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Kings at Timberwolves

NBA · Sunday, Dec 14 · 6:00 PM CT · Target Center · Final SAC 103 – MIN 117
← NBA / Dec 14, 2025

Final Box Score

from the game summary
Team1234T
SAC27253219103
MIN20313729117
Team box
SAC·MIN
37-81
field goals
43-94
10-23
3-pointers
12-37
19-25
free throws
19-27
36
rebounds
48
21
assists
25
15
turnovers
12
40
points in paint
58
Top performers
PlayerTeamMINPTSREBAST
Julius RandleMIN3624103
Jaden McDanielsMIN382142
Naz ReidMIN3520113
Donte DiVincenzoMIN341866
Bones HylandMIN361835
DeMar DeRozanSAC391743

For context, not in our forecast.

Game Flow

score margin
MIN +16
SAC +16
Q1Q2Q3Q4
largest lead: MIN 16 · SAC 9lead changes: 4

For context, not in our forecast.

Final · our forecast was SAC 25%, MIN 75% · Updated Dec 14, 2025

Expected margin
MIN by 9.8
Expected score
MIN 119.0 – 109.2 SAC
Expected total
228.2
KingsThe matchupTimberwolves
+295Our fair odds−295
109.2Expected points119.0
−0.28Power rating+0.58
111.2Points / game119.9
122.6Allowed / game115.0
46.5FG%48.8
35.03P%38.2
40.0Rebounds / game43.4
6−19Season record16−9
3−7Last 106−4
Daeqwon Plowden · Domantas Sabonis
Drew Eubanks · Isaiah StevensOutAnthony Edwards · Enrique Freeman
Joan Beringer · Mike Conley
Rocco Zikarsky

Prediction markets

Kalshi · Polymarket US · ProphetX · Novig
SAC chance · MIN chance
Our model fair25.3%74.7%
Kalshino two-sided price
Polymarket USno two-sided price
ProphetXno two-sided price
Novigno two-sided price
Full price table
TeamOur modelfairKalshi Polymarket US ProphetX Novig 
Moneyline
SACSacramento Kings+29525%————
MINMinnesota Timberwolves−29575%————
SpreadMIN by 9.8
SACSacramento Kings+9.8our margin————
MINMinnesota Timberwolves−9.8our margin————
Totalwe expect 228.2
Over228.2our total————
Under228.2our total————

These are each venue’s last prices before the start (Kalshi’s moneyline: its pre-game close). Odds are the price to buy that side now, taker fee included; the small percent is the implied chance of that same price. Highlighted is the best price in the row among venues on the same line. — means not listed (hover or tap for why). A market price is not the true chance of winning.

Margin range

Minnesota Timberwolves by 9.8 expected
Sacramento Kings by 52 points: <1%Sacramento Kings by 51 points: <1%Sacramento Kings by 50 points: <1%Sacramento Kings by 49 points: <1%Sacramento Kings by 48 points: <1%Sacramento Kings by 47 points: <1%Sacramento Kings by 46 points: <1%Sacramento Kings by 45 points: <1%Sacramento Kings by 44 points: <1%Sacramento Kings by 43 points: <1%Sacramento Kings by 42 points: <1%Sacramento Kings by 41 points: <1%Sacramento Kings by 40 points: <1%Sacramento Kings by 39 points: <1%Sacramento Kings by 38 points: <1%Sacramento Kings by 37 points: <1%Sacramento Kings by 36 points: <1%Sacramento Kings by 35 points: <1%Sacramento Kings by 34 points: <1%Sacramento Kings by 33 points: <1%Sacramento Kings by 32 points: <1%Sacramento Kings by 31 points: <1%Sacramento Kings by 30 points: <1%Sacramento Kings by 29 points: <1%Sacramento Kings by 28 points: <1%Sacramento Kings by 27 points: <1%Sacramento Kings by 26 points: <1%Sacramento Kings by 25 points: <1%Sacramento Kings by 24 points: <1%Sacramento Kings by 23 points: <1%Sacramento Kings by 22 points: <1%Sacramento Kings by 21 points: <1%Sacramento Kings by 20 points: <1%Sacramento Kings by 19 points: <1%Sacramento Kings by 18 points: <1%Sacramento Kings by 17 points: <1%Sacramento Kings by 16 points: 1%Sacramento Kings by 15 points: 1%Sacramento Kings by 14 points: 1%Sacramento Kings by 13 points: 1%Sacramento Kings by 12 points: 1%Sacramento Kings by 11 points: 1%Sacramento Kings by 10 points: 1%Sacramento Kings by 9 points: 1%Sacramento Kings by 8 points: 2%Sacramento Kings by 7 points: 2%Sacramento Kings by 6 points: 2%Sacramento Kings by 5 points: 2%Sacramento Kings by 4 points: 2%Sacramento Kings by 3 points: 2%Sacramento Kings by 2 points: 2%Sacramento Kings by 1 point: 2%Minnesota Timberwolves by 1 point: 2%Minnesota Timberwolves by 2 points: 2%Minnesota Timberwolves by 3 points: 2%Minnesota Timberwolves by 4 points: 3%Minnesota Timberwolves by 5 points: 3%Minnesota Timberwolves by 6 points: 3%Minnesota Timberwolves by 7 points: 3%Minnesota Timberwolves by 8 points: 3%Minnesota Timberwolves by 9 points: 3%Minnesota Timberwolves by 10 points: 3%Minnesota Timberwolves by 11 points: 3%Minnesota Timberwolves by 12 points: 3%Minnesota Timberwolves by 13 points: 3%Minnesota Timberwolves by 14 points: 3%Minnesota Timberwolves by 15 points: 3%Minnesota Timberwolves by 16 points: 2%Minnesota Timberwolves by 17 points: 2%Minnesota Timberwolves by 18 points: 2%Minnesota Timberwolves by 19 points: 2%Minnesota Timberwolves by 20 points: 2%Minnesota Timberwolves by 21 points: 2%Minnesota Timberwolves by 22 points: 2%Minnesota Timberwolves by 23 points: 2%Minnesota Timberwolves by 24 points: 2%Minnesota Timberwolves by 25 points: 1%Minnesota Timberwolves by 26 points: 1%Minnesota Timberwolves by 27 points: 1%Minnesota Timberwolves by 28 points: 1%Minnesota Timberwolves by 29 points: 1%Minnesota Timberwolves by 30 points: 1%Minnesota Timberwolves by 31 points: 1%Minnesota Timberwolves by 32 points: 1%Minnesota Timberwolves by 33 points: 1%Minnesota Timberwolves by 34 points: 1%Minnesota Timberwolves by 35 points: 1%Minnesota Timberwolves by 36 points: 1%Minnesota Timberwolves by 37 points: 1%Minnesota Timberwolves by 38 points: <1%Minnesota Timberwolves by 39 points: <1%Minnesota Timberwolves by 40 points: <1%Minnesota Timberwolves by 41 points: <1%Minnesota Timberwolves by 42 points: <1%Minnesota Timberwolves by 43 points: <1%Minnesota Timberwolves by 44 points: <1%Minnesota Timberwolves by 45 points: <1%Minnesota Timberwolves by 46 points: <1%Minnesota Timberwolves by 47 points: <1%Minnesota Timberwolves by 48 points: <1%Minnesota Timberwolves by 49 points: <1%Minnesota Timberwolves by 50 points: <1%Minnesota Timberwolves by 51 points: <1%Minnesota Timberwolves by 52 points: <1%
← SAC wins byMIN wins by →
Minnesota Timberwolves wins by 5 or more66%
Minnesota Timberwolves wins by 10 or more51%
Minnesota Timberwolves wins by 15 or more36%
Within 5 points either way21%

Centered on the expected margin above; shape from the real results of 6,530 past NBA games.

Total range

228.2 expected
179 points: <1%180 points: <1%181 points: <1%182 points: <1%183 points: <1%184 points: <1%185 points: <1%186 points: <1%187 points: <1%188 points: <1%189 points: <1%190 points: <1%191 points: <1%192 points: <1%193 points: <1%194 points: <1%195 points: <1%196 points: 1%197 points: 1%198 points: 1%199 points: 1%200 points: 1%201 points: 1%202 points: 1%203 points: 1%204 points: 1%205 points: 1%206 points: 1%207 points: 1%208 points: 1%209 points: 1%210 points: 1%211 points: 1%212 points: 2%213 points: 2%214 points: 2%215 points: 2%216 points: 2%217 points: 2%218 points: 2%219 points: 2%220 points: 2%221 points: 2%222 points: 2%223 points: 2%224 points: 2%225 points: 2%226 points: 2%227 points: 2%228 points: 2%229 points: 2%230 points: 2%231 points: 2%232 points: 2%233 points: 2%234 points: 2%235 points: 2%236 points: 2%237 points: 2%238 points: 2%239 points: 2%240 points: 2%241 points: 2%242 points: 1%243 points: 1%244 points: 1%245 points: 1%246 points: 1%247 points: 1%248 points: 1%249 points: 1%250 points: 1%251 points: 1%252 points: 1%253 points: 1%254 points: 1%255 points: 1%256 points: 1%257 points: 1%258 points: 1%259 points: 1%260 points: 1%261 points: 1%262 points: <1%263 points: <1%264 points: <1%265 points: <1%266 points: <1%267 points: <1%268 points: <1%269 points: <1%270 points: <1%271 points: <1%272 points: <1%273 points: <1%274 points: <1%275 points: <1%276 points: <1%277 points: <1%278 points: <1%279 points: <1%280 points: <1%281 points: <1%
Total points, both teams
Total over 218.568%
Total over 228.549%
Total over 238.529%
Total from 219 to 23839%

Centered on the expected total above; shape from the real results of 6,530 past NBA games.

Starting Lineups

from the box score
Sacramento Kings
GRussell Westbrookstarted
GDeMar DeRozanstarted
GZach LaVinestarted
FKeegan Murraystarted
CMaxime Raynaudstarted
Minnesota Timberwolves
GDonte DiVincenzostarted
GBones Hylandstarted
FJulius Randlestarted
FJaden McDanielsstarted
CRudy Gobertstarted

For context, not in our forecast.

Rest and Schedule

before this game
SAC·MIN
Dec 11, 2025 vs DEN
last game
Dec 12, 2025 at GS
2 days
days of rest
1 day
no
back-to-back
no
2
games in last 7 days
2
road after a home game
home / road
home after a road game

For context, not in our forecast.

Who's Out

NBA official injury report · Dec 14, 5:00 PM ET
Sacramento Kings
SACDaeqwon Plowden · g league - two-wayOut
SACDomantas Sabonis · left knee; partial meniscus tearOut
SACDrew Eubanks · left thumb; avulsion fractureOut
SACIsaiah Stevens · g league - two-wayOut
SACDennis Schroder · right hip flexor; strainQuestionable
Minnesota Timberwolves
MINAnthony Edwards · right foot; sorenessOut
MINEnrique Freeman · g league - on assignmentOut
MINJoan Beringer · g league - on assignmentOut
MINMike Conley · right achilles; tendinopathyOut
MINRocco Zikarsky · g league - on assignmentOut

For context, not in our forecast.

Team Comparison

2025–26 season · box-score averages from 25+ games
SAC·MIN
−0.28
rating (0 = average)
+0.58
111.2
points / game
119.9
122.6
points allowed / game
115.0
6−19
season record
16−9
3−8
home record
8−4
3−11
away record
8−5
L2
streak
W1
3−7
last 10
6−4
46.5
FG%
48.8
35.0
3P%
38.2
40.0
rebounds / game
43.4
25.6
assists / game
26.6
14.0
turnovers / game
15.0
49.1
points in paint / game
50.8

Rating Trend

SAC · MIN · 47 days
Sacramento KingsMinnesota Timberwolves
Rating (0 = average team)

Head to Head

last 10 meetings · MIN 5−5
Nov 24, 2025at SACSAC 117 − 112
Nov 14, 2025at MINMIN 124 − 110
Nov 9, 2025at SACMIN 144 − 117
Feb 3, 2025at MINSAC 116 − 114
Nov 27, 2024at MINSAC 115 − 104
Nov 15, 2024at SACMIN 130 − 126
Oct 24, 2024at SACMIN 117 − 115
Mar 1, 2024at MINSAC 124 − 120
Dec 23, 2023at SACMIN 110 − 98
Nov 24, 2023at MINSAC 124 − 111

SAC · Last 10

3−7 · streak L2
Dec 11, 2025vs DEN105 − 136L
Dec 8, 2025at IND105 − 116L
Dec 6, 2025at MIA127 − 111W
Dec 3, 2025at HOU95 − 121L
Nov 30, 2025vs MEM107 − 115L
Nov 28, 2025at UTAH119 − 128L
Nov 26, 2025vs PHX100 − 112L
Nov 24, 2025vs MIN117 − 112W
Nov 22, 2025at DEN128 − 123W
Nov 20, 2025at MEM96 − 137L

MIN · Last 10

6−4 · streak W1
Dec 12, 2025at GS127 − 120W
Dec 8, 2025vs PHX105 − 108L
Dec 6, 2025vs LAC109 − 106W
Dec 4, 2025at NO125 − 116W
Dec 2, 2025at NO149 − 142W
Nov 30, 2025vs SA125 − 112W
Nov 29, 2025vs BOS119 − 115W
Nov 26, 2025at OKC105 − 113L
Nov 24, 2025at SAC112 − 117L
Nov 21, 2025at PHX113 − 114L