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Hornets at Cavaliers

NBA · Monday, Dec 22 · 6:00 PM CT · Rocket Arena · Final CHA 132 – CLE 139
← NBA / Dec 22, 2025

Final Box Score

from the game summary
Team1234T
CHA36273237132
CLE33373435139
Team box
CHA·CLE
46-94
field goals
48-87
21-42
3-pointers
24-44
19-25
free throws
19-19
44
rebounds
30
29
assists
36
20
turnovers
13
40
points in paint
42
Top performers
PlayerTeamMINPTSREBAST
Donovan MitchellCLE293045
Darius GarlandCLE3027410
De'Andre HunterCLE262751
LaMelo BallCHA242349
Brandon MillerCHA272013
Kon KnueppelCHA312012

For context, not in our forecast.

Game Flow

score margin
CLE +19
CHA +19
Q1Q2Q3Q4
largest lead: CLE 19 · CHA 6lead changes: 12

For context, not in our forecast.

Final · our forecast was CHA 17%, CLE 83% · Updated Dec 22, 2025

Expected margin
CLE by 13.6
Expected score
CLE 120.8 – 107.2 CHA
Expected total
228.1
HornetsThe matchupCavaliers
+497Our fair odds−497
107.2Expected points120.8
−0.90Power rating+0.51
114.5Points / game118.7
118.5Allowed / game117.0
45.5FG%45.9
35.33P%34.0
44.1Rebounds / game44.8
9−19Season record15−14
5−5Last 103−7
Antonio Reeves · Collin Sexton
Drew Peterson · Grant Williams
Ryan KalkbrennerOut (5 each)Chris Livingston · Evan Mobley
Larry Nance Jr. · Luke Travers
Max Strus

Prediction markets

Kalshi · Polymarket US · ProphetX · Novig
CHA chance · CLE chance
Our model fair16.8%83.2%
Kalshino two-sided price
Polymarket USno two-sided price
ProphetXno two-sided price
Novigno two-sided price
Full price table
TeamOur modelfairKalshi Polymarket US ProphetX Novig 
Moneyline
CHACharlotte Hornets+49717%————
CLECleveland Cavaliers−49783%————
SpreadCLE by 13.6
CHACharlotte Hornets+13.6our margin————
CLECleveland Cavaliers−13.6our margin————
Totalwe expect 228.1
Over228.1our total————
Under228.1our total————

These are each venue’s last prices before the start (Kalshi’s moneyline: its pre-game close). Odds are the price to buy that side now, taker fee included; the small percent is the implied chance of that same price. Highlighted is the best price in the row among venues on the same line. — means not listed (hover or tap for why). A market price is not the true chance of winning.

Margin range

Cleveland Cavaliers by 13.6 expected
Charlotte Hornets by 53 points: <1%Charlotte Hornets by 52 points: <1%Charlotte Hornets by 51 points: <1%Charlotte Hornets by 50 points: <1%Charlotte Hornets by 49 points: <1%Charlotte Hornets by 48 points: <1%Charlotte Hornets by 47 points: <1%Charlotte Hornets by 46 points: <1%Charlotte Hornets by 45 points: <1%Charlotte Hornets by 44 points: <1%Charlotte Hornets by 43 points: <1%Charlotte Hornets by 42 points: <1%Charlotte Hornets by 41 points: <1%Charlotte Hornets by 40 points: <1%Charlotte Hornets by 39 points: <1%Charlotte Hornets by 38 points: <1%Charlotte Hornets by 37 points: <1%Charlotte Hornets by 36 points: <1%Charlotte Hornets by 35 points: <1%Charlotte Hornets by 34 points: <1%Charlotte Hornets by 33 points: <1%Charlotte Hornets by 32 points: <1%Charlotte Hornets by 31 points: <1%Charlotte Hornets by 30 points: <1%Charlotte Hornets by 29 points: <1%Charlotte Hornets by 28 points: <1%Charlotte Hornets by 27 points: <1%Charlotte Hornets by 26 points: <1%Charlotte Hornets by 25 points: <1%Charlotte Hornets by 24 points: <1%Charlotte Hornets by 23 points: <1%Charlotte Hornets by 22 points: <1%Charlotte Hornets by 21 points: <1%Charlotte Hornets by 20 points: <1%Charlotte Hornets by 19 points: <1%Charlotte Hornets by 18 points: <1%Charlotte Hornets by 17 points: <1%Charlotte Hornets by 16 points: <1%Charlotte Hornets by 15 points: <1%Charlotte Hornets by 14 points: <1%Charlotte Hornets by 13 points: <1%Charlotte Hornets by 12 points: 1%Charlotte Hornets by 11 points: 1%Charlotte Hornets by 10 points: 1%Charlotte Hornets by 9 points: 1%Charlotte Hornets by 8 points: 1%Charlotte Hornets by 7 points: 1%Charlotte Hornets by 6 points: 1%Charlotte Hornets by 5 points: 1%Charlotte Hornets by 4 points: 1%Charlotte Hornets by 3 points: 1%Charlotte Hornets by 2 points: 1%Charlotte Hornets by 1 point: 2%Cleveland Cavaliers by 1 point: 2%Cleveland Cavaliers by 2 points: 2%Cleveland Cavaliers by 3 points: 2%Cleveland Cavaliers by 4 points: 2%Cleveland Cavaliers by 5 points: 2%Cleveland Cavaliers by 6 points: 3%Cleveland Cavaliers by 7 points: 3%Cleveland Cavaliers by 8 points: 3%Cleveland Cavaliers by 9 points: 3%Cleveland Cavaliers by 10 points: 3%Cleveland Cavaliers by 11 points: 3%Cleveland Cavaliers by 12 points: 3%Cleveland Cavaliers by 13 points: 3%Cleveland Cavaliers by 14 points: 3%Cleveland Cavaliers by 15 points: 3%Cleveland Cavaliers by 16 points: 3%Cleveland Cavaliers by 17 points: 3%Cleveland Cavaliers by 18 points: 2%Cleveland Cavaliers by 19 points: 2%Cleveland Cavaliers by 20 points: 2%Cleveland Cavaliers by 21 points: 2%Cleveland Cavaliers by 22 points: 2%Cleveland Cavaliers by 23 points: 2%Cleveland Cavaliers by 24 points: 2%Cleveland Cavaliers by 25 points: 2%Cleveland Cavaliers by 26 points: 2%Cleveland Cavaliers by 27 points: 2%Cleveland Cavaliers by 28 points: 2%Cleveland Cavaliers by 29 points: 2%Cleveland Cavaliers by 30 points: 2%Cleveland Cavaliers by 31 points: 1%Cleveland Cavaliers by 32 points: 1%Cleveland Cavaliers by 33 points: 1%Cleveland Cavaliers by 34 points: 1%Cleveland Cavaliers by 35 points: 1%Cleveland Cavaliers by 36 points: 1%Cleveland Cavaliers by 37 points: 1%Cleveland Cavaliers by 38 points: 1%Cleveland Cavaliers by 39 points: 1%Cleveland Cavaliers by 40 points: <1%Cleveland Cavaliers by 41 points: <1%Cleveland Cavaliers by 42 points: <1%Cleveland Cavaliers by 43 points: <1%Cleveland Cavaliers by 44 points: <1%Cleveland Cavaliers by 45 points: <1%Cleveland Cavaliers by 46 points: <1%Cleveland Cavaliers by 47 points: <1%Cleveland Cavaliers by 48 points: <1%Cleveland Cavaliers by 49 points: <1%Cleveland Cavaliers by 50 points: <1%Cleveland Cavaliers by 51 points: <1%Cleveland Cavaliers by 52 points: <1%Cleveland Cavaliers by 53 points: <1%
← CHA wins byCLE wins by →
Cleveland Cavaliers wins by 5 or more75%
Cleveland Cavaliers wins by 10 or more61%
Cleveland Cavaliers wins by 15 or more46%
Within 5 points either way18%

Centered on the expected margin above; shape from the real results of 6,530 past NBA games.

Total range

228.1 expected
179 points: <1%180 points: <1%181 points: <1%182 points: <1%183 points: <1%184 points: <1%185 points: <1%186 points: <1%187 points: <1%188 points: <1%189 points: <1%190 points: <1%191 points: <1%192 points: <1%193 points: <1%194 points: <1%195 points: <1%196 points: 1%197 points: 1%198 points: 1%199 points: 1%200 points: 1%201 points: 1%202 points: 1%203 points: 1%204 points: 1%205 points: 1%206 points: 1%207 points: 1%208 points: 1%209 points: 1%210 points: 1%211 points: 1%212 points: 2%213 points: 2%214 points: 2%215 points: 2%216 points: 2%217 points: 2%218 points: 2%219 points: 2%220 points: 2%221 points: 2%222 points: 2%223 points: 2%224 points: 2%225 points: 2%226 points: 2%227 points: 2%228 points: 2%229 points: 2%230 points: 2%231 points: 2%232 points: 2%233 points: 2%234 points: 2%235 points: 2%236 points: 2%237 points: 2%238 points: 2%239 points: 2%240 points: 2%241 points: 2%242 points: 1%243 points: 1%244 points: 1%245 points: 1%246 points: 1%247 points: 1%248 points: 1%249 points: 1%250 points: 1%251 points: 1%252 points: 1%253 points: 1%254 points: 1%255 points: 1%256 points: 1%257 points: 1%258 points: 1%259 points: 1%260 points: 1%261 points: 1%262 points: <1%263 points: <1%264 points: <1%265 points: <1%266 points: <1%267 points: <1%268 points: <1%269 points: <1%270 points: <1%271 points: <1%272 points: <1%273 points: <1%274 points: <1%275 points: <1%276 points: <1%277 points: <1%278 points: <1%279 points: <1%280 points: <1%281 points: <1%
Total points, both teams
Total over 218.568%
Total over 228.549%
Total over 238.529%
Total from 219 to 23839%

Centered on the expected total above; shape from the real results of 6,530 past NBA games.

Starting Lineups

from the box score
Charlotte Hornets
GLaMelo Ballstarted
GKon Knueppelstarted
FMiles Bridgesstarted
FBrandon Millerstarted
CMason Plumleestarted
Cleveland Cavaliers
GDonovan Mitchellstarted
GDarius Garlandstarted
GJaylon Tysonstarted
FDean Wadestarted
CJarrett Allenstarted

For context, not in our forecast.

Rest and Schedule

before this game
CHA·CLE
Dec 20, 2025 at DET
last game
Dec 19, 2025 vs CHI
1 day
days of rest
2 days
no
back-to-back
no
2
games in last 7 days
2
2nd straight road game
home / road
2nd straight home game

For context, not in our forecast.

Who's Out

NBA official injury report · Dec 22, 5:00 PM ET
Charlotte Hornets
CHAAntonio Reeves · g league - two-wayOut
CHACollin Sexton · left quadriceps; strainOut
CHADrew Peterson · g league - two-wayOut
CHAGrant Williams · right knee; sorenessOut
CHARyan Kalkbrenner · left elbow; sprainOut
Cleveland Cavaliers
CLEChris Livingston · g league - two-wayOut
CLEEvan Mobley · left calf; strainOut
CLELarry Nance Jr. · right calf; strainOut
CLELuke Travers · g league - two-wayOut
CLEMax Strus · left foot; surgery - jones fractureOut
CLECraig Porter Jr. · illness; illnessProbable
CLEDonovan Mitchell · illness; illnessProbable
CLESam Merrill · right hand; sprainProbable

For context, not in our forecast.

Team Comparison

2025–26 season · box-score averages from 28+ games
CHA·CLE
−0.90
rating (0 = average)
+0.51
114.5
points / game
118.7
118.5
points allowed / game
117.0
9−19
season record
15−14
6−8
home record
9−8
3−11
away record
6−6
L1
streak
L3
5−5
last 10
3−7
45.5
FG%
45.9
35.3
3P%
34.0
44.1
rebounds / game
44.8
25.9
assists / game
26.9
16.1
turnovers / game
14.0
49.1
points in paint / game
48.7

Rating Trend

CHA · CLE · 55 days
Charlotte HornetsCleveland Cavaliers
Rating (0 = average team)

Head to Head

last 10 meetings · CLE 6−4
Dec 14, 2025at CLECHA 119 − 111
Mar 7, 2025at CHACLE 118 − 117
Jan 5, 2025at CLECLE 115 − 105
Dec 7, 2024at CHACLE 116 − 102
Nov 17, 2024at CLECLE 128 − 114
Apr 14, 2024at CLECHA 120 − 110
Mar 27, 2024at CHACHA 118 − 111
Mar 25, 2024at CLECLE 115 − 92
Apr 9, 2023at CLECHA 106 − 95
Mar 14, 2023at CHACLE 120 − 104

CHA · Last 10

5−5 · streak L1
Dec 20, 2025at DET86 − 112L
Dec 18, 2025vs ATL133 − 126W
Dec 14, 2025at CLE119 − 111W
Dec 12, 2025vs CHI126 − 129L
Dec 7, 2025vs DEN106 − 115L
Dec 5, 2025at TOR111 − 86W
Dec 3, 2025at NY104 − 119L
Dec 1, 2025at BKN103 − 116L
Nov 29, 2025vs TOR118 − 111W
Nov 28, 2025vs CHI123 − 116W

CLE · Last 10

3−7 · streak L3
Dec 19, 2025vs CHI125 − 136L
Dec 17, 2025at CHI111 − 127L
Dec 14, 2025vs CHA111 − 119L
Dec 12, 2025at WSH130 − 126W
Dec 6, 2025vs GS94 − 99L
Dec 5, 2025vs SA130 − 117W
Dec 3, 2025vs POR110 − 122L
Dec 1, 2025at IND135 − 119W
Nov 30, 2025vs BOS115 − 117L
Nov 28, 2025at ATL123 − 130L