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Knicks at Pistons

NBA · Monday, Jan 5 · 6:00 PM CT · Little Caesars Arena · Final NY 90 – DET 121
← NBA / Jan 5

Final Box Score

from the game summary
Team1234T
NY2925152190
DET30342532121
Team box
NY·DET
32-76
field goals
47-86
13-30
3-pointers
16-31
13-14
free throws
11-16
30
rebounds
44
15
assists
25
20
turnovers
16
34
points in paint
52
Top performers
PlayerTeamMINPTSREBAST
Cade CunninghamDET2929313
Jalen BrunsonNY312530
Miles McBrideNY251722
Javonte GreenDET291721
Jaden IveyDET221631
Daniss JenkinsDET231204

For context, not in our forecast.

Game Flow

score margin
DET +33
NY +33
Q1Q2Q3Q4
largest lead: DET 33 · NY 1lead changes: 1

For context, not in our forecast.

Final · our forecast was NY 50%, DET 50% · Updated Jan 5

Expected margin
DET by 0.8
Expected score
DET 115.1 – 114.2 NY
Expected total
229.3
KnicksThe matchupPistons
+102Our fair odds−102
114.2Expected points115.1
+0.51Power rating+0.30
120.6Points / game118.8
114.9Allowed / game112.7
47.4FG%48.3
38.13P%35.0
46.6Rebounds / game46.3
24−12Season record26−9
5−5Last 106−4
Josh Hart · Landry ShametOutBobi Klintman · Isaac Jones
Jalen Duren · Tobias Harris
Wendell Moore Jr.

Prediction markets

Kalshi · Polymarket US · ProphetX · Novig
NY chance · DET chance
Our model fair49.6%50.4%
Kalshino two-sided price
Polymarket USno two-sided price
ProphetXno two-sided price
Novigno two-sided price
Full price table
TeamOur modelfairKalshi Polymarket US ProphetX Novig 
Moneyline
NYNew York Knicks+10250%————
DETDetroit Pistons−10250%————
SpreadDET by 0.8
NYNew York Knicks+0.8our margin————
DETDetroit Pistons−0.8our margin————
Totalwe expect 229.3
Over229.3our total————
Under229.3our total————

These are each venue’s last prices before the start (Kalshi’s moneyline: its pre-game close). Odds are the price to buy that side now, taker fee included; the small percent is the implied chance of that same price. Highlighted is the best price in the row among venues on the same line. — means not listed (hover or tap for why). A market price is not the true chance of winning.

Margin range

Detroit Pistons by 0.8 expected
New York Knicks by 42 points: <1%New York Knicks by 41 points: <1%New York Knicks by 40 points: <1%New York Knicks by 39 points: <1%New York Knicks by 38 points: <1%New York Knicks by 37 points: <1%New York Knicks by 36 points: <1%New York Knicks by 35 points: <1%New York Knicks by 34 points: <1%New York Knicks by 33 points: <1%New York Knicks by 32 points: <1%New York Knicks by 31 points: <1%New York Knicks by 30 points: <1%New York Knicks by 29 points: <1%New York Knicks by 28 points: <1%New York Knicks by 27 points: <1%New York Knicks by 26 points: 1%New York Knicks by 25 points: 1%New York Knicks by 24 points: 1%New York Knicks by 23 points: 1%New York Knicks by 22 points: 1%New York Knicks by 21 points: 1%New York Knicks by 20 points: 1%New York Knicks by 19 points: 1%New York Knicks by 18 points: 1%New York Knicks by 17 points: 1%New York Knicks by 16 points: 1%New York Knicks by 15 points: 1%New York Knicks by 14 points: 2%New York Knicks by 13 points: 2%New York Knicks by 12 points: 2%New York Knicks by 11 points: 2%New York Knicks by 10 points: 2%New York Knicks by 9 points: 2%New York Knicks by 8 points: 3%New York Knicks by 7 points: 3%New York Knicks by 6 points: 3%New York Knicks by 5 points: 3%New York Knicks by 4 points: 3%New York Knicks by 3 points: 3%New York Knicks by 2 points: 2%New York Knicks by 1 point: 2%Detroit Pistons by 1 point: 2%Detroit Pistons by 2 points: 2%Detroit Pistons by 3 points: 3%Detroit Pistons by 4 points: 3%Detroit Pistons by 5 points: 3%Detroit Pistons by 6 points: 3%Detroit Pistons by 7 points: 3%Detroit Pistons by 8 points: 3%Detroit Pistons by 9 points: 3%Detroit Pistons by 10 points: 3%Detroit Pistons by 11 points: 2%Detroit Pistons by 12 points: 2%Detroit Pistons by 13 points: 2%Detroit Pistons by 14 points: 2%Detroit Pistons by 15 points: 2%Detroit Pistons by 16 points: 2%Detroit Pistons by 17 points: 1%Detroit Pistons by 18 points: 1%Detroit Pistons by 19 points: 1%Detroit Pistons by 20 points: 1%Detroit Pistons by 21 points: 1%Detroit Pistons by 22 points: 1%Detroit Pistons by 23 points: 1%Detroit Pistons by 24 points: 1%Detroit Pistons by 25 points: 1%Detroit Pistons by 26 points: 1%Detroit Pistons by 27 points: 1%Detroit Pistons by 28 points: <1%Detroit Pistons by 29 points: <1%Detroit Pistons by 30 points: <1%Detroit Pistons by 31 points: <1%Detroit Pistons by 32 points: <1%Detroit Pistons by 33 points: <1%Detroit Pistons by 34 points: <1%Detroit Pistons by 35 points: <1%Detroit Pistons by 36 points: <1%Detroit Pistons by 37 points: <1%Detroit Pistons by 38 points: <1%Detroit Pistons by 39 points: <1%Detroit Pistons by 40 points: <1%Detroit Pistons by 41 points: <1%Detroit Pistons by 42 points: <1%
← NY wins byDET wins by →
Detroit Pistons wins by 5 or more43%
Detroit Pistons wins by 10 or more29%
Detroit Pistons wins by 15 or more17%
Within 5 points either way25%

Centered on the expected margin above; shape from the real results of 6,530 past NBA games.

Total range

229.3 expected
180 points: <1%181 points: <1%182 points: <1%183 points: <1%184 points: <1%185 points: <1%186 points: <1%187 points: <1%188 points: <1%189 points: <1%190 points: <1%191 points: <1%192 points: <1%193 points: <1%194 points: <1%195 points: <1%196 points: <1%197 points: 1%198 points: 1%199 points: 1%200 points: 1%201 points: 1%202 points: 1%203 points: 1%204 points: 1%205 points: 1%206 points: 1%207 points: 1%208 points: 1%209 points: 1%210 points: 1%211 points: 1%212 points: 1%213 points: 2%214 points: 2%215 points: 2%216 points: 2%217 points: 2%218 points: 2%219 points: 2%220 points: 2%221 points: 2%222 points: 2%223 points: 2%224 points: 2%225 points: 2%226 points: 2%227 points: 2%228 points: 2%229 points: 2%230 points: 2%231 points: 2%232 points: 2%233 points: 2%234 points: 2%235 points: 2%236 points: 2%237 points: 2%238 points: 2%239 points: 2%240 points: 2%241 points: 2%242 points: 2%243 points: 1%244 points: 1%245 points: 1%246 points: 1%247 points: 1%248 points: 1%249 points: 1%250 points: 1%251 points: 1%252 points: 1%253 points: 1%254 points: 1%255 points: 1%256 points: 1%257 points: 1%258 points: 1%259 points: 1%260 points: 1%261 points: 1%262 points: 1%263 points: <1%264 points: <1%265 points: <1%266 points: <1%267 points: <1%268 points: <1%269 points: <1%270 points: <1%271 points: <1%272 points: <1%273 points: <1%274 points: <1%275 points: <1%276 points: <1%277 points: <1%278 points: <1%279 points: <1%280 points: <1%281 points: <1%282 points: <1%283 points: <1%
Total points, both teams
Total over 219.569%
Total over 229.549%
Total over 239.529%
Total from 220 to 23939%

Centered on the expected total above; shape from the real results of 6,530 past NBA games.

Starting Lineups

from the box score
New York Knicks
GMikal Bridgesstarted
GJalen Brunsonstarted
FOG Anunobystarted
CKarl-Anthony Townsstarted
CMitchell Robinsonstarted
Detroit Pistons
GCade Cunninghamstarted
GAusar Thompsonstarted
FDuncan Robinsonstarted
FPaul Reedstarted
CIsaiah Stewartstarted

For context, not in our forecast.

Rest and Schedule

before this game
NY·DET
Jan 3 vs PHI
last game
Jan 4 at CLE
1 day
days of rest
0 days
no
back-to-back
yes
4
games in last 7 days
3
road after a home game
home / road
home after a road game

For context, not in our forecast.

Who's Out

NBA official injury report · Jan 5, 5:00 PM ET
New York Knicks
NYJosh Hart · right ankle; sprainOut
NYLandry Shamet · right shoulder; sprainOut
Detroit Pistons
DETBobi Klintman · g league - on assignmentOut
DETIsaac Jones · g league - on assignmentOut
DETJalen Duren · right ankle; sprainOut
DETTobias Harris · left hip; sprainOut
DETWendell Moore Jr. · g league - two-wayOut
DETCaris LeVert · left knee; tendinopathyDoubtful
DETCade Cunningham · right hip; contusionProbable
DETDuncan Robinson · left calf; contusionProbable

For context, not in our forecast.

Team Comparison

2025–26 season · box-score averages from 35+ games
NY·DET
+0.51
rating (0 = average)
+0.30
120.6
points / game
118.8
114.9
points allowed / game
112.7
24−12
season record
26−9
16−4
home record
13−3
8−8
away record
13−6
L3
streak
W1
5−5
last 10
6−4
47.4
FG%
48.3
38.1
3P%
35.0
46.6
rebounds / game
46.3
27.2
assists / game
26.7
13.5
turnovers / game
15.9
48.1
points in paint / game
57.9

Rating Trend

NY · DET · 68 days
New York KnicksDetroit Pistons
Rating (0 = average team)

Head to Head

last 10 meetings · DET 5−5
May 1, 2025at DETNY 116 − 113post
Apr 29, 2025at NYDET 106 − 103post
Apr 27, 2025at DETNY 94 − 93post
Apr 24, 2025at DETNY 118 − 116post
Apr 21, 2025at NYDET 100 − 94post
Apr 19, 2025at NYNY 123 − 112post
Apr 10, 2025at DETDET 115 − 106
Jan 13, 2025at NYDET 124 − 119
Dec 7, 2024at NYDET 120 − 111
Nov 1, 2024at DETNY 128 − 98

NY · Last 10

5−5 · streak L3
Jan 3vs PHI119 − 130L
Jan 2vs ATL99 − 111L
Dec 31, 2025at SA132 − 134L
Dec 29, 2025at NO130 − 125W
Dec 27, 2025at ATL128 − 125W
Dec 25, 2025vs CLE126 − 124W
Dec 23, 2025at MIN104 − 115L
Dec 21, 2025vs MIA132 − 125W
Dec 19, 2025vs PHI107 − 116L
Dec 18, 2025at IND114 − 113W

DET · Last 10

6−4 · streak W1
Jan 4at CLE114 − 110W
Jan 1vs MIA112 − 118L
Dec 30, 2025at LAL128 − 106W
Dec 28, 2025at LAC99 − 112L
Dec 26, 2025at UTAH129 − 131L
Dec 23, 2025at SAC136 − 127W
Dec 22, 2025at POR110 − 102W
Dec 20, 2025vs CHA112 − 86W
Dec 18, 2025at DAL114 − 116L
Dec 15, 2025at BOS112 − 105W