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Nets at Mavericks

NBA · Friday, Dec 12 · 7:30 PM CT · American Airlines Center · Final BKN 111 – DAL 119
← NBA / Dec 12, 2025

Final Box Score

from the game summary
Team1234T
BKN33283119111
DAL32332529119
Team box
BKN·DAL
39-86
field goals
46-94
17-39
3-pointers
10-30
16-19
free throws
17-22
43
rebounds
40
26
assists
33
17
turnovers
14
44
points in paint
66
Top performers
PlayerTeamMINPTSREBAST
Michael Porter Jr.BKN343443
Anthony DavisDAL3324143
Cooper FlaggDAL342258
Danny WolfBKN271771
Naji MarshallDAL321714
Max ChristieDAL331563

For context, not in our forecast.

Game Flow

score margin
DAL +8
BKN +8
Q1Q2Q3Q4
largest lead: DAL 8 · BKN 5lead changes: 23

For context, not in our forecast.

Final · our forecast was BKN 29%, DAL 71% · Updated Dec 12, 2025

Expected margin
DAL by 6.4
Expected score
DAL 113.7 – 107.2 BKN
Expected total
220.9
NetsThe matchupMavericks
+246Our fair odds−246
107.2Expected points113.7
−0.85Power rating−0.17
109.4Points / game111.8
117.2Allowed / game116.1
44.6FG%45.9
34.13P%34.2
39.8Rebounds / game44.0
6−17Season record9−16
4−6Last 105−5
Ben Saraf · Cam Thomas
E.J. Liddell · Haywood Highsmith
Tyson EtienneOutDante Exum · Dereck Lively II
Kyrie Irving

Prediction markets

Kalshi · Polymarket US · ProphetX · Novig
BKN chance · DAL chance
Our model fair28.9%71.1%
Kalshino two-sided price
Polymarket USno two-sided price
ProphetXno two-sided price
Novigno two-sided price
Full price table
TeamOur modelfairKalshi Polymarket US ProphetX Novig 
Moneyline
BKNBrooklyn Nets+24629%————
DALDallas Mavericks−24671%————
SpreadDAL by 6.4
BKNBrooklyn Nets+6.4our margin————
DALDallas Mavericks−6.4our margin————
Totalwe expect 220.9
Over220.9our total————
Under220.9our total————

These are each venue’s last prices before the start (Kalshi’s moneyline: its pre-game close). Odds are the price to buy that side now, taker fee included; the small percent is the implied chance of that same price. Highlighted is the best price in the row among venues on the same line. — means not listed (hover or tap for why). A market price is not the true chance of winning.

Margin range

Dallas Mavericks by 6.4 expected
Brooklyn Nets by 48 points: <1%Brooklyn Nets by 47 points: <1%Brooklyn Nets by 46 points: <1%Brooklyn Nets by 45 points: <1%Brooklyn Nets by 44 points: <1%Brooklyn Nets by 43 points: <1%Brooklyn Nets by 42 points: <1%Brooklyn Nets by 41 points: <1%Brooklyn Nets by 40 points: <1%Brooklyn Nets by 39 points: <1%Brooklyn Nets by 38 points: <1%Brooklyn Nets by 37 points: <1%Brooklyn Nets by 36 points: <1%Brooklyn Nets by 35 points: <1%Brooklyn Nets by 34 points: <1%Brooklyn Nets by 33 points: <1%Brooklyn Nets by 32 points: <1%Brooklyn Nets by 31 points: <1%Brooklyn Nets by 30 points: <1%Brooklyn Nets by 29 points: <1%Brooklyn Nets by 28 points: <1%Brooklyn Nets by 27 points: <1%Brooklyn Nets by 26 points: <1%Brooklyn Nets by 25 points: <1%Brooklyn Nets by 24 points: <1%Brooklyn Nets by 23 points: <1%Brooklyn Nets by 22 points: <1%Brooklyn Nets by 21 points: <1%Brooklyn Nets by 20 points: 1%Brooklyn Nets by 19 points: 1%Brooklyn Nets by 18 points: 1%Brooklyn Nets by 17 points: 1%Brooklyn Nets by 16 points: 1%Brooklyn Nets by 15 points: 1%Brooklyn Nets by 14 points: 1%Brooklyn Nets by 13 points: 1%Brooklyn Nets by 12 points: 1%Brooklyn Nets by 11 points: 1%Brooklyn Nets by 10 points: 2%Brooklyn Nets by 9 points: 2%Brooklyn Nets by 8 points: 2%Brooklyn Nets by 7 points: 2%Brooklyn Nets by 6 points: 2%Brooklyn Nets by 5 points: 2%Brooklyn Nets by 4 points: 2%Brooklyn Nets by 3 points: 2%Brooklyn Nets by 2 points: 2%Brooklyn Nets by 1 point: 2%Dallas Mavericks by 1 point: 2%Dallas Mavericks by 2 points: 2%Dallas Mavericks by 3 points: 3%Dallas Mavericks by 4 points: 3%Dallas Mavericks by 5 points: 3%Dallas Mavericks by 6 points: 3%Dallas Mavericks by 7 points: 3%Dallas Mavericks by 8 points: 3%Dallas Mavericks by 9 points: 3%Dallas Mavericks by 10 points: 3%Dallas Mavericks by 11 points: 3%Dallas Mavericks by 12 points: 3%Dallas Mavericks by 13 points: 3%Dallas Mavericks by 14 points: 2%Dallas Mavericks by 15 points: 2%Dallas Mavericks by 16 points: 2%Dallas Mavericks by 17 points: 2%Dallas Mavericks by 18 points: 2%Dallas Mavericks by 19 points: 2%Dallas Mavericks by 20 points: 2%Dallas Mavericks by 21 points: 2%Dallas Mavericks by 22 points: 1%Dallas Mavericks by 23 points: 1%Dallas Mavericks by 24 points: 1%Dallas Mavericks by 25 points: 1%Dallas Mavericks by 26 points: 1%Dallas Mavericks by 27 points: 1%Dallas Mavericks by 28 points: 1%Dallas Mavericks by 29 points: 1%Dallas Mavericks by 30 points: 1%Dallas Mavericks by 31 points: 1%Dallas Mavericks by 32 points: 1%Dallas Mavericks by 33 points: <1%Dallas Mavericks by 34 points: <1%Dallas Mavericks by 35 points: <1%Dallas Mavericks by 36 points: <1%Dallas Mavericks by 37 points: <1%Dallas Mavericks by 38 points: <1%Dallas Mavericks by 39 points: <1%Dallas Mavericks by 40 points: <1%Dallas Mavericks by 41 points: <1%Dallas Mavericks by 42 points: <1%Dallas Mavericks by 43 points: <1%Dallas Mavericks by 44 points: <1%Dallas Mavericks by 45 points: <1%Dallas Mavericks by 46 points: <1%Dallas Mavericks by 47 points: <1%Dallas Mavericks by 48 points: <1%
← BKN wins byDAL wins by →
Dallas Mavericks wins by 5 or more57%
Dallas Mavericks wins by 10 or more42%
Dallas Mavericks wins by 15 or more28%
Within 5 points either way23%

Centered on the expected margin above; shape from the real results of 6,530 past NBA games.

Total range

220.9 expected
174 points: <1%175 points: <1%176 points: <1%177 points: <1%178 points: <1%179 points: <1%180 points: <1%181 points: <1%182 points: <1%183 points: <1%184 points: <1%185 points: <1%186 points: <1%187 points: <1%188 points: 1%189 points: 1%190 points: 1%191 points: 1%192 points: 1%193 points: 1%194 points: 1%195 points: 1%196 points: 1%197 points: 1%198 points: 1%199 points: 1%200 points: 1%201 points: 1%202 points: 1%203 points: 1%204 points: 1%205 points: 1%206 points: 2%207 points: 2%208 points: 2%209 points: 2%210 points: 2%211 points: 2%212 points: 2%213 points: 2%214 points: 2%215 points: 2%216 points: 2%217 points: 2%218 points: 2%219 points: 2%220 points: 2%221 points: 2%222 points: 2%223 points: 2%224 points: 2%225 points: 2%226 points: 2%227 points: 2%228 points: 2%229 points: 2%230 points: 2%231 points: 2%232 points: 2%233 points: 2%234 points: 2%235 points: 2%236 points: 1%237 points: 1%238 points: 1%239 points: 1%240 points: 1%241 points: 1%242 points: 1%243 points: 1%244 points: 1%245 points: 1%246 points: 1%247 points: 1%248 points: 1%249 points: 1%250 points: 1%251 points: 1%252 points: 1%253 points: 1%254 points: <1%255 points: <1%256 points: <1%257 points: <1%258 points: <1%259 points: <1%260 points: <1%261 points: <1%262 points: <1%263 points: <1%264 points: <1%265 points: <1%266 points: <1%267 points: <1%268 points: <1%269 points: <1%270 points: <1%271 points: <1%272 points: <1%273 points: <1%274 points: <1%
Total points, both teams
Total over 210.570%
Total over 220.550%
Total over 230.531%
Total from 211 to 23039%

Centered on the expected total above; shape from the real results of 6,530 past NBA games.

Starting Lineups

from the box score
Brooklyn Nets
GTerance Mannstarted
GEgor Deminstarted
FMichael Porter Jr.started
FNoah Clowneystarted
CNic Claxtonstarted
Dallas Mavericks
GRyan Nembhardstarted
FAnthony Davisstarted
FP.J. Washingtonstarted
FNaji Marshallstarted
FCooper Flaggstarted

For context, not in our forecast.

Rest and Schedule

before this game
BKN·DAL
Dec 6, 2025 vs NO
last game
Dec 6, 2025 vs HOU
5 days
days of rest
5 days
no
back-to-back
no
1
games in last 7 days
2
road after a home game
home / road
2nd straight home game

For context, not in our forecast.

Who's Out

NBA official injury report · Dec 12, 5:00 PM ET
Brooklyn Nets
BKNBen Saraf · g league - on assignmentOut
BKNCam Thomas · left hamstring; strainOut
BKNE.J. Liddell · g league - two-wayOut
BKNHaywood Highsmith · right knee; surgery, injury recoveryOut
BKNTyson Etienne · g league - two-wayOut
Dallas Mavericks
DALDante Exum · right knee; injury managementOut
DALDereck Lively II · right foot; injuryOut
DALKyrie Irving · left knee; surgeryOut
DALDaniel Gafford · right ankle; injury managementDoubtful
DALD'Angelo Russell · management illness; illnessQuestionable

For context, not in our forecast.

Team Comparison

2025–26 season · box-score averages from 23+ games
BKN·DAL
−0.85
rating (0 = average)
−0.17
109.4
points / game
111.8
117.2
points allowed / game
116.1
6−17
season record
9−16
2−10
home record
6−9
4−7
away record
3−7
W1
streak
W1
4−6
last 10
5−5
44.6
FG%
45.9
34.1
3P%
34.2
39.8
rebounds / game
44.0
25.3
assists / game
24.8
15.8
turnovers / game
15.6
41.7
points in paint / game
49.0

Rating Trend

BKN · DAL · 45 days
Brooklyn NetsDallas Mavericks
Rating (0 = average team)

Head to Head

last 8 meetings · DAL 6−2
Mar 31, 2025at DALBKN 113 − 109
Mar 24, 2025at BKNDAL 120 − 101
Feb 6, 2024at BKNDAL 119 − 107
Oct 27, 2023at DALDAL 125 − 120
Nov 7, 2022at DALDAL 96 − 94
Oct 27, 2022at BKNDAL 129 − 125
Mar 16, 2022at BKNDAL 113 − 111
Dec 7, 2021at DALBKN 102 − 99

BKN · Last 10

4−6 · streak W1
Dec 6, 2025vs NO119 − 101W
Dec 4, 2025vs UTAH110 − 123L
Dec 3, 2025at CHI113 − 103W
Dec 1, 2025vs CHA116 − 103W
Nov 29, 2025at MIL99 − 116L
Nov 28, 2025vs PHI103 − 115L
Nov 24, 2025vs NY100 − 113L
Nov 23, 2025at TOR109 − 119L
Nov 21, 2025at BOS113 − 105W
Nov 18, 2025vs BOS99 − 113L

DAL · Last 10

5−5 · streak W1
Dec 6, 2025vs HOU122 − 109W
Dec 5, 2025at OKC111 − 132L
Dec 3, 2025vs MIA118 − 108W
Dec 1, 2025at DEN131 − 121W
Nov 29, 2025at LAC114 − 110W
Nov 28, 2025at LAL119 − 129L
Nov 24, 2025at MIA102 − 106L
Nov 22, 2025vs MEM96 − 102L
Nov 21, 2025vs NO118 − 115W
Nov 19, 2025vs NY111 − 113L