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Clippers at Knicks

NBA · Wednesday, Jan 7 · 6:30 PM CT · Madison Square Garden · Final LAC 111 – NY 123

Final Box Score

from the game summary
Team1234T
LAC31253124111
NY27243933123
Team box
LAC·NY
40-92
field goals
47-94
15-42
3-pointers
14-33
16-19
free throws
15-17
40
rebounds
48
21
assists
31
10
turnovers
12
44
points in paint
54
Top performers
PlayerTeamMINPTSREBAST
Jalen BrunsonNY332637
Kawhi LeonardLAC362534
James HardenLAC382339
Ivica ZubacLAC3122112
Karl-Anthony TownsNY3120117
OG AnunobyNY322030

For context, not in our forecast.

Game Flow

score margin
NY +15
LAC +15
Q1Q2Q3Q4
largest lead: NY 15 · LAC 9lead changes: 11

For context, not in our forecast.

Final · our forecast was LAC 38%, NY 62% · Updated Jan 7

Expected margin
NY by 4.5
Expected score
NY 114.0 – 109.5 LAC
Expected total
223.4
ClippersThe matchupKnicks
+160Our fair odds−160
109.5Expected points114.0
+0.14Power rating+0.39
112.1Points / game119.7
114.2Allowed / game115.1
47.4FG%47.2
36.23P%38.3
40.6Rebounds / game46.1
13−22Season record24−13
7−3Last 104−6
Bogdan Bogdanovic · Bradley Beal
Chris Paul · Derrick Jones Jr.
OutJosh Hart · Landry Shamet

Prediction markets

Kalshi · Polymarket US · ProphetX · Novig
LAC chance · NY chance
Our model fair38.4%61.6%
Kalshino two-sided price
Polymarket USno two-sided price
ProphetXno two-sided price
Novigno two-sided price
Full price table
TeamOur modelfairKalshi Polymarket US ProphetX Novig 
Moneyline
LACLA Clippers+16038%————
NYNew York Knicks−16062%————
SpreadNY by 4.5
LACLA Clippers+4.5our margin————
NYNew York Knicks−4.5our margin————
Totalwe expect 223.4
Over223.4our total————
Under223.4our total————

These are each venue’s last prices before the start (Kalshi’s moneyline: its pre-game close). Odds are the price to buy that side now, taker fee included; the small percent is the implied chance of that same price. Highlighted is the best price in the row among venues on the same line. — means not listed (hover or tap for why). A market price is not the true chance of winning.

Margin range

New York Knicks by 4.5 expected
LA Clippers by 46 points: <1%LA Clippers by 45 points: <1%LA Clippers by 44 points: <1%LA Clippers by 43 points: <1%LA Clippers by 42 points: <1%LA Clippers by 41 points: <1%LA Clippers by 40 points: <1%LA Clippers by 39 points: <1%LA Clippers by 38 points: <1%LA Clippers by 37 points: <1%LA Clippers by 36 points: <1%LA Clippers by 35 points: <1%LA Clippers by 34 points: <1%LA Clippers by 33 points: <1%LA Clippers by 32 points: <1%LA Clippers by 31 points: <1%LA Clippers by 30 points: <1%LA Clippers by 29 points: <1%LA Clippers by 28 points: <1%LA Clippers by 27 points: <1%LA Clippers by 26 points: <1%LA Clippers by 25 points: <1%LA Clippers by 24 points: <1%LA Clippers by 23 points: <1%LA Clippers by 22 points: 1%LA Clippers by 21 points: 1%LA Clippers by 20 points: 1%LA Clippers by 19 points: 1%LA Clippers by 18 points: 1%LA Clippers by 17 points: 1%LA Clippers by 16 points: 1%LA Clippers by 15 points: 1%LA Clippers by 14 points: 1%LA Clippers by 13 points: 1%LA Clippers by 12 points: 2%LA Clippers by 11 points: 2%LA Clippers by 10 points: 2%LA Clippers by 9 points: 2%LA Clippers by 8 points: 2%LA Clippers by 7 points: 2%LA Clippers by 6 points: 2%LA Clippers by 5 points: 2%LA Clippers by 4 points: 2%LA Clippers by 3 points: 2%LA Clippers by 2 points: 2%LA Clippers by 1 point: 2%New York Knicks by 1 point: 2%New York Knicks by 2 points: 2%New York Knicks by 3 points: 3%New York Knicks by 4 points: 3%New York Knicks by 5 points: 3%New York Knicks by 6 points: 3%New York Knicks by 7 points: 3%New York Knicks by 8 points: 3%New York Knicks by 9 points: 3%New York Knicks by 10 points: 3%New York Knicks by 11 points: 3%New York Knicks by 12 points: 3%New York Knicks by 13 points: 2%New York Knicks by 14 points: 2%New York Knicks by 15 points: 2%New York Knicks by 16 points: 2%New York Knicks by 17 points: 2%New York Knicks by 18 points: 2%New York Knicks by 19 points: 2%New York Knicks by 20 points: 1%New York Knicks by 21 points: 1%New York Knicks by 22 points: 1%New York Knicks by 23 points: 1%New York Knicks by 24 points: 1%New York Knicks by 25 points: 1%New York Knicks by 26 points: 1%New York Knicks by 27 points: 1%New York Knicks by 28 points: 1%New York Knicks by 29 points: 1%New York Knicks by 30 points: 1%New York Knicks by 31 points: <1%New York Knicks by 32 points: <1%New York Knicks by 33 points: <1%New York Knicks by 34 points: <1%New York Knicks by 35 points: <1%New York Knicks by 36 points: <1%New York Knicks by 37 points: <1%New York Knicks by 38 points: <1%New York Knicks by 39 points: <1%New York Knicks by 40 points: <1%New York Knicks by 41 points: <1%New York Knicks by 42 points: <1%New York Knicks by 43 points: <1%New York Knicks by 44 points: <1%New York Knicks by 45 points: <1%New York Knicks by 46 points: <1%
← LAC wins byNY wins by →
New York Knicks wins by 5 or more52%
New York Knicks wins by 10 or more37%
New York Knicks wins by 15 or more24%
Within 5 points either way24%

Centered on the expected margin above; shape from the real results of 6,530 past NBA games.

Total range

223.4 expected
175 points: <1%176 points: <1%177 points: <1%178 points: <1%179 points: <1%180 points: <1%181 points: <1%182 points: <1%183 points: <1%184 points: <1%185 points: <1%186 points: <1%187 points: <1%188 points: <1%189 points: <1%190 points: <1%191 points: 1%192 points: 1%193 points: 1%194 points: 1%195 points: 1%196 points: 1%197 points: 1%198 points: 1%199 points: 1%200 points: 1%201 points: 1%202 points: 1%203 points: 1%204 points: 1%205 points: 1%206 points: 1%207 points: 1%208 points: 2%209 points: 2%210 points: 2%211 points: 2%212 points: 2%213 points: 2%214 points: 2%215 points: 2%216 points: 2%217 points: 2%218 points: 2%219 points: 2%220 points: 2%221 points: 2%222 points: 2%223 points: 2%224 points: 2%225 points: 2%226 points: 2%227 points: 2%228 points: 2%229 points: 2%230 points: 2%231 points: 2%232 points: 2%233 points: 2%234 points: 2%235 points: 2%236 points: 2%237 points: 2%238 points: 1%239 points: 1%240 points: 1%241 points: 1%242 points: 1%243 points: 1%244 points: 1%245 points: 1%246 points: 1%247 points: 1%248 points: 1%249 points: 1%250 points: 1%251 points: 1%252 points: 1%253 points: 1%254 points: 1%255 points: 1%256 points: 1%257 points: <1%258 points: <1%259 points: <1%260 points: <1%261 points: <1%262 points: <1%263 points: <1%264 points: <1%265 points: <1%266 points: <1%267 points: <1%268 points: <1%269 points: <1%270 points: <1%271 points: <1%272 points: <1%273 points: <1%274 points: <1%275 points: <1%276 points: <1%
Total points, both teams
Total over 213.569%
Total over 223.549%
Total over 233.530%
Total from 214 to 23339%

Centered on the expected total above; shape from the real results of 6,530 past NBA games.

Starting Lineups

from the box score
LA Clippers
GJames Hardenstarted
GKris Dunnstarted
FJohn Collinsstarted
CIvica Zubacstarted
New York Knicks
FOG Anunobystarted

For context, not in our forecast.

Rest and Schedule

before this game
LAC·NY
Jan 5 vs GS
last game
Jan 5 at DET
1 day
days of rest
1 day
no
back-to-back
no
3
games in last 7 days
4
road after a home game
home / road
home after a road game

For context, not in our forecast.

Who's Out

NBA official injury report · Jan 7, 5:00 PM ET
LA Clippers
LACBogdan Bogdanovic · left hamstring; injury managementOut
LACBradley Beal · left hip; fractureOut
LACChris Paul · not with teamOut
LACDerrick Jones Jr. · right knee; sprainOut
LACJames Harden · right shoulder; sorenessProbable
New York Knicks
NYJosh Hart · right ankle; sprainOut
NYLandry Shamet · right shoulder; sprainOut

For context, not in our forecast.

Team Comparison

2025–26 season · box-score averages from 35+ games
LAC·NY
+0.14
rating (0 = average)
+0.39
112.1
points / game
119.7
114.2
points allowed / game
115.1
13−22
season record
24−13
9−9
home record
16−4
4−13
away record
8−9
W1
streak
L4
7−3
last 10
4−6
47.4
FG%
47.2
36.2
3P%
38.3
40.6
rebounds / game
46.1
23.7
assists / game
26.8
15.3
turnovers / game
13.6
45.7
points in paint / game
47.7

Rating Trend

LAC · NY · 70 days
LA ClippersNew York Knicks
Rating (0 = average team)

Head to Head

last 8 meetings · NY 3−5
Mar 26, 2025at NYLAC 126 − 113
Mar 7, 2025at LACLAC 105 − 95
Dec 16, 2023at LACLAC 144 − 122
Nov 6, 2023at NYNY 111 − 97
Mar 11, 2023at LACLAC 106 − 95
Feb 4, 2023at NYLAC 134 − 128
Mar 6, 2022at LACNY 116 − 93
Jan 23, 2022at NYNY 110 − 102

LAC · Last 10

7−3 · streak W1
Jan 5vs GS103 − 102W
Jan 3vs BOS115 − 146L
Jan 1vs UTAH118 − 101W
Dec 30, 2025vs SAC131 − 90W
Dec 28, 2025vs DET112 − 99W
Dec 26, 2025at POR119 − 103W
Dec 23, 2025vs HOU128 − 108W
Dec 20, 2025vs LAL103 − 88W
Dec 18, 2025at OKC101 − 122L
Dec 15, 2025vs MEM103 − 121L

NY · Last 10

4−6 · streak L4
Jan 5at DET90 − 121L
Jan 3vs PHI119 − 130L
Jan 2vs ATL99 − 111L
Dec 31, 2025at SA132 − 134L
Dec 29, 2025at NO130 − 125W
Dec 27, 2025at ATL128 − 125W
Dec 25, 2025vs CLE126 − 124W
Dec 23, 2025at MIN104 − 115L
Dec 21, 2025vs MIA132 − 125W
Dec 19, 2025vs PHI107 − 116L