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Kings at Lakers

NBA · Sunday, Dec 28 · 8:30 PM CT · crypto.com Arena · Final SAC 101 – LAL 125
← NBA / Dec 28, 2025

Final Box Score

from the game summary
Team1234T
SAC24292721101
LAL30383126125
Team box
SAC·LAL
40-83
field goals
47-89
8-29
3-pointers
15-38
13-19
free throws
16-18
39
rebounds
41
24
assists
25
19
turnovers
16
50
points in paint
56
Top performers
PlayerTeamMINPTSREBAST
Luka DoncicLAL333457
LeBron JamesLAL292435
DeMar DeRozanSAC342245
Nick Smith Jr.LAL242131
Maxime RaynaudSAC3516102
Russell WestbrookSAC261354

For context, not in our forecast.

Game Flow

score margin
LAL +30
SAC +30
Q1Q2Q3Q4
largest lead: LAL 30 · SAC 1lead changes: 6

For context, not in our forecast.

Final · our forecast was SAC 30%, LAL 70% · Updated Dec 28, 2025

Expected margin
LAL by 6.9
Expected score
LAL 119.5 – 112.6 SAC
Expected total
232.2
KingsThe matchupLakers
+230Our fair odds−230
112.6Expected points119.5
−0.34Power rating+0.27
112.0Points / game116.9
122.0Allowed / game117.4
46.2FG%50.0
35.03P%34.8
41.1Rebounds / game41.2
8−23Season record19−10
3−7Last 104−6
Daeqwon Plowden · Devin Carter
Domantas Sabonis · Drew Eubanks
Isaiah StevensOutAustin Reaves · Gabe Vincent
Jaxson Hayes

Prediction markets

Kalshi · Polymarket US · ProphetX · Novig
SAC chance · LAL chance
Our model fair30.3%69.7%
Kalshino two-sided price
Polymarket USno two-sided price
ProphetXno two-sided price
Novigno two-sided price
Full price table
TeamOur modelfairKalshi Polymarket US ProphetX Novig 
Moneyline
SACSacramento Kings+23030%————
LALLos Angeles Lakers−23070%————
SpreadLAL by 6.9
SACSacramento Kings+6.9our margin————
LALLos Angeles Lakers−6.9our margin————
Totalwe expect 232.2
Over232.2our total————
Under232.2our total————

These are each venue’s last prices before the start (Kalshi’s moneyline: its pre-game close). Odds are the price to buy that side now, taker fee included; the small percent is the implied chance of that same price. Highlighted is the best price in the row among venues on the same line. — means not listed (hover or tap for why). A market price is not the true chance of winning.

Margin range

Los Angeles Lakers by 6.9 expected
Sacramento Kings by 49 points: <1%Sacramento Kings by 48 points: <1%Sacramento Kings by 47 points: <1%Sacramento Kings by 46 points: <1%Sacramento Kings by 45 points: <1%Sacramento Kings by 44 points: <1%Sacramento Kings by 43 points: <1%Sacramento Kings by 42 points: <1%Sacramento Kings by 41 points: <1%Sacramento Kings by 40 points: <1%Sacramento Kings by 39 points: <1%Sacramento Kings by 38 points: <1%Sacramento Kings by 37 points: <1%Sacramento Kings by 36 points: <1%Sacramento Kings by 35 points: <1%Sacramento Kings by 34 points: <1%Sacramento Kings by 33 points: <1%Sacramento Kings by 32 points: <1%Sacramento Kings by 31 points: <1%Sacramento Kings by 30 points: <1%Sacramento Kings by 29 points: <1%Sacramento Kings by 28 points: <1%Sacramento Kings by 27 points: <1%Sacramento Kings by 26 points: <1%Sacramento Kings by 25 points: <1%Sacramento Kings by 24 points: <1%Sacramento Kings by 23 points: <1%Sacramento Kings by 22 points: <1%Sacramento Kings by 21 points: <1%Sacramento Kings by 20 points: <1%Sacramento Kings by 19 points: 1%Sacramento Kings by 18 points: 1%Sacramento Kings by 17 points: 1%Sacramento Kings by 16 points: 1%Sacramento Kings by 15 points: 1%Sacramento Kings by 14 points: 1%Sacramento Kings by 13 points: 1%Sacramento Kings by 12 points: 1%Sacramento Kings by 11 points: 1%Sacramento Kings by 10 points: 2%Sacramento Kings by 9 points: 2%Sacramento Kings by 8 points: 2%Sacramento Kings by 7 points: 2%Sacramento Kings by 6 points: 2%Sacramento Kings by 5 points: 2%Sacramento Kings by 4 points: 2%Sacramento Kings by 3 points: 2%Sacramento Kings by 2 points: 2%Sacramento Kings by 1 point: 2%Los Angeles Lakers by 1 point: 2%Los Angeles Lakers by 2 points: 2%Los Angeles Lakers by 3 points: 3%Los Angeles Lakers by 4 points: 3%Los Angeles Lakers by 5 points: 3%Los Angeles Lakers by 6 points: 3%Los Angeles Lakers by 7 points: 3%Los Angeles Lakers by 8 points: 3%Los Angeles Lakers by 9 points: 3%Los Angeles Lakers by 10 points: 3%Los Angeles Lakers by 11 points: 3%Los Angeles Lakers by 12 points: 3%Los Angeles Lakers by 13 points: 3%Los Angeles Lakers by 14 points: 3%Los Angeles Lakers by 15 points: 2%Los Angeles Lakers by 16 points: 2%Los Angeles Lakers by 17 points: 2%Los Angeles Lakers by 18 points: 2%Los Angeles Lakers by 19 points: 2%Los Angeles Lakers by 20 points: 2%Los Angeles Lakers by 21 points: 2%Los Angeles Lakers by 22 points: 1%Los Angeles Lakers by 23 points: 1%Los Angeles Lakers by 24 points: 1%Los Angeles Lakers by 25 points: 1%Los Angeles Lakers by 26 points: 1%Los Angeles Lakers by 27 points: 1%Los Angeles Lakers by 28 points: 1%Los Angeles Lakers by 29 points: 1%Los Angeles Lakers by 30 points: 1%Los Angeles Lakers by 31 points: 1%Los Angeles Lakers by 32 points: 1%Los Angeles Lakers by 33 points: 1%Los Angeles Lakers by 34 points: <1%Los Angeles Lakers by 35 points: <1%Los Angeles Lakers by 36 points: <1%Los Angeles Lakers by 37 points: <1%Los Angeles Lakers by 38 points: <1%Los Angeles Lakers by 39 points: <1%Los Angeles Lakers by 40 points: <1%Los Angeles Lakers by 41 points: <1%Los Angeles Lakers by 42 points: <1%Los Angeles Lakers by 43 points: <1%Los Angeles Lakers by 44 points: <1%Los Angeles Lakers by 45 points: <1%Los Angeles Lakers by 46 points: <1%Los Angeles Lakers by 47 points: <1%Los Angeles Lakers by 48 points: <1%Los Angeles Lakers by 49 points: <1%
← SAC wins byLAL wins by →
Los Angeles Lakers wins by 5 or more59%
Los Angeles Lakers wins by 10 or more43%
Los Angeles Lakers wins by 15 or more29%
Within 5 points either way23%

Centered on the expected margin above; shape from the real results of 6,530 past NBA games.

Total range

232.2 expected
182 points: <1%183 points: <1%184 points: <1%185 points: <1%186 points: <1%187 points: <1%188 points: <1%189 points: <1%190 points: <1%191 points: <1%192 points: <1%193 points: <1%194 points: <1%195 points: <1%196 points: <1%197 points: <1%198 points: <1%199 points: <1%200 points: 1%201 points: 1%202 points: 1%203 points: 1%204 points: 1%205 points: 1%206 points: 1%207 points: 1%208 points: 1%209 points: 1%210 points: 1%211 points: 1%212 points: 1%213 points: 1%214 points: 1%215 points: 1%216 points: 2%217 points: 2%218 points: 2%219 points: 2%220 points: 2%221 points: 2%222 points: 2%223 points: 2%224 points: 2%225 points: 2%226 points: 2%227 points: 2%228 points: 2%229 points: 2%230 points: 2%231 points: 2%232 points: 2%233 points: 2%234 points: 2%235 points: 2%236 points: 2%237 points: 2%238 points: 2%239 points: 2%240 points: 2%241 points: 2%242 points: 2%243 points: 2%244 points: 2%245 points: 2%246 points: 1%247 points: 1%248 points: 1%249 points: 1%250 points: 1%251 points: 1%252 points: 1%253 points: 1%254 points: 1%255 points: 1%256 points: 1%257 points: 1%258 points: 1%259 points: 1%260 points: 1%261 points: 1%262 points: 1%263 points: 1%264 points: 1%265 points: <1%266 points: <1%267 points: <1%268 points: <1%269 points: <1%270 points: <1%271 points: <1%272 points: <1%273 points: <1%274 points: <1%275 points: <1%276 points: <1%277 points: <1%278 points: <1%279 points: <1%280 points: <1%281 points: <1%282 points: <1%283 points: <1%284 points: <1%285 points: <1%286 points: <1%287 points: <1%288 points: <1%
Total points, both teams
Total over 222.568%
Total over 232.549%
Total over 242.529%
Total from 223 to 24239%

Centered on the expected total above; shape from the real results of 6,530 past NBA games.

Starting Lineups

from the box score
Sacramento Kings
GRussell Westbrookstarted
GDeMar DeRozanstarted
GKeon Ellisstarted
FPrecious Achiuwastarted
CMaxime Raynaudstarted
Los Angeles Lakers
GMarcus Smartstarted
GLuka Doncicstarted
FLeBron Jamesstarted
FRui Hachimurastarted
CDeandre Aytonstarted

For context, not in our forecast.

Rest and Schedule

before this game
SAC·LAL
Dec 27, 2025 vs DAL
last game
Dec 25, 2025 vs HOU
0 days
days of rest
2 days
yes
back-to-back
no
3
games in last 7 days
2
road after a home game
home / road
2nd straight home game

For context, not in our forecast.

Who's Out

NBA official injury report · Dec 28, 5:00 PM ET
Sacramento Kings
SACDaeqwon Plowden · g league - two-wayOut
SACDevin Carter · left ankle; sprainOut
SACDomantas Sabonis · left knee; partial meniscus tearOut
SACDrew Eubanks · left thumb; avulsion fractureOut
SACIsaiah Stevens · g league - two-wayOut
SACKeegan Murray · right calf; strainOut
SACZach LaVine · left ankle; sprainOut
Los Angeles Lakers
LALAustin Reaves · left calf; strainOut
LALGabe Vincent · lumbar back; strainOut
LALJaxson Hayes · left ankle; sorenessOut
LALDrew Timme · concussion protocol; -Questionable

For context, not in our forecast.

Team Comparison

2025–26 season · box-score averages from 29+ games
SAC·LAL
−0.34
rating (0 = average)
+0.27
112.0
points / game
116.9
122.0
points allowed / game
117.4
8−23
season record
19−10
5−10
home record
7−5
3−13
away record
12−5
W1
streak
L3
3−7
last 10
4−6
46.2
FG%
50.0
35.0
3P%
34.8
41.1
rebounds / game
41.2
25.6
assists / game
24.7
14.1
turnovers / game
15.3
48.7
points in paint / game
51.2

Rating Trend

SAC · LAL · 60 days
Sacramento KingsLos Angeles Lakers
Rating (0 = average team)

Head to Head

last 10 meetings · LAL 5−5
Oct 26, 2025at SACLAL 127 − 120
Dec 28, 2024at LALLAL 132 − 122
Dec 21, 2024at SACLAL 103 − 99
Dec 19, 2024at SACLAL 113 − 100
Oct 26, 2024at LALLAL 131 − 127
Mar 13, 2024at SACSAC 120 − 107
Mar 6, 2024at LALSAC 130 − 120
Nov 15, 2023at LALSAC 125 − 110
Oct 29, 2023at SACSAC 132 − 127
Jan 18, 2023at LALSAC 116 − 111

SAC · Last 10

3−7 · streak W1
Dec 27, 2025vs DAL113 − 107W
Dec 23, 2025vs DET127 − 136L
Dec 21, 2025vs HOU125 − 124W
Dec 20, 2025vs POR93 − 98L
Dec 18, 2025at POR133 − 134L
Dec 14, 2025at MIN103 − 117L
Dec 11, 2025vs DEN105 − 136L
Dec 8, 2025at IND105 − 116L
Dec 6, 2025at MIA127 − 111W
Dec 3, 2025at HOU95 − 121L

LAL · Last 10

4−6 · streak L3
Dec 25, 2025vs HOU96 − 119L
Dec 23, 2025at PHX108 − 132L
Dec 20, 2025at LAC88 − 103L
Dec 18, 2025at UTAH143 − 135W
Dec 14, 2025at PHX116 − 114W
Dec 10, 2025vs SA119 − 132L
Dec 7, 2025at PHI112 − 108W
Dec 5, 2025at BOS105 − 126L
Dec 4, 2025at TOR123 − 120W
Dec 1, 2025vs PHX108 − 125L