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Trail Blazers at Kings

NBA · Saturday, Dec 20 · 9:00 PM CT · Golden 1 Center · Final POR 98 – SAC 93
← NBA / Dec 20, 2025

Final Box Score

from the game summary
Team1234T
POR2819252698
SAC2618252493
Team box
POR·SAC
35-81
field goals
33-87
11-32
3-pointers
6-31
17-25
free throws
21-31
46
rebounds
50
18
assists
18
20
turnovers
18
42
points in paint
36
Top performers
PlayerTeamMINPTSREBAST
Deni AvdijaPOR4024711
Shaedon SharpePOR342343
Dennis SchroderSAC312156
Maxime RaynaudSAC3117111
Toumani CamaraPOR371562
Keegan MurraySAC401562

For context, not in our forecast.

Game Flow

score margin
SAC +13
POR +13
Q1Q2Q3Q4
largest lead: SAC 1 · POR 13lead changes: 2

For context, not in our forecast.

Final · our forecast was POR 46%, SAC 54% · Updated Dec 20, 2025

Expected margin
SAC by 0.2
Expected score
SAC 116.9 – 116.8 POR
Expected total
233.7
Trail BlazersThe matchupKings
+116Our fair odds−116
116.8Expected points116.9
−0.26Power rating−0.34
118.8Points / game111.7
122.3Allowed / game122.8
44.7FG%46.7
33.63P%35.1
45.4Rebounds / game39.9
11−16Season record6−21
4−6Last 102−8
Blake Wesley · Damian Lillard
Javonte Cooke · Jrue Holiday
Matisse ThybulleOut (5 each)Daeqwon Plowden · Devin Carter
Domantas Sabonis · Drew Eubanks
Isaiah Stevens

Prediction markets

Kalshi · Polymarket US · ProphetX · Novig
POR chance · SAC chance
Our model fair46.3%53.7%
Kalshino two-sided price
Polymarket USno two-sided price
ProphetXno two-sided price
Novigno two-sided price
Full price table
TeamOur modelfairKalshi Polymarket US ProphetX Novig 
Moneyline
PORPortland Trail Blazers+11646%————
SACSacramento Kings−11654%————
SpreadSAC by 0.2
PORPortland Trail Blazers+0.2our margin————
SACSacramento Kings−0.2our margin————
Totalwe expect 233.7
Over233.7our total————
Under233.7our total————

These are each venue’s last prices before the start (Kalshi’s moneyline: its pre-game close). Odds are the price to buy that side now, taker fee included; the small percent is the implied chance of that same price. Highlighted is the best price in the row among venues on the same line. — means not listed (hover or tap for why). A market price is not the true chance of winning.

Margin range

Sacramento Kings by 0.2 expected
Portland Trail Blazers by 41 points: <1%Portland Trail Blazers by 40 points: <1%Portland Trail Blazers by 39 points: <1%Portland Trail Blazers by 38 points: <1%Portland Trail Blazers by 37 points: <1%Portland Trail Blazers by 36 points: <1%Portland Trail Blazers by 35 points: <1%Portland Trail Blazers by 34 points: <1%Portland Trail Blazers by 33 points: <1%Portland Trail Blazers by 32 points: <1%Portland Trail Blazers by 31 points: <1%Portland Trail Blazers by 30 points: <1%Portland Trail Blazers by 29 points: <1%Portland Trail Blazers by 28 points: <1%Portland Trail Blazers by 27 points: <1%Portland Trail Blazers by 26 points: 1%Portland Trail Blazers by 25 points: 1%Portland Trail Blazers by 24 points: 1%Portland Trail Blazers by 23 points: 1%Portland Trail Blazers by 22 points: 1%Portland Trail Blazers by 21 points: 1%Portland Trail Blazers by 20 points: 1%Portland Trail Blazers by 19 points: 1%Portland Trail Blazers by 18 points: 1%Portland Trail Blazers by 17 points: 1%Portland Trail Blazers by 16 points: 1%Portland Trail Blazers by 15 points: 2%Portland Trail Blazers by 14 points: 2%Portland Trail Blazers by 13 points: 2%Portland Trail Blazers by 12 points: 2%Portland Trail Blazers by 11 points: 2%Portland Trail Blazers by 10 points: 2%Portland Trail Blazers by 9 points: 2%Portland Trail Blazers by 8 points: 3%Portland Trail Blazers by 7 points: 3%Portland Trail Blazers by 6 points: 3%Portland Trail Blazers by 5 points: 3%Portland Trail Blazers by 4 points: 3%Portland Trail Blazers by 3 points: 3%Portland Trail Blazers by 2 points: 2%Portland Trail Blazers by 1 point: 2%Sacramento Kings by 1 point: 2%Sacramento Kings by 2 points: 2%Sacramento Kings by 3 points: 2%Sacramento Kings by 4 points: 3%Sacramento Kings by 5 points: 3%Sacramento Kings by 6 points: 3%Sacramento Kings by 7 points: 3%Sacramento Kings by 8 points: 3%Sacramento Kings by 9 points: 3%Sacramento Kings by 10 points: 3%Sacramento Kings by 11 points: 2%Sacramento Kings by 12 points: 2%Sacramento Kings by 13 points: 2%Sacramento Kings by 14 points: 2%Sacramento Kings by 15 points: 2%Sacramento Kings by 16 points: 2%Sacramento Kings by 17 points: 1%Sacramento Kings by 18 points: 1%Sacramento Kings by 19 points: 1%Sacramento Kings by 20 points: 1%Sacramento Kings by 21 points: 1%Sacramento Kings by 22 points: 1%Sacramento Kings by 23 points: 1%Sacramento Kings by 24 points: 1%Sacramento Kings by 25 points: 1%Sacramento Kings by 26 points: 1%Sacramento Kings by 27 points: <1%Sacramento Kings by 28 points: <1%Sacramento Kings by 29 points: <1%Sacramento Kings by 30 points: <1%Sacramento Kings by 31 points: <1%Sacramento Kings by 32 points: <1%Sacramento Kings by 33 points: <1%Sacramento Kings by 34 points: <1%Sacramento Kings by 35 points: <1%Sacramento Kings by 36 points: <1%Sacramento Kings by 37 points: <1%Sacramento Kings by 38 points: <1%Sacramento Kings by 39 points: <1%Sacramento Kings by 40 points: <1%Sacramento Kings by 41 points: <1%
← POR wins bySAC wins by →
Sacramento Kings wins by 5 or more41%
Sacramento Kings wins by 10 or more27%
Sacramento Kings wins by 15 or more16%
Within 5 points either way25%

Centered on the expected margin above; shape from the real results of 6,537 past NBA games.

Total range

233.7 expected
184 points: <1%185 points: <1%186 points: <1%187 points: <1%188 points: <1%189 points: <1%190 points: <1%191 points: <1%192 points: <1%193 points: <1%194 points: <1%195 points: <1%196 points: <1%197 points: <1%198 points: <1%199 points: <1%200 points: <1%201 points: 1%202 points: 1%203 points: 1%204 points: 1%205 points: 1%206 points: 1%207 points: 1%208 points: 1%209 points: 1%210 points: 1%211 points: 1%212 points: 1%213 points: 1%214 points: 1%215 points: 1%216 points: 1%217 points: 1%218 points: 2%219 points: 2%220 points: 2%221 points: 2%222 points: 2%223 points: 2%224 points: 2%225 points: 2%226 points: 2%227 points: 2%228 points: 2%229 points: 2%230 points: 2%231 points: 2%232 points: 2%233 points: 2%234 points: 2%235 points: 2%236 points: 2%237 points: 2%238 points: 2%239 points: 2%240 points: 2%241 points: 2%242 points: 2%243 points: 2%244 points: 2%245 points: 2%246 points: 2%247 points: 1%248 points: 1%249 points: 1%250 points: 1%251 points: 1%252 points: 1%253 points: 1%254 points: 1%255 points: 1%256 points: 1%257 points: 1%258 points: 1%259 points: 1%260 points: 1%261 points: 1%262 points: 1%263 points: 1%264 points: 1%265 points: 1%266 points: 1%267 points: <1%268 points: <1%269 points: <1%270 points: <1%271 points: <1%272 points: <1%273 points: <1%274 points: <1%275 points: <1%276 points: <1%277 points: <1%278 points: <1%279 points: <1%280 points: <1%281 points: <1%282 points: <1%283 points: <1%284 points: <1%285 points: <1%286 points: <1%287 points: <1%288 points: <1%289 points: <1%290 points: <1%291 points: <1%
Total points, both teams
Total over 223.569%
Total over 233.549%
Total over 243.530%
Total from 224 to 24338%

Centered on the expected total above; shape from the real results of 6,537 past NBA games.

Starting Lineups

from the box score
Portland Trail Blazers
GShaedon Sharpestarted
FToumani Camarastarted
FKris Murraystarted
FDeni Avdijastarted
CDonovan Clinganstarted
Sacramento Kings
GRussell Westbrookstarted
GDeMar DeRozanstarted
FPrecious Achiuwastarted
FKeegan Murraystarted
CMaxime Raynaudstarted

For context, not in our forecast.

Rest and Schedule

before this game
POR·SAC
Dec 18, 2025 vs SAC
last game
Dec 18, 2025 at POR
1 day
days of rest
1 day
no
back-to-back
no
2
games in last 7 days
2
road after a home game
home / road
home after a road game

For context, not in our forecast.

Who's Out

NBA official injury report · Dec 20, 5:00 PM ET
Portland Trail Blazers
PORBlake Wesley · right foot; fractureOut
PORDamian Lillard · left achilles tendon; injury managementOut
PORJavonte Cooke · g league - two-wayOut
PORJrue Holiday · right calf; strainOut
PORMatisse Thybulle · left thumb; ligament tearOut
PORScoot Henderson · left hamstring; tearOut
PORJerami Grant · left achilles tendon; sorenessQuestionable
Sacramento Kings
SACDaeqwon Plowden · g league - two-wayOut
SACDevin Carter · g league - on assignmentOut
SACDomantas Sabonis · left knee; partial meniscus tearOut
SACDrew Eubanks · left thumb; avulsion fractureOut
SACIsaiah Stevens · g league - two-wayOut
SACZach LaVine · left ankle; sprainOut
SACDoug McDermott · left knee; sorenessQuestionable

For context, not in our forecast.

Team Comparison

2025–26 season · box-score averages from 27+ games
POR·SAC
−0.26
rating (0 = average)
−0.34
118.8
points / game
111.7
122.3
points allowed / game
122.8
11−16
season record
6−21
5−6
home record
3−8
6−10
away record
3−13
W2
streak
L4
4−6
last 10
2−8
44.7
FG%
46.7
33.6
3P%
35.1
45.4
rebounds / game
39.9
25.1
assists / game
25.5
17.1
turnovers / game
14.2
50.2
points in paint / game
49.7

Rating Trend

POR · SAC · 53 days
Portland Trail BlazersSacramento Kings
Rating (0 = average team)

Head to Head

last 10 meetings · SAC 6−4
Dec 18, 2025at PORPOR 134 − 133
Mar 27, 2025at SACSAC 128 − 107
Feb 6, 2025at PORPOR 108 − 102
Nov 29, 2024at PORPOR 115 − 106
Oct 28, 2024at SACSAC 111 − 98
Apr 14, 2024at SACSAC 121 − 82
Dec 26, 2023at PORPOR 130 − 113
Nov 8, 2023at SACSAC 121 − 118
Mar 31, 2023at PORSAC 138 − 114
Mar 29, 2023at PORSAC 120 − 80

POR · Last 10

4−6 · streak W2
Dec 18, 2025vs SAC134 − 133W
Dec 14, 2025vs GS136 − 131W
Dec 11, 2025at NO120 − 143L
Dec 7, 2025at MEM96 − 119L
Dec 5, 2025at DET116 − 122L
Dec 3, 2025at CLE122 − 110W
Dec 2, 2025at TOR118 − 121L
Nov 30, 2025vs OKC115 − 123L
Nov 26, 2025vs SA102 − 115L
Nov 24, 2025at MIL115 − 103W

SAC · Last 10

2−8 · streak L4
Dec 18, 2025at POR133 − 134L
Dec 14, 2025at MIN103 − 117L
Dec 11, 2025vs DEN105 − 136L
Dec 8, 2025at IND105 − 116L
Dec 6, 2025at MIA127 − 111W
Dec 3, 2025at HOU95 − 121L
Nov 30, 2025vs MEM107 − 115L
Nov 28, 2025at UTAH119 − 128L
Nov 26, 2025vs PHX100 − 112L
Nov 24, 2025vs MIN117 − 112W