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Magic at Trail Blazers

NBA · Tuesday, Dec 23 · 9:00 PM CT · Moda Center · Final ORL 110 – POR 106
← NBA / Dec 23, 2025

Final Box Score

from the game summary
Team1234T
ORL25382621110
POR21293026106
Team box
ORL·POR
37-85
field goals
41-87
15-33
3-pointers
9-32
21-23
free throws
15-19
38
rebounds
45
26
assists
23
15
turnovers
17
36
points in paint
58
Top performers
PlayerTeamMINPTSREBAST
Deni AvdijaPOR372568
Desmond BaneORL362345
Anthony BlackORL332276
Shaedon SharpePOR272232
Caleb LovePOR341731
Tyus JonesORL351647

For context, not in our forecast.

Game Flow

score margin
POR +17
ORL +17
Q1Q2Q3Q4
largest lead: POR 1 · ORL 17lead changes: 4

For context, not in our forecast.

Final · our forecast was ORL 53%, POR 47% · Updated Dec 23, 2025

Expected margin
ORL by 1.5
Expected score
ORL 112.3 – 110.8 POR
Expected total
223.1
MagicThe matchupTrail Blazers
−112Our fair odds+112
112.3Expected points110.8
+0.10Power rating−0.25
117.4Points / game117.5
115.1Allowed / game120.9
46.9FG%44.7
33.43P%33.2
45.2Rebounds / game45.2
16−13Season record12−17
5−5Last 104−6
Colin Castleton · Franz Wagner
Jalen Suggs · Moritz WagnerOutBlake Wesley · Damian Lillard
Jerami Grant · Jrue Holiday
Matisse Thybulle

Prediction markets

Kalshi · Polymarket US · ProphetX · Novig
ORL chance · POR chance
Our model fair52.9%47.1%
Kalshino two-sided price
Polymarket USno two-sided price
ProphetXno two-sided price
Novigno two-sided price
Full price table
TeamOur modelfairKalshi Polymarket US ProphetX Novig 
Moneyline
ORLOrlando Magic−11253%————
PORPortland Trail Blazers+11247%————
SpreadORL by 1.5
ORLOrlando Magic−1.5our margin————
PORPortland Trail Blazers+1.5our margin————
Totalwe expect 223.1
Over223.1our total————
Under223.1our total————

These are each venue’s last prices before the start (Kalshi’s moneyline: its pre-game close). Odds are the price to buy that side now, taker fee included; the small percent is the implied chance of that same price. Highlighted is the best price in the row among venues on the same line. — means not listed (hover or tap for why). A market price is not the true chance of winning.

Margin range

Orlando Magic by 1.5 expected
Orlando Magic by 42 points: <1%Orlando Magic by 41 points: <1%Orlando Magic by 40 points: <1%Orlando Magic by 39 points: <1%Orlando Magic by 38 points: <1%Orlando Magic by 37 points: <1%Orlando Magic by 36 points: <1%Orlando Magic by 35 points: <1%Orlando Magic by 34 points: <1%Orlando Magic by 33 points: <1%Orlando Magic by 32 points: <1%Orlando Magic by 31 points: <1%Orlando Magic by 30 points: <1%Orlando Magic by 29 points: <1%Orlando Magic by 28 points: 1%Orlando Magic by 27 points: 1%Orlando Magic by 26 points: 1%Orlando Magic by 25 points: 1%Orlando Magic by 24 points: 1%Orlando Magic by 23 points: 1%Orlando Magic by 22 points: 1%Orlando Magic by 21 points: 1%Orlando Magic by 20 points: 1%Orlando Magic by 19 points: 1%Orlando Magic by 18 points: 1%Orlando Magic by 17 points: 2%Orlando Magic by 16 points: 2%Orlando Magic by 15 points: 2%Orlando Magic by 14 points: 2%Orlando Magic by 13 points: 2%Orlando Magic by 12 points: 2%Orlando Magic by 11 points: 2%Orlando Magic by 10 points: 3%Orlando Magic by 9 points: 3%Orlando Magic by 8 points: 3%Orlando Magic by 7 points: 3%Orlando Magic by 6 points: 3%Orlando Magic by 5 points: 3%Orlando Magic by 4 points: 3%Orlando Magic by 3 points: 3%Orlando Magic by 2 points: 2%Orlando Magic by 1 point: 2%Portland Trail Blazers by 1 point: 2%Portland Trail Blazers by 2 points: 2%Portland Trail Blazers by 3 points: 2%Portland Trail Blazers by 4 points: 2%Portland Trail Blazers by 5 points: 3%Portland Trail Blazers by 6 points: 3%Portland Trail Blazers by 7 points: 3%Portland Trail Blazers by 8 points: 3%Portland Trail Blazers by 9 points: 2%Portland Trail Blazers by 10 points: 2%Portland Trail Blazers by 11 points: 2%Portland Trail Blazers by 12 points: 2%Portland Trail Blazers by 13 points: 2%Portland Trail Blazers by 14 points: 2%Portland Trail Blazers by 15 points: 2%Portland Trail Blazers by 16 points: 1%Portland Trail Blazers by 17 points: 1%Portland Trail Blazers by 18 points: 1%Portland Trail Blazers by 19 points: 1%Portland Trail Blazers by 20 points: 1%Portland Trail Blazers by 21 points: 1%Portland Trail Blazers by 22 points: 1%Portland Trail Blazers by 23 points: 1%Portland Trail Blazers by 24 points: 1%Portland Trail Blazers by 25 points: 1%Portland Trail Blazers by 26 points: <1%Portland Trail Blazers by 27 points: <1%Portland Trail Blazers by 28 points: <1%Portland Trail Blazers by 29 points: <1%Portland Trail Blazers by 30 points: <1%Portland Trail Blazers by 31 points: <1%Portland Trail Blazers by 32 points: <1%Portland Trail Blazers by 33 points: <1%Portland Trail Blazers by 34 points: <1%Portland Trail Blazers by 35 points: <1%Portland Trail Blazers by 36 points: <1%Portland Trail Blazers by 37 points: <1%Portland Trail Blazers by 38 points: <1%Portland Trail Blazers by 39 points: <1%Portland Trail Blazers by 40 points: <1%Portland Trail Blazers by 41 points: <1%Portland Trail Blazers by 42 points: <1%
← ORL wins byPOR wins by →
Orlando Magic wins by 5 or more44%
Orlando Magic wins by 10 or more30%
Orlando Magic wins by 15 or more19%
Within 5 points either way25%

Centered on the expected margin above; shape from the real results of 6,530 past NBA games.

Total range

223.1 expected
175 points: <1%176 points: <1%177 points: <1%178 points: <1%179 points: <1%180 points: <1%181 points: <1%182 points: <1%183 points: <1%184 points: <1%185 points: <1%186 points: <1%187 points: <1%188 points: <1%189 points: <1%190 points: 1%191 points: 1%192 points: 1%193 points: 1%194 points: 1%195 points: 1%196 points: 1%197 points: 1%198 points: 1%199 points: 1%200 points: 1%201 points: 1%202 points: 1%203 points: 1%204 points: 1%205 points: 1%206 points: 1%207 points: 1%208 points: 2%209 points: 2%210 points: 2%211 points: 2%212 points: 2%213 points: 2%214 points: 2%215 points: 2%216 points: 2%217 points: 2%218 points: 2%219 points: 2%220 points: 2%221 points: 2%222 points: 2%223 points: 2%224 points: 2%225 points: 2%226 points: 2%227 points: 2%228 points: 2%229 points: 2%230 points: 2%231 points: 2%232 points: 2%233 points: 2%234 points: 2%235 points: 2%236 points: 2%237 points: 2%238 points: 1%239 points: 1%240 points: 1%241 points: 1%242 points: 1%243 points: 1%244 points: 1%245 points: 1%246 points: 1%247 points: 1%248 points: 1%249 points: 1%250 points: 1%251 points: 1%252 points: 1%253 points: 1%254 points: 1%255 points: 1%256 points: 1%257 points: <1%258 points: <1%259 points: <1%260 points: <1%261 points: <1%262 points: <1%263 points: <1%264 points: <1%265 points: <1%266 points: <1%267 points: <1%268 points: <1%269 points: <1%270 points: <1%271 points: <1%272 points: <1%273 points: <1%274 points: <1%275 points: <1%276 points: <1%
Total points, both teams
Total over 213.568%
Total over 223.549%
Total over 233.529%
Total from 214 to 23339%

Centered on the expected total above; shape from the real results of 6,530 past NBA games.

Starting Lineups

from the box score
Orlando Magic
GTyus Jonesstarted
GDesmond Banestarted
GAnthony Blackstarted
FPaolo Bancherostarted
CWendell Carter Jr.started
Portland Trail Blazers
GShaedon Sharpestarted
FToumani Camarastarted
FKris Murraystarted
FDeni Avdijastarted
CDonovan Clinganstarted

For context, not in our forecast.

Rest and Schedule

before this game
ORL·POR
Dec 22, 2025 at GS
last game
Dec 22, 2025 vs DET
0 days
days of rest
0 days
yes
back-to-back
yes
3
games in last 7 days
3
4th straight road game
home / road
2nd straight home game

For context, not in our forecast.

Who's Out

NBA official injury report · Dec 23, 5:00 PM ET
Orlando Magic
ORLColin Castleton · g league - two-wayOut
ORLFranz Wagner · left high ankle; sprainOut
ORLJalen Suggs · left hip; contusionOut
ORLMoritz Wagner · left knee; injury recoveryOut
ORLGoga Bitadze · left knee; strainQuestionable
ORLJonathan Isaac · left hip; contusionQuestionable
ORLTristan da Silva · right shoulder; contusionQuestionable
Portland Trail Blazers
PORBlake Wesley · right foot; fractureOut
PORDamian Lillard · left achilles tendon; injury managementOut
PORJerami Grant · left achilles; tendonitisOut
PORJrue Holiday · right calf; strainOut
PORMatisse Thybulle · left thumb; ligament tearOut
PORRobert Williams III · left knee; injury managementOut
PORScoot Henderson · left hamstring; tearOut

For context, not in our forecast.

Team Comparison

2025–26 season · box-score averages from 29+ games
ORL·POR
+0.10
rating (0 = average)
−0.25
117.4
points / game
117.5
115.1
points allowed / game
120.9
16−13
season record
12−17
10−5
home record
5−7
6−8
away record
7−10
L1
streak
L1
5−5
last 10
4−6
46.9
FG%
44.7
33.4
3P%
33.2
45.2
rebounds / game
45.2
25.9
assists / game
24.7
14.4
turnovers / game
17.3
54.8
points in paint / game
49.6

Rating Trend

ORL · POR · 56 days
Orlando MagicPortland Trail Blazers
Rating (0 = average team)

Head to Head

last 9 meetings · POR 4−5
Nov 10, 2025at ORLORL 115 − 112
Jan 30, 2025at PORPOR 119 − 90
Jan 23, 2025at ORLPOR 101 − 79
Apr 1, 2024at ORLORL 104 − 103
Oct 27, 2023at PORORL 102 − 97
Mar 5, 2023at ORLPOR 122 − 119
Jan 10, 2023at PORORL 109 − 106
Feb 8, 2022at PORORL 113 − 95
Jan 17, 2022at ORLPOR 98 − 88

ORL · Last 10

5−5 · streak L1
Dec 22, 2025at GS97 − 120L
Dec 20, 2025at UTAH128 − 127W
Dec 18, 2025at DEN115 − 126L
Dec 13, 2025vs NY120 − 132L
Dec 9, 2025vs MIA117 − 108W
Dec 7, 2025at NY100 − 106L
Dec 5, 2025vs MIA106 − 105W
Dec 3, 2025vs SA112 − 114L
Dec 1, 2025vs CHI125 − 120W
Nov 28, 2025at DET112 − 109W

POR · Last 10

4−6 · streak L1
Dec 22, 2025vs DET102 − 110L
Dec 20, 2025at SAC98 − 93W
Dec 18, 2025vs SAC134 − 133W
Dec 14, 2025vs GS136 − 131W
Dec 11, 2025at NO120 − 143L
Dec 7, 2025at MEM96 − 119L
Dec 5, 2025at DET116 − 122L
Dec 3, 2025at CLE122 − 110W
Dec 2, 2025at TOR118 − 121L
Nov 30, 2025vs OKC115 − 123L