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Suns at Cavaliers

NBA · Wednesday, Dec 31 · 2:30 PM CT · Rocket Arena · Final PHX 113 – CLE 129
← NBA / Dec 31, 2025

Final Box Score

from the game summary
Team1234T
PHX21333524113
CLE37302933129
Team box
PHX·CLE
42-105
field goals
48-96
15-36
3-pointers
15-38
14-16
free throws
18-22
52
rebounds
54
23
assists
31
14
turnovers
15
36
points in paint
56
Top performers
PlayerTeamMINPTSREBAST
Donovan MitchellCLE3034107
Devin BookerPHX333224
Dillon BrooksPHX342033
Darius GarlandCLE291916
Jamaree BouyeaPHX151834
Jaylon TysonCLE311823

For context, not in our forecast.

Game Flow

score margin
CLE +24
PHX +24
Q1Q2Q3Q4
largest lead: CLE 24 · PHX 4lead changes: 1

For context, not in our forecast.

Final · our forecast was PHX 36%, CLE 64% · Updated Dec 31, 2025

Expected margin
CLE by 6.0
Expected score
CLE 119.5 – 113.5 PHX
Expected total
232.9
SunsThe matchupCavaliers
+175Our fair odds−175
113.5Expected points119.5
+0.08Power rating+0.41
115.1Points / game119.4
113.3Allowed / game117.3
46.7FG%46.4
36.33P%34.9
42.9Rebounds / game44.5
19−13Season record18−16
6−4Last 104−6
Grayson Allen · Jalen GreenOutChris Livingston · De'Andre Hunter
Larry Nance Jr. · Luke Travers
Max Strus

Prediction markets

Kalshi · Polymarket US · ProphetX · Novig
PHX chance · CLE chance
Our model fair36.4%63.6%
Kalshino two-sided price
Polymarket USno two-sided price
ProphetXno two-sided price
Novigno two-sided price
Full price table
TeamOur modelfairKalshi Polymarket US ProphetX Novig 
Moneyline
PHXPhoenix Suns+17536%————
CLECleveland Cavaliers−17564%————
SpreadCLE by 6.0
PHXPhoenix Suns+6our margin————
CLECleveland Cavaliers−6our margin————
Totalwe expect 232.9
Over232.9our total————
Under232.9our total————

These are each venue’s last prices before the start (Kalshi’s moneyline: its pre-game close). Odds are the price to buy that side now, taker fee included; the small percent is the implied chance of that same price. Highlighted is the best price in the row among venues on the same line. — means not listed (hover or tap for why). A market price is not the true chance of winning.

Margin range

Cleveland Cavaliers by 6.0 expected
Phoenix Suns by 48 points: <1%Phoenix Suns by 47 points: <1%Phoenix Suns by 46 points: <1%Phoenix Suns by 45 points: <1%Phoenix Suns by 44 points: <1%Phoenix Suns by 43 points: <1%Phoenix Suns by 42 points: <1%Phoenix Suns by 41 points: <1%Phoenix Suns by 40 points: <1%Phoenix Suns by 39 points: <1%Phoenix Suns by 38 points: <1%Phoenix Suns by 37 points: <1%Phoenix Suns by 36 points: <1%Phoenix Suns by 35 points: <1%Phoenix Suns by 34 points: <1%Phoenix Suns by 33 points: <1%Phoenix Suns by 32 points: <1%Phoenix Suns by 31 points: <1%Phoenix Suns by 30 points: <1%Phoenix Suns by 29 points: <1%Phoenix Suns by 28 points: <1%Phoenix Suns by 27 points: <1%Phoenix Suns by 26 points: <1%Phoenix Suns by 25 points: <1%Phoenix Suns by 24 points: <1%Phoenix Suns by 23 points: <1%Phoenix Suns by 22 points: <1%Phoenix Suns by 21 points: <1%Phoenix Suns by 20 points: 1%Phoenix Suns by 19 points: 1%Phoenix Suns by 18 points: 1%Phoenix Suns by 17 points: 1%Phoenix Suns by 16 points: 1%Phoenix Suns by 15 points: 1%Phoenix Suns by 14 points: 1%Phoenix Suns by 13 points: 1%Phoenix Suns by 12 points: 1%Phoenix Suns by 11 points: 2%Phoenix Suns by 10 points: 2%Phoenix Suns by 9 points: 2%Phoenix Suns by 8 points: 2%Phoenix Suns by 7 points: 2%Phoenix Suns by 6 points: 2%Phoenix Suns by 5 points: 2%Phoenix Suns by 4 points: 2%Phoenix Suns by 3 points: 2%Phoenix Suns by 2 points: 2%Phoenix Suns by 1 point: 2%Cleveland Cavaliers by 1 point: 2%Cleveland Cavaliers by 2 points: 2%Cleveland Cavaliers by 3 points: 3%Cleveland Cavaliers by 4 points: 3%Cleveland Cavaliers by 5 points: 3%Cleveland Cavaliers by 6 points: 3%Cleveland Cavaliers by 7 points: 3%Cleveland Cavaliers by 8 points: 3%Cleveland Cavaliers by 9 points: 3%Cleveland Cavaliers by 10 points: 3%Cleveland Cavaliers by 11 points: 3%Cleveland Cavaliers by 12 points: 3%Cleveland Cavaliers by 13 points: 3%Cleveland Cavaliers by 14 points: 2%Cleveland Cavaliers by 15 points: 2%Cleveland Cavaliers by 16 points: 2%Cleveland Cavaliers by 17 points: 2%Cleveland Cavaliers by 18 points: 2%Cleveland Cavaliers by 19 points: 2%Cleveland Cavaliers by 20 points: 2%Cleveland Cavaliers by 21 points: 1%Cleveland Cavaliers by 22 points: 1%Cleveland Cavaliers by 23 points: 1%Cleveland Cavaliers by 24 points: 1%Cleveland Cavaliers by 25 points: 1%Cleveland Cavaliers by 26 points: 1%Cleveland Cavaliers by 27 points: 1%Cleveland Cavaliers by 28 points: 1%Cleveland Cavaliers by 29 points: 1%Cleveland Cavaliers by 30 points: 1%Cleveland Cavaliers by 31 points: 1%Cleveland Cavaliers by 32 points: 1%Cleveland Cavaliers by 33 points: <1%Cleveland Cavaliers by 34 points: <1%Cleveland Cavaliers by 35 points: <1%Cleveland Cavaliers by 36 points: <1%Cleveland Cavaliers by 37 points: <1%Cleveland Cavaliers by 38 points: <1%Cleveland Cavaliers by 39 points: <1%Cleveland Cavaliers by 40 points: <1%Cleveland Cavaliers by 41 points: <1%Cleveland Cavaliers by 42 points: <1%Cleveland Cavaliers by 43 points: <1%Cleveland Cavaliers by 44 points: <1%Cleveland Cavaliers by 45 points: <1%Cleveland Cavaliers by 46 points: <1%Cleveland Cavaliers by 47 points: <1%Cleveland Cavaliers by 48 points: <1%
← PHX wins byCLE wins by →
Cleveland Cavaliers wins by 5 or more56%
Cleveland Cavaliers wins by 10 or more41%
Cleveland Cavaliers wins by 15 or more27%
Within 5 points either way24%

Centered on the expected margin above; shape from the real results of 6,530 past NBA games.

Total range

232.9 expected
183 points: <1%184 points: <1%185 points: <1%186 points: <1%187 points: <1%188 points: <1%189 points: <1%190 points: <1%191 points: <1%192 points: <1%193 points: <1%194 points: <1%195 points: <1%196 points: <1%197 points: <1%198 points: <1%199 points: <1%200 points: <1%201 points: 1%202 points: 1%203 points: 1%204 points: 1%205 points: 1%206 points: 1%207 points: 1%208 points: 1%209 points: 1%210 points: 1%211 points: 1%212 points: 1%213 points: 1%214 points: 1%215 points: 1%216 points: 1%217 points: 2%218 points: 2%219 points: 2%220 points: 2%221 points: 2%222 points: 2%223 points: 2%224 points: 2%225 points: 2%226 points: 2%227 points: 2%228 points: 2%229 points: 2%230 points: 2%231 points: 2%232 points: 2%233 points: 2%234 points: 2%235 points: 2%236 points: 2%237 points: 2%238 points: 2%239 points: 2%240 points: 2%241 points: 2%242 points: 2%243 points: 2%244 points: 2%245 points: 2%246 points: 1%247 points: 1%248 points: 1%249 points: 1%250 points: 1%251 points: 1%252 points: 1%253 points: 1%254 points: 1%255 points: 1%256 points: 1%257 points: 1%258 points: 1%259 points: 1%260 points: 1%261 points: 1%262 points: 1%263 points: 1%264 points: 1%265 points: 1%266 points: <1%267 points: <1%268 points: <1%269 points: <1%270 points: <1%271 points: <1%272 points: <1%273 points: <1%274 points: <1%275 points: <1%276 points: <1%277 points: <1%278 points: <1%279 points: <1%280 points: <1%281 points: <1%282 points: <1%283 points: <1%284 points: <1%285 points: <1%286 points: <1%287 points: <1%288 points: <1%289 points: <1%290 points: <1%
Total points, both teams
Total over 222.569%
Total over 232.550%
Total over 242.531%
Total from 223 to 24239%

Centered on the expected total above; shape from the real results of 6,530 past NBA games.

Starting Lineups

from the box score
Phoenix Suns
GDevin Bookerstarted
GCollin Gillespiestarted
FRoyce O'Nealestarted
FDillon Brooksstarted
CMark Williamsstarted
Cleveland Cavaliers
GDonovan Mitchellstarted
GDarius Garlandstarted
FDean Wadestarted
CJarrett Allenstarted
CEvan Mobleystarted

For context, not in our forecast.

Rest and Schedule

before this game
PHX·CLE
Dec 29, 2025 at WSH
last game
Dec 29, 2025 at SA
1 day
days of rest
1 day
no
back-to-back
no
3
games in last 7 days
3
4th straight road game
home / road
home after a road game

For context, not in our forecast.

Who's Out

NBA official injury report · Dec 31, 5:00 PM ET
Phoenix Suns
PHXGrayson Allen · right knee; injury managementOut
PHXJalen Green · right hamstring; strainOut
Cleveland Cavaliers
CLEChris Livingston · g league - two-wayOut
CLEDe'Andre Hunter · illness; illnessOut
CLELarry Nance Jr. · right calf; strainOut
CLELuke Travers · g league - two-wayOut
CLEMax Strus · left foot; surgery - jones fractureOut

For context, not in our forecast.

Team Comparison

2025–26 season · box-score averages from 32+ games
PHX·CLE
+0.08
rating (0 = average)
+0.41
115.1
points / game
119.4
113.3
points allowed / game
117.3
19−13
season record
18−16
10−5
home record
11−8
9−8
away record
7−8
W4
streak
W1
6−4
last 10
4−6
46.7
FG%
46.4
36.3
3P%
34.9
42.9
rebounds / game
44.5
25.5
assists / game
27.6
15.8
turnovers / game
13.9
46.1
points in paint / game
49.6

Rating Trend

PHX · CLE · 63 days
Phoenix SunsCleveland Cavaliers
Rating (0 = average team)

Head to Head

last 8 meetings · CLE 3−5
Mar 21, 2025at PHXPHX 123 − 112
Jan 20, 2025at CLECLE 118 − 92
Apr 3, 2024at PHXPHX 122 − 101
Mar 11, 2024at CLEPHX 117 − 111
Jan 8, 2023at PHXCLE 112 − 98
Jan 4, 2023at CLECLE 90 − 88
Nov 24, 2021at CLEPHX 120 − 115
Oct 30, 2021at PHXPHX 101 − 92

PHX · Last 10

6−4 · streak W4
Dec 29, 2025at WSH115 − 101W
Dec 27, 2025at NO123 − 114W
Dec 26, 2025at NO115 − 108W
Dec 23, 2025vs LAL132 − 108W
Dec 20, 2025at GS116 − 119L
Dec 18, 2025vs GS99 − 98W
Dec 14, 2025vs LAL114 − 116L
Dec 10, 2025at OKC89 − 138L
Dec 8, 2025at MIN108 − 105W
Dec 5, 2025at HOU98 − 117L

CLE · Last 10

4−6 · streak W1
Dec 29, 2025at SA113 − 101W
Dec 27, 2025at HOU100 − 117L
Dec 25, 2025at NY124 − 126L
Dec 23, 2025vs NO141 − 118W
Dec 22, 2025vs CHA139 − 132W
Dec 19, 2025vs CHI125 − 136L
Dec 17, 2025at CHI111 − 127L
Dec 14, 2025vs CHA111 − 119L
Dec 12, 2025at WSH130 − 126W
Dec 6, 2025vs GS94 − 99L