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Wizards at Bucks

NBA · Wednesday, Dec 31 · 7:00 PM CT · Fiserv Forum · Final WSH 114 – MIL 113
← NBA / Dec 31, 2025

Final Box Score

from the game summary
Team1234T
WSH30352128114
MIL32302625113
Team box
WSH·MIL
41-94
field goals
41-89
19-39
3-pointers
16-39
13-20
free throws
15-22
44
rebounds
48
31
assists
24
10
turnovers
15
38
points in paint
42
Top performers
PlayerTeamMINPTSREBAST
Giannis AntetokounmpoMIL2833153
Alex SarrWSH2820112
Bub CarringtonWSH242055
Kevin Porter Jr.MIL391965
CJ McCollumWSH321844
Ryan RollinsMIL391677

For context, not in our forecast.

Game Flow

score margin
MIL +10
WSH +10
Q1Q2Q3Q4
largest lead: MIL 9 · WSH 10lead changes: 17

For context, not in our forecast.

Final · our forecast was WSH 20%, MIL 80% · Updated Dec 31, 2025

Expected margin
MIL by 11.5
Expected score
MIL 121.7 – 110.2 WSH
Expected total
231.8
WizardsThe matchupBucks
+397Our fair odds−397
110.2Expected points121.7
−1.25Power rating−0.08
113.2Points / game113.0
125.0Allowed / game115.9
46.2FG%48.7
35.63P%39.8
44.3Rebounds / game40.2
7−24Season record14−19
4−6Last 104−6
Cam Whitmore · Corey Kispert
Kyshawn GeorgeOutAlex Antetokounmpo · Mark Sears
Pete Nance · Taurean Prince

Prediction markets

Kalshi · Polymarket US · ProphetX · Novig
WSH chance · MIL chance
Our model fair20.1%79.9%
Kalshino two-sided price
Polymarket USno two-sided price
ProphetXno two-sided price
Novigno two-sided price
Full price table
TeamOur modelfairKalshi Polymarket US ProphetX Novig 
Moneyline
WSHWashington Wizards+39720%————
MILMilwaukee Bucks−39780%————
SpreadMIL by 11.5
WSHWashington Wizards+11.5our margin————
MILMilwaukee Bucks−11.5our margin————
Totalwe expect 231.8
Over231.8our total————
Under231.8our total————

These are each venue’s last prices before the start (Kalshi’s moneyline: its pre-game close). Odds are the price to buy that side now, taker fee included; the small percent is the implied chance of that same price. Highlighted is the best price in the row among venues on the same line. — means not listed (hover or tap for why). A market price is not the true chance of winning.

Margin range

Milwaukee Bucks by 11.5 expected
Washington Wizards by 53 points: <1%Washington Wizards by 52 points: <1%Washington Wizards by 51 points: <1%Washington Wizards by 50 points: <1%Washington Wizards by 49 points: <1%Washington Wizards by 48 points: <1%Washington Wizards by 47 points: <1%Washington Wizards by 46 points: <1%Washington Wizards by 45 points: <1%Washington Wizards by 44 points: <1%Washington Wizards by 43 points: <1%Washington Wizards by 42 points: <1%Washington Wizards by 41 points: <1%Washington Wizards by 40 points: <1%Washington Wizards by 39 points: <1%Washington Wizards by 38 points: <1%Washington Wizards by 37 points: <1%Washington Wizards by 36 points: <1%Washington Wizards by 35 points: <1%Washington Wizards by 34 points: <1%Washington Wizards by 33 points: <1%Washington Wizards by 32 points: <1%Washington Wizards by 31 points: <1%Washington Wizards by 30 points: <1%Washington Wizards by 29 points: <1%Washington Wizards by 28 points: <1%Washington Wizards by 27 points: <1%Washington Wizards by 26 points: <1%Washington Wizards by 25 points: <1%Washington Wizards by 24 points: <1%Washington Wizards by 23 points: <1%Washington Wizards by 22 points: <1%Washington Wizards by 21 points: <1%Washington Wizards by 20 points: <1%Washington Wizards by 19 points: <1%Washington Wizards by 18 points: <1%Washington Wizards by 17 points: <1%Washington Wizards by 16 points: <1%Washington Wizards by 15 points: <1%Washington Wizards by 14 points: 1%Washington Wizards by 13 points: 1%Washington Wizards by 12 points: 1%Washington Wizards by 11 points: 1%Washington Wizards by 10 points: 1%Washington Wizards by 9 points: 1%Washington Wizards by 8 points: 1%Washington Wizards by 7 points: 1%Washington Wizards by 6 points: 2%Washington Wizards by 5 points: 2%Washington Wizards by 4 points: 2%Washington Wizards by 3 points: 2%Washington Wizards by 2 points: 2%Washington Wizards by 1 point: 2%Milwaukee Bucks by 1 point: 2%Milwaukee Bucks by 2 points: 2%Milwaukee Bucks by 3 points: 2%Milwaukee Bucks by 4 points: 2%Milwaukee Bucks by 5 points: 3%Milwaukee Bucks by 6 points: 3%Milwaukee Bucks by 7 points: 3%Milwaukee Bucks by 8 points: 3%Milwaukee Bucks by 9 points: 3%Milwaukee Bucks by 10 points: 3%Milwaukee Bucks by 11 points: 3%Milwaukee Bucks by 12 points: 3%Milwaukee Bucks by 13 points: 3%Milwaukee Bucks by 14 points: 3%Milwaukee Bucks by 15 points: 3%Milwaukee Bucks by 16 points: 3%Milwaukee Bucks by 17 points: 2%Milwaukee Bucks by 18 points: 2%Milwaukee Bucks by 19 points: 2%Milwaukee Bucks by 20 points: 2%Milwaukee Bucks by 21 points: 2%Milwaukee Bucks by 22 points: 2%Milwaukee Bucks by 23 points: 2%Milwaukee Bucks by 24 points: 2%Milwaukee Bucks by 25 points: 2%Milwaukee Bucks by 26 points: 1%Milwaukee Bucks by 27 points: 1%Milwaukee Bucks by 28 points: 1%Milwaukee Bucks by 29 points: 1%Milwaukee Bucks by 30 points: 1%Milwaukee Bucks by 31 points: 1%Milwaukee Bucks by 32 points: 1%Milwaukee Bucks by 33 points: 1%Milwaukee Bucks by 34 points: 1%Milwaukee Bucks by 35 points: 1%Milwaukee Bucks by 36 points: 1%Milwaukee Bucks by 37 points: 1%Milwaukee Bucks by 38 points: 1%Milwaukee Bucks by 39 points: <1%Milwaukee Bucks by 40 points: <1%Milwaukee Bucks by 41 points: <1%Milwaukee Bucks by 42 points: <1%Milwaukee Bucks by 43 points: <1%Milwaukee Bucks by 44 points: <1%Milwaukee Bucks by 45 points: <1%Milwaukee Bucks by 46 points: <1%Milwaukee Bucks by 47 points: <1%Milwaukee Bucks by 48 points: <1%Milwaukee Bucks by 49 points: <1%Milwaukee Bucks by 50 points: <1%Milwaukee Bucks by 51 points: <1%Milwaukee Bucks by 52 points: <1%Milwaukee Bucks by 53 points: <1%
← WSH wins byMIL wins by →
Milwaukee Bucks wins by 5 or more70%
Milwaukee Bucks wins by 10 or more55%
Milwaukee Bucks wins by 15 or more40%
Within 5 points either way20%

Centered on the expected margin above; shape from the real results of 6,530 past NBA games.

Total range

231.8 expected
182 points: <1%183 points: <1%184 points: <1%185 points: <1%186 points: <1%187 points: <1%188 points: <1%189 points: <1%190 points: <1%191 points: <1%192 points: <1%193 points: <1%194 points: <1%195 points: <1%196 points: <1%197 points: <1%198 points: <1%199 points: <1%200 points: 1%201 points: 1%202 points: 1%203 points: 1%204 points: 1%205 points: 1%206 points: 1%207 points: 1%208 points: 1%209 points: 1%210 points: 1%211 points: 1%212 points: 1%213 points: 1%214 points: 1%215 points: 1%216 points: 2%217 points: 2%218 points: 2%219 points: 2%220 points: 2%221 points: 2%222 points: 2%223 points: 2%224 points: 2%225 points: 2%226 points: 2%227 points: 2%228 points: 2%229 points: 2%230 points: 2%231 points: 2%232 points: 2%233 points: 2%234 points: 2%235 points: 2%236 points: 2%237 points: 2%238 points: 2%239 points: 2%240 points: 2%241 points: 2%242 points: 2%243 points: 2%244 points: 2%245 points: 1%246 points: 1%247 points: 1%248 points: 1%249 points: 1%250 points: 1%251 points: 1%252 points: 1%253 points: 1%254 points: 1%255 points: 1%256 points: 1%257 points: 1%258 points: 1%259 points: 1%260 points: 1%261 points: 1%262 points: 1%263 points: 1%264 points: 1%265 points: <1%266 points: <1%267 points: <1%268 points: <1%269 points: <1%270 points: <1%271 points: <1%272 points: <1%273 points: <1%274 points: <1%275 points: <1%276 points: <1%277 points: <1%278 points: <1%279 points: <1%280 points: <1%281 points: <1%282 points: <1%283 points: <1%284 points: <1%285 points: <1%286 points: <1%287 points: <1%288 points: <1%
Total points, both teams
Total over 221.569%
Total over 231.550%
Total over 241.530%
Total from 222 to 24139%

Centered on the expected total above; shape from the real results of 6,530 past NBA games.

Starting Lineups

from the box score
Washington Wizards
GCJ McCollumstarted
GBilal Coulibalystarted
GTre Johnsonstarted
FKhris Middletonstarted
CAlex Sarrstarted
Milwaukee Bucks
GKevin Porter Jr.started
GAJ Greenstarted
GRyan Rollinsstarted
FGiannis Antetokounmpostarted
CMyles Turnerstarted

For context, not in our forecast.

Rest and Schedule

before this game
WSH·MIL
Dec 29, 2025 vs PHX
last game
Dec 29, 2025 at CHA
1 day
days of rest
1 day
no
back-to-back
no
3
games in last 7 days
3
road after a home game
home / road
home after a road game

For context, not in our forecast.

Who's Out

NBA official injury report · Dec 30, 5:00 PM ET
Washington Wizards
WSHCam Whitmore · right shoulder; deep vein thrombosisOut
WSHCorey Kispert · left hamstring; strainOut
WSHKyshawn George · left hip flexor; strainOut
Milwaukee Bucks
MILAlex Antetokounmpo · g league - two-wayOut
MILMark Sears · g league - two-wayOut
MILPete Nance · g league - two-wayOut
MILTaurean Prince · neck; surgeryOut

For context, not in our forecast.

Team Comparison

2025–26 season · box-score averages from 31+ games
WSH·MIL
−1.25
rating (0 = average)
−0.08
113.2
points / game
113.0
125.0
points allowed / game
115.9
7−24
season record
14−19
4−11
home record
8−8
3−13
away record
6−11
L1
streak
W2
4−6
last 10
4−6
46.2
FG%
48.7
35.6
3P%
39.8
44.3
rebounds / game
40.2
25.4
assists / game
26.2
15.5
turnovers / game
15.0
46.9
points in paint / game
44.7

Rating Trend

WSH · MIL · 63 days
Washington WizardsMilwaukee Bucks
Rating (0 = average team)

Head to Head

last 10 meetings · MIL 8−2
Dec 1, 2025at WSHWSH 129 − 126
Oct 22, 2025at MILMIL 133 − 120
Feb 21, 2025at WSHMIL 104 − 101
Dec 21, 2024at MILMIL 112 − 101
Nov 30, 2024at MILMIL 124 − 114
Apr 2, 2024at WSHWSH 117 − 113
Nov 24, 2023at MILMIL 131 − 128
Nov 20, 2023at WSHMIL 142 − 129
Apr 4, 2023at WSHMIL 140 − 128
Mar 5, 2023at WSHMIL 117 − 111

WSH · Last 10

4−6 · streak L1
Dec 29, 2025vs PHX101 − 115L
Dec 28, 2025vs MEM116 − 112W
Dec 26, 2025vs TOR138 − 117W
Dec 23, 2025at CHA109 − 126L
Dec 21, 2025vs SA113 − 124L
Dec 20, 2025at MEM130 − 122W
Dec 18, 2025at SA94 − 119L
Dec 14, 2025at IND108 − 89W
Dec 12, 2025vs CLE126 − 130L
Dec 6, 2025vs ATL116 − 131L

MIL · Last 10

4−6 · streak W2
Dec 29, 2025at CHA123 − 113W
Dec 27, 2025at CHI112 − 103W
Dec 26, 2025at MEM104 − 125L
Dec 23, 2025at IND111 − 94W
Dec 21, 2025at MIN100 − 103L
Dec 18, 2025vs TOR105 − 111L
Dec 14, 2025at BKN82 − 127L
Dec 11, 2025vs BOS116 − 101W
Dec 6, 2025at DET112 − 124L
Dec 5, 2025vs PHI101 − 116L