bayesRatings

Nets at 76ers

NBA · Tuesday, Dec 23 · 6:00 PM CT · Xfinity Mobile Arena · Final BKN 114 – PHI 106
← NBA / Dec 23, 2025

Final Box Score

from the game summary
Team1234T
BKN27362625114
PHI27302029106
Team box
BKN·PHI
35-82
field goals
33-81
17-45
3-pointers
7-27
27-33
free throws
33-38
39
rebounds
43
24
assists
15
19
turnovers
17
32
points in paint
44
Top performers
PlayerTeamMINPTSREBAST
Michael Porter Jr.BKN342851
Joel EmbiidPHI312764
Egor DeminBKN332025
Paul GeorgePHI331942
Nic ClaxtonBKN2716102
Tyrese MaxeyPHI391332

For context, not in our forecast.

Game Flow

score margin
PHI +19
BKN +19
Q1Q2Q3Q4
largest lead: PHI 7 · BKN 19lead changes: 9

For context, not in our forecast.

Final · our forecast was BKN 33%, PHI 67% · Updated Dec 23, 2025

Expected margin
PHI by 5.7
Expected score
PHI 112.5 – 106.9 BKN
Expected total
219.4
NetsThe matchup76ers
+201Our fair odds−201
106.9Expected points112.5
−0.72Power rating−0.25
109.1Points / game117.0
114.2Allowed / game115.4
44.8FG%45.1
34.63P%36.3
40.7Rebounds / game45.2
8−19Season record16−11
5−5Last 107−3
Cam Thomas · Drake Powell
Haywood HighsmithOutKelly Oubre Jr. · Trendon Watford

Prediction markets

Kalshi · Polymarket US · ProphetX · Novig
BKN chance · PHI chance
Our model fair33.2%66.8%
Kalshino two-sided price
Polymarket USno two-sided price
ProphetXno two-sided price
Novigno two-sided price
Full price table
TeamOur modelfairKalshi Polymarket US ProphetX Novig 
Moneyline
BKNBrooklyn Nets+20133%————
PHIPhiladelphia 76ers−20167%————
SpreadPHI by 5.7
BKNBrooklyn Nets+5.7our margin————
PHIPhiladelphia 76ers−5.7our margin————
Totalwe expect 219.4
Over219.4our total————
Under219.4our total————

These are each venue’s last prices before the start (Kalshi’s moneyline: its pre-game close). Odds are the price to buy that side now, taker fee included; the small percent is the implied chance of that same price. Highlighted is the best price in the row among venues on the same line. — means not listed (hover or tap for why). A market price is not the true chance of winning.

Margin range

Philadelphia 76ers by 5.7 expected
Brooklyn Nets by 47 points: <1%Brooklyn Nets by 46 points: <1%Brooklyn Nets by 45 points: <1%Brooklyn Nets by 44 points: <1%Brooklyn Nets by 43 points: <1%Brooklyn Nets by 42 points: <1%Brooklyn Nets by 41 points: <1%Brooklyn Nets by 40 points: <1%Brooklyn Nets by 39 points: <1%Brooklyn Nets by 38 points: <1%Brooklyn Nets by 37 points: <1%Brooklyn Nets by 36 points: <1%Brooklyn Nets by 35 points: <1%Brooklyn Nets by 34 points: <1%Brooklyn Nets by 33 points: <1%Brooklyn Nets by 32 points: <1%Brooklyn Nets by 31 points: <1%Brooklyn Nets by 30 points: <1%Brooklyn Nets by 29 points: <1%Brooklyn Nets by 28 points: <1%Brooklyn Nets by 27 points: <1%Brooklyn Nets by 26 points: <1%Brooklyn Nets by 25 points: <1%Brooklyn Nets by 24 points: <1%Brooklyn Nets by 23 points: <1%Brooklyn Nets by 22 points: <1%Brooklyn Nets by 21 points: 1%Brooklyn Nets by 20 points: 1%Brooklyn Nets by 19 points: 1%Brooklyn Nets by 18 points: 1%Brooklyn Nets by 17 points: 1%Brooklyn Nets by 16 points: 1%Brooklyn Nets by 15 points: 1%Brooklyn Nets by 14 points: 1%Brooklyn Nets by 13 points: 1%Brooklyn Nets by 12 points: 1%Brooklyn Nets by 11 points: 2%Brooklyn Nets by 10 points: 2%Brooklyn Nets by 9 points: 2%Brooklyn Nets by 8 points: 2%Brooklyn Nets by 7 points: 2%Brooklyn Nets by 6 points: 2%Brooklyn Nets by 5 points: 2%Brooklyn Nets by 4 points: 2%Brooklyn Nets by 3 points: 2%Brooklyn Nets by 2 points: 2%Brooklyn Nets by 1 point: 2%Philadelphia 76ers by 1 point: 2%Philadelphia 76ers by 2 points: 2%Philadelphia 76ers by 3 points: 3%Philadelphia 76ers by 4 points: 3%Philadelphia 76ers by 5 points: 3%Philadelphia 76ers by 6 points: 3%Philadelphia 76ers by 7 points: 3%Philadelphia 76ers by 8 points: 3%Philadelphia 76ers by 9 points: 3%Philadelphia 76ers by 10 points: 3%Philadelphia 76ers by 11 points: 3%Philadelphia 76ers by 12 points: 3%Philadelphia 76ers by 13 points: 3%Philadelphia 76ers by 14 points: 2%Philadelphia 76ers by 15 points: 2%Philadelphia 76ers by 16 points: 2%Philadelphia 76ers by 17 points: 2%Philadelphia 76ers by 18 points: 2%Philadelphia 76ers by 19 points: 2%Philadelphia 76ers by 20 points: 2%Philadelphia 76ers by 21 points: 1%Philadelphia 76ers by 22 points: 1%Philadelphia 76ers by 23 points: 1%Philadelphia 76ers by 24 points: 1%Philadelphia 76ers by 25 points: 1%Philadelphia 76ers by 26 points: 1%Philadelphia 76ers by 27 points: 1%Philadelphia 76ers by 28 points: 1%Philadelphia 76ers by 29 points: 1%Philadelphia 76ers by 30 points: 1%Philadelphia 76ers by 31 points: 1%Philadelphia 76ers by 32 points: <1%Philadelphia 76ers by 33 points: <1%Philadelphia 76ers by 34 points: <1%Philadelphia 76ers by 35 points: <1%Philadelphia 76ers by 36 points: <1%Philadelphia 76ers by 37 points: <1%Philadelphia 76ers by 38 points: <1%Philadelphia 76ers by 39 points: <1%Philadelphia 76ers by 40 points: <1%Philadelphia 76ers by 41 points: <1%Philadelphia 76ers by 42 points: <1%Philadelphia 76ers by 43 points: <1%Philadelphia 76ers by 44 points: <1%Philadelphia 76ers by 45 points: <1%Philadelphia 76ers by 46 points: <1%Philadelphia 76ers by 47 points: <1%
← BKN wins byPHI wins by →
Philadelphia 76ers wins by 5 or more56%
Philadelphia 76ers wins by 10 or more40%
Philadelphia 76ers wins by 15 or more26%
Within 5 points either way24%

Centered on the expected margin above; shape from the real results of 6,530 past NBA games.

Total range

219.4 expected
173 points: <1%174 points: <1%175 points: <1%176 points: <1%177 points: <1%178 points: <1%179 points: <1%180 points: <1%181 points: <1%182 points: <1%183 points: <1%184 points: <1%185 points: <1%186 points: 1%187 points: 1%188 points: 1%189 points: 1%190 points: 1%191 points: 1%192 points: 1%193 points: 1%194 points: 1%195 points: 1%196 points: 1%197 points: 1%198 points: 1%199 points: 1%200 points: 1%201 points: 1%202 points: 1%203 points: 1%204 points: 2%205 points: 2%206 points: 2%207 points: 2%208 points: 2%209 points: 2%210 points: 2%211 points: 2%212 points: 2%213 points: 2%214 points: 2%215 points: 2%216 points: 2%217 points: 2%218 points: 2%219 points: 2%220 points: 2%221 points: 2%222 points: 2%223 points: 2%224 points: 2%225 points: 2%226 points: 2%227 points: 2%228 points: 2%229 points: 2%230 points: 2%231 points: 2%232 points: 2%233 points: 2%234 points: 2%235 points: 1%236 points: 1%237 points: 1%238 points: 1%239 points: 1%240 points: 1%241 points: 1%242 points: 1%243 points: 1%244 points: 1%245 points: 1%246 points: 1%247 points: 1%248 points: 1%249 points: 1%250 points: 1%251 points: 1%252 points: <1%253 points: <1%254 points: <1%255 points: <1%256 points: <1%257 points: <1%258 points: <1%259 points: <1%260 points: <1%261 points: <1%262 points: <1%263 points: <1%264 points: <1%265 points: <1%266 points: <1%267 points: <1%268 points: <1%269 points: <1%270 points: <1%271 points: <1%272 points: <1%
Total points, both teams
Total over 209.569%
Total over 219.549%
Total over 229.530%
Total from 210 to 22939%

Centered on the expected total above; shape from the real results of 6,530 past NBA games.

Starting Lineups

from the box score
Brooklyn Nets
GTerance Mannstarted
GEgor Deminstarted
FMichael Porter Jr.started
FNoah Clowneystarted
CNic Claxtonstarted
Philadelphia 76ers
GTyrese Maxeystarted
GJared McCainstarted
FPaul Georgestarted
FJabari Walkerstarted
CJoel Embiidstarted

For context, not in our forecast.

Rest and Schedule

before this game
BKN·PHI
Dec 21, 2025 vs TOR
last game
Dec 20, 2025 vs DAL
1 day
days of rest
2 days
no
back-to-back
no
2
games in last 7 days
2
road after a home game
home / road
2nd straight home game

For context, not in our forecast.

Who's Out

NBA official injury report · Dec 23, 5:00 PM ET
Brooklyn Nets
BKNCam Thomas · left hamstring; strainOut
BKNDrake Powell · right ankle; sprainOut
BKNHaywood Highsmith · right knee; surgery, injury recoveryOut
BKNBen Saraf · right ankle; sprainProbable
BKNTerance Mann · n/a; illnessProbable
Philadelphia 76ers
PHIKelly Oubre Jr. · left knee; sprainOut
PHITrendon Watford · left adductor; strainOut
PHIDominick Barlow · n/a; illnessQuestionable
PHIQuentin Grimes · n/a; illnessQuestionable
PHIVJ Edgecombe · n/a; illnessQuestionable
PHIJoel Embiid · right knee; injury managementProbable

For context, not in our forecast.

Team Comparison

2025–26 season · box-score averages from 27+ games
BKN·PHI
−0.72
rating (0 = average)
−0.25
109.1
points / game
117.0
114.2
points allowed / game
115.4
8−19
season record
16−11
4−11
home record
9−7
4−8
away record
7−4
W1
streak
W2
5−5
last 10
7−3
44.8
FG%
45.1
34.6
3P%
36.3
40.7
rebounds / game
45.2
25.7
assists / game
25.3
15.9
turnovers / game
14.2
42.0
points in paint / game
48.1

Rating Trend

BKN · PHI · 56 days
Brooklyn NetsPhiladelphia 76ers
Rating (0 = average team)

Head to Head

last 10 meetings · PHI 6−4
Nov 28, 2025at BKNPHI 115 − 103
Nov 2, 2025at BKNPHI 129 − 105
Feb 22, 2025at PHIBKN 105 − 103
Feb 12, 2025at BKNBKN 100 − 96
Jan 4, 2025at BKNPHI 123 − 94
Nov 22, 2024at PHIPHI 113 − 98
Apr 14, 2024at PHIPHI 107 − 86
Mar 5, 2024at BKNBKN 112 − 107
Feb 3, 2024at PHIBKN 136 − 121
Nov 19, 2023at BKNPHI 121 − 99

BKN · Last 10

5−5 · streak W1
Dec 21, 2025vs TOR96 − 81W
Dec 18, 2025vs MIA95 − 106L
Dec 14, 2025vs MIL127 − 82W
Dec 12, 2025at DAL111 − 119L
Dec 6, 2025vs NO119 − 101W
Dec 4, 2025vs UTAH110 − 123L
Dec 3, 2025at CHI113 − 103W
Dec 1, 2025vs CHA116 − 103W
Nov 29, 2025at MIL99 − 116L
Nov 28, 2025vs PHI103 − 115L

PHI · Last 10

7−3 · streak W2
Dec 20, 2025vs DAL121 − 114W
Dec 19, 2025at NY116 − 107W
Dec 14, 2025at ATL117 − 120L
Dec 12, 2025vs IND115 − 105W
Dec 7, 2025vs LAL108 − 112L
Dec 5, 2025at MIL116 − 101W
Dec 4, 2025vs GS99 − 98W
Dec 2, 2025vs WSH121 − 102W
Nov 30, 2025vs ATL134 − 142L
Nov 28, 2025at BKN115 − 103W