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Pistons at Jazz

NBA · Friday, Dec 26 · 8:30 PM CT · Delta Center · Final DET 129 – UTAH 131
← NBA / Dec 26, 2025

Final Box Score

from the game summary
Team1234T
DET36323526129
UTAH33344420131
Team box
DET·UTAH
48-92
field goals
44-90
18-37
3-pointers
18-38
15-23
free throws
25-26
41
rebounds
42
38
assists
35
17
turnovers
18
54
points in paint
50
Top performers
PlayerTeamMINPTSREBAST
Keyonte GeorgeUTAH353178
Lauri MarkkanenUTAH383044
Cade CunninghamDET3729517
Brice SensabaughUTAH332022
Jusuf NurkicUTAH3216115
Tobias HarrisDET271674

For context, not in our forecast.

Game Flow

score margin
UTAH +15
DET +15
Q1Q2Q3Q4
largest lead: UTAH 15 · DET 11lead changes: 5

For context, not in our forecast.

Final · our forecast was DET 71%, UTAH 29% · Updated Dec 26, 2025

Expected margin
DET by 9.6
Expected score
DET 125.3 – 115.8 UTAH
Expected total
241.1
PistonsThe matchupJazz
−242Our fair odds+242
125.3Expected points115.8
+0.34Power rating−0.79
119.2Points / game119.9
112.3Allowed / game127.4
48.2FG%45.7
34.43P%35.0
47.1Rebounds / game45.6
24−6Season record10−19
8−2Last 104−6
Bobi Klintman · Isaac Jones
Tolu Smith · Wendell Moore Jr.Out (4 each)Elijah Harkless · Georges Niang
John Tonje · Walker Kessler

Prediction markets

Kalshi · Polymarket US · ProphetX · Novig
DET chance · UTAH chance
Our model fair70.8%29.2%
Kalshino two-sided price
Polymarket USno two-sided price
ProphetXno two-sided price
Novigno two-sided price
Full price table
TeamOur modelfairKalshi Polymarket US ProphetX Novig 
Moneyline
DETDetroit Pistons−24271%————
UTAHUtah Jazz+24229%————
SpreadDET by 9.6
DETDetroit Pistons−9.6our margin————
UTAHUtah Jazz+9.6our margin————
Totalwe expect 241.1
Over241.1our total————
Under241.1our total————

These are each venue’s last prices before the start (Kalshi’s moneyline: its pre-game close). Odds are the price to buy that side now, taker fee included; the small percent is the implied chance of that same price. Highlighted is the best price in the row among venues on the same line. — means not listed (hover or tap for why). A market price is not the true chance of winning.

Margin range

Detroit Pistons by 9.6 expected
Detroit Pistons by 49 points: <1%Detroit Pistons by 48 points: <1%Detroit Pistons by 47 points: <1%Detroit Pistons by 46 points: <1%Detroit Pistons by 45 points: <1%Detroit Pistons by 44 points: <1%Detroit Pistons by 43 points: <1%Detroit Pistons by 42 points: <1%Detroit Pistons by 41 points: <1%Detroit Pistons by 40 points: <1%Detroit Pistons by 39 points: <1%Detroit Pistons by 38 points: <1%Detroit Pistons by 37 points: 1%Detroit Pistons by 36 points: 1%Detroit Pistons by 35 points: 1%Detroit Pistons by 34 points: 1%Detroit Pistons by 33 points: 1%Detroit Pistons by 32 points: 1%Detroit Pistons by 31 points: 1%Detroit Pistons by 30 points: 1%Detroit Pistons by 29 points: 1%Detroit Pistons by 28 points: 1%Detroit Pistons by 27 points: 1%Detroit Pistons by 26 points: 1%Detroit Pistons by 25 points: 1%Detroit Pistons by 24 points: 1%Detroit Pistons by 23 points: 1%Detroit Pistons by 22 points: 1%Detroit Pistons by 21 points: 2%Detroit Pistons by 20 points: 2%Detroit Pistons by 19 points: 2%Detroit Pistons by 18 points: 2%Detroit Pistons by 17 points: 2%Detroit Pistons by 16 points: 3%Detroit Pistons by 15 points: 3%Detroit Pistons by 14 points: 3%Detroit Pistons by 13 points: 3%Detroit Pistons by 12 points: 3%Detroit Pistons by 11 points: 3%Detroit Pistons by 10 points: 3%Detroit Pistons by 9 points: 3%Detroit Pistons by 8 points: 3%Detroit Pistons by 7 points: 3%Detroit Pistons by 6 points: 3%Detroit Pistons by 5 points: 3%Detroit Pistons by 4 points: 3%Detroit Pistons by 3 points: 2%Detroit Pistons by 2 points: 2%Detroit Pistons by 1 point: 2%Utah Jazz by 1 point: 2%Utah Jazz by 2 points: 2%Utah Jazz by 3 points: 1%Utah Jazz by 4 points: 1%Utah Jazz by 5 points: 1%Utah Jazz by 6 points: 1%Utah Jazz by 7 points: 1%Utah Jazz by 8 points: 1%Utah Jazz by 9 points: 1%Utah Jazz by 10 points: 1%Utah Jazz by 11 points: 1%Utah Jazz by 12 points: 1%Utah Jazz by 13 points: 1%Utah Jazz by 14 points: 1%Utah Jazz by 15 points: 1%Utah Jazz by 16 points: 1%Utah Jazz by 17 points: 1%Utah Jazz by 18 points: 1%Utah Jazz by 19 points: 1%Utah Jazz by 20 points: <1%Utah Jazz by 21 points: <1%Utah Jazz by 22 points: <1%Utah Jazz by 23 points: <1%Utah Jazz by 24 points: <1%Utah Jazz by 25 points: <1%Utah Jazz by 26 points: <1%Utah Jazz by 27 points: <1%Utah Jazz by 28 points: <1%Utah Jazz by 29 points: <1%Utah Jazz by 30 points: <1%Utah Jazz by 31 points: <1%Utah Jazz by 32 points: <1%Utah Jazz by 33 points: <1%Utah Jazz by 34 points: <1%Utah Jazz by 35 points: <1%Utah Jazz by 36 points: <1%Utah Jazz by 37 points: <1%Utah Jazz by 38 points: <1%Utah Jazz by 39 points: <1%Utah Jazz by 40 points: <1%Utah Jazz by 41 points: <1%Utah Jazz by 42 points: <1%Utah Jazz by 43 points: <1%Utah Jazz by 44 points: <1%Utah Jazz by 45 points: <1%Utah Jazz by 46 points: <1%Utah Jazz by 47 points: <1%Utah Jazz by 48 points: <1%Utah Jazz by 49 points: <1%
← DET wins byUTAH wins by →
Detroit Pistons wins by 5 or more67%
Detroit Pistons wins by 10 or more51%
Detroit Pistons wins by 15 or more34%
Within 5 points either way20%

Centered on the expected margin above; shape from the real results of 6,530 past NBA games.

Total range

241.1 expected
191 points: <1%192 points: <1%193 points: <1%194 points: <1%195 points: <1%196 points: <1%197 points: <1%198 points: <1%199 points: <1%200 points: <1%201 points: <1%202 points: <1%203 points: <1%204 points: <1%205 points: <1%206 points: <1%207 points: 1%208 points: 1%209 points: 1%210 points: 1%211 points: 1%212 points: 1%213 points: 1%214 points: 1%215 points: 1%216 points: 1%217 points: 1%218 points: 1%219 points: 1%220 points: 1%221 points: 1%222 points: 1%223 points: 1%224 points: 1%225 points: 1%226 points: 2%227 points: 2%228 points: 2%229 points: 2%230 points: 2%231 points: 2%232 points: 2%233 points: 2%234 points: 2%235 points: 2%236 points: 2%237 points: 2%238 points: 2%239 points: 2%240 points: 2%241 points: 2%242 points: 2%243 points: 2%244 points: 2%245 points: 2%246 points: 2%247 points: 2%248 points: 2%249 points: 2%250 points: 2%251 points: 2%252 points: 2%253 points: 2%254 points: 2%255 points: 2%256 points: 1%257 points: 1%258 points: 1%259 points: 1%260 points: 1%261 points: 1%262 points: 1%263 points: 1%264 points: 1%265 points: 1%266 points: 1%267 points: 1%268 points: 1%269 points: 1%270 points: 1%271 points: 1%272 points: 1%273 points: 1%274 points: 1%275 points: <1%276 points: <1%277 points: <1%278 points: <1%279 points: <1%280 points: <1%281 points: <1%282 points: <1%283 points: <1%284 points: <1%285 points: <1%286 points: <1%287 points: <1%288 points: <1%289 points: <1%290 points: <1%291 points: <1%292 points: <1%293 points: <1%294 points: <1%295 points: <1%296 points: <1%297 points: <1%298 points: <1%299 points: <1%300 points: <1%301 points: <1%302 points: <1%303 points: <1%
Total points, both teams
Total over 231.567%
Total over 241.548%
Total over 251.530%
Total from 232 to 25137%

Centered on the expected total above; shape from the real results of 6,530 past NBA games.

Starting Lineups

from the box score
Detroit Pistons
GCade Cunninghamstarted
GAusar Thompsonstarted
FTobias Harrisstarted
FDuncan Robinsonstarted
CJalen Durenstarted
Utah Jazz
GSvi Mykhailiukstarted
GKeyonte Georgestarted
GAce Baileystarted
FLauri Markkanenstarted
CJusuf Nurkicstarted

For context, not in our forecast.

Rest and Schedule

before this game
DET·UTAH
Dec 23, 2025 at SAC
last game
Dec 23, 2025 vs MEM
2 days
days of rest
2 days
no
back-to-back
no
3
games in last 7 days
3
3rd straight road game
home / road
2nd straight home game

For context, not in our forecast.

Who's Out

NBA official injury report · Dec 26, 5:00 PM ET
Detroit Pistons
DETBobi Klintman · g league - on assignmentOut
DETIsaac Jones · g league - on assignmentOut
DETTolu Smith · g league - two-wayOut
DETWendell Moore Jr. · g league - two-wayOut
DETRonald Holland II · left knee; sprainQuestionable
Utah Jazz
UTAHElijah Harkless · g league - two-wayOut
UTAHGeorges Niang · left foot; fourth metatarsal stress reactionOut
UTAHJohn Tonje · g league - two-wayOut
UTAHWalker Kessler · left shoulder; injury recoveryOut

For context, not in our forecast.

Team Comparison

2025–26 season · box-score averages from 29+ games
DET·UTAH
+0.34
rating (0 = average)
−0.79
119.2
points / game
119.9
112.3
points allowed / game
127.4
24−6
season record
10−19
13−2
home record
7−10
11−4
away record
3−9
W3
streak
L4
8−2
last 10
4−6
48.2
FG%
45.7
34.4
3P%
35.0
47.1
rebounds / game
45.6
26.6
assists / game
30.0
15.6
turnovers / game
15.8
58.5
points in paint / game
49.0

Rating Trend

DET · UTAH · 58 days
Detroit PistonsUtah Jazz
Rating (0 = average team)

Head to Head

last 9 meetings · UTAH 5−4
Nov 5, 2025at DETDET 114 − 103
Mar 3, 2025at UTAHDET 134 − 106
Dec 19, 2024at DETUTAH 126 − 119
Jan 3, 2024at UTAHUTAH 154 − 148
Dec 21, 2023at DETUTAH 119 − 111
Dec 20, 2022at DETUTAH 126 − 111
Nov 23, 2022at UTAHDET 125 − 116
Jan 21, 2022at UTAHUTAH 111 − 101
Jan 10, 2022at DETDET 126 − 116

DET · Last 10

8−2 · streak W3
Dec 23, 2025at SAC136 − 127W
Dec 22, 2025at POR110 − 102W
Dec 20, 2025vs CHA112 − 86W
Dec 18, 2025at DAL114 − 116L
Dec 15, 2025at BOS112 − 105W
Dec 12, 2025vs ATL142 − 115W
Dec 6, 2025vs MIL124 − 112W
Dec 5, 2025vs POR122 − 116W
Dec 3, 2025at MIL109 − 113L
Dec 1, 2025vs ATL99 − 98W

UTAH · Last 10

4−6 · streak L4
Dec 23, 2025vs MEM128 − 137L
Dec 22, 2025at DEN112 − 135L
Dec 20, 2025vs ORL127 − 128L
Dec 18, 2025vs LAL135 − 143L
Dec 15, 2025vs DAL140 − 133W
Dec 12, 2025at MEM130 − 126W
Dec 7, 2025vs OKC101 − 131L
Dec 5, 2025at NY112 − 146L
Dec 4, 2025at BKN123 − 110W
Dec 1, 2025vs HOU133 − 125W