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Wizards at Hornets

NBA · Saturday, Jan 24 · 11:00 AM CT · Spectrum Center · Final WSH 115 – CHA 119
← NBA / Jan 24

Final Box Score

from the game summary
Team1234T
WSH34242334115
CHA35312726119
Team box
WSH·CHA
44-96
field goals
41-79
19-53
3-pointers
14-36
8-9
free throws
23-30
34
rebounds
46
35
assists
30
13
turnovers
21
46
points in paint
50
Top performers
PlayerTeamMINPTSREBAST
Tre JohnsonWSH372606
Alex SarrWSH372441
Brandon MillerCHA3321117
LaMelo BallCHA3220211
Miles BridgesCHA292034
Kon KnueppelCHA321643

For context, not in our forecast.

Game Flow

score margin
CHA +18
WSH +18
Q1Q2Q3Q4
largest lead: CHA 18 · WSH 5lead changes: 10

For context, not in our forecast.

Final · our forecast was WSH 29%, CHA 71% · Updated Jan 24

Expected margin
CHA by 8.2
Expected score
CHA 119.0 – 110.8 WSH
Expected total
229.8
WizardsThe matchupHornets
+248Our fair odds−248
110.8Expected points119.0
−1.21Power rating−0.53
112.2Points / game115.9
123.2Allowed / game115.5
45.9FG%46.1
35.13P%36.9
43.9Rebounds / game45.6
10−33Season record17−28
1−9Last 105−5
AJ Johnson · Bilal Coulibaly
Cam Whitmore · Khris Middleton
Marvin Bagley IIIOut (5 each)Antonio Reeves · KJ Simpson
Liam McNeeley · Mason Plumlee
PJ Hall

Prediction markets

Kalshi · Polymarket US · ProphetX · Novig
WSH chance · CHA chance
Our model fair28.7%71.3%
Kalshino two-sided price
Polymarket USno two-sided price
ProphetXno two-sided price
Novigno two-sided price
Full price table
TeamOur modelfairKalshi Polymarket US ProphetX Novig 
Moneyline
WSHWashington Wizards+24829%————
CHACharlotte Hornets−24871%————
SpreadCHA by 8.2
WSHWashington Wizards+8.2our margin————
CHACharlotte Hornets−8.2our margin————
Totalwe expect 229.8
Over229.8our total————
Under229.8our total————

These are each venue’s last prices before the start (Kalshi’s moneyline: its pre-game close). Odds are the price to buy that side now, taker fee included; the small percent is the implied chance of that same price. Highlighted is the best price in the row among venues on the same line. — means not listed (hover or tap for why). A market price is not the true chance of winning.

Margin range

Charlotte Hornets by 8.2 expected
Washington Wizards by 50 points: <1%Washington Wizards by 49 points: <1%Washington Wizards by 48 points: <1%Washington Wizards by 47 points: <1%Washington Wizards by 46 points: <1%Washington Wizards by 45 points: <1%Washington Wizards by 44 points: <1%Washington Wizards by 43 points: <1%Washington Wizards by 42 points: <1%Washington Wizards by 41 points: <1%Washington Wizards by 40 points: <1%Washington Wizards by 39 points: <1%Washington Wizards by 38 points: <1%Washington Wizards by 37 points: <1%Washington Wizards by 36 points: <1%Washington Wizards by 35 points: <1%Washington Wizards by 34 points: <1%Washington Wizards by 33 points: <1%Washington Wizards by 32 points: <1%Washington Wizards by 31 points: <1%Washington Wizards by 30 points: <1%Washington Wizards by 29 points: <1%Washington Wizards by 28 points: <1%Washington Wizards by 27 points: <1%Washington Wizards by 26 points: <1%Washington Wizards by 25 points: <1%Washington Wizards by 24 points: <1%Washington Wizards by 23 points: <1%Washington Wizards by 22 points: <1%Washington Wizards by 21 points: <1%Washington Wizards by 20 points: <1%Washington Wizards by 19 points: <1%Washington Wizards by 18 points: 1%Washington Wizards by 17 points: 1%Washington Wizards by 16 points: 1%Washington Wizards by 15 points: 1%Washington Wizards by 14 points: 1%Washington Wizards by 13 points: 1%Washington Wizards by 12 points: 1%Washington Wizards by 11 points: 1%Washington Wizards by 10 points: 1%Washington Wizards by 9 points: 2%Washington Wizards by 8 points: 2%Washington Wizards by 7 points: 2%Washington Wizards by 6 points: 2%Washington Wizards by 5 points: 2%Washington Wizards by 4 points: 2%Washington Wizards by 3 points: 2%Washington Wizards by 2 points: 2%Washington Wizards by 1 point: 2%Charlotte Hornets by 1 point: 2%Charlotte Hornets by 2 points: 2%Charlotte Hornets by 3 points: 3%Charlotte Hornets by 4 points: 3%Charlotte Hornets by 5 points: 3%Charlotte Hornets by 6 points: 3%Charlotte Hornets by 7 points: 3%Charlotte Hornets by 8 points: 3%Charlotte Hornets by 9 points: 3%Charlotte Hornets by 10 points: 3%Charlotte Hornets by 11 points: 3%Charlotte Hornets by 12 points: 3%Charlotte Hornets by 13 points: 3%Charlotte Hornets by 14 points: 3%Charlotte Hornets by 15 points: 2%Charlotte Hornets by 16 points: 2%Charlotte Hornets by 17 points: 2%Charlotte Hornets by 18 points: 2%Charlotte Hornets by 19 points: 2%Charlotte Hornets by 20 points: 2%Charlotte Hornets by 21 points: 2%Charlotte Hornets by 22 points: 2%Charlotte Hornets by 23 points: 1%Charlotte Hornets by 24 points: 1%Charlotte Hornets by 25 points: 1%Charlotte Hornets by 26 points: 1%Charlotte Hornets by 27 points: 1%Charlotte Hornets by 28 points: 1%Charlotte Hornets by 29 points: 1%Charlotte Hornets by 30 points: 1%Charlotte Hornets by 31 points: 1%Charlotte Hornets by 32 points: 1%Charlotte Hornets by 33 points: 1%Charlotte Hornets by 34 points: 1%Charlotte Hornets by 35 points: 1%Charlotte Hornets by 36 points: <1%Charlotte Hornets by 37 points: <1%Charlotte Hornets by 38 points: <1%Charlotte Hornets by 39 points: <1%Charlotte Hornets by 40 points: <1%Charlotte Hornets by 41 points: <1%Charlotte Hornets by 42 points: <1%Charlotte Hornets by 43 points: <1%Charlotte Hornets by 44 points: <1%Charlotte Hornets by 45 points: <1%Charlotte Hornets by 46 points: <1%Charlotte Hornets by 47 points: <1%Charlotte Hornets by 48 points: <1%Charlotte Hornets by 49 points: <1%Charlotte Hornets by 50 points: <1%
← WSH wins byCHA wins by →
Charlotte Hornets wins by 5 or more62%
Charlotte Hornets wins by 10 or more46%
Charlotte Hornets wins by 15 or more32%
Within 5 points either way22%

Centered on the expected margin above; shape from the real results of 6,530 past NBA games.

Total range

229.8 expected
180 points: <1%181 points: <1%182 points: <1%183 points: <1%184 points: <1%185 points: <1%186 points: <1%187 points: <1%188 points: <1%189 points: <1%190 points: <1%191 points: <1%192 points: <1%193 points: <1%194 points: <1%195 points: <1%196 points: <1%197 points: 1%198 points: 1%199 points: 1%200 points: 1%201 points: 1%202 points: 1%203 points: 1%204 points: 1%205 points: 1%206 points: 1%207 points: 1%208 points: 1%209 points: 1%210 points: 1%211 points: 1%212 points: 1%213 points: 1%214 points: 2%215 points: 2%216 points: 2%217 points: 2%218 points: 2%219 points: 2%220 points: 2%221 points: 2%222 points: 2%223 points: 2%224 points: 2%225 points: 2%226 points: 2%227 points: 2%228 points: 2%229 points: 2%230 points: 2%231 points: 2%232 points: 2%233 points: 2%234 points: 2%235 points: 2%236 points: 2%237 points: 2%238 points: 2%239 points: 2%240 points: 2%241 points: 2%242 points: 2%243 points: 2%244 points: 1%245 points: 1%246 points: 1%247 points: 1%248 points: 1%249 points: 1%250 points: 1%251 points: 1%252 points: 1%253 points: 1%254 points: 1%255 points: 1%256 points: 1%257 points: 1%258 points: 1%259 points: 1%260 points: 1%261 points: 1%262 points: 1%263 points: <1%264 points: <1%265 points: <1%266 points: <1%267 points: <1%268 points: <1%269 points: <1%270 points: <1%271 points: <1%272 points: <1%273 points: <1%274 points: <1%275 points: <1%276 points: <1%277 points: <1%278 points: <1%279 points: <1%280 points: <1%281 points: <1%282 points: <1%283 points: <1%284 points: <1%
Total points, both teams
Total over 219.569%
Total over 229.550%
Total over 239.530%
Total from 220 to 23939%

Centered on the expected total above; shape from the real results of 6,530 past NBA games.

Starting Lineups

from the box score
Washington Wizards
GBub Carringtonstarted
GWill Rileystarted
GTre Johnsonstarted
FKyshawn Georgestarted
CAlex Sarrstarted
Charlotte Hornets
GLaMelo Ballstarted
GKon Knueppelstarted
FMiles Bridgesstarted
FMoussa Diabatestarted
FBrandon Millerstarted

For context, not in our forecast.

Rest and Schedule

before this game
WSH·CHA
Jan 22 vs DEN
last game
Jan 22 at ORL
1 day
days of rest
1 day
no
back-to-back
no
3
games in last 7 days
4
road after a home game
home / road
home after a road game

For context, not in our forecast.

Who's Out

NBA official injury report · Jan 24, 5:00 PM ET
Washington Wizards
WSHAJ Johnson · n/a; illnessOut
WSHBilal Coulibaly · lower back; strainOut
WSHCam Whitmore · right shoulder; deep vein thrombosisOut
WSHKhris Middleton · left foot; sorenessOut
WSHMarvin Bagley III · thoracic; strainOut
WSHTrae Young · right knee; mcl sprain; quad contusionOut
WSHTristan Vukcevic · left hamstring; strainOut
Charlotte Hornets
CHAAntonio Reeves · g league - two-wayOut
CHAKJ Simpson · left hip flexor; sprainOut
CHALiam McNeeley · g league - on assignmentOut
CHAMason Plumlee · right groin; surgeryOut
CHAPJ Hall · g league - two-wayOut

For context, not in our forecast.

Team Comparison

2025–26 season · box-score averages from 43+ games
WSH·CHA
−1.21
rating (0 = average)
−0.53
112.2
points / game
115.9
123.2
points allowed / game
115.5
10−33
season record
17−28
6−15
home record
7−13
4−18
away record
10−15
L8
streak
W1
1−9
last 10
5−5
45.9
FG%
46.1
35.1
3P%
36.9
43.9
rebounds / game
45.6
25.0
assists / game
26.5
15.7
turnovers / game
15.4
47.3
points in paint / game
48.4

Rating Trend

WSH · CHA · 87 days
Washington WizardsCharlotte Hornets
Rating (0 = average team)

Head to Head

last 10 meetings · CHA 4−6
Dec 23, 2025at CHACHA 126 − 109
Oct 26, 2025at WSHCHA 139 − 113
Mar 1, 2025at CHAWSH 113 − 100
Feb 3, 2025at CHAWSH 124 − 114
Dec 26, 2024at WSHWSH 113 − 110
Dec 19, 2024at WSHWSH 123 − 114
Mar 8, 2024at WSHWSH 112 − 100
Nov 22, 2023at CHACHA 117 − 114
Nov 10, 2023at WSHCHA 124 − 117
Nov 8, 2023at CHAWSH 132 − 116

WSH · Last 10

1−9 · streak L8
Jan 22vs DEN97 − 107L
Jan 19vs LAC106 − 110L
Jan 17at DEN115 − 121L
Jan 16at SAC115 − 128L
Jan 14at LAC105 − 119L
Jan 11at PHX93 − 112L
Jan 9vs NO107 − 128L
Jan 7at PHI110 − 131L
Jan 6vs ORL120 − 112W
Jan 4vs MIN115 − 141L

CHA · Last 10

5−5 · streak W1
Jan 22at ORL124 − 97W
Jan 21vs CLE87 − 94L
Jan 18at DEN110 − 87W
Jan 17at GS116 − 136L
Jan 15at LAL135 − 117W
Jan 12at LAC109 − 117L
Jan 10at UTAH150 − 95W
Jan 8vs IND112 − 114L
Jan 7vs TOR96 − 97L
Jan 5at OKC124 − 97W