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Celtics at Jazz

NBA · Tuesday, Dec 30 · 8:00 PM CT · Delta Center · Final BOS 129 – UTAH 119
← NBA / Dec 30, 2025

Final Box Score

from the game summary
Team1234T
BOS31284030129
UTAH38263223119
Team box
BOS·UTAH
48-94
field goals
41-87
13-44
3-pointers
16-42
20-23
free throws
21-25
44
rebounds
40
27
assists
31
8
turnovers
13
56
points in paint
46
Top performers
PlayerTeamMINPTSREBAST
Keyonte GeorgeUTAH393767
Derrick WhiteBOS362776
Jusuf NurkicUTAH342688
Jaylen BrownBOS3423610
Lauri MarkkanenUTAH382292
Anfernee SimonsBOS282054

For context, not in our forecast.

Game Flow

score margin
UTAH +12
BOS +12
Q1Q2Q3Q4
largest lead: UTAH 12 · BOS 11lead changes: 13

For context, not in our forecast.

Final · our forecast was BOS 77%, UTAH 23% · Updated Dec 30, 2025

Expected margin
BOS by 12.4
Expected score
BOS 124.2 – 111.8 UTAH
Expected total
236.1
CelticsThe matchupJazz
−339Our fair odds+339
124.2Expected points111.8
+0.77Power rating−0.71
116.5Points / game120.5
110.5Allowed / game127.1
47.4FG%46.1
36.63P%35.7
43.9Rebounds / game45.2
19−12Season record12−19
7−3Last 104−6
Amari Williams · Chris Boucher
Jayson Tatum · Max Shulga
Ron Harper Jr.Out (5 each)Ace Bailey · Elijah Harkless
Georges Niang · John Tonje
Kevin Love

Prediction markets

Kalshi · Polymarket US · ProphetX · Novig
BOS chance · UTAH chance
Our model fair77.2%22.8%
Kalshino two-sided price
Polymarket USno two-sided price
ProphetXno two-sided price
Novigno two-sided price
Full price table
TeamOur modelfairKalshi Polymarket US ProphetX Novig 
Moneyline
BOSBoston Celtics−33977%————
UTAHUtah Jazz+33923%————
SpreadBOS by 12.4
BOSBoston Celtics−12.4our margin————
UTAHUtah Jazz+12.4our margin————
Totalwe expect 236.1
Over236.1our total————
Under236.1our total————

These are each venue’s last prices before the start (Kalshi’s moneyline: its pre-game close). Odds are the price to buy that side now, taker fee included; the small percent is the implied chance of that same price. Highlighted is the best price in the row among venues on the same line. — means not listed (hover or tap for why). A market price is not the true chance of winning.

Margin range

Boston Celtics by 12.4 expected
Boston Celtics by 47 points: <1%Boston Celtics by 46 points: <1%Boston Celtics by 45 points: <1%Boston Celtics by 44 points: <1%Boston Celtics by 43 points: <1%Boston Celtics by 42 points: <1%Boston Celtics by 41 points: <1%Boston Celtics by 40 points: <1%Boston Celtics by 39 points: 1%Boston Celtics by 38 points: 1%Boston Celtics by 37 points: 1%Boston Celtics by 36 points: 1%Boston Celtics by 35 points: 1%Boston Celtics by 34 points: 1%Boston Celtics by 33 points: 1%Boston Celtics by 32 points: 2%Boston Celtics by 31 points: 2%Boston Celtics by 30 points: 2%Boston Celtics by 29 points: 2%Boston Celtics by 28 points: 2%Boston Celtics by 27 points: 1%Boston Celtics by 26 points: 1%Boston Celtics by 25 points: 1%Boston Celtics by 24 points: 1%Boston Celtics by 23 points: 1%Boston Celtics by 22 points: 2%Boston Celtics by 21 points: 2%Boston Celtics by 20 points: 2%Boston Celtics by 19 points: 2%Boston Celtics by 18 points: 2%Boston Celtics by 17 points: 2%Boston Celtics by 16 points: 3%Boston Celtics by 15 points: 3%Boston Celtics by 14 points: 3%Boston Celtics by 13 points: 3%Boston Celtics by 12 points: 3%Boston Celtics by 11 points: 3%Boston Celtics by 10 points: 4%Boston Celtics by 9 points: 4%Boston Celtics by 8 points: 3%Boston Celtics by 7 points: 3%Boston Celtics by 6 points: 3%Boston Celtics by 5 points: 3%Boston Celtics by 4 points: 3%Boston Celtics by 3 points: 2%Boston Celtics by 2 points: 2%Boston Celtics by 1 point: 2%Utah Jazz by 1 point: 1%Utah Jazz by 2 points: 1%Utah Jazz by 3 points: 1%Utah Jazz by 4 points: 1%Utah Jazz by 5 points: 1%Utah Jazz by 6 points: 1%Utah Jazz by 7 points: 1%Utah Jazz by 8 points: 1%Utah Jazz by 9 points: 1%Utah Jazz by 10 points: 1%Utah Jazz by 11 points: 1%Utah Jazz by 12 points: 1%Utah Jazz by 13 points: 1%Utah Jazz by 14 points: 1%Utah Jazz by 15 points: 1%Utah Jazz by 16 points: <1%Utah Jazz by 17 points: <1%Utah Jazz by 18 points: <1%Utah Jazz by 19 points: <1%Utah Jazz by 20 points: <1%Utah Jazz by 21 points: <1%Utah Jazz by 22 points: <1%Utah Jazz by 23 points: <1%Utah Jazz by 24 points: <1%Utah Jazz by 25 points: <1%Utah Jazz by 26 points: <1%Utah Jazz by 27 points: <1%Utah Jazz by 28 points: <1%Utah Jazz by 29 points: <1%Utah Jazz by 30 points: <1%Utah Jazz by 31 points: <1%Utah Jazz by 32 points: <1%Utah Jazz by 33 points: <1%Utah Jazz by 34 points: <1%Utah Jazz by 35 points: <1%Utah Jazz by 36 points: <1%Utah Jazz by 37 points: <1%Utah Jazz by 38 points: <1%Utah Jazz by 39 points: <1%Utah Jazz by 40 points: <1%Utah Jazz by 41 points: <1%Utah Jazz by 42 points: <1%Utah Jazz by 43 points: <1%Utah Jazz by 44 points: <1%Utah Jazz by 45 points: <1%Utah Jazz by 46 points: <1%Utah Jazz by 47 points: <1%
← BOS wins byUTAH wins by →
Boston Celtics wins by 5 or more75%
Boston Celtics wins by 10 or more59%
Boston Celtics wins by 15 or more42%
Within 5 points either way17%

Centered on the expected margin above; shape from the real results of 6,530 past NBA games.

Total range

236.1 expected
186 points: <1%187 points: <1%188 points: <1%189 points: <1%190 points: <1%191 points: <1%192 points: <1%193 points: <1%194 points: <1%195 points: <1%196 points: <1%197 points: <1%198 points: <1%199 points: <1%200 points: <1%201 points: <1%202 points: <1%203 points: <1%204 points: 1%205 points: 1%206 points: 1%207 points: 1%208 points: 1%209 points: 1%210 points: 1%211 points: 1%212 points: 1%213 points: 1%214 points: 1%215 points: 1%216 points: 1%217 points: 1%218 points: 1%219 points: 1%220 points: 2%221 points: 2%222 points: 2%223 points: 2%224 points: 2%225 points: 2%226 points: 2%227 points: 2%228 points: 2%229 points: 2%230 points: 2%231 points: 2%232 points: 2%233 points: 2%234 points: 2%235 points: 2%236 points: 2%237 points: 2%238 points: 2%239 points: 2%240 points: 2%241 points: 2%242 points: 2%243 points: 2%244 points: 2%245 points: 2%246 points: 2%247 points: 2%248 points: 2%249 points: 1%250 points: 1%251 points: 1%252 points: 1%253 points: 1%254 points: 1%255 points: 1%256 points: 1%257 points: 1%258 points: 1%259 points: 1%260 points: 1%261 points: 1%262 points: 1%263 points: 1%264 points: 1%265 points: 1%266 points: 1%267 points: 1%268 points: 1%269 points: <1%270 points: <1%271 points: <1%272 points: <1%273 points: <1%274 points: <1%275 points: <1%276 points: <1%277 points: <1%278 points: <1%279 points: <1%280 points: <1%281 points: <1%282 points: <1%283 points: <1%284 points: <1%285 points: <1%286 points: <1%287 points: <1%288 points: <1%289 points: <1%290 points: <1%291 points: <1%292 points: <1%293 points: <1%294 points: <1%295 points: <1%
Total points, both teams
Total over 226.567%
Total over 236.548%
Total over 246.530%
Total from 227 to 24638%

Centered on the expected total above; shape from the real results of 6,530 past NBA games.

Starting Lineups

from the box score
Boston Celtics
GDerrick Whitestarted
GJaylen Brownstarted
GPayton Pritchardstarted
GJordan Walshstarted
CNeemias Quetastarted
Utah Jazz
GKeyonte Georgestarted
FLauri Markkanenstarted
FTaylor Hendricksstarted
FBrice Sensabaughstarted
CJusuf Nurkicstarted

For context, not in our forecast.

Rest and Schedule

before this game
BOS·UTAH
Dec 28, 2025 at POR
last game
Dec 27, 2025 at SA
1 day
days of rest
2 days
no
back-to-back
no
2
games in last 7 days
3
3rd straight road game
home / road
home after a road game

For context, not in our forecast.

Who's Out

NBA official injury report · Dec 30, 5:00 PM ET
Boston Celtics
BOSAmari Williams · g league - two-wayOut
BOSChris Boucher · personal reasonsOut
BOSJayson Tatum · right achilles; repairOut
BOSMax Shulga · g league - two-wayOut
BOSRon Harper Jr. · g league - two-wayOut
Utah Jazz
UTAHAce Bailey · left hip flexor; strainOut
UTAHElijah Harkless · g league - two-wayOut
UTAHGeorges Niang · left foot; fourth metatarsal stress reactionOut
UTAHJohn Tonje · g league - two-wayOut
UTAHKevin Love · restOut
UTAHWalker Kessler · left shoulder; injury recoveryOut
UTAHKeyonte George · n/a; illnessQuestionable

For context, not in our forecast.

Team Comparison

2025–26 season · box-score averages from 31+ games
BOS·UTAH
+0.77
rating (0 = average)
−0.71
116.5
points / game
120.5
110.5
points allowed / game
127.1
19−12
season record
12−19
10−5
home record
8−10
9−7
away record
4−9
L1
streak
W2
7−3
last 10
4−6
47.4
FG%
46.1
36.6
3P%
35.7
43.9
rebounds / game
45.2
23.8
assists / game
30.3
12.3
turnovers / game
15.9
43.1
points in paint / game
49.0

Rating Trend

BOS · UTAH · 62 days
Boston CelticsUtah Jazz
Rating (0 = average team)

Head to Head

last 9 meetings · UTAH 3−6
Nov 3, 2025at BOSUTAH 105 − 103
Mar 21, 2025at UTAHBOS 121 − 99
Mar 10, 2025at BOSBOS 114 − 108
Mar 12, 2024at UTAHBOS 123 − 107
Jan 5, 2024at BOSBOS 126 − 97
Mar 31, 2023at BOSBOS 122 − 114
Mar 18, 2023at UTAHUTAH 118 − 117
Mar 23, 2022at BOSBOS 125 − 97
Dec 3, 2021at UTAHUTAH 137 − 130

BOS · Last 10

7−3 · streak L1
Dec 28, 2025at POR108 − 114L
Dec 26, 2025at IND140 − 122W
Dec 22, 2025vs IND103 − 95W
Dec 20, 2025at TOR112 − 96W
Dec 19, 2025vs MIA129 − 116W
Dec 15, 2025vs DET105 − 112L
Dec 11, 2025at MIL101 − 116L
Dec 7, 2025at TOR121 − 113W
Dec 5, 2025vs LAL126 − 105W
Dec 4, 2025at WSH146 − 101W

UTAH · Last 10

4−6 · streak W2
Dec 27, 2025at SA127 − 114W
Dec 26, 2025vs DET131 − 129W
Dec 23, 2025vs MEM128 − 137L
Dec 22, 2025at DEN112 − 135L
Dec 20, 2025vs ORL127 − 128L
Dec 18, 2025vs LAL135 − 143L
Dec 15, 2025vs DAL140 − 133W
Dec 12, 2025at MEM130 − 126W
Dec 7, 2025vs OKC101 − 131L
Dec 5, 2025at NY112 − 146L