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Hornets at Lakers

NBA · Thursday, Jan 15 · 9:30 PM CT · crypto.com Arena · Final CHA 135 – LAL 117
← NBA / Jan 15

Final Box Score

from the game summary
Team1234T
CHA30344031135
LAL39163824117
Team box
CHA·LAL
50-92
field goals
43-93
20-43
3-pointers
14-38
15-16
free throws
17-23
50
rebounds
35
34
assists
18
13
turnovers
9
56
points in paint
50
Top performers
PlayerTeamMINPTSREBAST
Luka DoncicLAL363934
LaMelo BallCHA2930611
LeBron JamesLAL332996
Brandon MillerCHA402625
Miles BridgesCHA332584
Kon KnueppelCHA331974

For context, not in our forecast.

Game Flow

score margin
LAL +18
CHA +18
Q1Q2Q3Q4
largest lead: LAL 13 · CHA 18lead changes: 2

For context, not in our forecast.

Final · our forecast was CHA 28%, LAL 72% · Updated Jan 15

Expected margin
LAL by 6.9
Expected score
LAL 116.4 – 109.5 CHA
Expected total
225.9
HornetsThe matchupLakers
+260Our fair odds−260
109.5Expected points116.4
−0.60Power rating+0.14
116.1Points / game116.5
116.7Allowed / game116.4
46.0FG%49.9
37.03P%34.6
45.2Rebounds / game41.5
14−26Season record24−14
4−6Last 105−5
Antonio Reeves · KJ Simpson
Liam McNeeley · Mason PlumleeOutAdou Thiero · Austin Reaves
Jaxson Hayes

Prediction markets

Kalshi · Polymarket US · ProphetX · Novig
CHA chance · LAL chance
Our model fair27.7%72.3%
Kalshino two-sided price
Polymarket USno two-sided price
ProphetXno two-sided price
Novigno two-sided price
Full price table
TeamOur modelfairKalshi Polymarket US ProphetX Novig 
Moneyline
CHACharlotte Hornets+26028%————
LALLos Angeles Lakers−26072%————
SpreadLAL by 6.9
CHACharlotte Hornets+6.9our margin————
LALLos Angeles Lakers−6.9our margin————
Totalwe expect 225.9
Over225.9our total————
Under225.9our total————

These are each venue’s last prices before the start (Kalshi’s moneyline: its pre-game close). Odds are the price to buy that side now, taker fee included; the small percent is the implied chance of that same price. Highlighted is the best price in the row among venues on the same line. — means not listed (hover or tap for why). A market price is not the true chance of winning.

Margin range

Los Angeles Lakers by 6.9 expected
Charlotte Hornets by 49 points: <1%Charlotte Hornets by 48 points: <1%Charlotte Hornets by 47 points: <1%Charlotte Hornets by 46 points: <1%Charlotte Hornets by 45 points: <1%Charlotte Hornets by 44 points: <1%Charlotte Hornets by 43 points: <1%Charlotte Hornets by 42 points: <1%Charlotte Hornets by 41 points: <1%Charlotte Hornets by 40 points: <1%Charlotte Hornets by 39 points: <1%Charlotte Hornets by 38 points: <1%Charlotte Hornets by 37 points: <1%Charlotte Hornets by 36 points: <1%Charlotte Hornets by 35 points: <1%Charlotte Hornets by 34 points: <1%Charlotte Hornets by 33 points: <1%Charlotte Hornets by 32 points: <1%Charlotte Hornets by 31 points: <1%Charlotte Hornets by 30 points: <1%Charlotte Hornets by 29 points: <1%Charlotte Hornets by 28 points: <1%Charlotte Hornets by 27 points: <1%Charlotte Hornets by 26 points: <1%Charlotte Hornets by 25 points: <1%Charlotte Hornets by 24 points: <1%Charlotte Hornets by 23 points: <1%Charlotte Hornets by 22 points: <1%Charlotte Hornets by 21 points: <1%Charlotte Hornets by 20 points: <1%Charlotte Hornets by 19 points: 1%Charlotte Hornets by 18 points: 1%Charlotte Hornets by 17 points: 1%Charlotte Hornets by 16 points: 1%Charlotte Hornets by 15 points: 1%Charlotte Hornets by 14 points: 1%Charlotte Hornets by 13 points: 1%Charlotte Hornets by 12 points: 1%Charlotte Hornets by 11 points: 1%Charlotte Hornets by 10 points: 2%Charlotte Hornets by 9 points: 2%Charlotte Hornets by 8 points: 2%Charlotte Hornets by 7 points: 2%Charlotte Hornets by 6 points: 2%Charlotte Hornets by 5 points: 2%Charlotte Hornets by 4 points: 2%Charlotte Hornets by 3 points: 2%Charlotte Hornets by 2 points: 2%Charlotte Hornets by 1 point: 2%Los Angeles Lakers by 1 point: 2%Los Angeles Lakers by 2 points: 2%Los Angeles Lakers by 3 points: 3%Los Angeles Lakers by 4 points: 3%Los Angeles Lakers by 5 points: 3%Los Angeles Lakers by 6 points: 3%Los Angeles Lakers by 7 points: 3%Los Angeles Lakers by 8 points: 3%Los Angeles Lakers by 9 points: 3%Los Angeles Lakers by 10 points: 3%Los Angeles Lakers by 11 points: 3%Los Angeles Lakers by 12 points: 3%Los Angeles Lakers by 13 points: 3%Los Angeles Lakers by 14 points: 3%Los Angeles Lakers by 15 points: 2%Los Angeles Lakers by 16 points: 2%Los Angeles Lakers by 17 points: 2%Los Angeles Lakers by 18 points: 2%Los Angeles Lakers by 19 points: 2%Los Angeles Lakers by 20 points: 2%Los Angeles Lakers by 21 points: 2%Los Angeles Lakers by 22 points: 1%Los Angeles Lakers by 23 points: 1%Los Angeles Lakers by 24 points: 1%Los Angeles Lakers by 25 points: 1%Los Angeles Lakers by 26 points: 1%Los Angeles Lakers by 27 points: 1%Los Angeles Lakers by 28 points: 1%Los Angeles Lakers by 29 points: 1%Los Angeles Lakers by 30 points: 1%Los Angeles Lakers by 31 points: 1%Los Angeles Lakers by 32 points: 1%Los Angeles Lakers by 33 points: 1%Los Angeles Lakers by 34 points: <1%Los Angeles Lakers by 35 points: <1%Los Angeles Lakers by 36 points: <1%Los Angeles Lakers by 37 points: <1%Los Angeles Lakers by 38 points: <1%Los Angeles Lakers by 39 points: <1%Los Angeles Lakers by 40 points: <1%Los Angeles Lakers by 41 points: <1%Los Angeles Lakers by 42 points: <1%Los Angeles Lakers by 43 points: <1%Los Angeles Lakers by 44 points: <1%Los Angeles Lakers by 45 points: <1%Los Angeles Lakers by 46 points: <1%Los Angeles Lakers by 47 points: <1%Los Angeles Lakers by 48 points: <1%Los Angeles Lakers by 49 points: <1%
← CHA wins byLAL wins by →
Los Angeles Lakers wins by 5 or more59%
Los Angeles Lakers wins by 10 or more43%
Los Angeles Lakers wins by 15 or more29%
Within 5 points either way23%

Centered on the expected margin above; shape from the real results of 6,530 past NBA games.

Total range

225.9 expected
177 points: <1%178 points: <1%179 points: <1%180 points: <1%181 points: <1%182 points: <1%183 points: <1%184 points: <1%185 points: <1%186 points: <1%187 points: <1%188 points: <1%189 points: <1%190 points: <1%191 points: <1%192 points: <1%193 points: 1%194 points: 1%195 points: 1%196 points: 1%197 points: 1%198 points: 1%199 points: 1%200 points: 1%201 points: 1%202 points: 1%203 points: 1%204 points: 1%205 points: 1%206 points: 1%207 points: 1%208 points: 1%209 points: 1%210 points: 2%211 points: 2%212 points: 2%213 points: 2%214 points: 2%215 points: 2%216 points: 2%217 points: 2%218 points: 2%219 points: 2%220 points: 2%221 points: 2%222 points: 2%223 points: 2%224 points: 2%225 points: 2%226 points: 2%227 points: 2%228 points: 2%229 points: 2%230 points: 2%231 points: 2%232 points: 2%233 points: 2%234 points: 2%235 points: 2%236 points: 2%237 points: 2%238 points: 2%239 points: 2%240 points: 1%241 points: 1%242 points: 1%243 points: 1%244 points: 1%245 points: 1%246 points: 1%247 points: 1%248 points: 1%249 points: 1%250 points: 1%251 points: 1%252 points: 1%253 points: 1%254 points: 1%255 points: 1%256 points: 1%257 points: 1%258 points: 1%259 points: 1%260 points: <1%261 points: <1%262 points: <1%263 points: <1%264 points: <1%265 points: <1%266 points: <1%267 points: <1%268 points: <1%269 points: <1%270 points: <1%271 points: <1%272 points: <1%273 points: <1%274 points: <1%275 points: <1%276 points: <1%277 points: <1%278 points: <1%279 points: <1%
Total points, both teams
Total over 215.570%
Total over 225.550%
Total over 235.531%
Total from 216 to 23539%

Centered on the expected total above; shape from the real results of 6,530 past NBA games.

Starting Lineups

from the box score
Charlotte Hornets
GLaMelo Ballstarted
GKon Knueppelstarted
FMiles Bridgesstarted
FMoussa Diabatestarted
FBrandon Millerstarted
Los Angeles Lakers
GMarcus Smartstarted
GLuka Doncicstarted
FLeBron Jamesstarted
FJake LaRaviastarted
CDeandre Aytonstarted

For context, not in our forecast.

Rest and Schedule

before this game
CHA·LAL
Jan 12 at LAC
last game
Jan 13 vs ATL
2 days
days of rest
1 day
no
back-to-back
no
3
games in last 7 days
3
3rd straight road game
home / road
2nd straight home game

For context, not in our forecast.

Who's Out

NBA official injury report · Jan 15, 5:00 PM ET
Charlotte Hornets
CHAAntonio Reeves · g league - two-wayOut
CHAKJ Simpson · g league - two-wayOut
CHALiam McNeeley · g league - on assignmentOut
CHAMason Plumlee · right groin; surgeryOut
CHACollin Sexton · left hamstring; sorenessProbable
CHAMoussa Diabate · right hip; sorenessProbable
Los Angeles Lakers
LALAdou Thiero · right mcl; sprainOut
LALAustin Reaves · left calf; strainOut
LALJaxson Hayes · left hamstring; sorenessOut

For context, not in our forecast.

Team Comparison

2025–26 season · box-score averages from 38+ games
CHA·LAL
−0.60
rating (0 = average)
+0.14
116.1
points / game
116.5
116.7
points allowed / game
116.4
14−26
season record
24−14
7−12
home record
11−7
7−14
away record
13−7
L1
streak
W1
4−6
last 10
5−5
46.0
FG%
49.9
37.0
3P%
34.6
45.2
rebounds / game
41.5
26.4
assists / game
25.1
15.6
turnovers / game
15.3
47.9
points in paint / game
51.5

Rating Trend

CHA · LAL · 78 days
Charlotte HornetsLos Angeles Lakers
Rating (0 = average team)

Head to Head

last 9 meetings · LAL 6−3
Nov 10, 2025at CHALAL 121 − 111
Feb 19, 2025at LALCHA 100 − 97
Jan 27, 2025at CHALAL 112 − 107
Feb 5, 2024at CHALAL 124 − 118
Dec 28, 2023at LALLAL 133 − 112
Jan 2, 2023at CHALAL 121 − 115
Dec 23, 2022at LALCHA 134 − 130
Jan 28, 2022at CHACHA 117 − 114
Nov 8, 2021at LALLAL 126 − 123

CHA · Last 10

4−6 · streak L1
Jan 12at LAC109 − 117L
Jan 10at UTAH150 − 95W
Jan 8vs IND112 − 114L
Jan 7vs TOR96 − 97L
Jan 5at OKC124 − 97W
Jan 3at CHI112 − 99W
Jan 2at MIL121 − 122L
Dec 31, 2025vs GS125 − 132L
Dec 29, 2025vs MIL113 − 123L
Dec 26, 2025at ORL120 − 105W

LAL · Last 10

5−5 · streak W1
Jan 13vs ATL141 − 116W
Jan 12at SAC112 − 124L
Jan 9vs MIL101 − 105L
Jan 7at SA91 − 107L
Jan 6at NO111 − 103W
Jan 4vs MEM120 − 114W
Jan 2vs MEM128 − 121W
Dec 30, 2025vs DET106 − 128L
Dec 28, 2025vs SAC125 − 101W
Dec 25, 2025vs HOU96 − 119L