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Jazz at Clippers

NBA · Thursday, Jan 1 · 9:30 PM CT · Intuit Dome · Final UTAH 101 – LAC 118
← NBA / Jan 1

Final Box Score

from the game summary
Team1234T
UTAH17333120101
LAC31222936118
Team box
UTAH·LAC
36-78
field goals
40-89
6-27
3-pointers
16-51
23-30
free throws
22-26
35
rebounds
47
20
assists
20
18
turnovers
13
58
points in paint
38
Top performers
PlayerTeamMINPTSREBAST
Kawhi LeonardLAC394573
Kyle AndersonUTAH322281
James HardenLAC292037
Brice SensabaughUTAH322033
Cody WilliamsUTAH261800
Isaiah CollierUTAH3716610

For context, not in our forecast.

Game Flow

score margin
LAC +21
UTAH +21
Q1Q2Q3Q4
largest lead: LAC 21 · UTAH 4lead changes: 8

For context, not in our forecast.

Final · our forecast was UTAH 26%, LAC 74% · Updated Jan 1

Expected margin
LAC by 9.2
Expected score
LAC 121.6 – 112.4 UTAH
Expected total
234.0
JazzThe matchupClippers
+280Our fair odds−280
112.4Expected points121.6
−0.71Power rating+0.11
120.4Points / game112.1
127.1Allowed / game114.0
46.1FG%47.4
35.83P%36.3
45.0Rebounds / game40.5
12−20Season record11−21
4−6Last 105−5
Ace Bailey · Elijah Harkless
Georges Niang · John Tonje
Jusuf NurkicOutBogdan Bogdanovic · Bradley Beal
Chris Paul · Ivica Zubac

Prediction markets

Kalshi · Polymarket US · ProphetX · Novig
UTAH chance · LAC chance
Our model fair26.3%73.7%
Kalshino two-sided price
Polymarket USno two-sided price
ProphetXno two-sided price
Novigno two-sided price
Full price table
TeamOur modelfairKalshi Polymarket US ProphetX Novig 
Moneyline
UTAHUtah Jazz+28026%————
LACLA Clippers−28074%————
SpreadLAC by 9.2
UTAHUtah Jazz+9.2our margin————
LACLA Clippers−9.2our margin————
Totalwe expect 234.0
Over234.0our total————
Under234.0our total————

These are each venue’s last prices before the start (Kalshi’s moneyline: its pre-game close). Odds are the price to buy that side now, taker fee included; the small percent is the implied chance of that same price. Highlighted is the best price in the row among venues on the same line. — means not listed (hover or tap for why). A market price is not the true chance of winning.

Margin range

LA Clippers by 9.2 expected
Utah Jazz by 51 points: <1%Utah Jazz by 50 points: <1%Utah Jazz by 49 points: <1%Utah Jazz by 48 points: <1%Utah Jazz by 47 points: <1%Utah Jazz by 46 points: <1%Utah Jazz by 45 points: <1%Utah Jazz by 44 points: <1%Utah Jazz by 43 points: <1%Utah Jazz by 42 points: <1%Utah Jazz by 41 points: <1%Utah Jazz by 40 points: <1%Utah Jazz by 39 points: <1%Utah Jazz by 38 points: <1%Utah Jazz by 37 points: <1%Utah Jazz by 36 points: <1%Utah Jazz by 35 points: <1%Utah Jazz by 34 points: <1%Utah Jazz by 33 points: <1%Utah Jazz by 32 points: <1%Utah Jazz by 31 points: <1%Utah Jazz by 30 points: <1%Utah Jazz by 29 points: <1%Utah Jazz by 28 points: <1%Utah Jazz by 27 points: <1%Utah Jazz by 26 points: <1%Utah Jazz by 25 points: <1%Utah Jazz by 24 points: <1%Utah Jazz by 23 points: <1%Utah Jazz by 22 points: <1%Utah Jazz by 21 points: <1%Utah Jazz by 20 points: <1%Utah Jazz by 19 points: <1%Utah Jazz by 18 points: <1%Utah Jazz by 17 points: <1%Utah Jazz by 16 points: 1%Utah Jazz by 15 points: 1%Utah Jazz by 14 points: 1%Utah Jazz by 13 points: 1%Utah Jazz by 12 points: 1%Utah Jazz by 11 points: 1%Utah Jazz by 10 points: 1%Utah Jazz by 9 points: 1%Utah Jazz by 8 points: 2%Utah Jazz by 7 points: 2%Utah Jazz by 6 points: 2%Utah Jazz by 5 points: 2%Utah Jazz by 4 points: 2%Utah Jazz by 3 points: 2%Utah Jazz by 2 points: 2%Utah Jazz by 1 point: 2%LA Clippers by 1 point: 2%LA Clippers by 2 points: 2%LA Clippers by 3 points: 2%LA Clippers by 4 points: 3%LA Clippers by 5 points: 3%LA Clippers by 6 points: 3%LA Clippers by 7 points: 3%LA Clippers by 8 points: 3%LA Clippers by 9 points: 3%LA Clippers by 10 points: 3%LA Clippers by 11 points: 3%LA Clippers by 12 points: 3%LA Clippers by 13 points: 3%LA Clippers by 14 points: 3%LA Clippers by 15 points: 3%LA Clippers by 16 points: 2%LA Clippers by 17 points: 2%LA Clippers by 18 points: 2%LA Clippers by 19 points: 2%LA Clippers by 20 points: 2%LA Clippers by 21 points: 2%LA Clippers by 22 points: 2%LA Clippers by 23 points: 2%LA Clippers by 24 points: 1%LA Clippers by 25 points: 1%LA Clippers by 26 points: 1%LA Clippers by 27 points: 1%LA Clippers by 28 points: 1%LA Clippers by 29 points: 1%LA Clippers by 30 points: 1%LA Clippers by 31 points: 1%LA Clippers by 32 points: 1%LA Clippers by 33 points: 1%LA Clippers by 34 points: 1%LA Clippers by 35 points: 1%LA Clippers by 36 points: 1%LA Clippers by 37 points: <1%LA Clippers by 38 points: <1%LA Clippers by 39 points: <1%LA Clippers by 40 points: <1%LA Clippers by 41 points: <1%LA Clippers by 42 points: <1%LA Clippers by 43 points: <1%LA Clippers by 44 points: <1%LA Clippers by 45 points: <1%LA Clippers by 46 points: <1%LA Clippers by 47 points: <1%LA Clippers by 48 points: <1%LA Clippers by 49 points: <1%LA Clippers by 50 points: <1%LA Clippers by 51 points: <1%
← UTAH wins byLAC wins by →
LA Clippers wins by 5 or more64%
LA Clippers wins by 10 or more49%
LA Clippers wins by 15 or more34%
Within 5 points either way22%

Centered on the expected margin above; shape from the real results of 6,530 past NBA games.

Total range

234.0 expected
184 points: <1%185 points: <1%186 points: <1%187 points: <1%188 points: <1%189 points: <1%190 points: <1%191 points: <1%192 points: <1%193 points: <1%194 points: <1%195 points: <1%196 points: <1%197 points: <1%198 points: <1%199 points: <1%200 points: <1%201 points: <1%202 points: 1%203 points: 1%204 points: 1%205 points: 1%206 points: 1%207 points: 1%208 points: 1%209 points: 1%210 points: 1%211 points: 1%212 points: 1%213 points: 1%214 points: 1%215 points: 1%216 points: 1%217 points: 1%218 points: 2%219 points: 2%220 points: 2%221 points: 2%222 points: 2%223 points: 2%224 points: 2%225 points: 2%226 points: 2%227 points: 2%228 points: 2%229 points: 2%230 points: 2%231 points: 2%232 points: 2%233 points: 2%234 points: 2%235 points: 2%236 points: 2%237 points: 2%238 points: 2%239 points: 2%240 points: 2%241 points: 2%242 points: 2%243 points: 2%244 points: 2%245 points: 2%246 points: 2%247 points: 1%248 points: 1%249 points: 1%250 points: 1%251 points: 1%252 points: 1%253 points: 1%254 points: 1%255 points: 1%256 points: 1%257 points: 1%258 points: 1%259 points: 1%260 points: 1%261 points: 1%262 points: 1%263 points: 1%264 points: 1%265 points: 1%266 points: 1%267 points: <1%268 points: <1%269 points: <1%270 points: <1%271 points: <1%272 points: <1%273 points: <1%274 points: <1%275 points: <1%276 points: <1%277 points: <1%278 points: <1%279 points: <1%280 points: <1%281 points: <1%282 points: <1%283 points: <1%284 points: <1%285 points: <1%286 points: <1%287 points: <1%288 points: <1%289 points: <1%290 points: <1%291 points: <1%292 points: <1%
Total points, both teams
Total over 224.567%
Total over 234.548%
Total over 244.529%
Total from 225 to 24438%

Centered on the expected total above; shape from the real results of 6,530 past NBA games.

Starting Lineups

from the box score
Utah Jazz
GSvi Mykhailiukstarted
GIsaiah Collierstarted
FKyle Filipowskistarted
FTaylor Hendricksstarted
FBrice Sensabaughstarted
LA Clippers
GJames Hardenstarted
GKris Dunnstarted
FKawhi Leonardstarted
FJohn Collinsstarted
CBrook Lopezstarted

For context, not in our forecast.

Rest and Schedule

before this game
UTAH·LAC
Dec 30, 2025 vs BOS
last game
Dec 30, 2025 vs SAC
1 day
days of rest
1 day
no
back-to-back
no
3
games in last 7 days
3
road after a home game
home / road
3rd straight home game

For context, not in our forecast.

Who's Out

NBA official injury report · Jan 1, 5:00 PM ET
Utah Jazz
UTAHAce Bailey · left hip flexor; strainOut
UTAHElijah Harkless · g league - two-wayOut
UTAHGeorges Niang · left foot; fourth metatarsal stress reactionOut
UTAHJohn Tonje · g league - two-wayOut
UTAHJusuf Nurkic · left first mtp; sprainOut
UTAHKevin Love · restOut
UTAHKeyonte George · n/a; illnessOut
UTAHLauri Markkanen · left knee; contusionOut
UTAHWalker Kessler · left shoulder; injury recoveryOut
LA Clippers
LACBogdan Bogdanovic · left hamstring; injury managementOut
LACBradley Beal · left hip; fractureOut
LACChris Paul · not with teamOut
LACIvica Zubac · left ankle; sprainOut

For context, not in our forecast.

Team Comparison

2025–26 season · box-score averages from 32+ games
UTAH·LAC
−0.71
rating (0 = average)
+0.11
120.4
points / game
112.1
127.1
points allowed / game
114.0
12−20
season record
11−21
8−11
home record
7−8
4−9
away record
4−13
L1
streak
W5
4−6
last 10
5−5
46.1
FG%
47.4
35.8
3P%
36.3
45.0
rebounds / game
40.5
30.3
assists / game
23.7
15.8
turnovers / game
15.4
48.9
points in paint / game
45.8

Rating Trend

UTAH · LAC · 64 days
Utah JazzLA Clippers
Rating (0 = average team)

Head to Head

last 10 meetings · LAC 6−4
Oct 22, 2025at UTAHUTAH 129 − 108
Feb 13, 2025at UTAHLAC 120 − 116
Feb 8, 2025at LACLAC 130 − 110
Dec 16, 2024at LACLAC 144 − 107
Nov 17, 2024at LACLAC 116 − 105
Apr 12, 2024at LACUTAH 110 − 109
Apr 5, 2024at LACLAC 131 − 102
Dec 8, 2023at UTAHLAC 117 − 103
Oct 27, 2023at UTAHUTAH 120 − 118
Jan 18, 2023at UTAHUTAH 126 − 103

UTAH · Last 10

4−6 · streak L1
Dec 30, 2025vs BOS119 − 129L
Dec 27, 2025at SA127 − 114W
Dec 26, 2025vs DET131 − 129W
Dec 23, 2025vs MEM128 − 137L
Dec 22, 2025at DEN112 − 135L
Dec 20, 2025vs ORL127 − 128L
Dec 18, 2025vs LAL135 − 143L
Dec 15, 2025vs DAL140 − 133W
Dec 12, 2025at MEM130 − 126W
Dec 7, 2025vs OKC101 − 131L

LAC · Last 10

5−5 · streak W5
Dec 30, 2025vs SAC131 − 90W
Dec 28, 2025vs DET112 − 99W
Dec 26, 2025at POR119 − 103W
Dec 23, 2025vs HOU128 − 108W
Dec 20, 2025vs LAL103 − 88W
Dec 18, 2025at OKC101 − 122L
Dec 15, 2025vs MEM103 − 121L
Dec 11, 2025at HOU113 − 115L
Dec 6, 2025at MIN106 − 109L
Dec 5, 2025at MEM98 − 107L