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Pelicans at Nets

NBA · Saturday, Dec 6 · 4:00 PM CT · Barclays Center · Final NO 101 – BKN 119
← NBA / Dec 6, 2025

Final Box Score

from the game summary
Team1234T
NO24203126101
BKN35273423119
Team box
NO·BKN
37-82
field goals
47-89
9-25
3-pointers
14-35
18-22
free throws
11-14
36
rebounds
45
30
assists
36
17
turnovers
20
54
points in paint
66
Top performers
PlayerTeamMINPTSREBAST
Michael Porter Jr.BKN333593
Trey Murphy IIINO352355
Saddiq BeyNO331852
Day'Ron SharpeBKN191633
Bryce McGowensNO241622
Nic ClaxtonBKN29141110

For context, not in our forecast.

Game Flow

score margin
BKN +28
NO +28
Q1Q2Q3Q4
largest lead: BKN 28 · NO 2lead changes: 4

For context, not in our forecast.

Final · our forecast was NO 44%, BKN 56% · Updated Dec 6, 2025

Expected margin
BKN by 1.4
Expected score
BKN 111.5 – 110.1 NO
Expected total
221.6
PelicansThe matchupNets
+126Our fair odds−126
110.1Expected points111.5
−0.89Power rating−0.90
112.7Points / game109.0
123.4Allowed / game118.0
45.2FG%44.2
34.93P%33.8
42.6Rebounds / game39.5
3−20Season record5−17
1−9Last 104−6
Dejounte Murray · Herbert Jones
Hunter Dickinson · Jordan Poole
Zion WilliamsonOut (5 each)Cam Thomas · E.J. Liddell
Haywood Highsmith · Nolan Traore
Tyson Etienne

Prediction markets

Kalshi · Polymarket US · ProphetX · Novig
NO chance · BKN chance
Our model fair44.3%55.7%
Kalshino two-sided price
Polymarket USno two-sided price
ProphetXno two-sided price
Novigno two-sided price
Full price table
TeamOur modelfairKalshi Polymarket US ProphetX Novig 
Moneyline
NONew Orleans Pelicans+12644%————
BKNBrooklyn Nets−12656%————
SpreadBKN by 1.4
NONew Orleans Pelicans+1.4our margin————
BKNBrooklyn Nets−1.4our margin————
Totalwe expect 221.6
Over221.6our total————
Under221.6our total————

These are each venue’s last prices before the start (Kalshi’s moneyline: its pre-game close). Odds are the price to buy that side now, taker fee included; the small percent is the implied chance of that same price. Highlighted is the best price in the row among venues on the same line. — means not listed (hover or tap for why). A market price is not the true chance of winning.

Margin range

Brooklyn Nets by 1.4 expected
New Orleans Pelicans by 43 points: <1%New Orleans Pelicans by 42 points: <1%New Orleans Pelicans by 41 points: <1%New Orleans Pelicans by 40 points: <1%New Orleans Pelicans by 39 points: <1%New Orleans Pelicans by 38 points: <1%New Orleans Pelicans by 37 points: <1%New Orleans Pelicans by 36 points: <1%New Orleans Pelicans by 35 points: <1%New Orleans Pelicans by 34 points: <1%New Orleans Pelicans by 33 points: <1%New Orleans Pelicans by 32 points: <1%New Orleans Pelicans by 31 points: <1%New Orleans Pelicans by 30 points: <1%New Orleans Pelicans by 29 points: <1%New Orleans Pelicans by 28 points: <1%New Orleans Pelicans by 27 points: <1%New Orleans Pelicans by 26 points: <1%New Orleans Pelicans by 25 points: 1%New Orleans Pelicans by 24 points: 1%New Orleans Pelicans by 23 points: 1%New Orleans Pelicans by 22 points: 1%New Orleans Pelicans by 21 points: 1%New Orleans Pelicans by 20 points: 1%New Orleans Pelicans by 19 points: 1%New Orleans Pelicans by 18 points: 1%New Orleans Pelicans by 17 points: 1%New Orleans Pelicans by 16 points: 1%New Orleans Pelicans by 15 points: 1%New Orleans Pelicans by 14 points: 2%New Orleans Pelicans by 13 points: 2%New Orleans Pelicans by 12 points: 2%New Orleans Pelicans by 11 points: 2%New Orleans Pelicans by 10 points: 2%New Orleans Pelicans by 9 points: 2%New Orleans Pelicans by 8 points: 2%New Orleans Pelicans by 7 points: 3%New Orleans Pelicans by 6 points: 3%New Orleans Pelicans by 5 points: 3%New Orleans Pelicans by 4 points: 3%New Orleans Pelicans by 3 points: 2%New Orleans Pelicans by 2 points: 2%New Orleans Pelicans by 1 point: 2%Brooklyn Nets by 1 point: 2%Brooklyn Nets by 2 points: 2%Brooklyn Nets by 3 points: 3%Brooklyn Nets by 4 points: 3%Brooklyn Nets by 5 points: 3%Brooklyn Nets by 6 points: 3%Brooklyn Nets by 7 points: 3%Brooklyn Nets by 8 points: 3%Brooklyn Nets by 9 points: 3%Brooklyn Nets by 10 points: 3%Brooklyn Nets by 11 points: 3%Brooklyn Nets by 12 points: 2%Brooklyn Nets by 13 points: 2%Brooklyn Nets by 14 points: 2%Brooklyn Nets by 15 points: 2%Brooklyn Nets by 16 points: 2%Brooklyn Nets by 17 points: 2%Brooklyn Nets by 18 points: 1%Brooklyn Nets by 19 points: 1%Brooklyn Nets by 20 points: 1%Brooklyn Nets by 21 points: 1%Brooklyn Nets by 22 points: 1%Brooklyn Nets by 23 points: 1%Brooklyn Nets by 24 points: 1%Brooklyn Nets by 25 points: 1%Brooklyn Nets by 26 points: 1%Brooklyn Nets by 27 points: 1%Brooklyn Nets by 28 points: <1%Brooklyn Nets by 29 points: <1%Brooklyn Nets by 30 points: <1%Brooklyn Nets by 31 points: <1%Brooklyn Nets by 32 points: <1%Brooklyn Nets by 33 points: <1%Brooklyn Nets by 34 points: <1%Brooklyn Nets by 35 points: <1%Brooklyn Nets by 36 points: <1%Brooklyn Nets by 37 points: <1%Brooklyn Nets by 38 points: <1%Brooklyn Nets by 39 points: <1%Brooklyn Nets by 40 points: <1%Brooklyn Nets by 41 points: <1%Brooklyn Nets by 42 points: <1%Brooklyn Nets by 43 points: <1%
← NO wins byBKN wins by →
Brooklyn Nets wins by 5 or more44%
Brooklyn Nets wins by 10 or more30%
Brooklyn Nets wins by 15 or more18%
Within 5 points either way25%

Centered on the expected margin above; shape from the real results of 6,530 past NBA games.

Total range

221.6 expected
174 points: <1%175 points: <1%176 points: <1%177 points: <1%178 points: <1%179 points: <1%180 points: <1%181 points: <1%182 points: <1%183 points: <1%184 points: <1%185 points: <1%186 points: <1%187 points: <1%188 points: <1%189 points: 1%190 points: 1%191 points: 1%192 points: 1%193 points: 1%194 points: 1%195 points: 1%196 points: 1%197 points: 1%198 points: 1%199 points: 1%200 points: 1%201 points: 1%202 points: 1%203 points: 1%204 points: 1%205 points: 1%206 points: 2%207 points: 2%208 points: 2%209 points: 2%210 points: 2%211 points: 2%212 points: 2%213 points: 2%214 points: 2%215 points: 2%216 points: 2%217 points: 2%218 points: 2%219 points: 2%220 points: 2%221 points: 2%222 points: 2%223 points: 2%224 points: 2%225 points: 2%226 points: 2%227 points: 2%228 points: 2%229 points: 2%230 points: 2%231 points: 2%232 points: 2%233 points: 2%234 points: 2%235 points: 2%236 points: 2%237 points: 1%238 points: 1%239 points: 1%240 points: 1%241 points: 1%242 points: 1%243 points: 1%244 points: 1%245 points: 1%246 points: 1%247 points: 1%248 points: 1%249 points: 1%250 points: 1%251 points: 1%252 points: 1%253 points: 1%254 points: 1%255 points: <1%256 points: <1%257 points: <1%258 points: <1%259 points: <1%260 points: <1%261 points: <1%262 points: <1%263 points: <1%264 points: <1%265 points: <1%266 points: <1%267 points: <1%268 points: <1%269 points: <1%270 points: <1%271 points: <1%272 points: <1%273 points: <1%274 points: <1%
Total points, both teams
Total over 211.569%
Total over 221.550%
Total over 231.530%
Total from 212 to 23139%

Centered on the expected total above; shape from the real results of 6,530 past NBA games.

Starting Lineups

from the box score
New Orleans Pelicans
GSaddiq Beystarted
GBryce McGowensstarted
GJeremiah Fearsstarted
FTrey Murphy IIIstarted
CDerik Queenstarted
Brooklyn Nets
GTerance Mannstarted
GEgor Deminstarted
FMichael Porter Jr.started
FNoah Clowneystarted
CNic Claxtonstarted

For context, not in our forecast.

Rest and Schedule

before this game
NO·BKN
Dec 4, 2025 vs MIN
last game
Dec 4, 2025 vs UTAH
1 day
days of rest
1 day
no
back-to-back
no
4
games in last 7 days
4
road after a home game
home / road
2nd straight home game

For context, not in our forecast.

Who's Out

NBA official injury report · Dec 5, 5:00 PM ET
New Orleans Pelicans
NODejounte Murray · right achilles; ruptureOut
NOHerbert Jones · right calf; strainOut
NOHunter Dickinson · g league - two-wayOut
NOJordan Poole · left quad; strainOut
NOZion Williamson · right adductor; strainOut
Brooklyn Nets
BKNCam Thomas · left hamstring; strainOut
BKNE.J. Liddell · g league - two-wayOut
BKNHaywood Highsmith · right knee; surgery, injury recoveryOut
BKNNolan Traore · g league - on assignmentOut
BKNTyson Etienne · g league - two-wayOut

For context, not in our forecast.

Team Comparison

2025–26 season · box-score averages from 22+ games
NO·BKN
−0.89
rating (0 = average)
−0.90
112.7
points / game
109.0
123.4
points allowed / game
118.0
3−20
season record
5−17
2−11
home record
1−10
1−9
away record
4−7
L5
streak
L1
1−9
last 10
4−6
45.2
FG%
44.2
34.9
3P%
33.8
42.6
rebounds / game
39.5
23.7
assists / game
24.9
14.9
turnovers / game
15.6
54.5
points in paint / game
40.5

Rating Trend

NO · BKN · 39 days
New Orleans PelicansBrooklyn Nets
Rating (0 = average team)

Head to Head

last 8 meetings · BKN 5−3
Apr 8, 2025at BKNBKN 119 − 114
Nov 11, 2024at NOBKN 107 − 105
Mar 19, 2024at BKNNO 104 − 91
Jan 2, 2024at NONO 112 − 85
Jan 6, 2023at NOBKN 108 − 102
Oct 19, 2022at BKNNO 130 − 108
Jan 15, 2022at BKNBKN 120 − 105
Nov 12, 2021at NOBKN 120 − 112

NO · Last 10

1−9 · streak L5
Dec 4, 2025vs MIN116 − 125L
Dec 2, 2025vs MIN142 − 149L
Nov 30, 2025at LAL121 − 133L
Nov 29, 2025at GS96 − 104L
Nov 26, 2025vs MEM128 − 133L
Nov 24, 2025vs CHI143 − 130W
Nov 22, 2025vs ATL98 − 115L
Nov 21, 2025at DAL115 − 118L
Nov 19, 2025vs DEN118 − 125L
Nov 17, 2025vs OKC109 − 126L

BKN · Last 10

4−6 · streak L1
Dec 4, 2025vs UTAH110 − 123L
Dec 3, 2025at CHI113 − 103W
Dec 1, 2025vs CHA116 − 103W
Nov 29, 2025at MIL99 − 116L
Nov 28, 2025vs PHI103 − 115L
Nov 24, 2025vs NY100 − 113L
Nov 23, 2025at TOR109 − 119L
Nov 21, 2025at BOS113 − 105W
Nov 18, 2025vs BOS99 − 113L
Nov 16, 2025at WSH129 − 106W