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Warriors at Clippers

NBA · Monday, Jan 5 · 9:00 PM CT · Intuit Dome · Final GS 102 – LAC 103
← NBA / Jan 5

Final Box Score

from the game summary
Team1234T
GS19321338102
LAC31242127103
Team box
GS·LAC
35-92
field goals
37-77
10-41
3-pointers
10-29
22-27
free throws
19-21
40
rebounds
48
27
assists
25
7
turnovers
20
40
points in paint
44
Top performers
PlayerTeamMINPTSREBAST
Stephen CurryGS342746
Kawhi LeonardLAC3824125
Jimmy Butler IIIGS332462
Kobe SandersLAC362073
John CollinsLAC391841
Kris DunnLAC331636

For context, not in our forecast.

Game Flow

score margin
LAC +14
GS +14
Q1Q2Q3Q4
largest lead: LAC 14 · GS 5lead changes: 2

For context, not in our forecast.

Final · our forecast was GS 49%, LAC 51% · Updated Jan 5

Expected margin
LAC by 1.1
Expected score
LAC 110.3 – 109.2 GS
Expected total
219.6
WarriorsThe matchupClippers
+106Our fair odds−106
109.2Expected points110.3
+0.28Power rating+0.11
115.2Points / game112.4
113.9Allowed / game114.6
45.5FG%47.4
36.23P%36.2
43.6Rebounds / game40.4
19−17Season record12−22
6−4Last 106−4
LJ Cryer · Malevy Leons
Seth CurryOutBogdan Bogdanovic · Bradley Beal
Chris Paul · Derrick Jones Jr.

Prediction markets

Kalshi · Polymarket US · ProphetX · Novig
GS chance · LAC chance
Our model fair48.6%51.4%
Kalshino two-sided price
Polymarket USno two-sided price
ProphetXno two-sided price
Novigno two-sided price
Full price table
TeamOur modelfairKalshi Polymarket US ProphetX Novig 
Moneyline
GSGolden State Warriors+10649%————
LACLA Clippers−10651%————
SpreadLAC by 1.1
GSGolden State Warriors+1.1our margin————
LACLA Clippers−1.1our margin————
Totalwe expect 219.6
Over219.6our total————
Under219.6our total————

These are each venue’s last prices before the start (Kalshi’s moneyline: its pre-game close). Odds are the price to buy that side now, taker fee included; the small percent is the implied chance of that same price. Highlighted is the best price in the row among venues on the same line. — means not listed (hover or tap for why). A market price is not the true chance of winning.

Margin range

LA Clippers by 1.1 expected
Golden State Warriors by 42 points: <1%Golden State Warriors by 41 points: <1%Golden State Warriors by 40 points: <1%Golden State Warriors by 39 points: <1%Golden State Warriors by 38 points: <1%Golden State Warriors by 37 points: <1%Golden State Warriors by 36 points: <1%Golden State Warriors by 35 points: <1%Golden State Warriors by 34 points: <1%Golden State Warriors by 33 points: <1%Golden State Warriors by 32 points: <1%Golden State Warriors by 31 points: <1%Golden State Warriors by 30 points: <1%Golden State Warriors by 29 points: <1%Golden State Warriors by 28 points: <1%Golden State Warriors by 27 points: <1%Golden State Warriors by 26 points: 1%Golden State Warriors by 25 points: 1%Golden State Warriors by 24 points: 1%Golden State Warriors by 23 points: 1%Golden State Warriors by 22 points: 1%Golden State Warriors by 21 points: 1%Golden State Warriors by 20 points: 1%Golden State Warriors by 19 points: 1%Golden State Warriors by 18 points: 1%Golden State Warriors by 17 points: 1%Golden State Warriors by 16 points: 1%Golden State Warriors by 15 points: 1%Golden State Warriors by 14 points: 2%Golden State Warriors by 13 points: 2%Golden State Warriors by 12 points: 2%Golden State Warriors by 11 points: 2%Golden State Warriors by 10 points: 2%Golden State Warriors by 9 points: 2%Golden State Warriors by 8 points: 2%Golden State Warriors by 7 points: 3%Golden State Warriors by 6 points: 3%Golden State Warriors by 5 points: 3%Golden State Warriors by 4 points: 3%Golden State Warriors by 3 points: 2%Golden State Warriors by 2 points: 2%Golden State Warriors by 1 point: 2%LA Clippers by 1 point: 2%LA Clippers by 2 points: 2%LA Clippers by 3 points: 3%LA Clippers by 4 points: 3%LA Clippers by 5 points: 3%LA Clippers by 6 points: 3%LA Clippers by 7 points: 3%LA Clippers by 8 points: 3%LA Clippers by 9 points: 3%LA Clippers by 10 points: 3%LA Clippers by 11 points: 2%LA Clippers by 12 points: 2%LA Clippers by 13 points: 2%LA Clippers by 14 points: 2%LA Clippers by 15 points: 2%LA Clippers by 16 points: 2%LA Clippers by 17 points: 1%LA Clippers by 18 points: 1%LA Clippers by 19 points: 1%LA Clippers by 20 points: 1%LA Clippers by 21 points: 1%LA Clippers by 22 points: 1%LA Clippers by 23 points: 1%LA Clippers by 24 points: 1%LA Clippers by 25 points: 1%LA Clippers by 26 points: 1%LA Clippers by 27 points: 1%LA Clippers by 28 points: <1%LA Clippers by 29 points: <1%LA Clippers by 30 points: <1%LA Clippers by 31 points: <1%LA Clippers by 32 points: <1%LA Clippers by 33 points: <1%LA Clippers by 34 points: <1%LA Clippers by 35 points: <1%LA Clippers by 36 points: <1%LA Clippers by 37 points: <1%LA Clippers by 38 points: <1%LA Clippers by 39 points: <1%LA Clippers by 40 points: <1%LA Clippers by 41 points: <1%LA Clippers by 42 points: <1%
← GS wins byLAC wins by →
LA Clippers wins by 5 or more43%
LA Clippers wins by 10 or more29%
LA Clippers wins by 15 or more18%
Within 5 points either way25%

Centered on the expected margin above; shape from the real results of 6,530 past NBA games.

Total range

219.6 expected
173 points: <1%174 points: <1%175 points: <1%176 points: <1%177 points: <1%178 points: <1%179 points: <1%180 points: <1%181 points: <1%182 points: <1%183 points: <1%184 points: <1%185 points: <1%186 points: <1%187 points: 1%188 points: 1%189 points: 1%190 points: 1%191 points: 1%192 points: 1%193 points: 1%194 points: 1%195 points: 1%196 points: 1%197 points: 1%198 points: 1%199 points: 1%200 points: 1%201 points: 1%202 points: 1%203 points: 1%204 points: 1%205 points: 2%206 points: 2%207 points: 2%208 points: 2%209 points: 2%210 points: 2%211 points: 2%212 points: 2%213 points: 2%214 points: 2%215 points: 2%216 points: 2%217 points: 2%218 points: 2%219 points: 2%220 points: 2%221 points: 2%222 points: 2%223 points: 2%224 points: 2%225 points: 2%226 points: 2%227 points: 2%228 points: 2%229 points: 2%230 points: 2%231 points: 2%232 points: 2%233 points: 2%234 points: 2%235 points: 1%236 points: 1%237 points: 1%238 points: 1%239 points: 1%240 points: 1%241 points: 1%242 points: 1%243 points: 1%244 points: 1%245 points: 1%246 points: 1%247 points: 1%248 points: 1%249 points: 1%250 points: 1%251 points: 1%252 points: 1%253 points: <1%254 points: <1%255 points: <1%256 points: <1%257 points: <1%258 points: <1%259 points: <1%260 points: <1%261 points: <1%262 points: <1%263 points: <1%264 points: <1%265 points: <1%266 points: <1%267 points: <1%268 points: <1%269 points: <1%270 points: <1%271 points: <1%272 points: <1%
Total points, both teams
Total over 209.569%
Total over 219.550%
Total over 229.530%
Total from 210 to 22939%

Centered on the expected total above; shape from the real results of 6,530 past NBA games.

Starting Lineups

from the box score
Golden State Warriors
GStephen Currystarted
GMoses Moodystarted
FJimmy Butler IIIstarted
FDraymond Greenstarted
CQuinten Poststarted
LA Clippers
GKris Dunnstarted
GKobe Sandersstarted
FKawhi Leonardstarted
FJohn Collinsstarted
CIvica Zubacstarted

For context, not in our forecast.

Rest and Schedule

before this game
GS·LAC
Jan 3 vs UTAH
last game
Jan 3 vs BOS
1 day
days of rest
1 day
no
back-to-back
no
4
games in last 7 days
3
road after a home game
home / road
5th straight home game

For context, not in our forecast.

Who's Out

NBA official injury report · Jan 5, 5:00 PM ET
Golden State Warriors
GSLJ Cryer · g league - two-wayOut
GSMalevy Leons · irritation g league - two-wayOut
GSSeth Curry · left sciatic nerve;Out
LA Clippers
LACBogdan Bogdanovic · left hamstring; injury managementOut
LACBradley Beal · left hip; fractureOut
LACChris Paul · not with teamOut
LACDerrick Jones Jr. · right knee; sprainOut
LACJames Harden · right shoulder; sorenessQuestionable
LACYanic Konan Niederhauser · n/a; illnessProbable

For context, not in our forecast.

Team Comparison

2025–26 season · box-score averages from 34+ games
GS·LAC
+0.28
rating (0 = average)
+0.11
115.2
points / game
112.4
113.9
points allowed / game
114.6
19−17
season record
12−22
11−5
home record
8−9
8−12
away record
4−13
W1
streak
L1
6−4
last 10
6−4
45.5
FG%
47.4
36.2
3P%
36.2
43.6
rebounds / game
40.4
28.0
assists / game
23.6
16.2
turnovers / game
15.2
42.2
points in paint / game
45.7

Rating Trend

GS · LAC · 68 days
Golden State WarriorsLA Clippers
Rating (0 = average team)

Head to Head

last 10 meetings · LAC 8−2
Oct 28, 2025at GSGS 98 − 79
Apr 13, 2025at GSLAC 124 − 119
Dec 27, 2024at LACLAC 102 − 92
Nov 18, 2024at LACLAC 102 − 99
Oct 27, 2024at GSLAC 112 − 104
Feb 14, 2024at GSLAC 130 − 125
Dec 14, 2023at LACLAC 121 − 113
Dec 2, 2023at LACLAC 113 − 112
Nov 30, 2023at GSGS 120 − 114
Mar 15, 2023at LACLAC 134 − 126

GS · Last 10

6−4 · streak W1
Jan 3vs UTAH123 − 114W
Jan 2vs OKC94 − 131L
Dec 31, 2025at CHA132 − 125W
Dec 29, 2025at BKN120 − 107W
Dec 28, 2025at TOR127 − 141L
Dec 25, 2025vs DAL126 − 116W
Dec 22, 2025vs ORL120 − 97W
Dec 20, 2025vs PHX119 − 116W
Dec 18, 2025at PHX98 − 99L
Dec 14, 2025at POR131 − 136L

LAC · Last 10

6−4 · streak L1
Jan 3vs BOS115 − 146L
Jan 1vs UTAH118 − 101W
Dec 30, 2025vs SAC131 − 90W
Dec 28, 2025vs DET112 − 99W
Dec 26, 2025at POR119 − 103W
Dec 23, 2025vs HOU128 − 108W
Dec 20, 2025vs LAL103 − 88W
Dec 18, 2025at OKC101 − 122L
Dec 15, 2025vs MEM103 − 121L
Dec 11, 2025at HOU113 − 115L