
Quinten PostGS261941
Josh GiddeyCHI351835
Matas BuzelisCHI251631
Jevon CarterCHI221312

For context, not in our forecast.

Game Flow

score margin
CHI +33
GS +33
Q1Q2Q3Q4
largest lead: CHI 0 · GS 33lead changes: 0

For context, not in our forecast.

Final · our forecast was GS 56%, CHI 44% · Updated Dec 7, 2025

Expected margin
GS by 2.4
Expected score
GS 118.5 – 116.1 CHI
Expected total
234.7
WarriorsThe matchupBulls
−125Our fair odds+125
118.5Expected points116.1
+0.29Power rating−0.18
113.1Points / game118.5
112.6Allowed / game122.5
44.7FG%47.1
36.03P%37.0
43.2Rebounds / game45.8
12−12Season record9−13
4−6Last 103−7
Al Horford · Alex Toohey
Draymond Green · Stephen CurryOutIsaac Okoro · Jalen Smith
Kevin Huerter · Noa Essengue
Tre Jones

Prediction markets

Kalshi · Polymarket US · ProphetX · Novig
GS chance · CHI chance
Our model fair55.5%44.5%
Kalshino two-sided price
Polymarket USno two-sided price
ProphetXno two-sided price
Novigno two-sided price
Full price table
TeamOur modelfairKalshi Polymarket US ProphetX Novig 
Moneyline
GSGolden State Warriors−12556%————
CHIChicago Bulls+12544%————
SpreadGS by 2.4
GSGolden State Warriors−2.4our margin————
CHIChicago Bulls+2.4our margin————
Totalwe expect 234.7
Over234.7our total————
Under234.7our total————

These are each venue’s last prices before the start (Kalshi’s moneyline: its pre-game close). Odds are the price to buy that side now, taker fee included; the small percent is the implied chance of that same price. Highlighted is the best price in the row among venues on the same line. — means not listed (hover or tap for why). A market price is not the true chance of winning.

Margin range

Golden State Warriors by 2.4 expected
Golden State Warriors by 43 points: <1%Golden State Warriors by 42 points: <1%Golden State Warriors by 41 points: <1%Golden State Warriors by 40 points: <1%Golden State Warriors by 39 points: <1%Golden State Warriors by 38 points: <1%Golden State Warriors by 37 points: <1%Golden State Warriors by 36 points: <1%Golden State Warriors by 35 points: <1%Golden State Warriors by 34 points: <1%Golden State Warriors by 33 points: <1%Golden State Warriors by 32 points: <1%Golden State Warriors by 31 points: <1%Golden State Warriors by 30 points: 1%Golden State Warriors by 29 points: 1%Golden State Warriors by 28 points: 1%Golden State Warriors by 27 points: 1%Golden State Warriors by 26 points: 1%Golden State Warriors by 25 points: 1%Golden State Warriors by 24 points: 1%Golden State Warriors by 23 points: 1%Golden State Warriors by 22 points: 1%Golden State Warriors by 21 points: 1%Golden State Warriors by 20 points: 1%Golden State Warriors by 19 points: 1%Golden State Warriors by 18 points: 1%Golden State Warriors by 17 points: 2%Golden State Warriors by 16 points: 2%Golden State Warriors by 15 points: 2%Golden State Warriors by 14 points: 2%Golden State Warriors by 13 points: 2%Golden State Warriors by 12 points: 2%Golden State Warriors by 11 points: 2%Golden State Warriors by 10 points: 3%Golden State Warriors by 9 points: 3%Golden State Warriors by 8 points: 3%Golden State Warriors by 7 points: 3%Golden State Warriors by 6 points: 3%Golden State Warriors by 5 points: 3%Golden State Warriors by 4 points: 3%Golden State Warriors by 3 points: 3%Golden State Warriors by 2 points: 2%Golden State Warriors by 1 point: 2%Chicago Bulls by 1 point: 2%Chicago Bulls by 2 points: 2%Chicago Bulls by 3 points: 2%Chicago Bulls by 4 points: 2%Chicago Bulls by 5 points: 2%Chicago Bulls by 6 points: 2%Chicago Bulls by 7 points: 2%Chicago Bulls by 8 points: 2%Chicago Bulls by 9 points: 2%Chicago Bulls by 10 points: 2%Chicago Bulls by 11 points: 2%Chicago Bulls by 12 points: 2%Chicago Bulls by 13 points: 2%Chicago Bulls by 14 points: 2%Chicago Bulls by 15 points: 1%Chicago Bulls by 16 points: 1%Chicago Bulls by 17 points: 1%Chicago Bulls by 18 points: 1%Chicago Bulls by 19 points: 1%Chicago Bulls by 20 points: 1%Chicago Bulls by 21 points: 1%Chicago Bulls by 22 points: 1%Chicago Bulls by 23 points: 1%Chicago Bulls by 24 points: 1%Chicago Bulls by 25 points: <1%Chicago Bulls by 26 points: <1%Chicago Bulls by 27 points: <1%Chicago Bulls by 28 points: <1%Chicago Bulls by 29 points: <1%Chicago Bulls by 30 points: <1%Chicago Bulls by 31 points: <1%Chicago Bulls by 32 points: <1%Chicago Bulls by 33 points: <1%Chicago Bulls by 34 points: <1%Chicago Bulls by 35 points: <1%Chicago Bulls by 36 points: <1%Chicago Bulls by 37 points: <1%Chicago Bulls by 38 points: <1%Chicago Bulls by 39 points: <1%Chicago Bulls by 40 points: <1%Chicago Bulls by 41 points: <1%Chicago Bulls by 42 points: <1%Chicago Bulls by 43 points: <1%
← GS wins byCHI wins by →
Golden State Warriors wins by 5 or more46%
Golden State Warriors wins by 10 or more32%
Golden State Warriors wins by 15 or more20%
Within 5 points either way25%

Centered on the expected margin above; shape from the real results of 6,530 past NBA games.

Total range

234.7 expected
185 points: <1%186 points: <1%187 points: <1%188 points: <1%189 points: <1%190 points: <1%191 points: <1%192 points: <1%193 points: <1%194 points: <1%195 points: <1%196 points: <1%197 points: <1%198 points: <1%199 points: <1%200 points: <1%201 points: <1%202 points: 1%203 points: 1%204 points: 1%205 points: 1%206 points: 1%207 points: 1%208 points: 1%209 points: 1%210 points: 1%211 points: 1%212 points: 1%213 points: 1%214 points: 1%215 points: 1%216 points: 1%217 points: 1%218 points: 1%219 points: 2%220 points: 2%221 points: 2%222 points: 2%223 points: 2%224 points: 2%225 points: 2%226 points: 2%227 points: 2%228 points: 2%229 points: 2%230 points: 2%231 points: 2%232 points: 2%233 points: 2%234 points: 2%235 points: 2%236 points: 2%237 points: 2%238 points: 2%239 points: 2%240 points: 2%241 points: 2%242 points: 2%243 points: 2%244 points: 2%245 points: 2%246 points: 2%247 points: 2%248 points: 1%249 points: 1%250 points: 1%251 points: 1%252 points: 1%253 points: 1%254 points: 1%255 points: 1%256 points: 1%257 points: 1%258 points: 1%259 points: 1%260 points: 1%261 points: 1%262 points: 1%263 points: 1%264 points: 1%265 points: 1%266 points: 1%267 points: 1%268 points: <1%269 points: <1%270 points: <1%271 points: <1%272 points: <1%273 points: <1%274 points: <1%275 points: <1%276 points: <1%277 points: <1%278 points: <1%279 points: <1%280 points: <1%281 points: <1%282 points: <1%283 points: <1%284 points: <1%285 points: <1%286 points: <1%287 points: <1%288 points: <1%289 points: <1%290 points: <1%291 points: <1%292 points: <1%293 points: <1%
Total points, both teams
Total over 224.569%
Total over 234.549%
Total over 244.530%
Total from 225 to 24438%

Centered on the expected total above; shape from the real results of 6,530 past NBA games.

Starting Lineups

from the box score
Golden State Warriors
GBuddy Hieldstarted
GPat Spencerstarted
GWill Richardstarted
FJimmy Butler IIIstarted
CQuinten Poststarted
Chicago Bulls
GCoby Whitestarted
GAyo Dosunmustarted
GJosh Giddeystarted
FMatas Buzelisstarted
CNikola Vucevicstarted

For context, not in our forecast.

Rest and Schedule

before this game
GS·CHI
Dec 6, 2025 at CLE
last game
Dec 5, 2025 vs IND
0 days
days of rest
1 day
yes
back-to-back
no
3
games in last 7 days
3
3rd straight road game
home / road
3rd straight home game

For context, not in our forecast.

Who's Out

NBA official injury report · Dec 7, 5:00 PM ET
Golden State Warriors
GSAl Horford · right sciatic nerve; irritationOut
GSAlex Toohey · left knee; injury managementOut
GSDraymond Green · right midfoot; sprainOut
GSStephen Curry · left quadriceps; contusionOut
GSJimmy Butler III · left knee; injury managementProbable
GSSeth Curry · right toe; injury managementProbable
Chicago Bulls
CHIIsaac Okoro · left lumbar; radiculopathyOut
CHIJalen Smith · left hamstring; strainOut
CHIKevin Huerter · left adductor; strainOut
CHINoa Essengue · left shoulder; contusionOut
CHITre Jones · left ankle; sprainOut
CHIAyo Dosunmu · right thumb; sprainQuestionable
CHIZach Collins · left scaphoid; fractureProbable

For context, not in our forecast.

Team Comparison

2025–26 season · box-score averages from 22+ games
GS·CHI
+0.29
rating (0 = average)
−0.18
113.1
points / game
118.5
112.6
points allowed / game
122.5
12−12
season record
9−13
7−3
home record
6−4
5−9
away record
3−9
W1
streak
L6
4−6
last 10
3−7
44.7
FG%
47.1
36.0
3P%
37.0
43.2
rebounds / game
45.8
27.4
assists / game
28.6
16.0
turnovers / game
15.5
41.6
points in paint / game
53.7

Rating Trend

GS · CHI · 40 days
Golden State WarriorsChicago Bulls
Rating (0 = average team)

Head to Head

last 8 meetings · CHI 2−6
Feb 8, 2025at CHIGS 132 − 111
Jan 23, 2025at GSGS 131 − 106
Mar 7, 2024at GSCHI 125 − 122
Jan 12, 2024at CHIGS 140 − 131
Jan 15, 2023at CHICHI 132 − 118
Dec 2, 2022at GSGS 119 − 111
Jan 14, 2022at CHIGS 138 − 96
Nov 12, 2021at GSGS 119 − 93

GS · Last 10

4−6 · streak W1
Dec 6, 2025at CLE99 − 94W
Dec 4, 2025at PHI98 − 99L
Dec 2, 2025vs OKC112 − 124L
Nov 29, 2025vs NO104 − 96W
Nov 26, 2025vs HOU100 − 104L
Nov 24, 2025vs UTAH134 − 117W
Nov 21, 2025vs POR123 − 127L
Nov 19, 2025at MIA96 − 110L
Nov 18, 2025at ORL113 − 121L
Nov 16, 2025at NO124 − 106W

CHI · Last 10

3−7 · streak L6
Dec 5, 2025vs IND105 − 120L
Dec 3, 2025vs BKN103 − 113L
Dec 1, 2025at ORL120 − 125L
Nov 29, 2025at IND101 − 103L
Nov 28, 2025at CHA116 − 123L
Nov 24, 2025at NO130 − 143L
Nov 22, 2025vs WSH121 − 120W
Nov 21, 2025vs MIA107 − 143L
Nov 19, 2025at POR122 − 121W
Nov 17, 2025at DEN130 − 127W