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Trail Blazers at Wizards

NBA · Tuesday, Jan 27 · 6:00 PM CT · Capital One Arena · Final POR 111 – WSH 115
← NBA / Jan 27

Final Box Score

from the game summary
Team1234T
POR28253424111
WSH26342629115
Team box
POR·WSH
42-109
field goals
40-98
14-38
3-pointers
17-39
13-23
free throws
18-21
69
rebounds
46
19
assists
27
20
turnovers
14
54
points in paint
32
Top performers
PlayerTeamMINPTSREBAST
Shaedon SharpePOR353142
Alex SarrWSH3629123
Kyshawn GeorgeWSH371995
Khris MiddletonWSH271965
Tre JohnsonWSH321842
Deni AvdijaPOR3117123

For context, not in our forecast.

Game Flow

score margin
WSH +11
POR +11
Q1Q2Q3Q4
largest lead: WSH 11 · POR 7lead changes: 19

For context, not in our forecast.

Final · our forecast was POR 70%, WSH 30% · Updated Jan 27

Expected margin
POR by 7.2
Expected score
POR 120.0 – 112.9 WSH
Expected total
232.9
Trail BlazersThe matchupWizards
−234Our fair odds+234
120.0Expected points112.9
−0.11Power rating−1.19
115.6Points / game112.2
117.5Allowed / game123.1
45.0FG%45.9
33.63P%35.2
45.3Rebounds / game43.7
23−24Season record10−34
6−4Last 101−9
Blake Wesley · Damian Lillard
Duop Reath · Kris Murray
Matisse ThybulleOutCam Whitmore · Marvin Bagley III
Trae Young · Tristan Vukcevic

Prediction markets

Kalshi · Polymarket US · ProphetX · Novig
POR chance · WSH chance
Our model fair70.0%30.0%
Kalshino two-sided price
Polymarket USno two-sided price
ProphetXno two-sided price
Novigno two-sided price
Full price table
TeamOur modelfairKalshi Polymarket US ProphetX Novig 
Moneyline
PORPortland Trail Blazers−23470%————
WSHWashington Wizards+23430%————
SpreadPOR by 7.2
PORPortland Trail Blazers−7.2our margin————
WSHWashington Wizards+7.2our margin————
Totalwe expect 232.9
Over232.9our total————
Under232.9our total————

These are each venue’s last prices before the start (Kalshi’s moneyline: its pre-game close). Odds are the price to buy that side now, taker fee included; the small percent is the implied chance of that same price. Highlighted is the best price in the row among venues on the same line. — means not listed (hover or tap for why). A market price is not the true chance of winning.

Margin range

Portland Trail Blazers by 7.2 expected
Portland Trail Blazers by 48 points: <1%Portland Trail Blazers by 47 points: <1%Portland Trail Blazers by 46 points: <1%Portland Trail Blazers by 45 points: <1%Portland Trail Blazers by 44 points: <1%Portland Trail Blazers by 43 points: <1%Portland Trail Blazers by 42 points: <1%Portland Trail Blazers by 41 points: <1%Portland Trail Blazers by 40 points: <1%Portland Trail Blazers by 39 points: <1%Portland Trail Blazers by 38 points: <1%Portland Trail Blazers by 37 points: <1%Portland Trail Blazers by 36 points: <1%Portland Trail Blazers by 35 points: 1%Portland Trail Blazers by 34 points: 1%Portland Trail Blazers by 33 points: 1%Portland Trail Blazers by 32 points: 1%Portland Trail Blazers by 31 points: 1%Portland Trail Blazers by 30 points: 1%Portland Trail Blazers by 29 points: 1%Portland Trail Blazers by 28 points: 1%Portland Trail Blazers by 27 points: 1%Portland Trail Blazers by 26 points: 1%Portland Trail Blazers by 25 points: 1%Portland Trail Blazers by 24 points: 1%Portland Trail Blazers by 23 points: 1%Portland Trail Blazers by 22 points: 1%Portland Trail Blazers by 21 points: 1%Portland Trail Blazers by 20 points: 2%Portland Trail Blazers by 19 points: 2%Portland Trail Blazers by 18 points: 2%Portland Trail Blazers by 17 points: 2%Portland Trail Blazers by 16 points: 2%Portland Trail Blazers by 15 points: 3%Portland Trail Blazers by 14 points: 3%Portland Trail Blazers by 13 points: 3%Portland Trail Blazers by 12 points: 3%Portland Trail Blazers by 11 points: 3%Portland Trail Blazers by 10 points: 3%Portland Trail Blazers by 9 points: 3%Portland Trail Blazers by 8 points: 3%Portland Trail Blazers by 7 points: 3%Portland Trail Blazers by 6 points: 3%Portland Trail Blazers by 5 points: 3%Portland Trail Blazers by 4 points: 3%Portland Trail Blazers by 3 points: 3%Portland Trail Blazers by 2 points: 2%Portland Trail Blazers by 1 point: 2%Washington Wizards by 1 point: 2%Washington Wizards by 2 points: 2%Washington Wizards by 3 points: 2%Washington Wizards by 4 points: 2%Washington Wizards by 5 points: 2%Washington Wizards by 6 points: 2%Washington Wizards by 7 points: 2%Washington Wizards by 8 points: 2%Washington Wizards by 9 points: 2%Washington Wizards by 10 points: 1%Washington Wizards by 11 points: 1%Washington Wizards by 12 points: 1%Washington Wizards by 13 points: 1%Washington Wizards by 14 points: 1%Washington Wizards by 15 points: 1%Washington Wizards by 16 points: 1%Washington Wizards by 17 points: 1%Washington Wizards by 18 points: 1%Washington Wizards by 19 points: 1%Washington Wizards by 20 points: 1%Washington Wizards by 21 points: <1%Washington Wizards by 22 points: <1%Washington Wizards by 23 points: <1%Washington Wizards by 24 points: <1%Washington Wizards by 25 points: <1%Washington Wizards by 26 points: <1%Washington Wizards by 27 points: <1%Washington Wizards by 28 points: <1%Washington Wizards by 29 points: <1%Washington Wizards by 30 points: <1%Washington Wizards by 31 points: <1%Washington Wizards by 32 points: <1%Washington Wizards by 33 points: <1%Washington Wizards by 34 points: <1%Washington Wizards by 35 points: <1%Washington Wizards by 36 points: <1%Washington Wizards by 37 points: <1%Washington Wizards by 38 points: <1%Washington Wizards by 39 points: <1%Washington Wizards by 40 points: <1%Washington Wizards by 41 points: <1%Washington Wizards by 42 points: <1%Washington Wizards by 43 points: <1%Washington Wizards by 44 points: <1%Washington Wizards by 45 points: <1%Washington Wizards by 46 points: <1%Washington Wizards by 47 points: <1%Washington Wizards by 48 points: <1%
← POR wins byWSH wins by →
Portland Trail Blazers wins by 5 or more60%
Portland Trail Blazers wins by 10 or more44%
Portland Trail Blazers wins by 15 or more29%
Within 5 points either way22%

Centered on the expected margin above; shape from the real results of 6,530 past NBA games.

Total range

232.9 expected
183 points: <1%184 points: <1%185 points: <1%186 points: <1%187 points: <1%188 points: <1%189 points: <1%190 points: <1%191 points: <1%192 points: <1%193 points: <1%194 points: <1%195 points: <1%196 points: <1%197 points: <1%198 points: <1%199 points: <1%200 points: <1%201 points: 1%202 points: 1%203 points: 1%204 points: 1%205 points: 1%206 points: 1%207 points: 1%208 points: 1%209 points: 1%210 points: 1%211 points: 1%212 points: 1%213 points: 1%214 points: 1%215 points: 1%216 points: 1%217 points: 2%218 points: 2%219 points: 2%220 points: 2%221 points: 2%222 points: 2%223 points: 2%224 points: 2%225 points: 2%226 points: 2%227 points: 2%228 points: 2%229 points: 2%230 points: 2%231 points: 2%232 points: 2%233 points: 2%234 points: 2%235 points: 2%236 points: 2%237 points: 2%238 points: 2%239 points: 2%240 points: 2%241 points: 2%242 points: 2%243 points: 2%244 points: 2%245 points: 2%246 points: 1%247 points: 1%248 points: 1%249 points: 1%250 points: 1%251 points: 1%252 points: 1%253 points: 1%254 points: 1%255 points: 1%256 points: 1%257 points: 1%258 points: 1%259 points: 1%260 points: 1%261 points: 1%262 points: 1%263 points: 1%264 points: 1%265 points: 1%266 points: <1%267 points: <1%268 points: <1%269 points: <1%270 points: <1%271 points: <1%272 points: <1%273 points: <1%274 points: <1%275 points: <1%276 points: <1%277 points: <1%278 points: <1%279 points: <1%280 points: <1%281 points: <1%282 points: <1%283 points: <1%284 points: <1%285 points: <1%286 points: <1%287 points: <1%288 points: <1%289 points: <1%290 points: <1%
Total points, both teams
Total over 222.569%
Total over 232.550%
Total over 242.531%
Total from 223 to 24239%

Centered on the expected total above; shape from the real results of 6,530 past NBA games.

Starting Lineups

from the box score
Portland Trail Blazers
GJrue Holidaystarted
GShaedon Sharpestarted
FToumani Camarastarted
FDeni Avdijastarted
CDonovan Clinganstarted
Washington Wizards
GBilal Coulibalystarted
GTre Johnsonstarted
FKhris Middletonstarted
FKyshawn Georgestarted
CAlex Sarrstarted

For context, not in our forecast.

Rest and Schedule

before this game
POR·WSH
Jan 26 at BOS
last game
Jan 24 at CHA
0 days
days of rest
2 days
yes
back-to-back
no
3
games in last 7 days
2
2nd straight road game
home / road
home after a road game

For context, not in our forecast.

Who's Out

NBA official injury report · Jan 27, 5:00 PM ET
Portland Trail Blazers
PORBlake Wesley · right foot; fractureOut
PORDamian Lillard · left achilles tendon; injury managementOut
PORDuop Reath · right foot; injury managementOut
PORKris Murray · lumbar; strainOut
PORMatisse Thybulle · right knee; tendinopathyOut
PORScoot Henderson · left hamstring; tearOut
PORDeni Avdija · low back; strainQuestionable
PORRobert Williams III · left knee; injury managementQuestionable
Washington Wizards
WSHCam Whitmore · right shoulder; deep vein thrombosisOut
WSHMarvin Bagley III · thoracic; strainOut
WSHTrae Young · right knee; mcl strain; quad contusionOut
WSHTristan Vukcevic · left hamstring; strainOut
WSHKhris Middleton · left foot; sorenessQuestionable

For context, not in our forecast.

Team Comparison

2025–26 season · box-score averages from 44+ games
POR·WSH
−0.11
rating (0 = average)
−1.19
115.6
points / game
112.2
117.5
points allowed / game
123.1
23−24
season record
10−34
13−11
home record
6−15
10−13
away record
4−19
L2
streak
L9
6−4
last 10
1−9
45.0
FG%
45.9
33.6
3P%
35.2
45.3
rebounds / game
43.7
24.3
assists / game
25.3
16.8
turnovers / game
15.6
48.0
points in paint / game
47.3

Rating Trend

POR · WSH · 90 days
Portland Trail BlazersWashington Wizards
Rating (0 = average team)

Head to Head

last 8 meetings · WSH 2−6
Mar 17, 2025at PORPOR 112 − 97
Feb 26, 2025at WSHPOR 129 − 121
Apr 5, 2024at WSHPOR 108 − 102
Dec 21, 2023at PORWSH 118 − 117
Feb 14, 2023at PORWSH 126 − 101
Feb 3, 2023at WSHPOR 124 − 116
Mar 12, 2022at PORPOR 127 − 118
Jan 15, 2022at WSHPOR 115 − 110

POR · Last 10

6−4 · streak L2
Jan 26at BOS94 − 102L
Jan 23vs TOR98 − 110L
Jan 22vs MIA127 − 110W
Jan 18at SAC117 − 110W
Jan 17vs LAL132 − 116W
Jan 15vs ATL117 − 101W
Jan 13at GS97 − 119L
Jan 11vs NY114 − 123L
Jan 9vs HOU111 − 105W
Jan 7vs HOU103 − 102W

WSH · Last 10

1−9 · streak L9
Jan 24at CHA115 − 119L
Jan 22vs DEN97 − 107L
Jan 19vs LAC106 − 110L
Jan 17at DEN115 − 121L
Jan 16at SAC115 − 128L
Jan 14at LAC105 − 119L
Jan 11at PHX93 − 112L
Jan 9vs NO107 − 128L
Jan 7at PHI110 − 131L
Jan 6vs ORL120 − 112W