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Magic at Jazz

NBA · Saturday, Dec 20 · 8:30 PM CT · Delta Center · Final ORL 128 – UTAH 127
← NBA / Dec 20, 2025

Final Box Score

from the game summary
Team1234OTT
ORL3629322110128
UTAH382222369127
Team box
ORL·UTAH
47-96
field goals
44-105
11-37
3-pointers
15-43
23-33
free throws
24-30
52
rebounds
52
32
assists
34
13
turnovers
12
64
points in paint
50
Top performers
PlayerTeamMINPTSREBAST
Desmond BaneORL393261
Keyonte GeorgeUTAH422749
Paolo BancheroORL422399
Svi MykhailiukUTAH312332
Anthony BlackORL402065
Isaiah CollierUTAH281859

For context, not in our forecast.

Game Flow

score margin
UTAH +19
ORL +19
Q1Q2Q3Q4OT
largest lead: UTAH 5 · ORL 19lead changes: 11

For context, not in our forecast.

Final · our forecast was ORL 66%, UTAH 34% · Updated Dec 20, 2025

Expected margin
ORL by 7.8
Expected score
ORL 119.4 – 111.5 UTAH
Expected total
230.9
MagicThe matchupJazz
−196Our fair odds+196
119.4Expected points111.5
+0.15Power rating−0.76
117.8Points / game119.6
114.5Allowed / game126.8
47.1FG%46.0
33.83P%35.0
44.9Rebounds / game45.4
15−12Season record10−16
5−5Last 105−5
Colin Castleton · Franz Wagner
Moritz WagnerOutElijah Harkless · Georges Niang
John Tonje · Lauri Markkanen
Oscar Tshiebwe

Prediction markets

Kalshi · Polymarket US · ProphetX · Novig
ORL chance · UTAH chance
Our model fair66.2%33.8%
Kalshino two-sided price
Polymarket USno two-sided price
ProphetXno two-sided price
Novigno two-sided price
Full price table
TeamOur modelfairKalshi Polymarket US ProphetX Novig 
Moneyline
ORLOrlando Magic−19666%————
UTAHUtah Jazz+19634%————
SpreadORL by 7.8
ORLOrlando Magic−7.8our margin————
UTAHUtah Jazz+7.8our margin————
Totalwe expect 230.9
Over230.9our total————
Under230.9our total————

These are each venue’s last prices before the start (Kalshi’s moneyline: its pre-game close). Odds are the price to buy that side now, taker fee included; the small percent is the implied chance of that same price. Highlighted is the best price in the row among venues on the same line. — means not listed (hover or tap for why). A market price is not the true chance of winning.

Margin range

Orlando Magic by 7.8 expected
Orlando Magic by 48 points: <1%Orlando Magic by 47 points: <1%Orlando Magic by 46 points: <1%Orlando Magic by 45 points: <1%Orlando Magic by 44 points: <1%Orlando Magic by 43 points: <1%Orlando Magic by 42 points: <1%Orlando Magic by 41 points: <1%Orlando Magic by 40 points: <1%Orlando Magic by 39 points: <1%Orlando Magic by 38 points: <1%Orlando Magic by 37 points: <1%Orlando Magic by 36 points: <1%Orlando Magic by 35 points: 1%Orlando Magic by 34 points: 1%Orlando Magic by 33 points: 1%Orlando Magic by 32 points: 1%Orlando Magic by 31 points: 1%Orlando Magic by 30 points: 1%Orlando Magic by 29 points: 1%Orlando Magic by 28 points: 1%Orlando Magic by 27 points: 1%Orlando Magic by 26 points: 1%Orlando Magic by 25 points: 1%Orlando Magic by 24 points: 1%Orlando Magic by 23 points: 1%Orlando Magic by 22 points: 1%Orlando Magic by 21 points: 1%Orlando Magic by 20 points: 2%Orlando Magic by 19 points: 2%Orlando Magic by 18 points: 2%Orlando Magic by 17 points: 2%Orlando Magic by 16 points: 2%Orlando Magic by 15 points: 3%Orlando Magic by 14 points: 3%Orlando Magic by 13 points: 3%Orlando Magic by 12 points: 3%Orlando Magic by 11 points: 3%Orlando Magic by 10 points: 3%Orlando Magic by 9 points: 3%Orlando Magic by 8 points: 3%Orlando Magic by 7 points: 3%Orlando Magic by 6 points: 3%Orlando Magic by 5 points: 3%Orlando Magic by 4 points: 3%Orlando Magic by 3 points: 3%Orlando Magic by 2 points: 2%Orlando Magic by 1 point: 2%Utah Jazz by 1 point: 2%Utah Jazz by 2 points: 2%Utah Jazz by 3 points: 2%Utah Jazz by 4 points: 2%Utah Jazz by 5 points: 2%Utah Jazz by 6 points: 2%Utah Jazz by 7 points: 2%Utah Jazz by 8 points: 2%Utah Jazz by 9 points: 1%Utah Jazz by 10 points: 1%Utah Jazz by 11 points: 1%Utah Jazz by 12 points: 1%Utah Jazz by 13 points: 1%Utah Jazz by 14 points: 1%Utah Jazz by 15 points: 1%Utah Jazz by 16 points: 1%Utah Jazz by 17 points: 1%Utah Jazz by 18 points: 1%Utah Jazz by 19 points: 1%Utah Jazz by 20 points: 1%Utah Jazz by 21 points: <1%Utah Jazz by 22 points: <1%Utah Jazz by 23 points: <1%Utah Jazz by 24 points: <1%Utah Jazz by 25 points: <1%Utah Jazz by 26 points: <1%Utah Jazz by 27 points: <1%Utah Jazz by 28 points: <1%Utah Jazz by 29 points: <1%Utah Jazz by 30 points: <1%Utah Jazz by 31 points: <1%Utah Jazz by 32 points: <1%Utah Jazz by 33 points: <1%Utah Jazz by 34 points: <1%Utah Jazz by 35 points: <1%Utah Jazz by 36 points: <1%Utah Jazz by 37 points: <1%Utah Jazz by 38 points: <1%Utah Jazz by 39 points: <1%Utah Jazz by 40 points: <1%Utah Jazz by 41 points: <1%Utah Jazz by 42 points: <1%Utah Jazz by 43 points: <1%Utah Jazz by 44 points: <1%Utah Jazz by 45 points: <1%Utah Jazz by 46 points: <1%Utah Jazz by 47 points: <1%Utah Jazz by 48 points: <1%
← ORL wins byUTAH wins by →
Orlando Magic wins by 5 or more62%
Orlando Magic wins by 10 or more46%
Orlando Magic wins by 15 or more30%
Within 5 points either way22%

Centered on the expected margin above; shape from the real results of 6,530 past NBA games.

Total range

230.9 expected
181 points: <1%182 points: <1%183 points: <1%184 points: <1%185 points: <1%186 points: <1%187 points: <1%188 points: <1%189 points: <1%190 points: <1%191 points: <1%192 points: <1%193 points: <1%194 points: <1%195 points: <1%196 points: <1%197 points: <1%198 points: <1%199 points: 1%200 points: 1%201 points: 1%202 points: 1%203 points: 1%204 points: 1%205 points: 1%206 points: 1%207 points: 1%208 points: 1%209 points: 1%210 points: 1%211 points: 1%212 points: 1%213 points: 1%214 points: 1%215 points: 2%216 points: 2%217 points: 2%218 points: 2%219 points: 2%220 points: 2%221 points: 2%222 points: 2%223 points: 2%224 points: 2%225 points: 2%226 points: 2%227 points: 2%228 points: 2%229 points: 2%230 points: 2%231 points: 2%232 points: 2%233 points: 2%234 points: 2%235 points: 2%236 points: 2%237 points: 2%238 points: 2%239 points: 2%240 points: 2%241 points: 2%242 points: 2%243 points: 2%244 points: 1%245 points: 1%246 points: 1%247 points: 1%248 points: 1%249 points: 1%250 points: 1%251 points: 1%252 points: 1%253 points: 1%254 points: 1%255 points: 1%256 points: 1%257 points: 1%258 points: 1%259 points: 1%260 points: 1%261 points: 1%262 points: 1%263 points: 1%264 points: <1%265 points: <1%266 points: <1%267 points: <1%268 points: <1%269 points: <1%270 points: <1%271 points: <1%272 points: <1%273 points: <1%274 points: <1%275 points: <1%276 points: <1%277 points: <1%278 points: <1%279 points: <1%280 points: <1%281 points: <1%282 points: <1%283 points: <1%284 points: <1%285 points: <1%286 points: <1%
Total points, both teams
Total over 220.569%
Total over 230.550%
Total over 240.531%
Total from 221 to 24039%

Centered on the expected total above; shape from the real results of 6,530 past NBA games.

Starting Lineups

from the box score
Orlando Magic
GTyus Jonesstarted
GDesmond Banestarted
GAnthony Blackstarted
FPaolo Bancherostarted
CWendell Carter Jr.started
Utah Jazz
GSvi Mykhailiukstarted
GKeyonte Georgestarted
GAce Baileystarted
FKyle Filipowskistarted
CJusuf Nurkicstarted

For context, not in our forecast.

Rest and Schedule

before this game
ORL·UTAH
Dec 18, 2025 at DEN
last game
Dec 18, 2025 vs LAL
1 day
days of rest
1 day
no
back-to-back
no
2
games in last 7 days
2
2nd straight road game
home / road
3rd straight home game

For context, not in our forecast.

Who's Out

NBA official injury report · Dec 20, 5:00 PM ET
Orlando Magic
ORLColin Castleton · g league - two-wayOut
ORLFranz Wagner · left high ankle; sprainOut
ORLMoritz Wagner · left knee; injury recoveryOut
ORLJalen Suggs · left hip; contusionDoubtful
ORLJonathan Isaac · left hip; contusionQuestionable
ORLTristan da Silva · right shoulder; contusionQuestionable
Utah Jazz
UTAHElijah Harkless · g league - two-wayOut
UTAHGeorges Niang · left foot; fourth metatarsal stress reactionOut
UTAHJohn Tonje · g league - two-wayOut
UTAHLauri Markkanen · right groin; injury managementOut
UTAHOscar Tshiebwe · g league - two-wayOut
UTAHWalker Kessler · left shoulder; injury recoveryOut

For context, not in our forecast.

Team Comparison

2025–26 season · box-score averages from 26+ games
ORL·UTAH
+0.15
rating (0 = average)
−0.76
117.8
points / game
119.6
114.5
points allowed / game
126.8
15−12
season record
10−16
10−5
home record
7−8
5−7
away record
3−8
L2
streak
L1
5−5
last 10
5−5
47.1
FG%
46.0
33.8
3P%
35.0
44.9
rebounds / game
45.4
25.9
assists / game
29.8
14.3
turnovers / game
16.1
54.7
points in paint / game
49.2

Rating Trend

ORL · UTAH · 53 days
Orlando MagicUtah Jazz
Rating (0 = average team)

Head to Head

last 8 meetings · UTAH 5−3
Feb 1, 2025at UTAHUTAH 113 − 99
Jan 5, 2025at ORLUTAH 105 − 92
Feb 29, 2024at ORLORL 115 − 107
Nov 2, 2023at UTAHORL 115 − 113
Mar 9, 2023at ORLUTAH 131 − 124
Jan 13, 2023at UTAHUTAH 112 − 108
Feb 11, 2022at UTAHUTAH 114 − 99
Nov 7, 2021at ORLORL 107 − 100

ORL · Last 10

5−5 · streak L2
Dec 18, 2025at DEN115 − 126L
Dec 13, 2025vs NY120 − 132L
Dec 9, 2025vs MIA117 − 108W
Dec 7, 2025at NY100 − 106L
Dec 5, 2025vs MIA106 − 105W
Dec 3, 2025vs SA112 − 114L
Dec 1, 2025vs CHI125 − 120W
Nov 28, 2025at DET112 − 109W
Nov 25, 2025at PHI144 − 103W
Nov 23, 2025at BOS129 − 138L

UTAH · Last 10

5−5 · streak L1
Dec 18, 2025vs LAL135 − 143L
Dec 15, 2025vs DAL140 − 133W
Dec 12, 2025at MEM130 − 126W
Dec 7, 2025vs OKC101 − 131L
Dec 5, 2025at NY112 − 146L
Dec 4, 2025at BKN123 − 110W
Dec 1, 2025vs HOU133 − 125W
Nov 30, 2025vs HOU101 − 129L
Nov 28, 2025vs SAC128 − 119W
Nov 24, 2025at GS117 − 134L