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76ers at Knicks

NBA · Saturday, Jan 3 · 6:30 PM CT · Madison Square Garden · Final PHI 130 – NY 119
← NBA / Jan 3

Final Box Score

from the game summary
Team1234T
PHI31353331130
NY30282932119
Team box
PHI·NY
49-90
field goals
38-89
17-36
3-pointers
16-40
15-23
free throws
27-32
47
rebounds
44
25
assists
23
14
turnovers
16
54
points in paint
32
Top performers
PlayerTeamMINPTSREBAST
Tyrese MaxeyPHI373684
Jalen BrunsonNY353144
Joel EmbiidPHI3326105
VJ EdgecombePHI412624
Karl-Anthony TownsNY3423142
Miles McBrideNY312052

For context, not in our forecast.

Game Flow

score margin
NY +19
PHI +19
Q1Q2Q3Q4
largest lead: NY 5 · PHI 19lead changes: 9

For context, not in our forecast.

Final · our forecast was PHI 26%, NY 74% · Updated Jan 3

Expected margin
NY by 9.4
Expected score
NY 118.2 – 108.8 PHI
Expected total
227.1
76ersThe matchupKnicks
+282Our fair odds−282
108.8Expected points118.2
−0.31Power rating+0.51
116.6Points / game120.6
116.0Allowed / game114.5
44.9FG%47.5
35.83P%38.1
44.7Rebounds / game46.6
18−14Season record24−11
5−5Last 106−4
Johni Broome · Kelly Oubre Jr.
MarJon Beauchamp · Trendon WatfordOutJosh Hart · Landry Shamet

Prediction markets

Kalshi · Polymarket US · ProphetX · Novig
PHI chance · NY chance
Our model fair26.2%73.8%
Kalshino two-sided price
Polymarket USno two-sided price
ProphetXno two-sided price
Novigno two-sided price
Full price table
TeamOur modelfairKalshi Polymarket US ProphetX Novig 
Moneyline
PHIPhiladelphia 76ers+28226%————
NYNew York Knicks−28274%————
SpreadNY by 9.4
PHIPhiladelphia 76ers+9.4our margin————
NYNew York Knicks−9.4our margin————
Totalwe expect 227.1
Over227.1our total————
Under227.1our total————

These are each venue’s last prices before the start (Kalshi’s moneyline: its pre-game close). Odds are the price to buy that side now, taker fee included; the small percent is the implied chance of that same price. Highlighted is the best price in the row among venues on the same line. — means not listed (hover or tap for why). A market price is not the true chance of winning.

Margin range

New York Knicks by 9.4 expected
Philadelphia 76ers by 52 points: <1%Philadelphia 76ers by 51 points: <1%Philadelphia 76ers by 50 points: <1%Philadelphia 76ers by 49 points: <1%Philadelphia 76ers by 48 points: <1%Philadelphia 76ers by 47 points: <1%Philadelphia 76ers by 46 points: <1%Philadelphia 76ers by 45 points: <1%Philadelphia 76ers by 44 points: <1%Philadelphia 76ers by 43 points: <1%Philadelphia 76ers by 42 points: <1%Philadelphia 76ers by 41 points: <1%Philadelphia 76ers by 40 points: <1%Philadelphia 76ers by 39 points: <1%Philadelphia 76ers by 38 points: <1%Philadelphia 76ers by 37 points: <1%Philadelphia 76ers by 36 points: <1%Philadelphia 76ers by 35 points: <1%Philadelphia 76ers by 34 points: <1%Philadelphia 76ers by 33 points: <1%Philadelphia 76ers by 32 points: <1%Philadelphia 76ers by 31 points: <1%Philadelphia 76ers by 30 points: <1%Philadelphia 76ers by 29 points: <1%Philadelphia 76ers by 28 points: <1%Philadelphia 76ers by 27 points: <1%Philadelphia 76ers by 26 points: <1%Philadelphia 76ers by 25 points: <1%Philadelphia 76ers by 24 points: <1%Philadelphia 76ers by 23 points: <1%Philadelphia 76ers by 22 points: <1%Philadelphia 76ers by 21 points: <1%Philadelphia 76ers by 20 points: <1%Philadelphia 76ers by 19 points: <1%Philadelphia 76ers by 18 points: <1%Philadelphia 76ers by 17 points: <1%Philadelphia 76ers by 16 points: 1%Philadelphia 76ers by 15 points: 1%Philadelphia 76ers by 14 points: 1%Philadelphia 76ers by 13 points: 1%Philadelphia 76ers by 12 points: 1%Philadelphia 76ers by 11 points: 1%Philadelphia 76ers by 10 points: 1%Philadelphia 76ers by 9 points: 1%Philadelphia 76ers by 8 points: 2%Philadelphia 76ers by 7 points: 2%Philadelphia 76ers by 6 points: 2%Philadelphia 76ers by 5 points: 2%Philadelphia 76ers by 4 points: 2%Philadelphia 76ers by 3 points: 2%Philadelphia 76ers by 2 points: 2%Philadelphia 76ers by 1 point: 2%New York Knicks by 1 point: 2%New York Knicks by 2 points: 2%New York Knicks by 3 points: 2%New York Knicks by 4 points: 3%New York Knicks by 5 points: 3%New York Knicks by 6 points: 3%New York Knicks by 7 points: 3%New York Knicks by 8 points: 3%New York Knicks by 9 points: 3%New York Knicks by 10 points: 3%New York Knicks by 11 points: 3%New York Knicks by 12 points: 3%New York Knicks by 13 points: 3%New York Knicks by 14 points: 3%New York Knicks by 15 points: 3%New York Knicks by 16 points: 2%New York Knicks by 17 points: 2%New York Knicks by 18 points: 2%New York Knicks by 19 points: 2%New York Knicks by 20 points: 2%New York Knicks by 21 points: 2%New York Knicks by 22 points: 2%New York Knicks by 23 points: 2%New York Knicks by 24 points: 1%New York Knicks by 25 points: 1%New York Knicks by 26 points: 1%New York Knicks by 27 points: 1%New York Knicks by 28 points: 1%New York Knicks by 29 points: 1%New York Knicks by 30 points: 1%New York Knicks by 31 points: 1%New York Knicks by 32 points: 1%New York Knicks by 33 points: 1%New York Knicks by 34 points: 1%New York Knicks by 35 points: 1%New York Knicks by 36 points: 1%New York Knicks by 37 points: 1%New York Knicks by 38 points: <1%New York Knicks by 39 points: <1%New York Knicks by 40 points: <1%New York Knicks by 41 points: <1%New York Knicks by 42 points: <1%New York Knicks by 43 points: <1%New York Knicks by 44 points: <1%New York Knicks by 45 points: <1%New York Knicks by 46 points: <1%New York Knicks by 47 points: <1%New York Knicks by 48 points: <1%New York Knicks by 49 points: <1%New York Knicks by 50 points: <1%New York Knicks by 51 points: <1%New York Knicks by 52 points: <1%
← PHI wins byNY wins by →
New York Knicks wins by 5 or more65%
New York Knicks wins by 10 or more50%
New York Knicks wins by 15 or more35%
Within 5 points either way21%

Centered on the expected margin above; shape from the real results of 6,530 past NBA games.

Total range

227.1 expected
178 points: <1%179 points: <1%180 points: <1%181 points: <1%182 points: <1%183 points: <1%184 points: <1%185 points: <1%186 points: <1%187 points: <1%188 points: <1%189 points: <1%190 points: <1%191 points: <1%192 points: <1%193 points: <1%194 points: <1%195 points: 1%196 points: 1%197 points: 1%198 points: 1%199 points: 1%200 points: 1%201 points: 1%202 points: 1%203 points: 1%204 points: 1%205 points: 1%206 points: 1%207 points: 1%208 points: 1%209 points: 1%210 points: 1%211 points: 2%212 points: 2%213 points: 2%214 points: 2%215 points: 2%216 points: 2%217 points: 2%218 points: 2%219 points: 2%220 points: 2%221 points: 2%222 points: 2%223 points: 2%224 points: 2%225 points: 2%226 points: 2%227 points: 2%228 points: 2%229 points: 2%230 points: 2%231 points: 2%232 points: 2%233 points: 2%234 points: 2%235 points: 2%236 points: 2%237 points: 2%238 points: 2%239 points: 2%240 points: 2%241 points: 1%242 points: 1%243 points: 1%244 points: 1%245 points: 1%246 points: 1%247 points: 1%248 points: 1%249 points: 1%250 points: 1%251 points: 1%252 points: 1%253 points: 1%254 points: 1%255 points: 1%256 points: 1%257 points: 1%258 points: 1%259 points: 1%260 points: 1%261 points: <1%262 points: <1%263 points: <1%264 points: <1%265 points: <1%266 points: <1%267 points: <1%268 points: <1%269 points: <1%270 points: <1%271 points: <1%272 points: <1%273 points: <1%274 points: <1%275 points: <1%276 points: <1%277 points: <1%278 points: <1%279 points: <1%280 points: <1%
Total points, both teams
Total over 217.568%
Total over 227.549%
Total over 237.529%
Total from 218 to 23739%

Centered on the expected total above; shape from the real results of 6,530 past NBA games.

Starting Lineups

from the box score
Philadelphia 76ers
GTyrese Maxeystarted
GVJ Edgecombestarted
FPaul Georgestarted
FDominick Barlowstarted
CJoel Embiidstarted
New York Knicks
GMikal Bridgesstarted
GJalen Brunsonstarted
FOG Anunobystarted
CKarl-Anthony Townsstarted
CMitchell Robinsonstarted

For context, not in our forecast.

Rest and Schedule

before this game
PHI·NY
Jan 1 at DAL
last game
Jan 2 vs ATL
1 day
days of rest
0 days
no
back-to-back
yes
3
games in last 7 days
4
5th straight road game
home / road
2nd straight home game

For context, not in our forecast.

Who's Out

NBA official injury report · Jan 3, 5:00 PM ET
Philadelphia 76ers
PHIJohni Broome · g league - on assignmentOut
PHIKelly Oubre Jr. · left knee; sprainOut
PHIMarJon Beauchamp · g league - two-wayOut
PHITrendon Watford · left adductor; strainOut
PHIJoel Embiid · right knee; injury managementProbable
New York Knicks
NYJosh Hart · right ankle; sprainOut
NYLandry Shamet · right shoulder; sprainOut
NYKarl-Anthony Towns · illness; illnessQuestionable

For context, not in our forecast.

Team Comparison

2025–26 season · box-score averages from 32+ games
PHI·NY
−0.31
rating (0 = average)
+0.51
116.6
points / game
120.6
116.0
points allowed / game
114.5
18−14
season record
24−11
9−8
home record
16−3
9−6
away record
8−8
W2
streak
L2
5−5
last 10
6−4
44.9
FG%
47.5
35.8
3P%
38.1
44.7
rebounds / game
46.6
24.8
assists / game
27.3
14.2
turnovers / game
13.4
48.1
points in paint / game
48.6

Rating Trend

PHI · NY · 66 days
Philadelphia 76ersNew York Knicks
Rating (0 = average team)

Head to Head

last 10 meetings · NY 7−3
Dec 19, 2025at NYPHI 116 − 107
Apr 1, 2025at NYNY 105 − 91
Feb 26, 2025at NYNY 110 − 105
Jan 15, 2025at PHINY 125 − 119
Nov 12, 2024at PHINY 111 − 99
May 2, 2024at PHINY 118 − 115post
Apr 30, 2024at NYPHI 112 − 106post
Apr 28, 2024at PHINY 97 − 92post
Apr 25, 2024at PHIPHI 125 − 114post
Apr 22, 2024at NYNY 104 − 101post

PHI · Last 10

5−5 · streak W2
Jan 1at DAL123 − 108W
Dec 30, 2025at MEM139 − 136W
Dec 28, 2025at OKC104 − 129L
Dec 26, 2025at CHI102 − 109L
Dec 23, 2025vs BKN106 − 114L
Dec 20, 2025vs DAL121 − 114W
Dec 19, 2025at NY116 − 107W
Dec 14, 2025at ATL117 − 120L
Dec 12, 2025vs IND115 − 105W
Dec 7, 2025vs LAL108 − 112L

NY · Last 10

6−4 · streak L2
Jan 2vs ATL99 − 111L
Dec 31, 2025at SA132 − 134L
Dec 29, 2025at NO130 − 125W
Dec 27, 2025at ATL128 − 125W
Dec 25, 2025vs CLE126 − 124W
Dec 23, 2025at MIN104 − 115L
Dec 21, 2025vs MIA132 − 125W
Dec 19, 2025vs PHI107 − 116L
Dec 18, 2025at IND114 − 113W
Dec 16, 2025vs SA124 − 113W