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Clippers at Trail Blazers

NBA · Friday, Dec 26 · 9:00 PM CT · Moda Center · Final LAC 119 – POR 103

Final Box Score

from the game summary
Team1234T
LAC25312934119
POR35271625103
Team box
LAC·POR
35-69
field goals
36-80
20-40
3-pointers
16-39
29-31
free throws
15-22
32
rebounds
43
21
assists
23
13
turnovers
15
28
points in paint
36
Top performers
PlayerTeamMINPTSREBAST
James HardenLAC393426
Brook LopezLAC333151
Deni AvdijaPOR392999
Kawhi LeonardLAC412886
Toumani CamaraPOR392030
Shaedon SharpePOR321642

For context, not in our forecast.

Game Flow

score margin
POR +16
LAC +16
Q1Q2Q3Q4
largest lead: POR 12 · LAC 16lead changes: 1

For context, not in our forecast.

Final · our forecast was LAC 51%, POR 49% · Updated Dec 26, 2025

Expected margin
LAC by 0.9
Expected score
LAC 113.4 – 112.5 POR
Expected total
225.8
ClippersThe matchupTrail Blazers
−104Our fair odds+104
113.4Expected points112.5
+0.02Power rating−0.25
111.2Points / game117.1
115.7Allowed / game120.5
47.2FG%44.7
35.73P%33.1
40.9Rebounds / game45.2
8−21Season record12−18
3−7Last 104−6
Bradley Beal · Chris Paul
Derrick Jones Jr. · Ivica Zubac
RayJ Dennis
Out (5 each)Blake Wesley · Damian Lillard
Javonte Cooke · Jerami Grant
Jrue Holiday

Prediction markets

Kalshi · Polymarket US · ProphetX · Novig
LAC chance · POR chance
Our model fair50.9%49.1%
Kalshino two-sided price
Polymarket USno two-sided price
ProphetXno two-sided price
Novigno two-sided price
Full price table
TeamOur modelfairKalshi Polymarket US ProphetX Novig 
Moneyline
LACLA Clippers−10451%————
PORPortland Trail Blazers+10449%————
SpreadLAC by 0.9
LACLA Clippers−0.9our margin————
PORPortland Trail Blazers+0.9our margin————
Totalwe expect 225.8
Over225.8our total————
Under225.8our total————

These are each venue’s last prices before the start (Kalshi’s moneyline: its pre-game close). Odds are the price to buy that side now, taker fee included; the small percent is the implied chance of that same price. Highlighted is the best price in the row among venues on the same line. — means not listed (hover or tap for why). A market price is not the true chance of winning.

Margin range

LA Clippers by 0.9 expected
LA Clippers by 41 points: <1%LA Clippers by 40 points: <1%LA Clippers by 39 points: <1%LA Clippers by 38 points: <1%LA Clippers by 37 points: <1%LA Clippers by 36 points: <1%LA Clippers by 35 points: <1%LA Clippers by 34 points: <1%LA Clippers by 33 points: <1%LA Clippers by 32 points: <1%LA Clippers by 31 points: <1%LA Clippers by 30 points: <1%LA Clippers by 29 points: <1%LA Clippers by 28 points: 1%LA Clippers by 27 points: 1%LA Clippers by 26 points: 1%LA Clippers by 25 points: 1%LA Clippers by 24 points: 1%LA Clippers by 23 points: 1%LA Clippers by 22 points: 1%LA Clippers by 21 points: 1%LA Clippers by 20 points: 1%LA Clippers by 19 points: 1%LA Clippers by 18 points: 1%LA Clippers by 17 points: 1%LA Clippers by 16 points: 2%LA Clippers by 15 points: 2%LA Clippers by 14 points: 2%LA Clippers by 13 points: 2%LA Clippers by 12 points: 2%LA Clippers by 11 points: 2%LA Clippers by 10 points: 2%LA Clippers by 9 points: 3%LA Clippers by 8 points: 3%LA Clippers by 7 points: 3%LA Clippers by 6 points: 3%LA Clippers by 5 points: 3%LA Clippers by 4 points: 3%LA Clippers by 3 points: 3%LA Clippers by 2 points: 2%LA Clippers by 1 point: 2%Portland Trail Blazers by 1 point: 2%Portland Trail Blazers by 2 points: 2%Portland Trail Blazers by 3 points: 2%Portland Trail Blazers by 4 points: 3%Portland Trail Blazers by 5 points: 3%Portland Trail Blazers by 6 points: 3%Portland Trail Blazers by 7 points: 3%Portland Trail Blazers by 8 points: 3%Portland Trail Blazers by 9 points: 2%Portland Trail Blazers by 10 points: 2%Portland Trail Blazers by 11 points: 2%Portland Trail Blazers by 12 points: 2%Portland Trail Blazers by 13 points: 2%Portland Trail Blazers by 14 points: 2%Portland Trail Blazers by 15 points: 2%Portland Trail Blazers by 16 points: 1%Portland Trail Blazers by 17 points: 1%Portland Trail Blazers by 18 points: 1%Portland Trail Blazers by 19 points: 1%Portland Trail Blazers by 20 points: 1%Portland Trail Blazers by 21 points: 1%Portland Trail Blazers by 22 points: 1%Portland Trail Blazers by 23 points: 1%Portland Trail Blazers by 24 points: 1%Portland Trail Blazers by 25 points: 1%Portland Trail Blazers by 26 points: <1%Portland Trail Blazers by 27 points: <1%Portland Trail Blazers by 28 points: <1%Portland Trail Blazers by 29 points: <1%Portland Trail Blazers by 30 points: <1%Portland Trail Blazers by 31 points: <1%Portland Trail Blazers by 32 points: <1%Portland Trail Blazers by 33 points: <1%Portland Trail Blazers by 34 points: <1%Portland Trail Blazers by 35 points: <1%Portland Trail Blazers by 36 points: <1%Portland Trail Blazers by 37 points: <1%Portland Trail Blazers by 38 points: <1%Portland Trail Blazers by 39 points: <1%Portland Trail Blazers by 40 points: <1%Portland Trail Blazers by 41 points: <1%
← LAC wins byPOR wins by →
LA Clippers wins by 5 or more42%
LA Clippers wins by 10 or more29%
LA Clippers wins by 15 or more18%
Within 5 points either way25%

Centered on the expected margin above; shape from the real results of 6,530 past NBA games.

Total range

225.8 expected
177 points: <1%178 points: <1%179 points: <1%180 points: <1%181 points: <1%182 points: <1%183 points: <1%184 points: <1%185 points: <1%186 points: <1%187 points: <1%188 points: <1%189 points: <1%190 points: <1%191 points: <1%192 points: <1%193 points: 1%194 points: 1%195 points: 1%196 points: 1%197 points: 1%198 points: 1%199 points: 1%200 points: 1%201 points: 1%202 points: 1%203 points: 1%204 points: 1%205 points: 1%206 points: 1%207 points: 1%208 points: 1%209 points: 1%210 points: 2%211 points: 2%212 points: 2%213 points: 2%214 points: 2%215 points: 2%216 points: 2%217 points: 2%218 points: 2%219 points: 2%220 points: 2%221 points: 2%222 points: 2%223 points: 2%224 points: 2%225 points: 2%226 points: 2%227 points: 2%228 points: 2%229 points: 2%230 points: 2%231 points: 2%232 points: 2%233 points: 2%234 points: 2%235 points: 2%236 points: 2%237 points: 2%238 points: 2%239 points: 2%240 points: 1%241 points: 1%242 points: 1%243 points: 1%244 points: 1%245 points: 1%246 points: 1%247 points: 1%248 points: 1%249 points: 1%250 points: 1%251 points: 1%252 points: 1%253 points: 1%254 points: 1%255 points: 1%256 points: 1%257 points: 1%258 points: 1%259 points: 1%260 points: <1%261 points: <1%262 points: <1%263 points: <1%264 points: <1%265 points: <1%266 points: <1%267 points: <1%268 points: <1%269 points: <1%270 points: <1%271 points: <1%272 points: <1%273 points: <1%274 points: <1%275 points: <1%276 points: <1%277 points: <1%278 points: <1%279 points: <1%
Total points, both teams
Total over 215.570%
Total over 225.550%
Total over 235.530%
Total from 216 to 23539%

Centered on the expected total above; shape from the real results of 6,530 past NBA games.

Starting Lineups

from the box score
LA Clippers
GJames Hardenstarted
GKris Dunnstarted
FJohn Collinsstarted
CBrook Lopezstarted
Portland Trail Blazers
FKris Murraystarted
FDeni Avdijastarted

For context, not in our forecast.

Rest and Schedule

before this game
LAC·POR
Dec 23, 2025 vs HOU
last game
Dec 23, 2025 vs ORL
2 days
days of rest
2 days
no
back-to-back
no
2
games in last 7 days
3
road after a home game
home / road
3rd straight home game

For context, not in our forecast.

Who's Out

NBA official injury report · Dec 26, 5:00 PM ET
LA Clippers
LACBradley Beal · left hip; fractureOut
LACChris Paul · not with teamOut
LACDerrick Jones Jr. · right knee; sprainOut
LACIvica Zubac · left ankle; sprainOut
LACRayJ Dennis · g league - two-wayOut
Portland Trail Blazers
PORBlake Wesley · right foot; fractureOut
PORDamian Lillard · left achilles tendon; injury managementOut
PORJavonte Cooke · g league - two-wayOut
PORJerami Grant · left achilles; tendonitisOut
PORJrue Holiday · right calf; strainOut
PORMatisse Thybulle · left thumb; ligament tearOut
PORScoot Henderson · left hamstring; tearOut
PORKris Murray · right cervical; sorenessProbable
PORRobert Williams III · left knee; injury managementProbable

For context, not in our forecast.

Team Comparison

2025–26 season · box-score averages from 29+ games
LAC·POR
+0.02
rating (0 = average)
−0.25
111.2
points / game
117.1
115.7
points allowed / game
120.5
8−21
season record
12−18
5−8
home record
5−8
3−13
away record
7−10
W2
streak
L2
3−7
last 10
4−6
47.2
FG%
44.7
35.7
3P%
33.1
40.9
rebounds / game
45.2
23.8
assists / game
24.7
16.0
turnovers / game
17.3
46.7
points in paint / game
49.9

Rating Trend

LAC · POR · 58 days
LA ClippersPortland Trail Blazers
Rating (0 = average team)

Head to Head

last 10 meetings · POR 1−9
Oct 26, 2025at LACLAC 114 − 107
Jan 16, 2025at PORLAC 118 − 89
Dec 3, 2024at LACLAC 127 − 105
Oct 30, 2024at LACPOR 106 − 105
Mar 22, 2024at PORLAC 125 − 117
Mar 20, 2024at PORLAC 116 − 103
Dec 11, 2023at LACLAC 132 − 127
Oct 25, 2023at LACLAC 123 − 111
Apr 8, 2023at LACLAC 136 − 125
Mar 19, 2023at PORLAC 117 − 102

LAC · Last 10

3−7 · streak W2
Dec 23, 2025vs HOU128 − 108W
Dec 20, 2025vs LAL103 − 88W
Dec 18, 2025at OKC101 − 122L
Dec 15, 2025vs MEM103 − 121L
Dec 11, 2025at HOU113 − 115L
Dec 6, 2025at MIN106 − 109L
Dec 5, 2025at MEM98 − 107L
Dec 3, 2025at ATL115 − 92W
Dec 1, 2025at MIA123 − 140L
Nov 29, 2025vs DAL110 − 114L

POR · Last 10

4−6 · streak L2
Dec 23, 2025vs ORL106 − 110L
Dec 22, 2025vs DET102 − 110L
Dec 20, 2025at SAC98 − 93W
Dec 18, 2025vs SAC134 − 133W
Dec 14, 2025vs GS136 − 131W
Dec 11, 2025at NO120 − 143L
Dec 7, 2025at MEM96 − 119L
Dec 5, 2025at DET116 − 122L
Dec 3, 2025at CLE122 − 110W
Dec 2, 2025at TOR118 − 121L