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Mavericks at 76ers

NBA · Saturday, Dec 20 · 6:00 PM CT · Xfinity Mobile Arena · Final DAL 114 – PHI 121
← NBA / Dec 20, 2025

Final Box Score

from the game summary
Team1234T
DAL33293517114
PHI38302330121
Team box
DAL·PHI
45-83
field goals
44-102
3-18
3-pointers
12-40
21-22
free throws
21-28
44
rebounds
47
24
assists
27
18
turnovers
10
76
points in paint
58
Top performers
PlayerTeamMINPTSREBAST
Tyrese MaxeyPHI413824
VJ EdgecombePHI352664
Anthony DavisDAL3424152
Cooper FlaggDAL372443
Naji MarshallDAL342294
Dominick BarlowPHI302142

For context, not in our forecast.

Game Flow

score margin
PHI +11
DAL +11
Q1Q2Q3Q4
largest lead: PHI 11 · DAL 6lead changes: 16

For context, not in our forecast.

Final · our forecast was DAL 48%, PHI 52% · Updated Dec 20, 2025

Expected margin
PHI by 0.7
Expected score
PHI 114.5 – 113.8 DAL
Expected total
228.3
MavericksThe matchup76ers
+110Our fair odds−110
113.8Expected points114.5
−0.19Power rating−0.31
113.0Points / game116.8
116.7Allowed / game115.5
46.1FG%45.2
33.63P%36.5
44.4Rebounds / game45.1
11−17Season record15−11
6−4Last 106−4
Dante Exum · Dereck Lively II
Kyrie IrvingOutHunter Sallis · Johni Broome
Kelly Oubre Jr. · Paul George
Trendon Watford

Prediction markets

Kalshi · Polymarket US · ProphetX · Novig
DAL chance · PHI chance
Our model fair47.6%52.4%
Kalshino two-sided price
Polymarket USno two-sided price
ProphetXno two-sided price
Novigno two-sided price
Full price table
TeamOur modelfairKalshi Polymarket US ProphetX Novig 
Moneyline
DALDallas Mavericks+11048%————
PHIPhiladelphia 76ers−11052%————
SpreadPHI by 0.7
DALDallas Mavericks+0.7our margin————
PHIPhiladelphia 76ers−0.7our margin————
Totalwe expect 228.3
Over228.3our total————
Under228.3our total————

These are each venue’s last prices before the start (Kalshi’s moneyline: its pre-game close). Odds are the price to buy that side now, taker fee included; the small percent is the implied chance of that same price. Highlighted is the best price in the row among venues on the same line. — means not listed (hover or tap for why). A market price is not the true chance of winning.

Margin range

Philadelphia 76ers by 0.7 expected
Dallas Mavericks by 42 points: <1%Dallas Mavericks by 41 points: <1%Dallas Mavericks by 40 points: <1%Dallas Mavericks by 39 points: <1%Dallas Mavericks by 38 points: <1%Dallas Mavericks by 37 points: <1%Dallas Mavericks by 36 points: <1%Dallas Mavericks by 35 points: <1%Dallas Mavericks by 34 points: <1%Dallas Mavericks by 33 points: <1%Dallas Mavericks by 32 points: <1%Dallas Mavericks by 31 points: <1%Dallas Mavericks by 30 points: <1%Dallas Mavericks by 29 points: <1%Dallas Mavericks by 28 points: <1%Dallas Mavericks by 27 points: <1%Dallas Mavericks by 26 points: 1%Dallas Mavericks by 25 points: 1%Dallas Mavericks by 24 points: 1%Dallas Mavericks by 23 points: 1%Dallas Mavericks by 22 points: 1%Dallas Mavericks by 21 points: 1%Dallas Mavericks by 20 points: 1%Dallas Mavericks by 19 points: 1%Dallas Mavericks by 18 points: 1%Dallas Mavericks by 17 points: 1%Dallas Mavericks by 16 points: 1%Dallas Mavericks by 15 points: 2%Dallas Mavericks by 14 points: 2%Dallas Mavericks by 13 points: 2%Dallas Mavericks by 12 points: 2%Dallas Mavericks by 11 points: 2%Dallas Mavericks by 10 points: 2%Dallas Mavericks by 9 points: 2%Dallas Mavericks by 8 points: 3%Dallas Mavericks by 7 points: 3%Dallas Mavericks by 6 points: 3%Dallas Mavericks by 5 points: 3%Dallas Mavericks by 4 points: 3%Dallas Mavericks by 3 points: 3%Dallas Mavericks by 2 points: 2%Dallas Mavericks by 1 point: 2%Philadelphia 76ers by 1 point: 2%Philadelphia 76ers by 2 points: 2%Philadelphia 76ers by 3 points: 3%Philadelphia 76ers by 4 points: 3%Philadelphia 76ers by 5 points: 3%Philadelphia 76ers by 6 points: 3%Philadelphia 76ers by 7 points: 3%Philadelphia 76ers by 8 points: 3%Philadelphia 76ers by 9 points: 3%Philadelphia 76ers by 10 points: 3%Philadelphia 76ers by 11 points: 2%Philadelphia 76ers by 12 points: 2%Philadelphia 76ers by 13 points: 2%Philadelphia 76ers by 14 points: 2%Philadelphia 76ers by 15 points: 2%Philadelphia 76ers by 16 points: 2%Philadelphia 76ers by 17 points: 1%Philadelphia 76ers by 18 points: 1%Philadelphia 76ers by 19 points: 1%Philadelphia 76ers by 20 points: 1%Philadelphia 76ers by 21 points: 1%Philadelphia 76ers by 22 points: 1%Philadelphia 76ers by 23 points: 1%Philadelphia 76ers by 24 points: 1%Philadelphia 76ers by 25 points: 1%Philadelphia 76ers by 26 points: 1%Philadelphia 76ers by 27 points: 1%Philadelphia 76ers by 28 points: <1%Philadelphia 76ers by 29 points: <1%Philadelphia 76ers by 30 points: <1%Philadelphia 76ers by 31 points: <1%Philadelphia 76ers by 32 points: <1%Philadelphia 76ers by 33 points: <1%Philadelphia 76ers by 34 points: <1%Philadelphia 76ers by 35 points: <1%Philadelphia 76ers by 36 points: <1%Philadelphia 76ers by 37 points: <1%Philadelphia 76ers by 38 points: <1%Philadelphia 76ers by 39 points: <1%Philadelphia 76ers by 40 points: <1%Philadelphia 76ers by 41 points: <1%Philadelphia 76ers by 42 points: <1%
← DAL wins byPHI wins by →
Philadelphia 76ers wins by 5 or more42%
Philadelphia 76ers wins by 10 or more29%
Philadelphia 76ers wins by 15 or more17%
Within 5 points either way25%

Centered on the expected margin above; shape from the real results of 6,530 past NBA games.

Total range

228.3 expected
179 points: <1%180 points: <1%181 points: <1%182 points: <1%183 points: <1%184 points: <1%185 points: <1%186 points: <1%187 points: <1%188 points: <1%189 points: <1%190 points: <1%191 points: <1%192 points: <1%193 points: <1%194 points: <1%195 points: <1%196 points: 1%197 points: 1%198 points: 1%199 points: 1%200 points: 1%201 points: 1%202 points: 1%203 points: 1%204 points: 1%205 points: 1%206 points: 1%207 points: 1%208 points: 1%209 points: 1%210 points: 1%211 points: 1%212 points: 1%213 points: 2%214 points: 2%215 points: 2%216 points: 2%217 points: 2%218 points: 2%219 points: 2%220 points: 2%221 points: 2%222 points: 2%223 points: 2%224 points: 2%225 points: 2%226 points: 2%227 points: 2%228 points: 2%229 points: 2%230 points: 2%231 points: 2%232 points: 2%233 points: 2%234 points: 2%235 points: 2%236 points: 2%237 points: 2%238 points: 2%239 points: 2%240 points: 2%241 points: 2%242 points: 1%243 points: 1%244 points: 1%245 points: 1%246 points: 1%247 points: 1%248 points: 1%249 points: 1%250 points: 1%251 points: 1%252 points: 1%253 points: 1%254 points: 1%255 points: 1%256 points: 1%257 points: 1%258 points: 1%259 points: 1%260 points: 1%261 points: 1%262 points: <1%263 points: <1%264 points: <1%265 points: <1%266 points: <1%267 points: <1%268 points: <1%269 points: <1%270 points: <1%271 points: <1%272 points: <1%273 points: <1%274 points: <1%275 points: <1%276 points: <1%277 points: <1%278 points: <1%279 points: <1%280 points: <1%281 points: <1%282 points: <1%
Total points, both teams
Total over 218.569%
Total over 228.549%
Total over 238.529%
Total from 219 to 23839%

Centered on the expected total above; shape from the real results of 6,530 past NBA games.

Starting Lineups

from the box score
Dallas Mavericks
GRyan Nembhardstarted
FAnthony Davisstarted
FP.J. Washingtonstarted
FNaji Marshallstarted
FCooper Flaggstarted
Philadelphia 76ers
GQuentin Grimesstarted
GTyrese Maxeystarted
GVJ Edgecombestarted
FDominick Barlowstarted
CAndre Drummondstarted

For context, not in our forecast.

Rest and Schedule

before this game
DAL·PHI
Dec 18, 2025 vs DET
last game
Dec 19, 2025 at NY
1 day
days of rest
0 days
no
back-to-back
yes
2
games in last 7 days
2
road after a home game
home / road
home after a road game

For context, not in our forecast.

Who's Out

NBA official injury report · Dec 20, 5:00 PM ET
Dallas Mavericks
DALDante Exum · right knee; surgeryOut
DALDereck Lively II · right foot; injury managementOut
DALKyrie Irving · left knee; surgeryOut
Philadelphia 76ers
PHIHunter Sallis · g league - two-wayOut
PHIJohni Broome · g league - on assignmentOut
PHIKelly Oubre Jr. · left knee; sprainOut
PHIPaul George · left knee; injury managementOut
PHITrendon Watford · left adductor; strainOut
PHIJoel Embiid · right knee; injury management; illnessDoubtful

For context, not in our forecast.

Team Comparison

2025–26 season · box-score averages from 26+ games
DAL·PHI
−0.19
rating (0 = average)
−0.31
113.0
points / game
116.8
116.7
points allowed / game
115.5
11−17
season record
15−11
8−9
home record
8−7
3−8
away record
7−4
W1
streak
W1
6−4
last 10
6−4
46.1
FG%
45.2
33.6
3P%
36.5
44.4
rebounds / game
45.1
24.9
assists / game
25.2
15.5
turnovers / game
14.3
50.5
points in paint / game
47.8

Rating Trend

DAL · PHI · 53 days
Dallas MavericksPhiladelphia 76ers
Rating (0 = average team)

Head to Head

last 8 meetings · PHI 5−3
Mar 16, 2025at DALPHI 130 − 125
Feb 4, 2025at PHIPHI 118 − 116
Mar 3, 2024at DALPHI 120 − 116
Feb 5, 2024at PHIDAL 118 − 102
Mar 29, 2023at PHIPHI 116 − 108
Mar 2, 2023at DALDAL 133 − 126
Mar 18, 2022at PHIPHI 111 − 101
Feb 4, 2022at DALDAL 107 − 98

DAL · Last 10

6−4 · streak W1
Dec 18, 2025vs DET116 − 114W
Dec 15, 2025at UTAH133 − 140L
Dec 12, 2025vs BKN119 − 111W
Dec 6, 2025vs HOU122 − 109W
Dec 5, 2025at OKC111 − 132L
Dec 3, 2025vs MIA118 − 108W
Dec 1, 2025at DEN131 − 121W
Nov 29, 2025at LAC114 − 110W
Nov 28, 2025at LAL119 − 129L
Nov 24, 2025at MIA102 − 106L

PHI · Last 10

6−4 · streak W1
Dec 19, 2025at NY116 − 107W
Dec 14, 2025at ATL117 − 120L
Dec 12, 2025vs IND115 − 105W
Dec 7, 2025vs LAL108 − 112L
Dec 5, 2025at MIL116 − 101W
Dec 4, 2025vs GS99 − 98W
Dec 2, 2025vs WSH121 − 102W
Nov 30, 2025vs ATL134 − 142L
Nov 28, 2025at BKN115 − 103W
Nov 25, 2025vs ORL103 − 144L