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Pelicans at Bulls

NBA · Sunday, Dec 14 · 6:00 PM CT · United Center · Final NO 114 – CHI 104

Final Box Score

from the game summary
Team1234T
NO21312438114
CHI26212829104
Team box
NO·CHI
43-93
field goals
38-92
8-33
3-pointers
13-49
20-25
free throws
15-17
53
rebounds
43
21
assists
26
15
turnovers
13
60
points in paint
46
Top performers
PlayerTeamMINPTSREBAST
Trey Murphy IIINO3420102
Coby WhiteCHI282055
Jeremiah FearsNO282023
Zion WilliamsonNO271863
Jordan PooleNO271624
Kevin HuerterCHI241630

For context, not in our forecast.

Game Flow

score margin
CHI +15
NO +15
Q1Q2Q3Q4
largest lead: CHI 8 · NO 15lead changes: 12

For context, not in our forecast.

Final · our forecast was NO 30%, CHI 70% · Updated Dec 14, 2025

Expected margin
CHI by 5.8
Expected score
CHI 122.9 – 117.0 NO
Expected total
239.9
PelicansThe matchupBulls
+231Our fair odds−231
117.0Expected points122.9
−0.94Power rating−0.32
114.2Points / game117.8
123.5Allowed / game122.7
46.0FG%47.0
34.83P%36.5
42.5Rebounds / game45.4
4−22Season record10−14
2−8Last 102−8
Dejounte Murray · Hunter Dickinson
Trey Alexander
OutAyo Dosunmu · Emanuel Miller
Lachlan Olbrich · Noa Essengue
Trentyn Flowers

Prediction markets

Kalshi · Polymarket US · ProphetX · Novig
NO chance · CHI chance
Our model fair30.2%69.8%
Kalshino two-sided price
Polymarket USno two-sided price
ProphetXno two-sided price
Novigno two-sided price
Full price table
TeamOur modelfairKalshi Polymarket US ProphetX Novig 
Moneyline
NONew Orleans Pelicans+23130%————
CHIChicago Bulls−23170%————
SpreadCHI by 5.8
NONew Orleans Pelicans+5.8our margin————
CHIChicago Bulls−5.8our margin————
Totalwe expect 239.9
Over239.9our total————
Under239.9our total————

These are each venue’s last prices before the start (Kalshi’s moneyline: its pre-game close). Odds are the price to buy that side now, taker fee included; the small percent is the implied chance of that same price. Highlighted is the best price in the row among venues on the same line. — means not listed (hover or tap for why). A market price is not the true chance of winning.

Margin range

Chicago Bulls by 5.8 expected
New Orleans Pelicans by 48 points: <1%New Orleans Pelicans by 47 points: <1%New Orleans Pelicans by 46 points: <1%New Orleans Pelicans by 45 points: <1%New Orleans Pelicans by 44 points: <1%New Orleans Pelicans by 43 points: <1%New Orleans Pelicans by 42 points: <1%New Orleans Pelicans by 41 points: <1%New Orleans Pelicans by 40 points: <1%New Orleans Pelicans by 39 points: <1%New Orleans Pelicans by 38 points: <1%New Orleans Pelicans by 37 points: <1%New Orleans Pelicans by 36 points: <1%New Orleans Pelicans by 35 points: <1%New Orleans Pelicans by 34 points: <1%New Orleans Pelicans by 33 points: <1%New Orleans Pelicans by 32 points: <1%New Orleans Pelicans by 31 points: <1%New Orleans Pelicans by 30 points: <1%New Orleans Pelicans by 29 points: <1%New Orleans Pelicans by 28 points: <1%New Orleans Pelicans by 27 points: <1%New Orleans Pelicans by 26 points: <1%New Orleans Pelicans by 25 points: <1%New Orleans Pelicans by 24 points: <1%New Orleans Pelicans by 23 points: <1%New Orleans Pelicans by 22 points: <1%New Orleans Pelicans by 21 points: 1%New Orleans Pelicans by 20 points: 1%New Orleans Pelicans by 19 points: 1%New Orleans Pelicans by 18 points: 1%New Orleans Pelicans by 17 points: 1%New Orleans Pelicans by 16 points: 1%New Orleans Pelicans by 15 points: 1%New Orleans Pelicans by 14 points: 1%New Orleans Pelicans by 13 points: 1%New Orleans Pelicans by 12 points: 1%New Orleans Pelicans by 11 points: 2%New Orleans Pelicans by 10 points: 2%New Orleans Pelicans by 9 points: 2%New Orleans Pelicans by 8 points: 2%New Orleans Pelicans by 7 points: 2%New Orleans Pelicans by 6 points: 2%New Orleans Pelicans by 5 points: 2%New Orleans Pelicans by 4 points: 2%New Orleans Pelicans by 3 points: 2%New Orleans Pelicans by 2 points: 2%New Orleans Pelicans by 1 point: 2%Chicago Bulls by 1 point: 2%Chicago Bulls by 2 points: 2%Chicago Bulls by 3 points: 3%Chicago Bulls by 4 points: 3%Chicago Bulls by 5 points: 3%Chicago Bulls by 6 points: 3%Chicago Bulls by 7 points: 3%Chicago Bulls by 8 points: 3%Chicago Bulls by 9 points: 3%Chicago Bulls by 10 points: 3%Chicago Bulls by 11 points: 3%Chicago Bulls by 12 points: 3%Chicago Bulls by 13 points: 3%Chicago Bulls by 14 points: 2%Chicago Bulls by 15 points: 2%Chicago Bulls by 16 points: 2%Chicago Bulls by 17 points: 2%Chicago Bulls by 18 points: 2%Chicago Bulls by 19 points: 2%Chicago Bulls by 20 points: 2%Chicago Bulls by 21 points: 1%Chicago Bulls by 22 points: 1%Chicago Bulls by 23 points: 1%Chicago Bulls by 24 points: 1%Chicago Bulls by 25 points: 1%Chicago Bulls by 26 points: 1%Chicago Bulls by 27 points: 1%Chicago Bulls by 28 points: 1%Chicago Bulls by 29 points: 1%Chicago Bulls by 30 points: 1%Chicago Bulls by 31 points: 1%Chicago Bulls by 32 points: 1%Chicago Bulls by 33 points: <1%Chicago Bulls by 34 points: <1%Chicago Bulls by 35 points: <1%Chicago Bulls by 36 points: <1%Chicago Bulls by 37 points: <1%Chicago Bulls by 38 points: <1%Chicago Bulls by 39 points: <1%Chicago Bulls by 40 points: <1%Chicago Bulls by 41 points: <1%Chicago Bulls by 42 points: <1%Chicago Bulls by 43 points: <1%Chicago Bulls by 44 points: <1%Chicago Bulls by 45 points: <1%Chicago Bulls by 46 points: <1%Chicago Bulls by 47 points: <1%Chicago Bulls by 48 points: <1%
← NO wins byCHI wins by →
Chicago Bulls wins by 5 or more56%
Chicago Bulls wins by 10 or more40%
Chicago Bulls wins by 15 or more27%
Within 5 points either way24%

Centered on the expected margin above; shape from the real results of 6,530 past NBA games.

Total range

239.9 expected
190 points: <1%191 points: <1%192 points: <1%193 points: <1%194 points: <1%195 points: <1%196 points: <1%197 points: <1%198 points: <1%199 points: <1%200 points: <1%201 points: <1%202 points: <1%203 points: <1%204 points: <1%205 points: <1%206 points: 1%207 points: 1%208 points: 1%209 points: 1%210 points: 1%211 points: 1%212 points: 1%213 points: 1%214 points: 1%215 points: 1%216 points: 1%217 points: 1%218 points: 1%219 points: 1%220 points: 1%221 points: 1%222 points: 1%223 points: 1%224 points: 2%225 points: 2%226 points: 2%227 points: 2%228 points: 2%229 points: 2%230 points: 2%231 points: 2%232 points: 2%233 points: 2%234 points: 2%235 points: 2%236 points: 2%237 points: 2%238 points: 2%239 points: 2%240 points: 2%241 points: 2%242 points: 2%243 points: 2%244 points: 2%245 points: 2%246 points: 2%247 points: 2%248 points: 2%249 points: 2%250 points: 2%251 points: 2%252 points: 2%253 points: 2%254 points: 1%255 points: 1%256 points: 1%257 points: 1%258 points: 1%259 points: 1%260 points: 1%261 points: 1%262 points: 1%263 points: 1%264 points: 1%265 points: 1%266 points: 1%267 points: 1%268 points: 1%269 points: 1%270 points: 1%271 points: 1%272 points: 1%273 points: <1%274 points: <1%275 points: <1%276 points: <1%277 points: <1%278 points: <1%279 points: <1%280 points: <1%281 points: <1%282 points: <1%283 points: <1%284 points: <1%285 points: <1%286 points: <1%287 points: <1%288 points: <1%289 points: <1%290 points: <1%291 points: <1%292 points: <1%293 points: <1%294 points: <1%295 points: <1%296 points: <1%297 points: <1%298 points: <1%299 points: <1%300 points: <1%301 points: <1%
Total points, both teams
Total over 229.568%
Total over 239.549%
Total over 249.531%
Total from 230 to 24937%

Centered on the expected total above; shape from the real results of 6,530 past NBA games.

Starting Lineups

from the box score
New Orleans Pelicans
GSaddiq Beystarted
CDerik Queenstarted
Chicago Bulls
GCoby Whitestarted
GJosh Giddeystarted
FIsaac Okorostarted

For context, not in our forecast.

Rest and Schedule

before this game
NO·CHI
Dec 11, 2025 vs POR
last game
Dec 12, 2025 at CHA
2 days
days of rest
1 day
no
back-to-back
no
2
games in last 7 days
2
road after a home game
home / road
home after a road game

For context, not in our forecast.

Who's Out

NBA official injury report · Dec 14, 5:00 PM ET
New Orleans Pelicans
NODejounte Murray · right achilles; ruptureOut
NOHunter Dickinson · g league - two-wayOut
NOTrey Alexander · g league - two-wayOut
NOZion Williamson · right adductor; strainQuestionable
Chicago Bulls
CHIAyo Dosunmu · right thumb; sprainOut
CHIEmanuel Miller · g league - two-wayOut
CHILachlan Olbrich · g league - two-wayOut
CHINoa Essengue · left shoulder; surgeryOut
CHITrentyn Flowers · g league - two-wayOut

For context, not in our forecast.

Team Comparison

2025–26 season · box-score averages from 24+ games
NO·CHI
−0.94
rating (0 = average)
−0.32
114.2
points / game
117.8
123.5
points allowed / game
122.7
4−22
season record
10−14
3−12
home record
6−5
1−10
away record
4−9
W1
streak
W1
2−8
last 10
2−8
46.0
FG%
47.0
34.8
3P%
36.5
42.5
rebounds / game
45.4
24.8
assists / game
28.5
14.5
turnovers / game
15.4
56.9
points in paint / game
54.3

Rating Trend

NO · CHI · 47 days
New Orleans PelicansChicago Bulls
Rating (0 = average team)

Head to Head

last 9 meetings · CHI 3−6
Nov 24, 2025at NONO 143 − 130
Jan 14, 2025at CHINO 119 − 113
Oct 23, 2024at NONO 123 − 111
Feb 25, 2024at NOCHI 114 − 106
Dec 2, 2023at CHICHI 124 − 118
Nov 16, 2022at NONO 124 − 110
Nov 9, 2022at CHINO 115 − 111
Mar 24, 2022at NONO 126 − 109
Oct 22, 2021at CHICHI 128 − 112

NO · Last 10

2−8 · streak W1
Dec 11, 2025vs POR143 − 120W
Dec 8, 2025vs SA132 − 135L
Dec 6, 2025at BKN101 − 119L
Dec 4, 2025vs MIN116 − 125L
Dec 2, 2025vs MIN142 − 149L
Nov 30, 2025at LAL121 − 133L
Nov 29, 2025at GS96 − 104L
Nov 26, 2025vs MEM128 − 133L
Nov 24, 2025vs CHI143 − 130W
Nov 22, 2025vs ATL98 − 115L

CHI · Last 10

2−8 · streak W1
Dec 12, 2025at CHA129 − 126W
Dec 7, 2025vs GS91 − 123L
Dec 5, 2025vs IND105 − 120L
Dec 3, 2025vs BKN103 − 113L
Dec 1, 2025at ORL120 − 125L
Nov 29, 2025at IND101 − 103L
Nov 28, 2025at CHA116 − 123L
Nov 24, 2025at NO130 − 143L
Nov 22, 2025vs WSH121 − 120W
Nov 21, 2025vs MIA107 − 143L