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Bucks at Nets

NBA · Sunday, Dec 14 · 5:00 PM CT · Barclays Center · Final MIL 82 – BKN 127
← NBA / Dec 14, 2025

Final Box Score

from the game summary
Team1234T
MIL2523231182
BKN37283428127
Team box
MIL·BKN
31-79
field goals
45-85
8-35
3-pointers
19-43
12-16
free throws
18-19
37
rebounds
43
20
assists
33
20
turnovers
14
44
points in paint
50
Top performers
PlayerTeamMINPTSREBAST
Gary Trent Jr.MIL292020
Egor DeminBKN261733
Noah ClowneyBKN221632
Tyrese MartinBKN181412
Kyle KuzmaMIL281373
Drake PowellBKN231343

For context, not in our forecast.

Game Flow

score margin
BKN +45
MIL +45
Q1Q2Q3Q4
largest lead: BKN 45 · MIL 0lead changes: 0

For context, not in our forecast.

Final · our forecast was MIL 64%, BKN 36% · Updated Dec 14, 2025

Expected margin
MIL by 4.9
Expected score
MIL 113.8 – 108.8 BKN
Expected total
222.6
BucksThe matchupNets
−174Our fair odds+174
113.8Expected points108.8
−0.06Power rating−0.85
115.1Points / game109.5
117.3Allowed / game117.3
49.6FG%44.6
41.23P%34.5
39.5Rebounds / game39.9
11−15Season record6−18
3−7Last 104−6
AJ Green · Alex Antetokounmpo
Giannis Antetokounmpo · Mark Sears
Taurean PrinceOutBen Saraf · Cam Thomas
Haywood Highsmith

Prediction markets

Kalshi · Polymarket US · ProphetX · Novig
MIL chance · BKN chance
Our model fair63.5%36.5%
Kalshino two-sided price
Polymarket USno two-sided price
ProphetXno two-sided price
Novigno two-sided price
Full price table
TeamOur modelfairKalshi Polymarket US ProphetX Novig 
Moneyline
MILMilwaukee Bucks−17464%————
BKNBrooklyn Nets+17436%————
SpreadMIL by 4.9
MILMilwaukee Bucks−4.9our margin————
BKNBrooklyn Nets+4.9our margin————
Totalwe expect 222.6
Over222.6our total————
Under222.6our total————

These are each venue’s last prices before the start (Kalshi’s moneyline: its pre-game close). Odds are the price to buy that side now, taker fee included; the small percent is the implied chance of that same price. Highlighted is the best price in the row among venues on the same line. — means not listed (hover or tap for why). A market price is not the true chance of winning.

Margin range

Milwaukee Bucks by 4.9 expected
Milwaukee Bucks by 46 points: <1%Milwaukee Bucks by 45 points: <1%Milwaukee Bucks by 44 points: <1%Milwaukee Bucks by 43 points: <1%Milwaukee Bucks by 42 points: <1%Milwaukee Bucks by 41 points: <1%Milwaukee Bucks by 40 points: <1%Milwaukee Bucks by 39 points: <1%Milwaukee Bucks by 38 points: <1%Milwaukee Bucks by 37 points: <1%Milwaukee Bucks by 36 points: <1%Milwaukee Bucks by 35 points: <1%Milwaukee Bucks by 34 points: <1%Milwaukee Bucks by 33 points: <1%Milwaukee Bucks by 32 points: 1%Milwaukee Bucks by 31 points: 1%Milwaukee Bucks by 30 points: 1%Milwaukee Bucks by 29 points: 1%Milwaukee Bucks by 28 points: 1%Milwaukee Bucks by 27 points: 1%Milwaukee Bucks by 26 points: 1%Milwaukee Bucks by 25 points: 1%Milwaukee Bucks by 24 points: 1%Milwaukee Bucks by 23 points: 1%Milwaukee Bucks by 22 points: 1%Milwaukee Bucks by 21 points: 1%Milwaukee Bucks by 20 points: 1%Milwaukee Bucks by 19 points: 2%Milwaukee Bucks by 18 points: 2%Milwaukee Bucks by 17 points: 2%Milwaukee Bucks by 16 points: 2%Milwaukee Bucks by 15 points: 2%Milwaukee Bucks by 14 points: 2%Milwaukee Bucks by 13 points: 3%Milwaukee Bucks by 12 points: 3%Milwaukee Bucks by 11 points: 3%Milwaukee Bucks by 10 points: 3%Milwaukee Bucks by 9 points: 3%Milwaukee Bucks by 8 points: 3%Milwaukee Bucks by 7 points: 3%Milwaukee Bucks by 6 points: 3%Milwaukee Bucks by 5 points: 3%Milwaukee Bucks by 4 points: 3%Milwaukee Bucks by 3 points: 3%Milwaukee Bucks by 2 points: 2%Milwaukee Bucks by 1 point: 2%Brooklyn Nets by 1 point: 2%Brooklyn Nets by 2 points: 2%Brooklyn Nets by 3 points: 2%Brooklyn Nets by 4 points: 2%Brooklyn Nets by 5 points: 2%Brooklyn Nets by 6 points: 2%Brooklyn Nets by 7 points: 2%Brooklyn Nets by 8 points: 2%Brooklyn Nets by 9 points: 2%Brooklyn Nets by 10 points: 2%Brooklyn Nets by 11 points: 2%Brooklyn Nets by 12 points: 2%Brooklyn Nets by 13 points: 1%Brooklyn Nets by 14 points: 1%Brooklyn Nets by 15 points: 1%Brooklyn Nets by 16 points: 1%Brooklyn Nets by 17 points: 1%Brooklyn Nets by 18 points: 1%Brooklyn Nets by 19 points: 1%Brooklyn Nets by 20 points: 1%Brooklyn Nets by 21 points: 1%Brooklyn Nets by 22 points: 1%Brooklyn Nets by 23 points: <1%Brooklyn Nets by 24 points: <1%Brooklyn Nets by 25 points: <1%Brooklyn Nets by 26 points: <1%Brooklyn Nets by 27 points: <1%Brooklyn Nets by 28 points: <1%Brooklyn Nets by 29 points: <1%Brooklyn Nets by 30 points: <1%Brooklyn Nets by 31 points: <1%Brooklyn Nets by 32 points: <1%Brooklyn Nets by 33 points: <1%Brooklyn Nets by 34 points: <1%Brooklyn Nets by 35 points: <1%Brooklyn Nets by 36 points: <1%Brooklyn Nets by 37 points: <1%Brooklyn Nets by 38 points: <1%Brooklyn Nets by 39 points: <1%Brooklyn Nets by 40 points: <1%Brooklyn Nets by 41 points: <1%Brooklyn Nets by 42 points: <1%Brooklyn Nets by 43 points: <1%Brooklyn Nets by 44 points: <1%Brooklyn Nets by 45 points: <1%Brooklyn Nets by 46 points: <1%
← MIL wins byBKN wins by →
Milwaukee Bucks wins by 5 or more54%
Milwaukee Bucks wins by 10 or more38%
Milwaukee Bucks wins by 15 or more25%
Within 5 points either way24%

Centered on the expected margin above; shape from the real results of 6,530 past NBA games.

Total range

222.6 expected
175 points: <1%176 points: <1%177 points: <1%178 points: <1%179 points: <1%180 points: <1%181 points: <1%182 points: <1%183 points: <1%184 points: <1%185 points: <1%186 points: <1%187 points: <1%188 points: <1%189 points: <1%190 points: 1%191 points: 1%192 points: 1%193 points: 1%194 points: 1%195 points: 1%196 points: 1%197 points: 1%198 points: 1%199 points: 1%200 points: 1%201 points: 1%202 points: 1%203 points: 1%204 points: 1%205 points: 1%206 points: 1%207 points: 2%208 points: 2%209 points: 2%210 points: 2%211 points: 2%212 points: 2%213 points: 2%214 points: 2%215 points: 2%216 points: 2%217 points: 2%218 points: 2%219 points: 2%220 points: 2%221 points: 2%222 points: 2%223 points: 2%224 points: 2%225 points: 2%226 points: 2%227 points: 2%228 points: 2%229 points: 2%230 points: 2%231 points: 2%232 points: 2%233 points: 2%234 points: 2%235 points: 2%236 points: 2%237 points: 2%238 points: 1%239 points: 1%240 points: 1%241 points: 1%242 points: 1%243 points: 1%244 points: 1%245 points: 1%246 points: 1%247 points: 1%248 points: 1%249 points: 1%250 points: 1%251 points: 1%252 points: 1%253 points: 1%254 points: 1%255 points: 1%256 points: <1%257 points: <1%258 points: <1%259 points: <1%260 points: <1%261 points: <1%262 points: <1%263 points: <1%264 points: <1%265 points: <1%266 points: <1%267 points: <1%268 points: <1%269 points: <1%270 points: <1%271 points: <1%272 points: <1%273 points: <1%274 points: <1%275 points: <1%
Total points, both teams
Total over 212.569%
Total over 222.550%
Total over 232.530%
Total from 213 to 23239%

Centered on the expected total above; shape from the real results of 6,530 past NBA games.

Starting Lineups

from the box score
Milwaukee Bucks
GGary Trent Jr.started
GKevin Porter Jr.started
GRyan Rollinsstarted
FKyle Kuzmastarted
CMyles Turnerstarted
Brooklyn Nets
GTerance Mannstarted
GEgor Deminstarted
FMichael Porter Jr.started
FNoah Clowneystarted
CNic Claxtonstarted

For context, not in our forecast.

Rest and Schedule

before this game
MIL·BKN
Dec 11, 2025 vs BOS
last game
Dec 12, 2025 at DAL
2 days
days of rest
1 day
no
back-to-back
no
1
games in last 7 days
1
road after a home game
home / road
home after a road game

For context, not in our forecast.

Who's Out

NBA official injury report · Dec 13, 5:00 PM ET
Milwaukee Bucks
MILAJ Green · left ac joint; sprainOut
MILAlex Antetokounmpo · g league - two-wayOut
MILGiannis Antetokounmpo · right calf; strainOut
MILMark Sears · g league - two-wayOut
MILTaurean Prince · neck; surgeryOut
Brooklyn Nets
BKNBen Saraf · n/a; illnessOut
BKNCam Thomas · left hamstring; strainOut
BKNHaywood Highsmith · right knee; surgery, injury recoveryOut

For context, not in our forecast.

Team Comparison

2025–26 season · box-score averages from 24+ games
MIL·BKN
−0.06
rating (0 = average)
−0.85
115.1
points / game
109.5
117.3
points allowed / game
117.3
11−15
season record
6−18
8−7
home record
2−10
3−8
away record
4−8
W1
streak
L1
3−7
last 10
4−6
49.6
FG%
44.6
41.2
3P%
34.5
39.5
rebounds / game
39.9
27.0
assists / game
25.4
14.8
turnovers / game
15.8
45.8
points in paint / game
41.8

Rating Trend

MIL · BKN · 47 days
Milwaukee BucksBrooklyn Nets
Rating (0 = average team)

Head to Head

last 10 meetings · BKN 3−7
Nov 29, 2025at MILMIL 116 − 99
Jan 2, 2025at MILBKN 113 − 110
Dec 26, 2024at MILBKN 111 − 105
Dec 8, 2024at BKNMIL 118 − 113
Oct 27, 2024at BKNBKN 115 − 102
Mar 21, 2024at MILMIL 115 − 108
Dec 27, 2023at BKNMIL 144 − 122
Nov 6, 2023at BKNMIL 129 − 125
Mar 9, 2023at MILMIL 118 − 113
Feb 28, 2023at BKNMIL 118 − 104

MIL · Last 10

3−7 · streak W1
Dec 11, 2025vs BOS116 − 101W
Dec 6, 2025at DET112 − 124L
Dec 5, 2025vs PHI101 − 116L
Dec 3, 2025vs DET113 − 109W
Dec 1, 2025at WSH126 − 129L
Nov 29, 2025vs BKN116 − 99W
Nov 28, 2025at NY109 − 118L
Nov 26, 2025at MIA103 − 106L
Nov 24, 2025vs POR103 − 115L
Nov 22, 2025vs DET116 − 129L

BKN · Last 10

4−6 · streak L1
Dec 12, 2025at DAL111 − 119L
Dec 6, 2025vs NO119 − 101W
Dec 4, 2025vs UTAH110 − 123L
Dec 3, 2025at CHI113 − 103W
Dec 1, 2025vs CHA116 − 103W
Nov 29, 2025at MIL99 − 116L
Nov 28, 2025vs PHI103 − 115L
Nov 24, 2025vs NY100 − 113L
Nov 23, 2025at TOR109 − 119L
Nov 21, 2025at BOS113 − 105W