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Wizards at Suns

NBA · Sunday, Jan 11 · 7:00 PM CT · Mortgage Matchup Center · Final WSH 93 – PHX 112
← NBA / Jan 11

Final Box Score

from the game summary
Team1234T
WSH2822172693
PHX32333116112
Team box
WSH·PHX
34-86
field goals
40-95
7-30
3-pointers
17-52
18-18
free throws
15-19
49
rebounds
51
22
assists
32
23
turnovers
16
46
points in paint
42
Top performers
PlayerTeamMINPTSREBAST
Alex SarrWSH2819151
Royce O'NealePHX251974
Tre JohnsonWSH301953
Devin BookerPHX261738
Dillon BrooksPHX241611
Grayson AllenPHX241272

For context, not in our forecast.

Game Flow

score margin
PHX +32
WSH +32
Q1Q2Q3Q4
largest lead: PHX 32 · WSH 3lead changes: 2

For context, not in our forecast.

Final · our forecast was WSH 19%, PHX 81% · Updated Jan 11

Expected margin
PHX by 12.2
Expected score
PHX 121.6 – 109.4 WSH
Expected total
231.0
WizardsThe matchupSuns
+419Our fair odds−419
109.4Expected points121.6
−1.14Power rating+0.09
113.3Points / game114.7
124.3Allowed / game112.3
46.3FG%46.5
35.83P%36.3
44.1Rebounds / game43.3
10−27Season record23−15
5−5Last 108−2
Cam Whitmore · Jamir Watkins
Sharife Cooper · Trae YoungOutJalen Green · Jamaree Bouyea

Prediction markets

Kalshi · Polymarket US · ProphetX · Novig
WSH chance · PHX chance
Our model fair19.3%80.7%
Kalshino two-sided price
Polymarket USno two-sided price
ProphetXno two-sided price
Novigno two-sided price
Full price table
TeamOur modelfairKalshi Polymarket US ProphetX Novig 
Moneyline
WSHWashington Wizards+41919%————
PHXPhoenix Suns−41981%————
SpreadPHX by 12.2
WSHWashington Wizards+12.2our margin————
PHXPhoenix Suns−12.2our margin————
Totalwe expect 231.0
Over231.0our total————
Under231.0our total————

These are each venue’s last prices before the start (Kalshi’s moneyline: its pre-game close). Odds are the price to buy that side now, taker fee included; the small percent is the implied chance of that same price. Highlighted is the best price in the row among venues on the same line. — means not listed (hover or tap for why). A market price is not the true chance of winning.

Margin range

Phoenix Suns by 12.2 expected
Washington Wizards by 53 points: <1%Washington Wizards by 52 points: <1%Washington Wizards by 51 points: <1%Washington Wizards by 50 points: <1%Washington Wizards by 49 points: <1%Washington Wizards by 48 points: <1%Washington Wizards by 47 points: <1%Washington Wizards by 46 points: <1%Washington Wizards by 45 points: <1%Washington Wizards by 44 points: <1%Washington Wizards by 43 points: <1%Washington Wizards by 42 points: <1%Washington Wizards by 41 points: <1%Washington Wizards by 40 points: <1%Washington Wizards by 39 points: <1%Washington Wizards by 38 points: <1%Washington Wizards by 37 points: <1%Washington Wizards by 36 points: <1%Washington Wizards by 35 points: <1%Washington Wizards by 34 points: <1%Washington Wizards by 33 points: <1%Washington Wizards by 32 points: <1%Washington Wizards by 31 points: <1%Washington Wizards by 30 points: <1%Washington Wizards by 29 points: <1%Washington Wizards by 28 points: <1%Washington Wizards by 27 points: <1%Washington Wizards by 26 points: <1%Washington Wizards by 25 points: <1%Washington Wizards by 24 points: <1%Washington Wizards by 23 points: <1%Washington Wizards by 22 points: <1%Washington Wizards by 21 points: <1%Washington Wizards by 20 points: <1%Washington Wizards by 19 points: <1%Washington Wizards by 18 points: <1%Washington Wizards by 17 points: <1%Washington Wizards by 16 points: <1%Washington Wizards by 15 points: <1%Washington Wizards by 14 points: <1%Washington Wizards by 13 points: 1%Washington Wizards by 12 points: 1%Washington Wizards by 11 points: 1%Washington Wizards by 10 points: 1%Washington Wizards by 9 points: 1%Washington Wizards by 8 points: 1%Washington Wizards by 7 points: 1%Washington Wizards by 6 points: 1%Washington Wizards by 5 points: 1%Washington Wizards by 4 points: 2%Washington Wizards by 3 points: 2%Washington Wizards by 2 points: 2%Washington Wizards by 1 point: 2%Phoenix Suns by 1 point: 2%Phoenix Suns by 2 points: 2%Phoenix Suns by 3 points: 2%Phoenix Suns by 4 points: 2%Phoenix Suns by 5 points: 3%Phoenix Suns by 6 points: 3%Phoenix Suns by 7 points: 3%Phoenix Suns by 8 points: 3%Phoenix Suns by 9 points: 3%Phoenix Suns by 10 points: 3%Phoenix Suns by 11 points: 3%Phoenix Suns by 12 points: 3%Phoenix Suns by 13 points: 3%Phoenix Suns by 14 points: 3%Phoenix Suns by 15 points: 3%Phoenix Suns by 16 points: 3%Phoenix Suns by 17 points: 3%Phoenix Suns by 18 points: 2%Phoenix Suns by 19 points: 2%Phoenix Suns by 20 points: 2%Phoenix Suns by 21 points: 2%Phoenix Suns by 22 points: 2%Phoenix Suns by 23 points: 2%Phoenix Suns by 24 points: 2%Phoenix Suns by 25 points: 2%Phoenix Suns by 26 points: 2%Phoenix Suns by 27 points: 1%Phoenix Suns by 28 points: 1%Phoenix Suns by 29 points: 1%Phoenix Suns by 30 points: 1%Phoenix Suns by 31 points: 1%Phoenix Suns by 32 points: 1%Phoenix Suns by 33 points: 1%Phoenix Suns by 34 points: 1%Phoenix Suns by 35 points: 1%Phoenix Suns by 36 points: 1%Phoenix Suns by 37 points: 1%Phoenix Suns by 38 points: 1%Phoenix Suns by 39 points: 1%Phoenix Suns by 40 points: <1%Phoenix Suns by 41 points: <1%Phoenix Suns by 42 points: <1%Phoenix Suns by 43 points: <1%Phoenix Suns by 44 points: <1%Phoenix Suns by 45 points: <1%Phoenix Suns by 46 points: <1%Phoenix Suns by 47 points: <1%Phoenix Suns by 48 points: <1%Phoenix Suns by 49 points: <1%Phoenix Suns by 50 points: <1%Phoenix Suns by 51 points: <1%Phoenix Suns by 52 points: <1%Phoenix Suns by 53 points: <1%
← WSH wins byPHX wins by →
Phoenix Suns wins by 5 or more72%
Phoenix Suns wins by 10 or more57%
Phoenix Suns wins by 15 or more42%
Within 5 points either way19%

Centered on the expected margin above; shape from the real results of 6,530 past NBA games.

Total range

231.0 expected
181 points: <1%182 points: <1%183 points: <1%184 points: <1%185 points: <1%186 points: <1%187 points: <1%188 points: <1%189 points: <1%190 points: <1%191 points: <1%192 points: <1%193 points: <1%194 points: <1%195 points: <1%196 points: <1%197 points: <1%198 points: <1%199 points: 1%200 points: 1%201 points: 1%202 points: 1%203 points: 1%204 points: 1%205 points: 1%206 points: 1%207 points: 1%208 points: 1%209 points: 1%210 points: 1%211 points: 1%212 points: 1%213 points: 1%214 points: 1%215 points: 2%216 points: 2%217 points: 2%218 points: 2%219 points: 2%220 points: 2%221 points: 2%222 points: 2%223 points: 2%224 points: 2%225 points: 2%226 points: 2%227 points: 2%228 points: 2%229 points: 2%230 points: 2%231 points: 2%232 points: 2%233 points: 2%234 points: 2%235 points: 2%236 points: 2%237 points: 2%238 points: 2%239 points: 2%240 points: 2%241 points: 2%242 points: 2%243 points: 2%244 points: 2%245 points: 1%246 points: 1%247 points: 1%248 points: 1%249 points: 1%250 points: 1%251 points: 1%252 points: 1%253 points: 1%254 points: 1%255 points: 1%256 points: 1%257 points: 1%258 points: 1%259 points: 1%260 points: 1%261 points: 1%262 points: 1%263 points: 1%264 points: <1%265 points: <1%266 points: <1%267 points: <1%268 points: <1%269 points: <1%270 points: <1%271 points: <1%272 points: <1%273 points: <1%274 points: <1%275 points: <1%276 points: <1%277 points: <1%278 points: <1%279 points: <1%280 points: <1%281 points: <1%282 points: <1%283 points: <1%284 points: <1%285 points: <1%286 points: <1%
Total points, both teams
Total over 221.568%
Total over 231.548%
Total over 241.529%
Total from 222 to 24139%

Centered on the expected total above; shape from the real results of 6,530 past NBA games.

Starting Lineups

from the box score
Washington Wizards
GBilal Coulibalystarted
GTre Johnsonstarted
FKhris Middletonstarted
FKyshawn Georgestarted
CAlex Sarrstarted
Phoenix Suns
GDevin Bookerstarted
GCollin Gillespiestarted
FRoyce O'Nealestarted
FDillon Brooksstarted
CMark Williamsstarted

For context, not in our forecast.

Rest and Schedule

before this game
WSH·PHX
Jan 9 vs NO
last game
Jan 9 vs NY
1 day
days of rest
1 day
no
back-to-back
no
4
games in last 7 days
4
road after a home game
home / road
2nd straight home game

For context, not in our forecast.

Who's Out

NBA official injury report · Jan 11, 5:00 PM ET
Washington Wizards
WSHCam Whitmore · right shoulder; deep vein thrombosisOut
WSHJamir Watkins · g league - two-wayOut
WSHSharife Cooper · g league - two-wayOut
WSHTrae Young · right knee; mcl sprain; right quad contusionOut
Phoenix Suns
PHXJalen Green · right hamstring; strainOut
PHXJamaree Bouyea · concussion protocolOut

For context, not in our forecast.

Team Comparison

2025–26 season · box-score averages from 37+ games
WSH·PHX
−1.14
rating (0 = average)
+0.09
113.3
points / game
114.7
124.3
points allowed / game
112.3
10−27
season record
23−15
6−13
home record
13−5
4−14
away record
10−10
L2
streak
W2
5−5
last 10
8−2
46.3
FG%
46.5
35.8
3P%
36.3
44.1
rebounds / game
43.3
25.4
assists / game
25.3
15.8
turnovers / game
15.5
46.9
points in paint / game
45.4

Rating Trend

WSH · PHX · 74 days
Washington WizardsPhoenix Suns
Rating (0 = average team)

Head to Head

last 9 meetings · PHX 7−2
Dec 29, 2025at WSHPHX 115 − 101
Jan 25, 2025at PHXPHX 119 − 109
Jan 16, 2025at WSHPHX 130 − 123
Feb 4, 2024at WSHPHX 140 − 112
Dec 17, 2023at PHXPHX 112 − 108
Dec 28, 2022at WSHWSH 127 − 102
Dec 20, 2022at PHXWSH 113 − 110
Feb 5, 2022at WSHPHX 95 − 80
Dec 16, 2021at PHXPHX 118 − 98

WSH · Last 10

5−5 · streak L2
Jan 9vs NO107 − 128L
Jan 7at PHI110 − 131L
Jan 6vs ORL120 − 112W
Jan 4vs MIN115 − 141L
Jan 2vs BKN119 − 99W
Dec 31, 2025at MIL114 − 113W
Dec 29, 2025vs PHX101 − 115L
Dec 28, 2025vs MEM116 − 112W
Dec 26, 2025vs TOR138 − 117W
Dec 23, 2025at CHA109 − 126L

PHX · Last 10

8−2 · streak W2
Jan 9vs NY112 − 107W
Jan 7at MEM117 − 98W
Jan 5at HOU97 − 100L
Jan 4vs OKC108 − 105W
Jan 2vs SAC129 − 102W
Dec 31, 2025at CLE113 − 129L
Dec 29, 2025at WSH115 − 101W
Dec 27, 2025at NO123 − 114W
Dec 26, 2025at NO115 − 108W
Dec 23, 2025vs LAL132 − 108W