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Pistons at Trail Blazers

NBA · Monday, Dec 22 · 9:00 PM CT · Moda Center · Final DET 110 – POR 102
← NBA / Dec 22, 2025

Final Box Score

from the game summary
Team1234T
DET30313415110
POR26252724102
Team box
DET·POR
44-101
field goals
33-74
7-30
3-pointers
7-32
15-24
free throws
29-43
48
rebounds
38
28
assists
21
10
turnovers
19
66
points in paint
40
Top performers
PlayerTeamMINPTSREBAST
Jalen DurenDET2426102
Shaedon SharpePOR352532
Deni AvdijaPOR391889
Ausar ThompsonDET2818123
Donovan ClinganPOR3417102
Sidy CissokoPOR271633

For context, not in our forecast.

Game Flow

score margin
POR +21
DET +21
Q1Q2Q3Q4
largest lead: POR 1 · DET 21lead changes: 2

For context, not in our forecast.

Final · our forecast was DET 59%, POR 41% · Updated Dec 22, 2025

Expected margin
DET by 3.8
Expected score
DET 118.2 – 114.3 POR
Expected total
232.5
PistonsThe matchupTrail Blazers
−144Our fair odds+144
118.2Expected points114.3
+0.33Power rating−0.26
118.9Points / game118.0
112.1Allowed / game121.2
48.2FG%44.6
34.53P%33.6
47.3Rebounds / game45.4
22−6Season record12−16
7−3Last 104−6
Bobi Klintman · Chaz Lanier
Isaac Jones · Tolu Smith
Wendell Moore Jr.Out (5 each)Blake Wesley · Damian Lillard
Javonte Cooke · Jrue Holiday
Matisse Thybulle

Prediction markets

Kalshi · Polymarket US · ProphetX · Novig
DET chance · POR chance
Our model fair59.1%40.9%
Kalshino two-sided price
Polymarket USno two-sided price
ProphetXno two-sided price
Novigno two-sided price
Full price table
TeamOur modelfairKalshi Polymarket US ProphetX Novig 
Moneyline
DETDetroit Pistons−14459%————
PORPortland Trail Blazers+14441%————
SpreadDET by 3.8
DETDetroit Pistons−3.8our margin————
PORPortland Trail Blazers+3.8our margin————
Totalwe expect 232.5
Over232.5our total————
Under232.5our total————

These are each venue’s last prices before the start (Kalshi’s moneyline: its pre-game close). Odds are the price to buy that side now, taker fee included; the small percent is the implied chance of that same price. Highlighted is the best price in the row among venues on the same line. — means not listed (hover or tap for why). A market price is not the true chance of winning.

Margin range

Detroit Pistons by 3.8 expected
Detroit Pistons by 44 points: <1%Detroit Pistons by 43 points: <1%Detroit Pistons by 42 points: <1%Detroit Pistons by 41 points: <1%Detroit Pistons by 40 points: <1%Detroit Pistons by 39 points: <1%Detroit Pistons by 38 points: <1%Detroit Pistons by 37 points: <1%Detroit Pistons by 36 points: <1%Detroit Pistons by 35 points: <1%Detroit Pistons by 34 points: <1%Detroit Pistons by 33 points: <1%Detroit Pistons by 32 points: <1%Detroit Pistons by 31 points: 1%Detroit Pistons by 30 points: 1%Detroit Pistons by 29 points: 1%Detroit Pistons by 28 points: 1%Detroit Pistons by 27 points: 1%Detroit Pistons by 26 points: 1%Detroit Pistons by 25 points: 1%Detroit Pistons by 24 points: 1%Detroit Pistons by 23 points: 1%Detroit Pistons by 22 points: 1%Detroit Pistons by 21 points: 1%Detroit Pistons by 20 points: 1%Detroit Pistons by 19 points: 1%Detroit Pistons by 18 points: 2%Detroit Pistons by 17 points: 2%Detroit Pistons by 16 points: 2%Detroit Pistons by 15 points: 2%Detroit Pistons by 14 points: 2%Detroit Pistons by 13 points: 2%Detroit Pistons by 12 points: 3%Detroit Pistons by 11 points: 3%Detroit Pistons by 10 points: 3%Detroit Pistons by 9 points: 3%Detroit Pistons by 8 points: 3%Detroit Pistons by 7 points: 3%Detroit Pistons by 6 points: 3%Detroit Pistons by 5 points: 3%Detroit Pistons by 4 points: 3%Detroit Pistons by 3 points: 3%Detroit Pistons by 2 points: 2%Detroit Pistons by 1 point: 2%Portland Trail Blazers by 1 point: 2%Portland Trail Blazers by 2 points: 2%Portland Trail Blazers by 3 points: 2%Portland Trail Blazers by 4 points: 2%Portland Trail Blazers by 5 points: 2%Portland Trail Blazers by 6 points: 2%Portland Trail Blazers by 7 points: 2%Portland Trail Blazers by 8 points: 2%Portland Trail Blazers by 9 points: 2%Portland Trail Blazers by 10 points: 2%Portland Trail Blazers by 11 points: 2%Portland Trail Blazers by 12 points: 2%Portland Trail Blazers by 13 points: 2%Portland Trail Blazers by 14 points: 1%Portland Trail Blazers by 15 points: 1%Portland Trail Blazers by 16 points: 1%Portland Trail Blazers by 17 points: 1%Portland Trail Blazers by 18 points: 1%Portland Trail Blazers by 19 points: 1%Portland Trail Blazers by 20 points: 1%Portland Trail Blazers by 21 points: 1%Portland Trail Blazers by 22 points: 1%Portland Trail Blazers by 23 points: 1%Portland Trail Blazers by 24 points: <1%Portland Trail Blazers by 25 points: <1%Portland Trail Blazers by 26 points: <1%Portland Trail Blazers by 27 points: <1%Portland Trail Blazers by 28 points: <1%Portland Trail Blazers by 29 points: <1%Portland Trail Blazers by 30 points: <1%Portland Trail Blazers by 31 points: <1%Portland Trail Blazers by 32 points: <1%Portland Trail Blazers by 33 points: <1%Portland Trail Blazers by 34 points: <1%Portland Trail Blazers by 35 points: <1%Portland Trail Blazers by 36 points: <1%Portland Trail Blazers by 37 points: <1%Portland Trail Blazers by 38 points: <1%Portland Trail Blazers by 39 points: <1%Portland Trail Blazers by 40 points: <1%Portland Trail Blazers by 41 points: <1%Portland Trail Blazers by 42 points: <1%Portland Trail Blazers by 43 points: <1%Portland Trail Blazers by 44 points: <1%
← DET wins byPOR wins by →
Detroit Pistons wins by 5 or more50%
Detroit Pistons wins by 10 or more35%
Detroit Pistons wins by 15 or more23%
Within 5 points either way24%

Centered on the expected margin above; shape from the real results of 6,530 past NBA games.

Total range

232.5 expected
182 points: <1%183 points: <1%184 points: <1%185 points: <1%186 points: <1%187 points: <1%188 points: <1%189 points: <1%190 points: <1%191 points: <1%192 points: <1%193 points: <1%194 points: <1%195 points: <1%196 points: <1%197 points: <1%198 points: <1%199 points: <1%200 points: 1%201 points: 1%202 points: 1%203 points: 1%204 points: 1%205 points: 1%206 points: 1%207 points: 1%208 points: 1%209 points: 1%210 points: 1%211 points: 1%212 points: 1%213 points: 1%214 points: 1%215 points: 1%216 points: 2%217 points: 2%218 points: 2%219 points: 2%220 points: 2%221 points: 2%222 points: 2%223 points: 2%224 points: 2%225 points: 2%226 points: 2%227 points: 2%228 points: 2%229 points: 2%230 points: 2%231 points: 2%232 points: 2%233 points: 2%234 points: 2%235 points: 2%236 points: 2%237 points: 2%238 points: 2%239 points: 2%240 points: 2%241 points: 2%242 points: 2%243 points: 2%244 points: 2%245 points: 2%246 points: 1%247 points: 1%248 points: 1%249 points: 1%250 points: 1%251 points: 1%252 points: 1%253 points: 1%254 points: 1%255 points: 1%256 points: 1%257 points: 1%258 points: 1%259 points: 1%260 points: 1%261 points: 1%262 points: 1%263 points: 1%264 points: 1%265 points: 1%266 points: <1%267 points: <1%268 points: <1%269 points: <1%270 points: <1%271 points: <1%272 points: <1%273 points: <1%274 points: <1%275 points: <1%276 points: <1%277 points: <1%278 points: <1%279 points: <1%280 points: <1%281 points: <1%282 points: <1%283 points: <1%284 points: <1%285 points: <1%286 points: <1%287 points: <1%288 points: <1%289 points: <1%
Total points, both teams
Total over 222.569%
Total over 232.549%
Total over 242.530%
Total from 223 to 24239%

Centered on the expected total above; shape from the real results of 6,530 past NBA games.

Starting Lineups

from the box score
Detroit Pistons
GCade Cunninghamstarted
GAusar Thompsonstarted
FTobias Harrisstarted
FDuncan Robinsonstarted
CJalen Durenstarted
Portland Trail Blazers
GShaedon Sharpestarted
FToumani Camarastarted
FKris Murraystarted
FDeni Avdijastarted
CDonovan Clinganstarted

For context, not in our forecast.

Rest and Schedule

before this game
DET·POR
Dec 20, 2025 vs CHA
last game
Dec 20, 2025 at SAC
1 day
days of rest
1 day
no
back-to-back
no
3
games in last 7 days
2
road after a home game
home / road
home after a road game

For context, not in our forecast.

Who's Out

NBA official injury report · Dec 22, 5:00 PM ET
Detroit Pistons
DETBobi Klintman · g league - on assignmentOut
DETChaz Lanier · g league - on assignmentOut
DETIsaac Jones · g league - on assignmentOut
DETTolu Smith · g league - two-wayOut
DETWendell Moore Jr. · g league - two-wayOut
DETRonald Holland II · left knee; sorenessDoubtful
DETJalen Duren · left shoulder; sorenessProbable
Portland Trail Blazers
PORBlake Wesley · right foot; fractureOut
PORDamian Lillard · left achilles tendon; injury managementOut
PORJavonte Cooke · g league - two-wayOut
PORJrue Holiday · right calf; strainOut
PORMatisse Thybulle · left thumb; ligament tearOut
PORScoot Henderson · left hamstring; tearOut
PORJerami Grant · left achilles tendon; sorenessDoubtful

For context, not in our forecast.

Team Comparison

2025–26 season · box-score averages from 28+ games
DET·POR
+0.33
rating (0 = average)
−0.26
118.9
points / game
118.0
112.1
points allowed / game
121.2
22−6
season record
12−16
13−2
home record
5−6
9−4
away record
7−10
W1
streak
W3
7−3
last 10
4−6
48.2
FG%
44.6
34.5
3P%
33.6
47.3
rebounds / game
45.4
26.1
assists / game
24.9
15.8
turnovers / game
17.2
57.9
points in paint / game
49.9

Rating Trend

DET · POR · 55 days
Detroit PistonsPortland Trail Blazers
Rating (0 = average team)

Head to Head

last 9 meetings · POR 5−4
Dec 5, 2025at DETDET 122 − 116
Mar 9, 2025at PORDET 119 − 112
Jan 6, 2025at DETDET 118 − 115
Feb 8, 2024at PORDET 128 − 122
Nov 1, 2023at DETPOR 110 − 101
Mar 6, 2023at DETPOR 110 − 104
Jan 2, 2023at PORPOR 135 − 106
Mar 21, 2022at DETPOR 119 − 115
Nov 30, 2021at PORPOR 110 − 92

DET · Last 10

7−3 · streak W1
Dec 20, 2025vs CHA112 − 86W
Dec 18, 2025at DAL114 − 116L
Dec 15, 2025at BOS112 − 105W
Dec 12, 2025vs ATL142 − 115W
Dec 6, 2025vs MIL124 − 112W
Dec 5, 2025vs POR122 − 116W
Dec 3, 2025at MIL109 − 113L
Dec 1, 2025vs ATL99 − 98W
Nov 29, 2025at MIA138 − 135W
Nov 28, 2025vs ORL109 − 112L

POR · Last 10

4−6 · streak W3
Dec 20, 2025at SAC98 − 93W
Dec 18, 2025vs SAC134 − 133W
Dec 14, 2025vs GS136 − 131W
Dec 11, 2025at NO120 − 143L
Dec 7, 2025at MEM96 − 119L
Dec 5, 2025at DET116 − 122L
Dec 3, 2025at CLE122 − 110W
Dec 2, 2025at TOR118 − 121L
Nov 30, 2025vs OKC115 − 123L
Nov 26, 2025vs SA102 − 115L