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Hornets at Pistons

NBA · Saturday, Dec 20 · 6:30 PM CT · Little Caesars Arena · Final CHA 86 – DET 112
← NBA / Dec 20, 2025

Final Box Score

from the game summary
Team1234T
CHA2718271486
DET33222433112
Team box
CHA·DET
28-89
field goals
41-93
13-41
3-pointers
6-28
17-20
free throws
24-32
43
rebounds
61
21
assists
23
24
turnovers
20
28
points in paint
66
Top performers
PlayerTeamMINPTSREBAST
Cade CunninghamDET36221010
Jalen DurenDET2519112
Kon KnueppelCHA341975
Miles BridgesCHA301922
Tobias HarrisDET271653
Duncan RobinsonDET251531

For context, not in our forecast.

Game Flow

score margin
DET +29
CHA +29
Q1Q2Q3Q4
largest lead: DET 29 · CHA 6lead changes: 3

For context, not in our forecast.

Final · our forecast was CHA 19%, DET 81% · Updated Dec 20, 2025

Expected margin
DET by 11.6
Expected score
DET 119.0 – 107.4 CHA
Expected total
226.4
HornetsThe matchupPistons
+419Our fair odds−419
107.4Expected points119.0
−0.90Power rating+0.33
115.5Points / game119.1
118.7Allowed / game113.1
46.0FG%48.3
35.43P%35.0
44.2Rebounds / game46.8
9−18Season record21−6
5−5Last 106−4
Antonio Reeves · Collin Sexton
Drew Peterson · Grant Williams
Liam McNeeleyOut (5 each)Bobi Klintman · Chaz Lanier
Isaac Jones · Tolu Smith
Wendell Moore Jr.

Prediction markets

Kalshi · Polymarket US · ProphetX · Novig
CHA chance · DET chance
Our model fair19.3%80.7%
Kalshino two-sided price
Polymarket USno two-sided price
ProphetXno two-sided price
Novigno two-sided price
Full price table
TeamOur modelfairKalshi Polymarket US ProphetX Novig 
Moneyline
CHACharlotte Hornets+41919%————
DETDetroit Pistons−41981%————
SpreadDET by 11.6
CHACharlotte Hornets+11.6our margin————
DETDetroit Pistons−11.6our margin————
Totalwe expect 226.4
Over226.4our total————
Under226.4our total————

These are each venue’s last prices before the start (Kalshi’s moneyline: its pre-game close). Odds are the price to buy that side now, taker fee included; the small percent is the implied chance of that same price. Highlighted is the best price in the row among venues on the same line. — means not listed (hover or tap for why). A market price is not the true chance of winning.

Margin range

Detroit Pistons by 11.6 expected
Charlotte Hornets by 53 points: <1%Charlotte Hornets by 52 points: <1%Charlotte Hornets by 51 points: <1%Charlotte Hornets by 50 points: <1%Charlotte Hornets by 49 points: <1%Charlotte Hornets by 48 points: <1%Charlotte Hornets by 47 points: <1%Charlotte Hornets by 46 points: <1%Charlotte Hornets by 45 points: <1%Charlotte Hornets by 44 points: <1%Charlotte Hornets by 43 points: <1%Charlotte Hornets by 42 points: <1%Charlotte Hornets by 41 points: <1%Charlotte Hornets by 40 points: <1%Charlotte Hornets by 39 points: <1%Charlotte Hornets by 38 points: <1%Charlotte Hornets by 37 points: <1%Charlotte Hornets by 36 points: <1%Charlotte Hornets by 35 points: <1%Charlotte Hornets by 34 points: <1%Charlotte Hornets by 33 points: <1%Charlotte Hornets by 32 points: <1%Charlotte Hornets by 31 points: <1%Charlotte Hornets by 30 points: <1%Charlotte Hornets by 29 points: <1%Charlotte Hornets by 28 points: <1%Charlotte Hornets by 27 points: <1%Charlotte Hornets by 26 points: <1%Charlotte Hornets by 25 points: <1%Charlotte Hornets by 24 points: <1%Charlotte Hornets by 23 points: <1%Charlotte Hornets by 22 points: <1%Charlotte Hornets by 21 points: <1%Charlotte Hornets by 20 points: <1%Charlotte Hornets by 19 points: <1%Charlotte Hornets by 18 points: <1%Charlotte Hornets by 17 points: <1%Charlotte Hornets by 16 points: <1%Charlotte Hornets by 15 points: <1%Charlotte Hornets by 14 points: 1%Charlotte Hornets by 13 points: 1%Charlotte Hornets by 12 points: 1%Charlotte Hornets by 11 points: 1%Charlotte Hornets by 10 points: 1%Charlotte Hornets by 9 points: 1%Charlotte Hornets by 8 points: 1%Charlotte Hornets by 7 points: 1%Charlotte Hornets by 6 points: 1%Charlotte Hornets by 5 points: 2%Charlotte Hornets by 4 points: 2%Charlotte Hornets by 3 points: 2%Charlotte Hornets by 2 points: 2%Charlotte Hornets by 1 point: 2%Detroit Pistons by 1 point: 2%Detroit Pistons by 2 points: 2%Detroit Pistons by 3 points: 2%Detroit Pistons by 4 points: 2%Detroit Pistons by 5 points: 3%Detroit Pistons by 6 points: 3%Detroit Pistons by 7 points: 3%Detroit Pistons by 8 points: 3%Detroit Pistons by 9 points: 3%Detroit Pistons by 10 points: 3%Detroit Pistons by 11 points: 3%Detroit Pistons by 12 points: 3%Detroit Pistons by 13 points: 3%Detroit Pistons by 14 points: 3%Detroit Pistons by 15 points: 3%Detroit Pistons by 16 points: 3%Detroit Pistons by 17 points: 2%Detroit Pistons by 18 points: 2%Detroit Pistons by 19 points: 2%Detroit Pistons by 20 points: 2%Detroit Pistons by 21 points: 2%Detroit Pistons by 22 points: 2%Detroit Pistons by 23 points: 2%Detroit Pistons by 24 points: 2%Detroit Pistons by 25 points: 2%Detroit Pistons by 26 points: 1%Detroit Pistons by 27 points: 1%Detroit Pistons by 28 points: 1%Detroit Pistons by 29 points: 1%Detroit Pistons by 30 points: 1%Detroit Pistons by 31 points: 1%Detroit Pistons by 32 points: 1%Detroit Pistons by 33 points: 1%Detroit Pistons by 34 points: 1%Detroit Pistons by 35 points: 1%Detroit Pistons by 36 points: 1%Detroit Pistons by 37 points: 1%Detroit Pistons by 38 points: 1%Detroit Pistons by 39 points: <1%Detroit Pistons by 40 points: <1%Detroit Pistons by 41 points: <1%Detroit Pistons by 42 points: <1%Detroit Pistons by 43 points: <1%Detroit Pistons by 44 points: <1%Detroit Pistons by 45 points: <1%Detroit Pistons by 46 points: <1%Detroit Pistons by 47 points: <1%Detroit Pistons by 48 points: <1%Detroit Pistons by 49 points: <1%Detroit Pistons by 50 points: <1%Detroit Pistons by 51 points: <1%Detroit Pistons by 52 points: <1%Detroit Pistons by 53 points: <1%
← CHA wins byDET wins by →
Detroit Pistons wins by 5 or more70%
Detroit Pistons wins by 10 or more56%
Detroit Pistons wins by 15 or more40%
Within 5 points either way20%

Centered on the expected margin above; shape from the real results of 6,530 past NBA games.

Total range

226.4 expected
177 points: <1%178 points: <1%179 points: <1%180 points: <1%181 points: <1%182 points: <1%183 points: <1%184 points: <1%185 points: <1%186 points: <1%187 points: <1%188 points: <1%189 points: <1%190 points: <1%191 points: <1%192 points: <1%193 points: <1%194 points: 1%195 points: 1%196 points: 1%197 points: 1%198 points: 1%199 points: 1%200 points: 1%201 points: 1%202 points: 1%203 points: 1%204 points: 1%205 points: 1%206 points: 1%207 points: 1%208 points: 1%209 points: 1%210 points: 1%211 points: 2%212 points: 2%213 points: 2%214 points: 2%215 points: 2%216 points: 2%217 points: 2%218 points: 2%219 points: 2%220 points: 2%221 points: 2%222 points: 2%223 points: 2%224 points: 2%225 points: 2%226 points: 2%227 points: 2%228 points: 2%229 points: 2%230 points: 2%231 points: 2%232 points: 2%233 points: 2%234 points: 2%235 points: 2%236 points: 2%237 points: 2%238 points: 2%239 points: 2%240 points: 2%241 points: 1%242 points: 1%243 points: 1%244 points: 1%245 points: 1%246 points: 1%247 points: 1%248 points: 1%249 points: 1%250 points: 1%251 points: 1%252 points: 1%253 points: 1%254 points: 1%255 points: 1%256 points: 1%257 points: 1%258 points: 1%259 points: 1%260 points: <1%261 points: <1%262 points: <1%263 points: <1%264 points: <1%265 points: <1%266 points: <1%267 points: <1%268 points: <1%269 points: <1%270 points: <1%271 points: <1%272 points: <1%273 points: <1%274 points: <1%275 points: <1%276 points: <1%277 points: <1%278 points: <1%279 points: <1%
Total points, both teams
Total over 216.569%
Total over 226.549%
Total over 236.530%
Total from 217 to 23639%

Centered on the expected total above; shape from the real results of 6,530 past NBA games.

Starting Lineups

from the box score
Charlotte Hornets
GLaMelo Ballstarted
GKon Knueppelstarted
FMiles Bridgesstarted
FBrandon Millerstarted
CRyan Kalkbrennerstarted
Detroit Pistons
GCade Cunninghamstarted
GAusar Thompsonstarted
FTobias Harrisstarted
FDuncan Robinsonstarted
CJalen Durenstarted

For context, not in our forecast.

Rest and Schedule

before this game
CHA·DET
Dec 18, 2025 vs ATL
last game
Dec 18, 2025 at DAL
1 day
days of rest
1 day
no
back-to-back
no
2
games in last 7 days
2
road after a home game
home / road
home after a road game

For context, not in our forecast.

Who's Out

NBA official injury report · Dec 20, 5:00 PM ET
Charlotte Hornets
CHAAntonio Reeves · g league - two-wayOut
CHACollin Sexton · left quadriceps; strainOut
CHADrew Peterson · g league - two-wayOut
CHAGrant Williams · right knee; surgeryOut
CHALiam McNeeley · g league - on assignmentOut
Detroit Pistons
DETBobi Klintman · g league - on assignmentOut
DETChaz Lanier · g league - on assignmentOut
DETIsaac Jones · g league - on assignmentOut
DETTolu Smith · g league - two-wayOut
DETWendell Moore Jr. · g league - two-wayOut
DETCaris LeVert · right knee; sorenessProbable

For context, not in our forecast.

Team Comparison

2025–26 season · box-score averages from 27+ games
CHA·DET
−0.90
rating (0 = average)
+0.33
115.5
points / game
119.1
118.7
points allowed / game
113.1
9−18
season record
21−6
6−8
home record
12−2
3−10
away record
9−4
W2
streak
L1
5−5
last 10
6−4
46.0
FG%
48.3
35.4
3P%
35.0
44.2
rebounds / game
46.8
26.1
assists / game
26.2
15.8
turnovers / game
15.7
49.9
points in paint / game
57.6

Rating Trend

CHA · DET · 53 days
Charlotte HornetsDetroit Pistons
Rating (0 = average team)

Head to Head

last 10 meetings · DET 6−4
Feb 9, 2025at DETDET 112 − 102
Jan 3, 2025at DETDET 98 − 94
Nov 21, 2024at CHACHA 123 − 121
Nov 6, 2024at CHACHA 108 − 107
Mar 11, 2024at DETDET 114 − 97
Jan 24, 2024at DETDET 113 − 106
Oct 27, 2023at CHADET 111 − 99
Mar 9, 2023at DETCHA 113 − 103
Feb 27, 2023at CHACHA 117 − 106
Feb 3, 2023at DETDET 118 − 112

CHA · Last 10

5−5 · streak W2
Dec 18, 2025vs ATL133 − 126W
Dec 14, 2025at CLE119 − 111W
Dec 12, 2025vs CHI126 − 129L
Dec 7, 2025vs DEN106 − 115L
Dec 5, 2025at TOR111 − 86W
Dec 3, 2025at NY104 − 119L
Dec 1, 2025at BKN103 − 116L
Nov 29, 2025vs TOR118 − 111W
Nov 28, 2025vs CHI123 − 116W
Nov 26, 2025vs NY101 − 129L

DET · Last 10

6−4 · streak L1
Dec 18, 2025at DAL114 − 116L
Dec 15, 2025at BOS112 − 105W
Dec 12, 2025vs ATL142 − 115W
Dec 6, 2025vs MIL124 − 112W
Dec 5, 2025vs POR122 − 116W
Dec 3, 2025at MIL109 − 113L
Dec 1, 2025vs ATL99 − 98W
Nov 29, 2025at MIA138 − 135W
Nov 28, 2025vs ORL109 − 112L
Nov 26, 2025at BOS114 − 117L