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Bulls at Cavaliers

NBA · Friday, Dec 19 · 6:30 PM CT · Rocket Arena · Final CHI 136 – CLE 125
← NBA / Dec 19, 2025

Final Box Score

from the game summary
Team1234T
CHI32343535136
CLE32234426125
Team box
CHI·CLE
53-102
field goals
48-101
18-47
3-pointers
14-39
12-15
free throws
15-19
48
rebounds
46
34
assists
31
12
turnovers
15
58
points in paint
62
Top performers
PlayerTeamMINPTSREBAST
Darius GarlandCLE333528
Nikola VucevicCHI3224152
Matas BuzelisCHI332451
Josh GiddeyCHI301767
Tyrese ProctorCLE271663
Tre JonesCHI221616

For context, not in our forecast.

Game Flow

score margin
CLE +14
CHI +14
Q1Q2Q3Q4
largest lead: CLE 11 · CHI 14lead changes: 7

For context, not in our forecast.

Final · our forecast was CHI 26%, CLE 74% · Updated Dec 19, 2025

Expected margin
CLE by 9.5
Expected score
CLE 124.3 – 114.8 CHI
Expected total
239.2
BullsThe matchupCavaliers
+285Our fair odds−285
114.8Expected points124.3
−0.34Power rating+0.51
117.6Points / game118.4
121.9Allowed / game116.3
47.1FG%45.9
36.33P%33.9
45.2Rebounds / game44.8
11−15Season record15−13
2−8Last 103−7
Emanuel Miller · Lachlan Olbrich
Noa Essengue · Trentyn FlowersOutChris Livingston · Evan Mobley
Larry Nance Jr. · Max Strus
Sam Merrill

Prediction markets

Kalshi · Polymarket US · ProphetX · Novig
CHI chance · CLE chance
Our model fair25.9%74.1%
Kalshino two-sided price
Polymarket USno two-sided price
ProphetXno two-sided price
Novigno two-sided price
Full price table
TeamOur modelfairKalshi Polymarket US ProphetX Novig 
Moneyline
CHIChicago Bulls+28526%————
CLECleveland Cavaliers−28574%————
SpreadCLE by 9.5
CHIChicago Bulls+9.5our margin————
CLECleveland Cavaliers−9.5our margin————
Totalwe expect 239.2
Over239.2our total————
Under239.2our total————

These are each venue’s last prices before the start (Kalshi’s moneyline: its pre-game close). Odds are the price to buy that side now, taker fee included; the small percent is the implied chance of that same price. Highlighted is the best price in the row among venues on the same line. — means not listed (hover or tap for why). A market price is not the true chance of winning.

Margin range

Cleveland Cavaliers by 9.5 expected
Chicago Bulls by 52 points: <1%Chicago Bulls by 51 points: <1%Chicago Bulls by 50 points: <1%Chicago Bulls by 49 points: <1%Chicago Bulls by 48 points: <1%Chicago Bulls by 47 points: <1%Chicago Bulls by 46 points: <1%Chicago Bulls by 45 points: <1%Chicago Bulls by 44 points: <1%Chicago Bulls by 43 points: <1%Chicago Bulls by 42 points: <1%Chicago Bulls by 41 points: <1%Chicago Bulls by 40 points: <1%Chicago Bulls by 39 points: <1%Chicago Bulls by 38 points: <1%Chicago Bulls by 37 points: <1%Chicago Bulls by 36 points: <1%Chicago Bulls by 35 points: <1%Chicago Bulls by 34 points: <1%Chicago Bulls by 33 points: <1%Chicago Bulls by 32 points: <1%Chicago Bulls by 31 points: <1%Chicago Bulls by 30 points: <1%Chicago Bulls by 29 points: <1%Chicago Bulls by 28 points: <1%Chicago Bulls by 27 points: <1%Chicago Bulls by 26 points: <1%Chicago Bulls by 25 points: <1%Chicago Bulls by 24 points: <1%Chicago Bulls by 23 points: <1%Chicago Bulls by 22 points: <1%Chicago Bulls by 21 points: <1%Chicago Bulls by 20 points: <1%Chicago Bulls by 19 points: <1%Chicago Bulls by 18 points: <1%Chicago Bulls by 17 points: <1%Chicago Bulls by 16 points: 1%Chicago Bulls by 15 points: 1%Chicago Bulls by 14 points: 1%Chicago Bulls by 13 points: 1%Chicago Bulls by 12 points: 1%Chicago Bulls by 11 points: 1%Chicago Bulls by 10 points: 1%Chicago Bulls by 9 points: 1%Chicago Bulls by 8 points: 2%Chicago Bulls by 7 points: 2%Chicago Bulls by 6 points: 2%Chicago Bulls by 5 points: 2%Chicago Bulls by 4 points: 2%Chicago Bulls by 3 points: 2%Chicago Bulls by 2 points: 2%Chicago Bulls by 1 point: 2%Cleveland Cavaliers by 1 point: 2%Cleveland Cavaliers by 2 points: 2%Cleveland Cavaliers by 3 points: 2%Cleveland Cavaliers by 4 points: 3%Cleveland Cavaliers by 5 points: 3%Cleveland Cavaliers by 6 points: 3%Cleveland Cavaliers by 7 points: 3%Cleveland Cavaliers by 8 points: 3%Cleveland Cavaliers by 9 points: 3%Cleveland Cavaliers by 10 points: 3%Cleveland Cavaliers by 11 points: 3%Cleveland Cavaliers by 12 points: 3%Cleveland Cavaliers by 13 points: 3%Cleveland Cavaliers by 14 points: 3%Cleveland Cavaliers by 15 points: 3%Cleveland Cavaliers by 16 points: 2%Cleveland Cavaliers by 17 points: 2%Cleveland Cavaliers by 18 points: 2%Cleveland Cavaliers by 19 points: 2%Cleveland Cavaliers by 20 points: 2%Cleveland Cavaliers by 21 points: 2%Cleveland Cavaliers by 22 points: 2%Cleveland Cavaliers by 23 points: 2%Cleveland Cavaliers by 24 points: 1%Cleveland Cavaliers by 25 points: 1%Cleveland Cavaliers by 26 points: 1%Cleveland Cavaliers by 27 points: 1%Cleveland Cavaliers by 28 points: 1%Cleveland Cavaliers by 29 points: 1%Cleveland Cavaliers by 30 points: 1%Cleveland Cavaliers by 31 points: 1%Cleveland Cavaliers by 32 points: 1%Cleveland Cavaliers by 33 points: 1%Cleveland Cavaliers by 34 points: 1%Cleveland Cavaliers by 35 points: 1%Cleveland Cavaliers by 36 points: 1%Cleveland Cavaliers by 37 points: 1%Cleveland Cavaliers by 38 points: <1%Cleveland Cavaliers by 39 points: <1%Cleveland Cavaliers by 40 points: <1%Cleveland Cavaliers by 41 points: <1%Cleveland Cavaliers by 42 points: <1%Cleveland Cavaliers by 43 points: <1%Cleveland Cavaliers by 44 points: <1%Cleveland Cavaliers by 45 points: <1%Cleveland Cavaliers by 46 points: <1%Cleveland Cavaliers by 47 points: <1%Cleveland Cavaliers by 48 points: <1%Cleveland Cavaliers by 49 points: <1%Cleveland Cavaliers by 50 points: <1%Cleveland Cavaliers by 51 points: <1%Cleveland Cavaliers by 52 points: <1%
← CHI wins byCLE wins by →
Cleveland Cavaliers wins by 5 or more65%
Cleveland Cavaliers wins by 10 or more50%
Cleveland Cavaliers wins by 15 or more35%
Within 5 points either way21%

Centered on the expected margin above; shape from the real results of 6,530 past NBA games.

Total range

239.2 expected
189 points: <1%190 points: <1%191 points: <1%192 points: <1%193 points: <1%194 points: <1%195 points: <1%196 points: <1%197 points: <1%198 points: <1%199 points: <1%200 points: <1%201 points: <1%202 points: <1%203 points: <1%204 points: <1%205 points: <1%206 points: 1%207 points: 1%208 points: 1%209 points: 1%210 points: 1%211 points: 1%212 points: 1%213 points: 1%214 points: 1%215 points: 1%216 points: 1%217 points: 1%218 points: 1%219 points: 1%220 points: 1%221 points: 1%222 points: 1%223 points: 2%224 points: 2%225 points: 2%226 points: 2%227 points: 2%228 points: 2%229 points: 2%230 points: 2%231 points: 2%232 points: 2%233 points: 2%234 points: 2%235 points: 2%236 points: 2%237 points: 2%238 points: 2%239 points: 2%240 points: 2%241 points: 2%242 points: 2%243 points: 2%244 points: 2%245 points: 2%246 points: 2%247 points: 2%248 points: 2%249 points: 2%250 points: 2%251 points: 2%252 points: 2%253 points: 2%254 points: 1%255 points: 1%256 points: 1%257 points: 1%258 points: 1%259 points: 1%260 points: 1%261 points: 1%262 points: 1%263 points: 1%264 points: 1%265 points: 1%266 points: 1%267 points: 1%268 points: 1%269 points: 1%270 points: 1%271 points: 1%272 points: 1%273 points: <1%274 points: <1%275 points: <1%276 points: <1%277 points: <1%278 points: <1%279 points: <1%280 points: <1%281 points: <1%282 points: <1%283 points: <1%284 points: <1%285 points: <1%286 points: <1%287 points: <1%288 points: <1%289 points: <1%290 points: <1%291 points: <1%292 points: <1%293 points: <1%294 points: <1%295 points: <1%296 points: <1%297 points: <1%298 points: <1%299 points: <1%
Total points, both teams
Total over 229.567%
Total over 239.548%
Total over 249.530%
Total from 230 to 24937%

Centered on the expected total above; shape from the real results of 6,530 past NBA games.

Starting Lineups

from the box score
Chicago Bulls
GCoby Whitestarted
GJosh Giddeystarted
FIsaac Okorostarted
FMatas Buzelisstarted
CNikola Vucevicstarted
Cleveland Cavaliers
GDarius Garlandstarted
GJaylon Tysonstarted
GTyrese Proctorstarted
FDean Wadestarted
CJarrett Allenstarted

For context, not in our forecast.

Rest and Schedule

before this game
CHI·CLE
Dec 17, 2025 vs CLE
last game
Dec 17, 2025 at CHI
1 day
days of rest
1 day
no
back-to-back
no
3
games in last 7 days
3
road after a home game
home / road
home after a road game

For context, not in our forecast.

Who's Out

NBA official injury report · Dec 19, 5:00 PM ET
Chicago Bulls
CHIEmanuel Miller · g league - two-wayOut
CHILachlan Olbrich · g league - two-wayOut
CHINoa Essengue · left shoulder; surgeryOut
CHITrentyn Flowers · g league - two-wayOut
CHIAyo Dosunmu · right thumb; sprainProbable
CHITre Jones · left hamstring; tightnessProbable
CHIZach Collins · left wrist; sorenessProbable
Cleveland Cavaliers
CLEChris Livingston · g league - two-wayOut
CLEEvan Mobley · left calf; strainOut
CLELarry Nance Jr. · right calf; strainOut
CLEMax Strus · left foot; surgery - jones fractureOut
CLESam Merrill · right hand; sprainOut
CLECraig Porter Jr. · illness; illnessQuestionable
CLEDonovan Mitchell · illness; illnessQuestionable
CLELuke Travers · g league - two-wayQuestionable

For context, not in our forecast.

Team Comparison

2025–26 season · box-score averages from 26+ games
CHI·CLE
−0.34
rating (0 = average)
+0.51
117.6
points / game
118.4
121.9
points allowed / game
116.3
11−15
season record
15−13
7−6
home record
9−7
4−9
away record
6−6
W1
streak
L2
2−8
last 10
3−7
47.1
FG%
45.9
36.3
3P%
33.9
45.2
rebounds / game
44.8
28.6
assists / game
26.8
15.3
turnovers / game
13.9
54.5
points in paint / game
48.2

Rating Trend

CHI · CLE · 52 days
Chicago BullsCleveland Cavaliers
Rating (0 = average team)

Head to Head

last 10 meetings · CLE 8−2
Dec 17, 2025at CHICHI 127 − 111
Nov 8, 2025at CLECLE 128 − 122
Apr 8, 2025at CLECLE 135 − 113
Mar 4, 2025at CHICLE 139 − 117
Nov 15, 2024at CLECLE 144 − 126
Nov 11, 2024at CHICLE 119 − 113
Feb 28, 2024at CHICHI 132 − 123
Feb 14, 2024at CLECLE 108 − 105
Jan 15, 2024at CLECLE 109 − 91
Dec 23, 2023at CHICLE 109 − 95

CHI · Last 10

2−8 · streak W1
Dec 17, 2025vs CLE127 − 111W
Dec 14, 2025vs NO104 − 114L
Dec 12, 2025at CHA129 − 126W
Dec 7, 2025vs GS91 − 123L
Dec 5, 2025vs IND105 − 120L
Dec 3, 2025vs BKN103 − 113L
Dec 1, 2025at ORL120 − 125L
Nov 29, 2025at IND101 − 103L
Nov 28, 2025at CHA116 − 123L
Nov 24, 2025at NO130 − 143L

CLE · Last 10

3−7 · streak L2
Dec 17, 2025at CHI111 − 127L
Dec 14, 2025vs CHA111 − 119L
Dec 12, 2025at WSH130 − 126W
Dec 6, 2025vs GS94 − 99L
Dec 5, 2025vs SA130 − 117W
Dec 3, 2025vs POR110 − 122L
Dec 1, 2025at IND135 − 119W
Nov 30, 2025vs BOS115 − 117L
Nov 28, 2025at ATL123 − 130L
Nov 24, 2025at TOR99 − 110L