bayesRatings

Kings at Clippers

NBA · Tuesday, Dec 30 · 10:00 PM CT · Intuit Dome · Final SAC 90 – LAC 131

Final Box Score

from the game summary
Team1234T
SAC2020311990
LAC34392731131
Team box
SAC·LAC
34-83
field goals
46-90
9-27
3-pointers
14-38
13-14
free throws
25-32
39
rebounds
42
18
assists
29
19
turnovers
4
46
points in paint
58
Top performers
PlayerTeamMINPTSREBAST
Kawhi LeonardLAC333355
James HardenLAC302135
Nique CliffordSAC291812
Yanic Konan NiederhauserLAC251662
John CollinsLAC221651
Maxime RaynaudSAC3512120

For context, not in our forecast.

Game Flow

score margin
LAC +43
SAC +43
Q1Q2Q3Q4
largest lead: LAC 43 · SAC 0lead changes: 0

For context, not in our forecast.

Final · our forecast was SAC 33%, LAC 67% · Updated Dec 30, 2025

Expected margin
LAC by 6.7
Expected score
LAC 116.1 – 109.5 SAC
Expected total
225.6
KingsThe matchupClippers
+200Our fair odds−200
109.5Expected points116.1
−0.36Power rating+0.11
111.7Points / game111.5
122.1Allowed / game114.8
46.3FG%47.3
34.83P%36.3
41.0Rebounds / game40.5
8−24Season record10−21
3−7Last 105−5
Daeqwon Plowden · Domantas Sabonis
Dylan Cardwell · Isaiah Stevens
Zach LaVine
OutBogdan Bogdanovic · Bradley Beal
Chris Paul · Ivica Zubac

Prediction markets

Kalshi · Polymarket US · ProphetX · Novig
SAC chance · LAC chance
Our model fair33.3%66.7%
Kalshino two-sided price
Polymarket USno two-sided price
ProphetXno two-sided price
Novigno two-sided price
Full price table
TeamOur modelfairKalshi Polymarket US ProphetX Novig 
Moneyline
SACSacramento Kings+20033%————
LACLA Clippers−20067%————
SpreadLAC by 6.7
SACSacramento Kings+6.7our margin————
LACLA Clippers−6.7our margin————
Totalwe expect 225.6
Over225.6our total————
Under225.6our total————

These are each venue’s last prices before the start (Kalshi’s moneyline: its pre-game close). Odds are the price to buy that side now, taker fee included; the small percent is the implied chance of that same price. Highlighted is the best price in the row among venues on the same line. — means not listed (hover or tap for why). A market price is not the true chance of winning.

Margin range

LA Clippers by 6.7 expected
Sacramento Kings by 49 points: <1%Sacramento Kings by 48 points: <1%Sacramento Kings by 47 points: <1%Sacramento Kings by 46 points: <1%Sacramento Kings by 45 points: <1%Sacramento Kings by 44 points: <1%Sacramento Kings by 43 points: <1%Sacramento Kings by 42 points: <1%Sacramento Kings by 41 points: <1%Sacramento Kings by 40 points: <1%Sacramento Kings by 39 points: <1%Sacramento Kings by 38 points: <1%Sacramento Kings by 37 points: <1%Sacramento Kings by 36 points: <1%Sacramento Kings by 35 points: <1%Sacramento Kings by 34 points: <1%Sacramento Kings by 33 points: <1%Sacramento Kings by 32 points: <1%Sacramento Kings by 31 points: <1%Sacramento Kings by 30 points: <1%Sacramento Kings by 29 points: <1%Sacramento Kings by 28 points: <1%Sacramento Kings by 27 points: <1%Sacramento Kings by 26 points: <1%Sacramento Kings by 25 points: <1%Sacramento Kings by 24 points: <1%Sacramento Kings by 23 points: <1%Sacramento Kings by 22 points: <1%Sacramento Kings by 21 points: <1%Sacramento Kings by 20 points: <1%Sacramento Kings by 19 points: 1%Sacramento Kings by 18 points: 1%Sacramento Kings by 17 points: 1%Sacramento Kings by 16 points: 1%Sacramento Kings by 15 points: 1%Sacramento Kings by 14 points: 1%Sacramento Kings by 13 points: 1%Sacramento Kings by 12 points: 1%Sacramento Kings by 11 points: 1%Sacramento Kings by 10 points: 2%Sacramento Kings by 9 points: 2%Sacramento Kings by 8 points: 2%Sacramento Kings by 7 points: 2%Sacramento Kings by 6 points: 2%Sacramento Kings by 5 points: 2%Sacramento Kings by 4 points: 2%Sacramento Kings by 3 points: 2%Sacramento Kings by 2 points: 2%Sacramento Kings by 1 point: 2%LA Clippers by 1 point: 2%LA Clippers by 2 points: 2%LA Clippers by 3 points: 3%LA Clippers by 4 points: 3%LA Clippers by 5 points: 3%LA Clippers by 6 points: 3%LA Clippers by 7 points: 3%LA Clippers by 8 points: 3%LA Clippers by 9 points: 3%LA Clippers by 10 points: 3%LA Clippers by 11 points: 3%LA Clippers by 12 points: 3%LA Clippers by 13 points: 3%LA Clippers by 14 points: 3%LA Clippers by 15 points: 2%LA Clippers by 16 points: 2%LA Clippers by 17 points: 2%LA Clippers by 18 points: 2%LA Clippers by 19 points: 2%LA Clippers by 20 points: 2%LA Clippers by 21 points: 2%LA Clippers by 22 points: 1%LA Clippers by 23 points: 1%LA Clippers by 24 points: 1%LA Clippers by 25 points: 1%LA Clippers by 26 points: 1%LA Clippers by 27 points: 1%LA Clippers by 28 points: 1%LA Clippers by 29 points: 1%LA Clippers by 30 points: 1%LA Clippers by 31 points: 1%LA Clippers by 32 points: 1%LA Clippers by 33 points: 1%LA Clippers by 34 points: <1%LA Clippers by 35 points: <1%LA Clippers by 36 points: <1%LA Clippers by 37 points: <1%LA Clippers by 38 points: <1%LA Clippers by 39 points: <1%LA Clippers by 40 points: <1%LA Clippers by 41 points: <1%LA Clippers by 42 points: <1%LA Clippers by 43 points: <1%LA Clippers by 44 points: <1%LA Clippers by 45 points: <1%LA Clippers by 46 points: <1%LA Clippers by 47 points: <1%LA Clippers by 48 points: <1%LA Clippers by 49 points: <1%
← SAC wins byLAC wins by →
LA Clippers wins by 5 or more58%
LA Clippers wins by 10 or more43%
LA Clippers wins by 15 or more29%
Within 5 points either way23%

Centered on the expected margin above; shape from the real results of 6,531 past NBA games.

Total range

225.6 expected
177 points: <1%178 points: <1%179 points: <1%180 points: <1%181 points: <1%182 points: <1%183 points: <1%184 points: <1%185 points: <1%186 points: <1%187 points: <1%188 points: <1%189 points: <1%190 points: <1%191 points: <1%192 points: <1%193 points: 1%194 points: 1%195 points: 1%196 points: 1%197 points: 1%198 points: 1%199 points: 1%200 points: 1%201 points: 1%202 points: 1%203 points: 1%204 points: 1%205 points: 1%206 points: 1%207 points: 1%208 points: 1%209 points: 1%210 points: 2%211 points: 2%212 points: 2%213 points: 2%214 points: 2%215 points: 2%216 points: 2%217 points: 2%218 points: 2%219 points: 2%220 points: 2%221 points: 2%222 points: 2%223 points: 2%224 points: 2%225 points: 2%226 points: 2%227 points: 2%228 points: 2%229 points: 2%230 points: 2%231 points: 2%232 points: 2%233 points: 2%234 points: 2%235 points: 2%236 points: 2%237 points: 2%238 points: 2%239 points: 2%240 points: 1%241 points: 1%242 points: 1%243 points: 1%244 points: 1%245 points: 1%246 points: 1%247 points: 1%248 points: 1%249 points: 1%250 points: 1%251 points: 1%252 points: 1%253 points: 1%254 points: 1%255 points: 1%256 points: 1%257 points: 1%258 points: 1%259 points: 1%260 points: <1%261 points: <1%262 points: <1%263 points: <1%264 points: <1%265 points: <1%266 points: <1%267 points: <1%268 points: <1%269 points: <1%270 points: <1%271 points: <1%272 points: <1%273 points: <1%274 points: <1%275 points: <1%276 points: <1%277 points: <1%278 points: <1%
Total points, both teams
Total over 215.569%
Total over 225.550%
Total over 235.530%
Total from 216 to 23539%

Centered on the expected total above; shape from the real results of 6,531 past NBA games.

Starting Lineups

from the box score
Sacramento Kings
LA Clippers
GJames Hardenstarted
GKris Dunnstarted
FJohn Collinsstarted
CBrook Lopezstarted

For context, not in our forecast.

Rest and Schedule

before this game
SAC·LAC
Dec 28, 2025 at LAL
last game
Dec 28, 2025 vs DET
1 day
days of rest
1 day
no
back-to-back
no
3
games in last 7 days
3
2nd straight road game
home / road
2nd straight home game

For context, not in our forecast.

Who's Out

NBA official injury report · Dec 30, 5:00 PM ET
Sacramento Kings
SACDaeqwon Plowden · g league - two-wayOut
SACDomantas Sabonis · left knee; partial meniscus tearOut
SACDylan Cardwell · g league - two-wayOut
SACIsaiah Stevens · g league - two-wayOut
SACZach LaVine · left ankle; sprainOut
LA Clippers
LACBogdan Bogdanovic · left hamstring; injury managementOut
LACBradley Beal · left hip; fractureOut
LACChris Paul · not with teamOut
LACIvica Zubac · left ankle; sprainOut
LACJohn Collins · n/a; illnessQuestionable

For context, not in our forecast.

Team Comparison

2025–26 season · box-score averages from 31+ games
SAC·LAC
−0.36
rating (0 = average)
+0.11
111.7
points / game
111.5
122.1
points allowed / game
114.8
8−24
season record
10−21
5−10
home record
6−8
3−14
away record
4−13
L1
streak
W4
3−7
last 10
5−5
46.3
FG%
47.3
34.8
3P%
36.3
41.0
rebounds / game
40.5
25.6
assists / game
23.5
14.3
turnovers / game
15.8
48.8
points in paint / game
45.4

Rating Trend

SAC · LAC · 62 days
Sacramento KingsLA Clippers
Rating (0 = average team)

Head to Head

last 10 meetings · LAC 6−4
Apr 11, 2025at SACLAC 101 − 100
Mar 9, 2025at LACLAC 111 − 110
Nov 22, 2024at LACLAC 104 − 88
Nov 8, 2024at SACLAC 107 − 98
Apr 2, 2024at SACSAC 109 − 95
Feb 25, 2024at LACSAC 123 − 107
Dec 12, 2023at LACLAC 119 − 99
Nov 29, 2023at SACLAC 131 − 117
Mar 3, 2023at SACSAC 128 − 127
Feb 24, 2023at LACSAC 176 − 175

SAC · Last 10

3−7 · streak L1
Dec 28, 2025at LAL101 − 125L
Dec 27, 2025vs DAL113 − 107W
Dec 23, 2025vs DET127 − 136L
Dec 21, 2025vs HOU125 − 124W
Dec 20, 2025vs POR93 − 98L
Dec 18, 2025at POR133 − 134L
Dec 14, 2025at MIN103 − 117L
Dec 11, 2025vs DEN105 − 136L
Dec 8, 2025at IND105 − 116L
Dec 6, 2025at MIA127 − 111W

LAC · Last 10

5−5 · streak W4
Dec 28, 2025vs DET112 − 99W
Dec 26, 2025at POR119 − 103W
Dec 23, 2025vs HOU128 − 108W
Dec 20, 2025vs LAL103 − 88W
Dec 18, 2025at OKC101 − 122L
Dec 15, 2025vs MEM103 − 121L
Dec 11, 2025at HOU113 − 115L
Dec 6, 2025at MIN106 − 109L
Dec 5, 2025at MEM98 − 107L
Dec 3, 2025at ATL115 − 92W